Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 74.7

Total Profit: -25.4

Bermuda Championship

29/10/2020 - 01/11/2020

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Will Zalatoris 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.78% 5.03% -0.75% T16
2 USA Brendon Todd 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.01% 3.61% -1.4% MC
3 USA Harold Varner III 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.89% 1.71% -1.18% MC
4 USA Doc Redman 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.59% 3.32% 0.73% T4 (tied w/4) 11.58 +38.2
5 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.97% -0.24% MC
6 ARG Emiliano Grillo 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.38% -0.83% T34
7 USA Denny McCarthy 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.25% -0.96% T4
8 USA Charley Hoffman 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.09% 2% -0.08% MC
9 USA Peter Malnati 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.09% 1.6% -0.49% T21
10 USA Cameron Tringale 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.09% 1.04% -1.05% MC
11 USA Adam Schenk 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 1.51% -0.32% T26
12 USA Luke List 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 1.41% -0.42% T53
13 USA Aaron Wise 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 0.82% -1.02% T26
14 SWE Henrik Stenson 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 0.62% -1.22% WD
15 USA Stewart Cink 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% 1.74% 0.1% T4 (tied w/4) 7.3 +36.5
16 SWE Henrik Norlander 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% 1.52% -0.11% MC
17 USA Scott Piercy 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% 0.5% -1.13% T14
18 AUT Sepp Straka 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 1.52% 0.04% T21 6.59
19 ENG Danny Willett 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 1.39% -0.08% T55
20 USA Maverick McNealy 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 1.33% -0.14% T21
21 USA Pat Perez 50 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 1.09% -0.38% WD
22 SCO Russell Knox 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 0.56% -0.91% T16
23 USA Tyler McCumber 55 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.34% 1.17% -0.17% MC
24 IRL Padraig Harrington 60 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.23% 2.55% 1.31% T26 5.51
25 USA Scott Stallings 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 1.82% 0.59% T26 5.51
26 USA Patrick Rodgers 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 1.55% 0.32% T59 5.51
27 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 60 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.23% 1.29% 0.06% MC 5.51
28 USA Wesley Bryan 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 1.28% 0.05% MC 5.51
29 ENG Tom Lewis 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 1.09% -0.14% MC
30 AUS Matt Jones 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 0.97% -0.09% T4
31 IND Anirban Lahiri 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 0.78% -0.27% T11
32 USA Chesson Hadley 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 2.15% 1.22% T16 4.15
33 USA Troy Merritt 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.54% 0.61% T40 4.15
34 USA Beau Hossler 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.22% 0.29% T26 4.15
35 USA Brian Stuard 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.96% 0.04% MC 4.15
36 USA Kyle Stanley 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.93% 0% T65 4.15
37 USA Max Homa 80 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.76% -0.16% T34
38 USA Wyndham Clark 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.74% -0.19% 2
39 USA Joseph Bramlett 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.74% -0.19% T45
40 USA Rob Oppenheim 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.7% -0.23% MC
41 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.62% -0.31% T59
42 RSA Branden Grace 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.52% -0.41% T40
43 USA Doug Ghim 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.5% -0.43% T14
44 AUS Cameron Percy 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 0.93% 0.1% T26 3.69
45 USA William Gordon 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 0.78% -0.05% T34
46 USA Hudson Swafford 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.18% 0.44% T63 3.33
47 USA Jason Dufner 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 1.17% 0.43% 58 3.33
48 USA Brice Garnett 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 0.67% -0.07% T21
49 USA Keith Mitchell 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.63% -0.11% T49
50 USA Kramer Hickok 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.59% -0.15% T8
51 USA Ben Martin 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.25% -0.49% MC
52 USA Chase Seiffert 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.33% 0.73% MC 2.67
53 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 125 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 1.04% 0.45% 62 2.67
54 USA Hank Lebioda 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.94% 0.34% T16 2.67
55 IRL Seamus Power 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.83% 0.24% T37 2.67
56 CAN Michael Gligic 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.69% 0.09% T11 2.67
57 ARG Fabian Gomez 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.67% 0.08% MC 2.67
58 USA Bo Hoag 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.55% -0.04% MC
59 USA Ollie Schniederjans 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.25% -0.34% 3
60 USA Ryan Armour 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 1.28% 0.78% T8
61 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.67% 0.17% T11
62 CAN Roger Sloan 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.67% 0.17% T16
63 USA Scott Harrington 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.61% 0.11% MC
64 USA Vaughn Taylor 150 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.58% 0.08% T40
65 USA Bronson Burgoon 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.57% 0.07% MC
66 CAN David Hearn 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.49% 0% T8
67 USA Andrew Putnam 150 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.44% -0.05% T21
