Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 25.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 262.2

Total Profit: +162.2

Commercial Bank Qatar Masters

05/03/2020 - 08/03/2020

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 GER Martin Kaymer 14 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.25% 2.05% -3.2% MC
2 BEL Thomas Pieters 18 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.15% 2.06% -2.09% T21
3 SCO Robert MacIntyre 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.75% 4.5% 0.75% T61
4 AUT Matthias Schwab 25 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.03% 5.38% 2.35% T21 13.3
5 NED Joost Luiten 25 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.03% 1.89% -1.14% T21
6 BEL Thomas Detry 28 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.72% 1.1% -1.61% T17
7 MAS Gavin Green 30 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.54% 1.6% -0.94% T12
8 ENG Ross Fisher 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.54% 1.56% -0.98% T53
9 RSA George Coetzee 30 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.54% 1.35% -1.19% T7
10 CHN Hao Tong Li 33 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.32% 0.86% -1.45% MC
11 ENG Jordan L Smith 35 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.19% 0.91% -1.28% T38
12 ESP Adria Arnaus 40 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.92% 1.41% -0.51% MC
13 RSA Brandon Stone 40 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% 1.27% -0.65% T44
14 ENG Eddie Pepperell 40 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% 0.8% -1.12% DQ
15 SWE Marcus Kinhult 50 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.54% 2.47% 0.93% T7 6.78
16 FIN Mikko Korhonen 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 1.26% -0.28% MC
17 FRA Benjamin Hebert 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.41% 1.31% -0.1% T17 6.18
18 ITA Guido Migliozzi 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.41% 1.22% -0.18% MC
19 AUS Minwoo Lee 60 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.29% 1.45% 0.15% MC 5.67
20 ENG Andy Sullivan 60 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.29% 1.06% -0.23% T21
21 RSA Zander Lombard 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.18% 1.56% 0.38% T28 5.16
22 FRA Romain Langasque 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.18% 1.01% -0.16% T38 5.16
23 SCO Grant Forrest 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.18% 0.85% -0.32% MC
24 FRA Victor Dubuisson 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.18% 0.62% -0.56% MC
25 RSA Justin Harding 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% 0.81% -0.3% T28
26 FIN Sami Valimaki 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 1.49% 0.52% T38 4.27
27 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 1.32% 0.35% MC 4.27
28 RSA Dean Burmester 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 1.17% 0.2% T53 4.27
29 ENG Sam Horsfield 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 1.08% 0.11% MC 4.27
30 FRA Antoine Rozner 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 0.98% 0.01% T53 4.27
31 ESP Alejandro Canizares 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.65% -0.33% T28
32 ENG Matthew Jordan 80 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 0.54% -0.44% T28
33 FRA Alexander Levy 80 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.32% -0.65% MC
34 FIN Kalle Samooja 90 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.87% 0.93% 0.06% T3 (tied w/3) 3.8 +44.7
35 SCO Scott Jamieson 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.87% 0.87% 0.01% T12 3.8
36 SCO Connor Syme 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.87% 0.61% -0.25% MC
37 AUS Jason Scrivener 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 1.23% 0.45% T21 3.43
38 CHN Wu Ashun 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.99% 0.21% MC 3.43
39 FRA Matthieu Pavon 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.97% 0.19% T21 3.43
40 ITA Renato Paratore 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.87% 0.09% T47 3.43
41 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 0.77% -0.01% T7 3.43
42 FRA Clement Sordet 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.59% -0.19% T72
43 DEN Jeff Winther 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.56% -0.22% T3
44 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 100 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 0.54% -0.24% T28
45 SCO Richie Ramsay 110 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 1.06% 0.35% T53 3.12
46 FRA Adrien Saddier 110 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 0.65% -0.06% T12 3.12
47 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.69% 0.07% T44 2.75
48 ESP Jorge Campillo 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.55% -0.07% 1 2.75 +217.6
49 ESP Adrian Otaegui 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.36% -0.26% MC
50 RSA Haydn Porteous 125 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.24% -0.38% T47
51 RSA Darren Fichardt 125 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.21% -0.41% T28
52 ENG Aaron Rai 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.56% 1.02% 0.46% MC
53 ENG Jack Singh Brar 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.56% 0.98% 0.42% MC
54 SCO Calum Hill 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.56% 0.68% 0.12% MC
55 ENG Chris Paisley 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.56% 0.59% 0.03% T7
56 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.56% 0.58% 0.03% T12
57 SCO Stephen Gallacher 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.56% 0.46% -0.1% T44
58 ENG Jack Senior 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 1.28% 0.76% T17
59 POL Adrian Meronk 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.98% 0.46% MC
60 USA Johannes Veerman 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.77% 0.25% MC
61 SWE Joakim Lagergren 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.75% 0.23% T38
62 GER Sebastian Heisele 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.62% 0.1% T38
63 ENG Ashley Chesters 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.6% 0.07% MC
64 USA Sean Crocker 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.56% 0.04% T61
65 KOR Jeunghun Wang 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.55% 0.03% T28
66 SWE Alexander Bjork 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.54% 0.02% 6
67 ITA Edoardo Molinari 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.51% -0.01% DQ
68 ENG Robert Rock 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.21% -0.31% T66
69 AUS Maverick Antcliff 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.71% 0.26% MC
70 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.61% 0.16% T75
71 ESP Nacho Elvira 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.48% 0.03% MC
