Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 19.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 83.6

Total Profit: -16.5

ISPS Handa Vic Open

06/02/2020 - 09/02/2020

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 AUS Lucas Herbert 14 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.27% 3.85% -1.43% T12
2 CHN Hao Tong Li 14 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 6.67% 5.27% 1.48% -3.79% MC
3 AUS Jason Scrivener 16 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.65% 2.9% -1.75% T22
4 AUS Brad Kennedy 18 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.16% 2.69% -1.47% MC
5 AUS Wade Ormsby 18 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.16% 1.48% -2.69% MC
6 AUS Minwoo Lee 18 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.16% 1.19% -2.98% 1
7 NZL Ryan Fox 20 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.77% 1.34% -2.43% 2
8 ENG Sam Horsfield 25 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.04% 2.26% -0.78% T7
9 SCO Connor Syme 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.33% 1.38% -0.95% MC
10 RSA Louis de Jager 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.2% 1.01% -1.19% MC
11 AUS Andrew Dodt 40 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.93% 2.4% 0.47% MC 8.59
12 NZL Denzel Ieremia 40 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.93% 1.8% -0.13% MC 8.59
13 USA Sean Crocker 40 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.93% 1.11% -0.82% MC
14 AUS Anthony Quayle 40 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.93% 1.05% -0.88% T15
15 AUS Blake Windred 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.93% 0.77% -1.16% T22
16 USA John Catlin 40 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.93% 0.53% -1.4% MC
17 ENG Matthew Jordan 45 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.72% 0.32% -1.39% T20
18 AUS Travis Smyth 50 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.55% 1.96% 0.41% T3 (tied w/3) 6.91 +46.6
19 ENG Ashley Chesters 50 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.55% 1.14% -0.42% MC
20 AUS Nick Cullen 50 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.55% 0.63% -0.92% MC
21 AUS Maverick Antcliff 55 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.41% 0.87% -0.54% MC
22 AUS Matthew Griffin 66 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.18% 0.6% -0.58% MC
23 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 70 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% 1.2% 0.08% MC 4.96
24 NED Wil Besseling 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% 1.21% 0.23% MC 4.35
25 AUS Nick Flanagan 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% 1.16% 0.19% T12 4.35
26 JPN Hideto Tanihara 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% 1% 0.02% T22 4.35
27 AUS Brett Rumford 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% 0.76% -0.22% MC 4.35
28 SCO David Law 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.75% -0.23% MC 4.35
29 AUS Jake McLeod 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.7% -0.28% 6 4.35 +37
30 NIR Cormac Sharvin 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.57% -0.4% MC 4.35
31 AUS Marcus Fraser 80 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% 0.53% -0.44% T3
32 SCO Michael Hendry 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 1.35% 0.56% MC 3.49
33 AUS Zach Murray 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 0.91% 0.13% T15 3.49
34 ESP Alejandro Canizares 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.61% -0.17% T15 3.49
35 AUS Matthew Millar 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 0.54% -0.24% T15 3.49
36 KOR Yikeun Chang 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 0.53% -0.26% MC 3.49
37 AUS Terry Pilkadaris 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.32% -0.46% MC
38 AUS Michael Sim 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.32% -0.46% MC
39 CHI Hugo Leon 110 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 1.35% 0.63% MC 3.18
40 SWE Joel Sjoholm 110 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 0.84% 0.13% MC 3.18
41 NZL Josh Geary 125 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.79% 0.17% MC 2.8
42 AUS David Bransdon 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.79% 0.16% MC 2.8
43 SWE Rikard Karlberg 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.76% 0.13% T22 2.8
44 CAN Aaron Cockerill 125 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.69% 0.06% MC 2.8
45 AUS David Micheluzzi 125 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.59% -0.04% MC 2.8
46 AUS Jarryd Felton 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.35% -0.28% T22 2.8
47 AUS Brett Rankin 140 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.56% 1.11% 0.55% MC
48 AUS Josh Younger 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 3.43% 2.9% T36
49 AUS James Marchesani 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 1.4% 0.88% MC
50 SWE Niklas Lemke 150 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.84% 0.31% T12
51 NED Darius Van Driel 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.84% 0.31% MC
52 AUS Brady Watt 150 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.71% 0.19% MC
53 AUS Tom Power Horan 150 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.71% 0.19% MC
54 AUS Ben Eccles 150 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.67% 0.15% T22
55 AUS Darren Beck 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 1.09% 0.64% T7
56 AUS Ashley Hall 175 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.33% -0.12% T7
57 AUS Matthew Stieger 175 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.33% -0.12% T22
58 AUS Steven Jeffress 200 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 1.02% 0.62% MC
59 AUS Dylan Perry 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 1.01% 0.61% MC
60 AUS Richard Green 200 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.98% 0.58% T20
61 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.95% 0.56% MC
62 AUS Jordan Zunic 200 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.9% 0.51% MC
63 AUS Andrew Martin 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.74% 0.34% T33
64 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.59% 0.2% T22
65 ENG Garrick Porteous 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.4% 0.01% MC
66 AUS Aaron Pike 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 1.96% 1.64% MC
67 AUS Peter Lonard 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 1.81% 1.5% MC
68 AUS Maxwell McCardle 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 1.38% 1.07% MC
69 AUS Justin Warren 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 1.14% 0.82% MC
70 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.97% 0.65% T3
71 NZL James Anstiss 250 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.96% 0.65% MC
72 AUS Blake Proverbs 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.76% 0.44% MC
