Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 27.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 246.5

Total Profit: +146.4

Sentry Tournament of Champions

07/01/2021 - 10/01/2021

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 6 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 14.29% 11.22% 7.05% -4.17% T11
2 ESP Jon Rahm 7 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.81% 5.37% -4.44% T7
3 USA Justin Thomas 7 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.81% 5.11% -4.71% 3
4 USA Xander Schauffele 10 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 9.09% 7.14% 4.49% -2.65% T5
5 USA Bryson DeChambeau 11 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.54% 2.96% -3.58% T7
6 USA Patrick Reed 16 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.62% 3.59% -1.03% T21
7 USA Patrick Cantlay 18 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.13% 3.17% -0.96% T13
8 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 18 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.13% 2.64% -1.49% T41
9 USA Webb Simpson 20 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.74% 3.77% 0.03% T17
10 USA Tony Finau 22 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.41% 3.76% 0.35% T31 14.95
11 NOR Viktor Hovland 22 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.41% 3.13% -0.28% T31
12 USA Collin Morikawa 28 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.71% 3.37% 0.66% T7 11.85
13 USA Daniel Berger 28 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.71% 2.69% -0.02% 10
14 USA Harris English 30 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.53% 3.45% 0.92% 1 11.09 +210.7
15 AUS Cameron Smith 40 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% 3.3% 1.38% T24 8.39
16 USA Scottie Scheffler 40 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% 2.59% 0.68% T13 8.39
17 KOR Sungjae Im 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% 2.19% 0.28% T5
18 CHI Joaquin Niemann 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% 1.85% -0.07% 2
19 MEX Abraham Ancer 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 2.83% 1.29% T17 6.74
20 AUS Adam Scott 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.4% 1.7% 0.3% T21 6.14
21 USA Cameron Champ 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.4% 1.59% 0.19% T31
22 USA Kevin Kisner 66 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 3.08% 1.91% T24 5.13
23 ESP Sergio Garcia 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 1.25% 0.07% T11
24 USA Jason Kokrak 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 2.84% 1.87% T35 4.25
25 USA Billy Horschel 80 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 2.74% 1.77% T24 4.25
26 AUS Marc Leishman 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.82% -0.15% T24
27 MEX Carlos Ortiz 90 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.86% 2.04% 1.18% 37 3.78
28 USA Ryan Palmer 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 2.52% 1.74% 4 3.41 +35.8
29 USA Brendon Todd 100 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 1.7% 0.92% T13 3.41
30 USA Mackenzie Hughes 120 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/5) 0.83% 0.65% 2.58% 1.93% T41 2.84
31 USA Kevin Na 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 1.54% 0.92% T38 2.73
32 USA Lanto Griffin 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 1.35% 0.73% T13 2.73
33 USA Stewart Cink 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.88% 0.44% T31
34 USA Michael Thompson 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.35% 0.85% 0.5% T21
35 SCO Martin Laird 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.79% 0.47% T17
36 USA Andrew Landry 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.65% 0.33% T38
37 USA Richy Werenski 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 1.07% 0.85% T24
38 USA Robert Streb 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 1.01% 0.78% T38
39 USA Brian Gay 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.64% 0.41% T29
40 USA Hudson Swafford 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.32% 0.09% T35
41 CAN Nick Taylor 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.74% 0.55% T29
42 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% T17

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 34.4% 22.9%
2 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 38.8% 27.1%
3 Boyle Sports 6 @ 1/5 40% 28.1%
4 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 40.8% 28.9%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 6 @ 1/5 41.8% 29.8%
6 Paddy Power 6 @ 1/5 41.8% 29.8%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/5 30.4% 30.4%
8 Betway 6 @ 1/5 42.6% 30.5%
9 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/5 33% 33%
10 888Sport 5 @ 1/5 34.3% 34.3%
11 VBet 5 @ 1/5 36.5% 36.5%
12 GentingBet 5 @ 1/5 37.2% 37.2%
13 Unibet 5 @ 1/5 37.3% 37.3%
14 Redzone 5 @ 1/5 38.5% 38.5%
15 SportPesa 5 @ 1/5 38.5% 38.5%
16 10Bet 5 @ 1/5 38.5% 38.5%
17 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/5 38.5% 38.5%
18 Spreadex 5 @ 1/5 39.1% 39.1%
19 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/5 41.2% 41.2%