Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 27.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 24.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 100.1

Total Profit:

Estrella Damm N.A. Andalucia Masters

03/09/2020 - 06/09/2020

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Andy Sullivan 14 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.22% 3.77% -1.45% MC
2 BEL Thomas Detry 14 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.22% 2.3% -2.92% T31
3 GER Martin Kaymer 14 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.22% 1.31% -3.9% 2
4 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 14 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 6.67% 5.22% 1.04% -4.18% T31
5 NED Joost Luiten 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.73% 0.76% -2.96% T52
6 ENG Lee Westwood 22 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.4% 0.61% -2.79% T10
7 ESP Jorge Campillo 25 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.01% 3.01% 0% T17 12.26
8 SWE Marcus Kinhult 25 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.01% 1.47% -1.54% MC
9 SCO Robert MacIntyre 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.7% 1.21% -1.49% T24
10 FRA Victor Perez 28 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.7% 0.64% -2.06% T31
11 ENG Paul Waring 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.3% 1.39% -0.91% T52
12 FRA Benjamin Hebert 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.3% 1.38% -0.92% MC
13 AUS Jason Scrivener 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.3% 1.3% -1% MC
14 AUS Wade Ormsby 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% 1.07% -0.84% T31
15 ENG Matthew Jordan 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.7% 1.31% -0.39% T52
16 SCO Connor Syme 45 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.7% 1.22% -0.48% T8
17 ENG Jordan L Smith 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.7% 0.61% -1.1% WD
18 FIN Sami Valimaki 50 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.53% 3.52% 1.98% T10 6.25
19 ITA Renato Paratore 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.53% 2.12% 0.59% MC 6.25
20 ESP Adrian Otaegui 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.53% 1.65% 0.11% T17 6.25
21 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.53% 0.48% -1.06% T48
22 FRA Romain Langasque 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.4% 1.11% -0.29% T17 5.69
23 RSA Justin Harding 60 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.28% 1.29% 0% T3 (tied w/3) 5.23 +34
24 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 1.91% 0.74% MC 4.76
25 SCO Calum Hill 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 1.34% 0.17% MC 4.76
26 USA Sean Crocker 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.92% -0.24% WD 4.76
27 SWE Alexander Bjork 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 2.27% 1.31% T57 3.94
28 ENG Marcus Armitage 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 1.15% 0.18% MC 3.94
29 WAL Jamie Donaldson 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.8% -0.16% T10 3.94
30 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.86% 6.94% 6.08% T10 3.51
31 RSA Brandon Stone 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.86% 1.56% 0.7% MC 3.51
32 FRA Matthieu Pavon 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.86% 1.16% 0.3% MC 3.51
33 RSA Wilco Nienaber 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 1.49% 0.72% T6 (tied w/2) 3.16 +33.2
34 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.49% -0.29% T24
35 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 0.31% -0.47% T41
36 FIN Kalle Samooja 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 1% 0.3% MC 2.87
37 ENG David Horsey 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 0.58% -0.12% T10 2.87
38 POL Adrian Meronk 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 0.33% -0.38% MC
39 RSA Justin Walters 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 1.22% 0.6% MC 2.53
40 ENG Steven Brown 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.76% 0.14% T10 2.53
41 NED Wil Besseling 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.63% 0.01% T3 (tied w/3) 2.53 +32.9
42 ZIM Scott Vincent 125 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.5% -0.12% MC 2.53
43 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.49% -0.13% T17 2.53
44 ITA Nino Bertasio 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 3.8% 3.28% MC
45 SCO Craig Howie 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 2.82% 2.3% T31
46 DEN Jeff Winther 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 1.43% 0.91% T31
47 NED Darius Van Driel 150 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 1.32% 0.8% MC
48 ENG Richard Bland 150 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.89% 0.37% T62
49 USA John Catlin 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.73% 0.21% 1
50 FRA Antoine Rozner 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.7% 0.18% T3
51 FRA Alexander Levy 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.29% -0.22% T41
52 ITA Guido Migliozzi 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.28% -0.24% T6
53 ENG Matthew Southgate 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.24% -0.28% T24
54 USA Johannes Veerman 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.49% 0.49% 0% T10
55 NIR Cormac Sharvin 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.49% 0.37% -0.12% MC
56 ESP Nacho Elvira 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.49% 0.28% -0.21% T68
57 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.34% -0.11% T52
58 CHN Wu Ashun 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.26% -0.18% T31
59 SWE Oscar Lengden 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.89% 0.5% MC
60 FRA Joel Stalter 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.73% 0.34% MC
61 ENG Ben Stow 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.54% 0.16% T57
62 SWE Rikard Karlberg 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.42% 0.03% T74
63 ESP Alvaro Quiros 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.34% -0.05% T17
