Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 33.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 24.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 42.0

Total Profit: -58.1

Charles Schwab Challenge

27/05/2021 - 30/05/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Jordan Spieth 10 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.6% 2.65% -3.95% 2
2 USA Justin Thomas 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.59% 2.74% -2.85% T40
3 USA Collin Morikawa 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.84% 2.63% -2.21% T14
4 USA Daniel Berger 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.46% 2.07% -1.39% T20
5 MEX Abraham Ancer 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.46% 1.95% -1.5% T14
6 USA Tony Finau 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.16% 2.94% -0.21% T20
7 USA Patrick Reed 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.16% 2.39% -0.77% MC
8 USA Will Zalatoris 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.79% 2.73% -0.06% T59 11.53
9 CHI Joaquin Niemann 25 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.79% 2.42% -0.37% T50
10 USA Scottie Scheffler 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.79% 2.25% -0.54% MC
11 CAN Corey Conners 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.79% 1.59% -1.2% T20
12 KOR Sungjae Im 30 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.34% 1.51% -0.83% MC
13 ENG Justin Rose 35 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.02% 1.37% -0.64% T20
14 USA Brian Harman 40 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 2.01% 0.24% T8 (tied w/6) 7.31 +5.5
15 USA Jason Kokrak 40 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 1.3% -0.47% 1
16 USA Charley Hoffman 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.58% 1.42% -0.16% T3
17 USA Gary Woodland 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.58% 1.01% -0.57% T14
18 USA Billy Horschel 55 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 3.1% 1.8% T40 5.35
19 USA Cameron Tringale 55 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 1.56% 0.26% T32 5.35
20 ARG Emiliano Grillo 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 1.2% -0.1% T8
21 USA Chris Kirk 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.98% 0.9% T69 4.48
22 USA Kevin Na 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.08% 1.9% 0.82% T32 4.48
23 ENG Matt Wallace 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.65% 0.57% T56 4.48
24 USA Brandt Snedeker 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.95% -0.14% T50
25 USA Matt Kuchar 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.72% -0.37% T50
26 USA Ryan Palmer 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 2.18% 1.16% T32 4.22
27 USA Phil Mickelson 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.02% 1.81% 0.79% MC 4.22
28 KOR Siwoo Kim 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 0.98% -0.04% WD 4.22
29 AUS Matt Jones 80 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 1.44% 0.54% MC 3.7
30 RSA Branden Grace 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 1.11% 0.21% WD 3.7
31 USA Kevin Streelman 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.95% 0.06% T20 3.7
32 ESP Sergio Garcia 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.63% -0.27% T20
33 ENG Ian Poulter 90 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.97% 0.18% T3 (tied w/4) 3.3 +31.4
34 USA Harold Varner III 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.85% 0.05% T32 3.3
35 SCO Russell Knox 90 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.55% -0.25% MC
36 USA Kevin Kisner 90 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.37% -0.43% T40
37 ENG Lee Westwood 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1.69% 0.97% MC 2.97
38 MEX Carlos Ortiz 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1.2% 0.48% T40 2.97
39 USA Joel Dahmen 100 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.83% 0.12% MC 2.97
40 USA Keith Mitchell 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.83% 0.11% MC 2.97
41 USA Lucas Glover 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.79% 0.08% T8 (tied w/6) 2.97 +5.2
42 USA Talor Gooch 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.65% -0.07% T14
43 USA Patton Kizzire 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.59% -0.12% T3
44 USA Brendon Todd 125 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.07% 0.5% T8 2.38
45 USA Harry Higgs 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.78% 0.2% MC 2.38
46 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.66% 0.08% T69 2.38
47 USA Doug Ghim 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.62% 0.04% T14 2.38
48 USA Scott Stallings 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.59% 0.01% T67 2.38
49 USA Peter Uihlein 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.22% -0.36% MC
50 USA Maverick McNealy 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.65% 0.17% T20
51 USA Matthew NeSmith 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.6% 0.12% MC
52 AUT Sepp Straka 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.59% 0.11% MC
53 USA Zach Johnson 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.56% 0.08% T32
54 CAN Adam Hadwin 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.51% 0.03% T8
55 TPE C.T. Pan 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.49% 0.01% T32
56 USA Luke List 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.47% -0.01% MC
57 USA Pat Perez 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.44% -0.04% T45
58 USA Kyle Stanley 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.42% -0.06% T8
59 RSA Dylan Frittelli 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.42% -0.06% MC
60 USA Cameron Champ 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.41% -0.07% MC
61 USA Troy Merritt 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.36% -0.12% 7
62 USA Doc Redman 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.35% -0.13% T59
63 SVK Rory Sabbatini 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.31% -0.17% T67