72 SWE Rikard Karlberg 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.45% 0.01% MC
73 ENG Matthew Southgate 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.44% -0.01% MC
74 NIR Cormac Sharvin 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.39% -0.06% T66
75 GER Maximilian Kieffer 175 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.25% -0.2% T53
76 ENG Steven Brown 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 1.21% 0.82% T47
77 FRA Robin Roussel 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.92% 0.52% MC
78 ITA Andrea Pavan 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.86% 0.47% MC
79 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.8% 0.41% MC
80 RSA Justin Walters 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.69% 0.3% MC
81 FRA Julien Guerrier 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.6% 0.21% T66
82 ENG Marcus Armitage 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.47% 0.08% T12
83 USA Sihwan Kim 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.35% -0.04% T38
84 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.35% 0.85% 0.51% T53
85 ENG James Morrison 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.35% 0.78% 0.43% T21
86 WAL Jamie Donaldson 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.35% 0.34% -0.01% MC
87 ENG Oliver Fisher 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.59% 0.28% T47
88 WAL Bradley Dredge 250 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.58% 0.27% MC
89 ITA Nino Bertasio 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.58% 0.26% T7
90 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.53% 0.21% MC
91 AUS Jake McLeod 250 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.51% 0.2% MC
92 AUS Scott Hend 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.45% 0.14% WD
93 SWE Niklas Lemke 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.42% 0.11% T3
94 SWE Peter Hanson 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.21% -0.1% MC
95 RSA Wilco Nienaber 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.18% -0.13% T28
96 IND Shubhankar Sharma 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.71% 0.45% MC
97 ENG Richard McEvoy 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.07% MC
98 ENG David Horsey 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.49% 0.27% T72
99 KOR Taehee Lee 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.42% 0.19% T61
100 NED Darius Van Driel 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.28% 0.05% MC
101 SCO David Drysdale 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.28% 0.05% 2
102 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 400 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.81% 0.61% T75
103 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 400 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.55% 0.35% T17
104 ESP Alvaro Quiros 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% MC
105 GER Marcel Siem 400 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.28% 0.08% MC
106 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.19% 0% WD
107 WAL Oliver Farr 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.79% 0.64% T47
108 ENG Garrick Porteous 500 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.5% 0.34% MC
109 CAN Aaron Cockerill 500 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.4% 0.24% MC
110 ENG Oliver Wilson 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.38% 0.22% MC
111 ENG Laurie Canter 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.12% T61
112 SWE Jens Dantorp 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.1% MC
113 ESP Carlos Pigem 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.08% T53
114 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.23% 0.07% MC
115 KOR Jinho Choi 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.21% 0.05% MC
116 SCO David Law 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.21% 0.05% MC
117 ENG Toby Tree 500 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.2% 0.04% T61
118 ENG David Howell 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.55% 0.41% WD
119 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.49% 0.36% MC
120 FRA Gregory Havret 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% T66
121 NED Lars Van Meijel 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.13% T28
122 ENG David Coupland 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.21% 0.08% T47
123 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 750 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.18% MC
124 ENG Dale Whitnell 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.18% MC
125 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% T66
126 RSA Mathiam KEYSER 750 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% MC
127 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
128 ENG Graeme Storm 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% MC
129 SCO Paul Lawrie 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.14% MC
130 MAR Yassine Touhami 1500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.17% T72
131 QAT Saleh Musbah Al Kaabi 5000 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% 0.19% 0.18% MC
132 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0% 0% T28
133 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
134 KOR Kyongjun Moon 0% 0% 0% 0% T66
135 CHI Hugo Leon 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T53
139 QAT Ali Abdullah Al Bishi(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 ENG Brandon Robinson-Thompson 0% 0% 0% 0% 77
141 JOR Shergo Kurdi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 IRL Michael Young 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 25.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 48.3% 19.2%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 38.9% 23.7%
3 Betway 7 @ 1/5 51.7% 26.9%
4 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 66% 28.4%
5 Coral 7 @ 1/5 56.2% 30.7%
6 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 46.8% 30.8%
7 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 45.1% 32.2%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 59.4% 33.3%
9 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 59.4% 33.3%
10 VBet 5 @ 1/4 50.5% 34.1%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 47.3% 34.2%
12 GentingBet 5 @ 1/4 50.6% 34.2%
13 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 48.1% 34.9%
14 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 49.8% 36.4%
15 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 53.3% 36.6%
16 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 53.3% 36.6%
17 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 52.1% 38.6%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.7% 41.8%
19 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 55.7% 41.8%