64 SCO Grant Forrest 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.28% -0.11% T66
65 ESP Alejandro Canizares 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.27% -0.12% T41
66 AUS Jake McLeod 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.27% -0.12% T57
67 FRA Robin Roussel 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.35% 0.71% 0.37% T62
68 ENG David Coupland 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.35% 0.49% 0.14% T24
69 ITA Edoardo Molinari 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.35% 0.41% 0.07% 76
70 FRA Julien Guerrier 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.44% 0.12% T41
71 FRA Adrien Saddier 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.34% 0.03% T71
72 ITA Andrea Pavan 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.28% -0.04% MC
73 DEN Thomas Bjorn 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.27% -0.04% T57
74 USA Sihwan Kim 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.27% -0.04% MC
75 FRA Romain Wattel 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.27% -0.04% T48
76 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.27% -0.01% T8
77 SWE Joakim Lagergren 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.27% -0.01% T24
78 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.94% 0.68% T66
79 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.28% 0.02% MC
80 POR Ricardo Gouveia 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.27% 0.01% MC
81 ARG Andres Romero 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.26% 0% MC
82 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.6% 0.38% T62
83 RSA Bryce Easton 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.44% 0.22% T62
84 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.29% 0.07% T17
85 IND Shubhankar Sharma 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.29% 0.07% MC
86 ITA Francesco Laporta 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.28% 0.06% T68
87 SWE Joel Sjoholm 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.24% 0.01% MC
88 SWE Niklas Lemke 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 2.03% 1.84% MC
89 ENG Ben Evans 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% T71
90 ENG Toby Tree 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% T48
91 AUS Maverick Antcliff 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% MC
92 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.27% 0.07% MC
93 SWE Peter Hanson 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.26% 0.07% MC
94 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.34% 0.18% T68
95 RSA Jbe Kruger 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% 77
96 FRA Damien Perrier 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.13% T31
97 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.13% T41
98 ESP Pedro Oriol 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.12% T41
99 ESP Pep Angles Ros 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.12% T48
100 IMN Tom Gandy 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% MC
101 SWE Anton Karlsson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% MC
102 WAL Rhys Enoch 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% MC
103 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.1% MC
104 GER Marcel Schneider 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 1.1% 0.97% T31
105 ESP Carlos Pigem 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.29% 0.16% T41
106 NED Lars Van Meijel 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.29% 0.16% MC
107 IRL Gavin Moynihan 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% MC
108 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% WD
109 SCO Ewen Ferguson 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.44% 0.33% T24
110 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.37% 0.27% MC
111 ENG Garrick Porteous 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.35% 0.25% MC
112 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.28% 0.18% T74
113 GER Max Schmitt 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% T71
114 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.26% MC
115 ENG David Howell 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% MC
116 AUS Zach Murray 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
117 NZL Michael Campbell 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
118 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.2% MC
119 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
120 USA Samuel Del Val 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
121 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% T24
122 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
123 ENG Ross McGowan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% T52
124 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.28% 0.21% MC
125 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.27% 0.21% MC
126 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
127 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T31
128 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 0% 0% 0% 0% T57
129 ESP Alvaro Mueller-Baumgart 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
130 ESP Eduard Rousaud 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 36.8% 22%
2 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 47.9% 23.9%
3 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 54.9% 29.7%
4 VBet 5 @ 1/4 46.8% 30.9%
5 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 49% 32.9%
6 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 48.1% 35%
7 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 48.3% 35.2%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 63.1% 36.6%
9 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 63.1% 36.6%
10 Betway 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 37.2%
11 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 51.9% 38.5%
12 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 38.9%
13 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 55.3% 41.5%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.4% 41.6%
15 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 1345.4% 1251.5%