Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 27.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 290.6

Total Profit: +190.5

Open de France

17/10/2019 - 20/10/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Erik van Rooyen 12 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.93% 6.59% 0.66% MC
2 SWE Alexander Noren 12 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.93% 1.49% -4.44% T18
3 AUT Matthias Schwab 16 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.54% 2.53% -2% MC
4 NED Joost Luiten 16 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.54% 1.97% -2.56% T11
5 BEL Thomas Pieters 18 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.06% 3.07% -0.99% T26
6 ENG Jordan L Smith 20 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.67% 1.33% -2.34% T54
7 SWE Marcus Kinhult 25 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.97% 1.79% -1.17% T11
8 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.27% 1.1% -1.17% T8
9 ENG Ross Fisher 33 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.27% 0.95% -1.32% MC
10 USA Kurt Kitayama 40 (SkyBet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 1.98% 0.1% 4 7.88 +35.5
11 GER Martin Kaymer 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.88% 1.65% -0.23% T5 (tied w/3) 7.88 +14.5
12 ENG Sam Horsfield 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 1.1% -0.78% T14
13 USA Julian Suri 40 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 1.08% -0.8% WD
14 FRA Victor Perez 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 0.83% -1.05% T16
15 FRA Romain Langasque 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.68% 2.18% 0.51% T18 7.03
16 ENG Aaron Rai 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.68% 1.13% -0.54% MC
17 ITA Guido Migliozzi 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 1.84% 0.33% MC 6.34
18 USA Stewart Cink 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 1.12% -0.39% T48
19 IND Shubhankar Sharma 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.38% 0.98% -0.4% T40
20 ENG Andy Sullivan 60 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 1.63% 0.37% T23 5.3
21 NZL Ryan Fox 60 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.26% 0.93% -0.33% T18
22 ENG Callum Shinkwin 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.26% 0.81% -0.45% T48
23 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 2.33% 1.18% MC 4.83
24 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.71% 0.56% T5 (tied w/3) 4.83 +34.3
25 AUS Jason Scrivener 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.88% -0.27% T26
26 FRA Alexander Levy 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.87% -0.28% MC
27 AUS Lucas Herbert 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.15% 0.83% -0.32% T14
28 FRA Victor Dubuisson 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.64% -0.51% T61
29 KOR Jeunghun Wang 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.5% -0.65% T48
30 ITA Edoardo Molinari 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.48% 0.52% MC 3.99
31 MAS Gavin Green 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.4% 0.45% T48 3.99
32 FRA Benjamin Hebert 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.19% 0.24% T16 3.99
33 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 1.13% 0.17% MC 3.99
34 WAL Jamie Donaldson 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.98% 0.03% T23 3.99
35 ENG Ashley Chesters 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.75% -0.2% T54 3.99
36 RSA George Coetzee 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.7% -0.25% 3
37 ESP Adrian Otaegui 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.52% -0.43% MC
38 ENG Chris Paisley 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.07% 0.31% T8 (tied w/3) 3.2 +11.2
39 ENG James Morrison 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.85% 0.09% T57 3.2
40 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.8% 0.04% 1 3.2 +195.2
41 SCO Scott Jamieson 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.74% -0.03% MC 3.2
42 ENG David Horsey 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.68% -0.09% T32 3.2
43 ENG Lee Slattery 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.61% -0.15% T32 3.2
44 RSA Haydn Porteous 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 1.12% 0.51% T57 2.57
45 ITA Renato Paratore 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.95% 0.34% T40 2.57
46 FIN Kalle Samooja 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.83% 0.22% T18 2.57
47 USA David Lipsky 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.83% 0.22% T29 2.57
48 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.74% 0.13% 65 2.57
49 ESP Nacho Elvira 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.38% -0.23% MC
50 USA Hudson Swafford 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.55% 0.25% -0.29% T29
51 WAL Bradley Dredge 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.88% 0.37% T48
52 CHN Wu Ashun 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.82% 0.31% T73
53 ENG Jack Singh Brar 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.82% 0.3% MC
54 RSA Justin Walters 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.75% 0.24% T61
55 SWE Niklas Lemke 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.62% 0.11% T32
56 RSA Brandon Stone 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.6% 0.09% T26
57 GER Maximilian Kieffer 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.43% -0.08% MC
58 ENG Chris Wood 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.41% -0.1% MC
59 CHI Hugo Leon 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.95% 0.51% T8
