Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 33.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 66.9

Total Profit: -33.2

Sanderson Farms Championship

01/10/2020 - 04/10/2020

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 10 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.67% 3.75% -2.92% T37
2 KOR Sungjae Im 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.64% 1.55% -4.09% T28
3 USA Will Zalatoris 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.86% 2.1% -1.76% MC
4 USA Sam Burns 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.82% 1.03% -1.79% MC
5 USA Doc Redman 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.16% 2.74% 0.59% T28 9.47
6 USA Adam Long 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.16% 2.68% 0.52% MC 9.47
7 KOR Byeong Hun An 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.16% 0.76% -1.39% MC
8 USA Zach Johnson 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% 4.05% 2.02% T23 8.95
9 USA Brian Harman 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% 2.55% 0.52% T37 8.95
10 CAN Corey Conners 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% 1.62% -0.41% T17
11 RSA Dylan Frittelli 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 1.13% -0.65% MC
12 USA Chez Reavie 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 0.89% -0.89% T46
13 AUS Cameron Davis 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 0.53% -1.26% T6
14 USA Luke List 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.59% 1.37% -0.23% MC
15 ARG Emiliano Grillo 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.59% 1.14% -0.46% T35
16 USA Patrick Rodgers 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 1.26% -0.18% MC
17 KOR Siwoo Kim 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 1.02% -0.42% T37
18 ESP Sergio Garcia 55 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.31% 0.82% -0.49% 1
19 SWE Henrik Stenson 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.31% 0.72% -0.59% MC
20 USA Pat Perez 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.09% 1.46% 0.37% MC 4.81
21 USA Lucas Glover 66 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 1.46% 0.36% MC 4.81
22 ENG Tom Lewis 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 1.12% 0.03% MC
23 USA Charley Hoffman 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 0.93% -0.17% T6
24 CHN Zhang Xinjun 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 0.87% -0.23% MC
25 USA Denny McCarthy 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 0.62% -0.48% T6
26 MEX Carlos Ortiz 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 0.54% -0.56% MC
27 AUT Sepp Straka 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.03% 1.13% 0.1% MC 4.54
28 USA Richy Werenski 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 3% 2.09% T59 3.98
29 USA Hudson Swafford 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.2% 0.29% MC 3.98
30 USA Chesson Hadley 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.09% 0.18% MC 3.98
31 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.95% 0.05% T46
32 USA Talor Gooch 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.8% -0.11% T37
33 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.72% -0.19% T6
34 USA Cameron Tringale 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.68% -0.23% T37
35 SCO Russell Knox 80 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.64% -0.27% MC
36 RSA Charl Schwartzel 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 1.16% 0.35% T32 3.54
37 USA Adam Schenk 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 1.03% 0.23% T32 3.54
38 USA Brian Stuard 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.98% 0.18% MC 3.54
39 USA JT Poston 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.98% 0.17% 3 3.54 +33.6
40 AUT Matthias Schwab 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.87% 0.06% MC
41 USA Mark Hubbard 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.4% 0.67% MC 3.19
42 USA Stewart Cink 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.31% 0.58% T12 3.19
43 SVK Rory Sabbatini 100 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.85% 0.13% T12 3.19
44 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.8% 0.07% MC 3.19
45 CAN Nick Taylor 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.65% -0.08% MC
46 USA Brandt Snedeker 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.55% -0.17% T17
47 USA Chris Kirk 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.49% -0.23% T53
48 USA Keegan Bradley 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% 0.69% 0.03% T4
49 AUS Cameron Percy 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% 0.55% -0.11% T59
50 RSA Branden Grace 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% 0.38% -0.28% MC
51 USA Maverick McNealy 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.99% 0.41% T17 2.56
52 SWE Henrik Norlander 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.88% 0.29% T4 (tied w/2) 2.56 +33.3
53 USA Tom Hoge 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.77% 0.19% T28 2.56
54 USA Jason Dufner 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.7% 0.12% MC 2.56
55 USA Kyle Stanley 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.54% -0.04% MC
56 USA Keith Mitchell 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.47% -0.11% MC
57 USA Nate Lashley 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.44% -0.14% MC
58 USA Beau Hossler 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.37% -0.21% T57
59 USA J.B. Holmes 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.19% -0.39% 65
60 USA Davis Riley 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.19% -0.4% MC
61 USA Robby Shelton 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.65% 0.13% MC
62 AUS Matt Jones 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 1.15% 0.67% MC
63 USA Troy Merritt 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.97% 0.49% MC
64 USA William Gordon 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.69% 0.2% T53
65 USA Tyler McCumber 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.55% 0.06% T6
66 USA Scott Harrington 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.54% 0.05% MC
67 USA Brice Garnett 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.49% 0.01% MC
68 USA Doug Ghim 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.49% 0.01% T23
69 USA Aaron Wise 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.48% -0.01% T17
70 USA Wyndham Clark 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.39% -0.09% 66
71 IND Anirban Lahiri 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.76% 0.34% T37
72 USA Patton Kizzire 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.51% 0.1% T59
73 USA Bo Hoag 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.49% 0.07% MC
74 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.35% -0.07% MC