64 USA Tom Hoge 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 1.31% 0.9% MC
65 COL Sebastian Munoz 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.73% 0.32% T3
66 ENG Tom Lewis 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.63% 0.22% MC
67 USA Wyndham Clark 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.58% 0.17% T20
68 USA Mackenzie Hughes 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.56% 0.15% MC
69 USA Patrick Rodgers 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.43% 0.02% MC
70 USA Joseph Bramlett 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.34% -0.07% MC
71 COL Camilo Villegas 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.79% 0.43% T69
72 USA Michael Thompson 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.77% 0.41% MC
73 USA Richy Werenski 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.77% 0.41% T45
74 USA Andrew Putnam 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.76% 0.4% MC
75 USA JT Poston 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.72% 0.36% MC
76 USA James Hahn 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.45% 0.09% MC
77 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.45% 0.09% T65
78 USA Scott Piercy 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.26% -0.1% DQ
79 USA Denny McCarthy 250 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.72% 0.43% MC
80 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.59% 0.3% T32
81 USA Brice Garnett 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.39% 0.1% T56
82 SWE Henrik Stenson 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.33% 0.04% MC
83 NZL Danny Lee 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.32% 0.03% T40
84 KOR Byeong Hun An 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.29% 0% T50
85 USA Jason Dufner 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.2% -0.09% T65
86 SWE Henrik Norlander 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.58% 0.34% T50
87 USA Brian Stuard 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.48% 0.24% T56
88 USA Robert Streb 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.44% 0.2% T45
89 USA Adam Long 300 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.43% 0.19% T20
90 USA Nate Lashley 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.31% 0.07% T32
91 USA Sahith Theegala 300 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.1% -0.15% MC
92 CAN Nick Taylor 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.51% 0.3% T62
93 USA Chase Seiffert 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.4% 0.2% MC
94 IND Anirban Lahiri 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.32% 0.12% MC
95 USA Mark Hubbard 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.31% 0.1% T69
96 KOR Sunghoon Kang 350 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.25% 0.04% T62
97 USA Peter Malnati 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.45% 0.27% MC
98 USA Vincent Whaley 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.62% 0.48% T20
99 USA Sam Ryder 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.51% 0.36% MC
100 USA Brandon Hagy 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.49% 0.35% MC
101 USA Scott Brown 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.39% 0.25% MC
102 USA Jimmy Walker 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.31% 0.16% MC
103 USA Brian Gay 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.3% 0.15% MC
104 USA Tyler McCumber 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.14% T50
105 USA Andrew Landry 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.14% T62
106 USA William Gordon 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.12% MC
107 CAN Michael Gligic 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.12% MC
108 USA Kramer Hickok 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.11% T14
109 NIR Graeme McDowell 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% MC
110 AUS Cameron Percy 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.08% MC
111 USA Robby Shelton 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% T59
112 USA Austin Cook 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.15% 0% MC
113 USA Hudson Swafford 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.37% 0.25% T45
114 CHN Zhang Xinjun 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.13% 0.04% 73
115 USA Erik Compton 1000 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.1% 0.03% T20
116 USA Michael Visacki 1000 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.1% 0.03% MC
117 USA John Augenstein 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.12% 0.07% T20
118 USA J.J. Henry 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.11% 0.07% 74
119 USA D.A. Points 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.16% 0.13% 75
120 USA Keith Clearwater 5000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.01% 0.1% 0.08% MC
121 AUS Cameron Davis 0% 0% 0% 0% T45

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 33.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 50% 16.2%
2 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 55.3% 20.4%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 56.1% 21%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 56.7% 21.4%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 39.7% 24.6%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 53.7% 28.7%
7 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 91.1% 29%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56.8% 31.4%
9 VBet 5 @ 1/4 47.9% 31.9%
10 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 50.3% 34.1%
11 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 51% 37.7%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 55.4% 38.7%
13 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 55.4% 38.7%
14 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 57.2% 40.3%
15 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 41.8%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 41.8%
17 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 57.6% 43.7%