68 USA Wes Roach 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.26% -0.23% MC
69 KOR Sangmoon Bae 150 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.25% -0.25% MC
70 USA Peter Uihlein 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.72% 0.29% T37
71 USA Nick Watney 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.65% 0.22% MC
72 USA Vincent Whaley 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.4% -0.02% MC
73 USA Brandon Hagy 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.38% -0.05% MC
74 USA Josh Teater 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.33% -0.1% MC
75 USA Kelly Kraft 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.82% 0.44% MC
76 AUS Aaron Baddeley 200 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.73% 0.35% MC
77 USA Chris Baker 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.67% 0.29% MC
78 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 200 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.6% 0.23% MC
79 USA Robert Streb 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.52% 0.15% T55
80 COL Camilo Villegas 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.51% 0.13% T55
81 USA Ryan Brehm 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.49% 0.12% T26
82 USA Bill Haas 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.46% 0.09% MC
83 USA D.J. Trahan 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.43% 0.05% T45
84 USA Ricky Barnes 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.39% 0.02% T63
85 USA Brian Gay 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.37% 0% 1
86 NZL Tim Wilkinson 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.32% -0.05% MC
87 USA Kevin Tway 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.26% -0.11% T40
88 USA Jamie Lovemark 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.25% -0.12% MC
89 USA Mark Anderson 200 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.24% -0.13% T26
90 AUS Rhein Gibson 250 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.59% 0.29% MC
91 USA Dominic Bozzelli 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.26% -0.03% MC
92 USA Jonathan Byrd 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.41% 0.14% T53
93 USA George McNeill 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.44% 0.19% MC
94 USA Seth Reeves 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% MC
95 ENG Luke Donald 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% T40
96 USA Ryan Blaum 350 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.26% 0.05% MC
97 CAN Graham Delaet 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% MC
98 ENG Benjamin Taylor 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T49
99 USA Zack Sucher 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.26% 0.08% MC
100 USA Johnson Wagner 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.26% 0.08% T45
101 GER Alex Cejka 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.25% 0.07% MC
102 ARG Nelson Ledesma 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
103 USA Hunter Mahan 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T65
104 USA James Nicholas 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
105 USA Shawn Stefani 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% MC
106 USA Luke Schniederjans 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% MC
107 USA John Oda 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
108 USA Michael Miller 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T49
109 PUR Rafael Campos 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
110 USA Matt Every 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
111 USA Tommy Gainey 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
112 IND Arjun Atwal 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.46% 0.34% MC
113 USA Robert Garrigus 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.14% WD
114 USA Bo Van Pelt 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.23% 0.11% MC
115 USA D.A. Points 750 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% T45
116 USA Michael Kim 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
117 USA Danny Walker 750 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% MC
118 USA Michael Gellerman 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.39% 0.32% WD
119 USA Derek Ernst 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.28% MC
120 USA Kevin Stadler 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.28% MC
121 AUS John Senden 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T49
122 USA Paul Stankowski 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.18% MC
123 USA Matthew Borchert 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.18% 67
124 USA Michael Sims 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.18% MC
125 USA Taylor Funk 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.18% MC
126 USA Fred Funk 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.25% 0.2% T59
127 USA Eric Dugas 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.25% 0.2% 68
128 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T37
130 USA Jordan Gumberg 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 BER Camiko Smith 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 USA Anthony Phipps 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 49.7% 15.8%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 35.3% 20.6%
3 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 58.3% 22.5%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 59.2% 23.2%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 59.4% 23.3%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 51.1% 26.4%
7 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 52% 27.2%
8 VBet 5 @ 1/4 47.7% 31.6%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 57.8% 32.1%
10 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 34.5%
11 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 34.5%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 34.5%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 34.5%
14 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 48.2% 35%
15 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 48.7% 35.5%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 43.1%
17 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 43.1%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 57.6% 43.6%