75 USA Bronson Burgoon 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.27% -0.15% MC
76 USA Wesley Bryan 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.94% 0.58% T12
77 USA Scott Stallings 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.74% 0.37% T6
78 USA J.J Spaun 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.53% 0.17% MC
79 USA Scott Piercy 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.43% 0.07% T57
80 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.42% 0.06% T46
81 USA Vincent Whaley 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.39% 0.03% 64
82 USA Sahith Theegala 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.36% -0.01% MC
83 USA Matthew NeSmith 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.35% -0.01% T17
84 USA Joseph Bramlett 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.35% -0.02% T44
85 USA Peter Malnati 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.3% -0.06% 2
86 USA Kevin Chappell 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.4% 0.07% T23
87 USA Ryan Armour 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.76% 0.47% T46
88 USA Sam Ryder 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.62% 0.33% MC
89 USA Robert Streb 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% MC
90 USA Sean O'Hair 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.46% 0.17% MC
91 USA Kelly Kraft 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.46% 0.17% T46
92 USA Brandon Hagy 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.45% 0.16% MC
93 USA Austin Cook 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.45% 0.16% MC
94 CAN David Hearn 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.27% -0.02% MC
95 USA Rob Oppenheim 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.27% -0.02% MC
96 USA Andrew Putnam 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.19% -0.1% T53
97 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0% -0.29% MC
98 USA Jim Herman 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 1.57% 1.33% MC
99 USA Chase Seiffert 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.7% 0.45% T17
100 ARG Fabian Gomez 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.68% 0.44% MC
101 CAN Roger Sloan 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.68% 0.43% T32
102 USA Chris Baker 300 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.62% 0.38% MC
103 CAN Michael Gligic 300 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.62% 0.38% T37
104 TPE C.T. Pan 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.39% 0.14% T12
105 USA Vaughn Taylor 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.34% 0.1% MC
106 USA Kramer Hickok 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.34% 0.09% MC
107 USA Jonathan Byrd 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.33% 0.08% MC
108 USA Nick Watney 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.28% 0.03% MC
109 NZL Tim Wilkinson 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.28% 0.03% MC
110 USA Scott Brown 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.23% -0.01% MC
111 USA Kevin Tway 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.23% -0.01% MC
112 SCO Martin Laird 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.19% -0.06% T28
113 USA Jimmy Walker 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.18% -0.07% T46
114 RSA MJ Daffue 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.65% 0.44% T12
115 USA Hank Lebioda 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.56% 0.35% T44
116 USA Chris Stroud 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.52% 0.31% MC
117 USA D.J. Trahan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.31% 0.11% T46
118 AUS Aaron Baddeley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.24% 0.03% MC
119 USA Mark Anderson 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.19% -0.02% MC
120 USA Bill Haas 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.46% 0.28% T35
121 USA Zac Blair 400 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.25% 0.07% MC
122 USA Jamie Lovemark 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.25% 0.07% MC
123 USA Grayson Murray 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.23% 0.05% T53
124 COL Camilo Villegas 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.19% 0.01% T23
125 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.18% -0.01% MC
126 ENG Luke Donald 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.2% MC
127 USA William McGirt 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% MC
128 USA Matt Every 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% -0.15% MC
129 USA Ted Potter-jr 600 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.24% 0.11% MC
130 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% MC
131 USA Hunter Mahan 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.14% MC
132 USA D.A. Points 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% MC
133 AUS Greg Chalmers 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.11% MC
134 USA Zack Fischer 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.1% MC
135 USA Jay McLuen 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.1% 63
136 USA Michael Kim 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.28% 0.23% MC
137 USA Kevin Stadler 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.14% MC
138 USA Martin Trainer 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
139 KOR K.J. Choi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 ENG Steve Lewton 0% 0% 0% 0% T59
141 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% T23
143 USA Isaiah Jackson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA Kyle Ramey 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 33.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 48.6% 15%
2 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 58.6% 22.7%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 59.3% 23.3%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 59.7% 23.6%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 40.8% 25.5%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 55.3% 30%
7 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56.2% 30.7%
8 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 45.2% 32.2%
9 VBet 5 @ 1/4 49.5% 33.3%
10 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 47.9% 34.7%
11 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 49.7% 36.4%
12 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 55% 38.2%
13 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 55% 38.2%
14 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 55% 38.2%
15 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 55% 38.2%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54.3% 40.6%
17 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 54.3% 40.6%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 62.3% 47.9%