Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 33.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 83.5

Total Profit: -16.6

Oman Open

27/02/2020 - 01/03/2020

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Pieters 11 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.13% 2.89% -3.25% MC
2 GER Martin Kaymer 16 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.33% 1.49% -2.84% T10
3 BEL Thomas Detry 20 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.5% 1.29% -2.21% T36
4 NED Joost Luiten 22 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.2% 2.21% -0.99% T10
5 ESP Adria Arnaus 25 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.83% 1.43% -1.4% MC
6 MAS Gavin Green 28 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.54% 1.29% -1.25% T18
7 AUS Minwoo Lee 30 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.37% 1.36% -1.01% MC
8 ENG Paul Waring 33 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.16% 1.87% -0.29% T25
9 CHN Hao Tong Li 33 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.16% 0.69% -1.47% T18
10 ENG Ross Fisher 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.79% 1.55% -0.25% T10
11 FRA Benjamin Hebert 40 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.79% 1.43% -0.37% T43
12 ENG Andy Sullivan 40 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.79% 1.05% -0.75% T77
13 ENG Jordan L Smith 40 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.79% 1.02% -0.78% T6
14 RSA Shaun Norris 50 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 2.98% 1.54% T18 6.34
15 RSA Dean Burmester 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 1.35% -0.09% T67
16 FRA Romain Langasque 50 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 1.18% -0.27% MC
17 AUS Jason Scrivener 50 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 1.12% -0.32% MC
18 RSA George Coetzee 50 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 0.86% -0.58% T6
19 FRA Victor Dubuisson 50 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 0.77% -0.67% T43
20 ENG Sam Horsfield 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 1.23% 0.14% MC 4.83
21 SCO Scott Jamieson 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 1.11% 0.01% MC 4.83
22 RSA Justin Harding 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 1.02% -0.08% MC
23 FRA Matthieu Pavon 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 0.62% -0.48% MC
24 AUS Travis Smyth 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 1.54% 0.63% MC 3.99
25 CHN Wu Ashun 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.17% 0.26% MC 3.99
26 RSA Zander Lombard 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 1.16% 0.25% T25 3.99
27 ITA Renato Paratore 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.02% 0.12% T74 3.99
28 SCO Richie Ramsay 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.86% -0.04% MC 3.99
29 FIN Mikko Korhonen 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.86% -0.04% T4 (tied w/2) 3.99 +41.9
30 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.85% -0.06% T65 3.99
31 ESP Jorge Campillo 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.7% -0.21% MC
32 RSA Brandon Stone 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.66% -0.24% 2
33 SWE Alexander Bjork 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.62% -0.29% MC
34 FRA Alexander Levy 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.48% -0.43% T43
35 RSA Darren Fichardt 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.29% -0.62% T65
36 FRA Clement Sordet 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.22% -0.69% T10
37 ENG Aaron Rai 90 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 0.81% 0% MC 3.56
38 ENG Jack Senior 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.37% 0.64% MC 3.2
39 ENG Jack Singh Brar 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.89% 0.16% T67 3.2
40 FIN Kalle Samooja 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.85% 0.12% T30 3.2
41 ITA Guido Migliozzi 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.8% 0.07% T4 (tied w/2) 3.2 +41.6
42 SCO Connor Syme 100 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.7% -0.03% T10 3.2
43 USA Johannes Veerman 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.69% -0.03% T60 3.2
44 DEN Jeff Winther 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.64% -0.09% T50
45 SCO Grant Forrest 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.55% -0.18% T10
46 ESP Adrian Otaegui 100 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.52% -0.21% T30
47 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.52% -0.21% T25
48 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1.14% 0.56% MC 2.57
49 ZIM Scott Vincent 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.08% 0.49% MC 2.57
50 ITA Francesco Laporta 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.07% 0.48% MC 2.57
51 SWE Joakim Lagergren 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.98% 0.39% MC 2.57
52 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.93% 0.35% T18 2.57
53 POL Adrian Meronk 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.93% 0.35% T54 2.57
54 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.86% 0.28% T43 2.57
55 FRA Julien Guerrier 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.7% 0.12% MC 2.57
56 ENG Ashley Chesters 125 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.66% 0.07% T50 2.57
57 SCO Calum Hill 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.62% 0.04% T54 2.57
58 USA Sean Crocker 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.6% 0.01% 71 2.57
59 ENG Chris Paisley 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.57% -0.01% T43 2.57
60 ESP Nacho Elvira 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.53% -0.06% MC 2.57
61 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.49% -0.09% T67
62 ENG Matthew Jordan 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.3% -0.28% T18
63 ENG Matthew Southgate 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.61% 0.08% MC
64 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 1.13% 0.64% MC
65 ITA Edoardo Molinari 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 1.05% 0.57% T50
66 GER Sebastian Heisele 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.96% 0.48% MC
67 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.88% 0.39% MC
68 ITA Andrea Pavan 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.75% 0.27% 73
69 KOR Jeunghun Wang 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.75% 0.26% T43
70 AUS Jake McLeod 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.69% 0.2% MC
71 SCO Stephen Gallacher 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.68% 0.19% T30
72 USA Sihwan Kim 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.53% 0.04% MC
73 WAL Bradley Dredge 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.37% -0.11% MC