73 NZL Daniel Hillier 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.61% 0.29% T15
74 FIN Sami Valimaki 250 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.48% 0.16% T7
75 AUS Jason Norris 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.36% 0.05% MC
76 AUS Daniel Nisbet 250 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.34% 0.03% MC
77 AUS Daniel Gale 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.33% 0.01% MC
78 AUS Blake Collyer 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.32% 0.01% 31
79 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 250 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.29% -0.02% 38
80 AUS Matt Jager 275 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.29% 0.33% 0.04% MC
81 AUS Daniel Fox 275 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.29% 0.3% 0.02% MC
82 AUS Cory Crawford 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 1.07% 0.81% T22
83 AUS Campbell Rawson 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.76% 0.49% MC
84 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 300 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.63% 0.36% MC
85 NZL Ryan Chisnall 300 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.07% MC
86 FIN Janne Kaske 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.31% 0.05% MC
87 NZL David Smail 300 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.31% 0.04% T33
88 AUS Simon Hawkes 350 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.48% 0.25% MC
89 AUS Aaron Townsend 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% MC
90 NZL Gareth Paddison 350 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% MC
91 AUS Cameron John 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% MC
92 AUS Taylor MacDonald 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% MC
93 NED Lars Van Meijel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% MC
94 AUS Peter Wilson 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.84% 0.64% MC
95 ENG David Coupland 400 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.41% 0.21% MC
96 AUS Kevin Yuan 400 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.12% MC
97 AUS Scott Arnold 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 1.44% 1.28% 32
98 ENG Dale Whitnell 500 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.69% 0.54% MC
99 AUS Lincoln Tighe 500 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% T36
100 AUS Peter Cooke 500 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% MC
101 AUS Rick Kulacz 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% MC
102 AUS Kade McBride 500 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% MC
103 AUS Nick O'Hern 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.16% MC
104 AUS Peter Fowler 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% T33
105 AUS Charlie Dann 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% MC
106 NZL Luke Toomey 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% MC
107 AUS Ryan McCarthy 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% MC
108 AUS John Lyras 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% MC
109 AUS Robert Hogan 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% DQ
110 AUS Louis Dobbelaar 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.14% MC
111 AUS Shae Wools-Cobb 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.84% 0.71% MC
112 AUS Callan O'Reilly 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
113 NZL Harry Bateman 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.22% MC
114 AUS Jediah Morgan 750 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.22% T7
115 AUS Josh Armstrong 750 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.22% MC
116 AUS Dale Williamson 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.3% 0.2% MC
117 AUS Dale Brandt-Richards 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
118 AUS Peter O'Malley 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
119 SCO Robbie Morrison 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
120 AUS Jay Mackenzie 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
121 AUS Linus Yip 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
122 AUS Martin Dive 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
123 AUS Andrew Schonewille 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
124 KOR Changgi Lee 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
125 AUS Quinton Howe 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
126 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
127 AUS Andrew Evans 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
128 AUS Steve Allan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 AUS Alex Simpson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
130 NZL Luke Brown(Mar1995) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 USA Derek Ackerman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 AUS Andre Lautee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
133 AUS Kyle Michel 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
134 AUS James Grierson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 TPE Hsu Yu-cheng 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 AUS Ryan Woodward 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 AUS Hyunsik Kong 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 AUS Anthony Marchesani 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 AUS Matthew Dowling 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 TPE Liu Yung Hua 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 AUS Josh Clarke 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 NZL Taylor Gill 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 AUS Lloyd Radcliffe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 TPE Su Ching-hung 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 19.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/4 38.2% 11.2%
2 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 51.4% 17.3%
3 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 31.8% 17.5%
4 Coral 5 @ 1/4 31.8% 17.5%
5 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 32.2% 17.9%
6 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 35% 20.4%
7 Betway 7 @ 1/5 46.3% 22.6%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 48.2% 24.2%
9 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 36.2% 24.2%
10 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 49.7% 25.4%
11 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 41.5% 26.2%
12 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 42.1% 26.8%
13 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.1% 26.8%
14 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 42.1% 26.8%
15 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44% 28.5%
16 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 42.7% 30.1%
17 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 44.4% 31.7%
18 VBet 5 @ 1/4 47.8% 31.8%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 45.1% 32.3%