74 RSA Wilco Nienaber 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.24% -0.25% MC
75 ITA Nino Bertasio 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.69% 0.23% MC
76 AUS Scott Hend 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.85% 0.43% T67
77 CHI Hugo Leon 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.8% 0.39% MC
78 SWE Niklas Lemke 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.57% 0.15% MC
79 ESP Alejandro Canizares 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.48% 0.06% T6
80 GER Maximilian Kieffer 175 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.32% -0.09% T30
81 SWE Peter Hanson 175 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.19% -0.22% T77
82 ENG Steven Brown 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 1.23% 0.87% T60
83 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.11% 0.74% MC
84 NED Wil Besseling 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.68% 0.32% MC
85 FRA Antoine Rozner 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.62% 0.25% T10
86 ENG Marcus Armitage 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.54% 0.17% T36
87 ENG Oliver Fisher 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.51% 0.15% MC
88 SWE Rikard Karlberg 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.51% 0.15% T36
89 WAL Jamie Donaldson 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.49% 0.13% T50
90 ENG James Morrison 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.48% 0.11% T54
91 FRA Adrien Saddier 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.47% 0.1% 3
92 NIR Cormac Sharvin 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.37% 0% T36
93 ENG Robert Rock 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.28% -0.09% T36
94 ENG Richard Bland 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.24% -0.13% T54
95 RSA Justin Walters 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.72% 0.42% T30
96 FIN Sami Valimaki 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.61% 0.32% 1
97 SCO David Drysdale 250 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.61% 0.32% MC
98 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.49% 0.19% MC
99 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.49% 0.19% T10
100 ENG Lee Slattery 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.36% 0.06% T74
101 ENG Garrick Porteous 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.26% -0.03% MC
102 ENG David Horsey 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.36% 0.1% MC
103 KOR Kyongjun Moon 300 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.96% 0.71% MC
104 FRA Robin Roussel 300 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.71% 0.46% T18
105 AUS Maverick Antcliff 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.67% 0.42% T43
106 ENG Ben Stow 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.46% 0.21% T54
107 ENG Toby Tree 300 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.2% -0.05% MC
108 ENG Laurie Canter 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.9% 0.69% MC
109 RSA Bryce Easton 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.62% 0.41% T74
110 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.56% 0.35% 72
111 ENG Richard McEvoy 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.45% 0.24% T30
112 ENG Callum Shinkwin 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.42% 0.21% T25
113 CAN Aaron Cockerill 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.39% 0.18% T62
114 ENG Oliver Wilson 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% MC
115 POR Ricardo Santos 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.32% 0.11% MC
116 ESP Alvaro Quiros 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.29% 0.08% MC
117 SCO David Law 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.24% 0.03% MC
118 WAL Oliver Farr 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.5% 0.32% MC
119 KOR Jinho Choi 400 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.21% 0.03% MC
120 ENG David Howell 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.66% 0.51% MC
121 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.32% MC
122 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.28% MC
123 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
124 NED Darius Van Driel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% T36
125 KOR Taehee Lee 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% T18
126 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
127 ESP Carlos Pigem 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.08% MC
128 ENG Bailey Gill 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.05% MC
129 POR Pedro Figueiredo 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.4% 0.28% MC
130 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.3% 0.18% MC
131 NED Lars Van Meijel 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% T62
132 ENG Graeme Storm 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.08% MC
133 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.07% T77
134 ENG David Coupland 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.18% 0.06% MC
135 ENG Dale Whitnell 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.52% 0.42% MC
136 SCO Paul Lawrie 750 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% MC
137 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0% 0% T25
138 RSA Louis de Jager 0% 0% 0% 0% T36
139 SWE Joel Sjoholm 0% 0% 0% 0% T62
140 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T6
143 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T54
144 IRL James Sugrue 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 OMA Azaan Al Rumhy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 33.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 51.4% 21.7%
2 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 68.1% 30.1%
3 Coral 7 @ 1/5 56.5% 31%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 48.1% 32%
5 Betway 7 @ 1/5 58.3% 32.5%
6 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 45.9% 32.9%
7 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 49.9% 33.6%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 61.7% 35.3%
9 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 49.4% 36.1%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 36.6%
11 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 63.6% 36.9%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 51.2% 37.7%
13 VBet 5 @ 1/4 55.3% 38.4%
14 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 56.4% 42.5%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.7% 43.6%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 57.7% 43.7%
17 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 61.9% 44.3%
18 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 61.9% 44.3%