60 ENG Oliver Fisher 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.75% 0.31% 72
61 SCO Stephen Gallacher 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.37% -0.07% T32
62 ENG Oliver Wilson 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 1% 0.62% MC
63 FRA Matthieu Pavon 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.98% 0.6% T57
64 GER Bernd Ritthammer 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.88% 0.5% MC
65 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.81% 0.43% T61
66 ESP Alejandro Canizares 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.74% 0.35% T40
67 IRL Paul Dunne 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.49% 0.11% MC
68 FRA Clement Sordet 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.43% 0.05% MC
69 FRA Romain Wattel 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.93% 0.62% T40
70 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.92% 0.61% MC
71 RSA Louis de Jager 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.74% 0.44% MC
72 JPN Hideto Tanihara 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.69% 0.39% MC
73 SWE Robert Karlsson 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.66% 0.35% MC
74 POR Ricardo Gouveia 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.65% 0.34% T69
75 SWE Jens Dantorp 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.64% 0.34% MC
76 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.62% 0.31% WD
77 RSA Darren Fichardt 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.58% 0.28% T66
78 ENG Steven Brown 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.46% 0.16% T11
79 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.4% 0.09% T32
80 ENG Ben Evans 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.37% 0.07% T40
81 AUS Jake McLeod 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.27% -0.04% 71
82 USA Charlie Saxon 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.25% -0.06% T40
83 FRA Gregory Bourdy 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 1.26% 1.01% T29
84 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.81% 0.55% T32
85 NOR Espen Kofstad 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.81% 0.55% MC
86 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.72% 0.47% T18
87 GER Max Schmitt 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.61% 0.35% T69
88 IRL Gavin Moynihan 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.51% 0.25% T5
89 SWE Per Langfors 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.32% 0.06% MC
90 FRA Adrien Saddier 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.25% 0% T32
91 FRA Cyril Bouniol 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.24% -0.02% MC
92 POR Pedro Figueiredo 350 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 1.3% 1.08% DQ
93 GER Marcel Siem 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.63% 0.41% DQ
94 SWE Anton Karlsson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.52% 0.3% MC
95 SCO Liam Johnston 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.72% 0.52% T61
96 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.6% 0.41% T54
97 AUS Sam Brazel 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% MC
98 AUS Nick Cullen 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% MC
99 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% MC
100 WAL Stuart Manley 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% MC
101 SCO Marc Warren 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.24% 0.05% 75
102 FRA Julien Quesne 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% 76
103 SCO David Law 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% MC
104 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% MC
105 AUS Deyen Lawson 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T40
106 RSA Trevor Immelman 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T23
107 ENG Richard McEvoy 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% T66
108 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T57
109 DEN Thomas Bjorn 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.46% 0.34% MC
110 FRA Frederic LaCroix 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% T40
111 FRA Jerome Lando-Casanova 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% T32
112 ENG David Howell 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.16% MC
113 FRA Charles Larcelet 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% T73
114 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.25% 0.2% MC
115 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0% 0% T48
116 KOR Hyowon Park 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
117 ENG Daniel Gavins 0% 0% 0% 0% DQ
118 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% T66
119 FRA David Ravetto 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 41.1% 18.2%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 52.7% 18.3%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 54.8% 19.9%
4 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 60.9% 24.7%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 42.6% 27.1%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 53.1% 28.2%
7 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 43.8% 31%
8 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 43.8% 31%
9 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 48.1% 32.1%
10 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.3%
11 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.3%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.3%
13 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.3%
14 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.3%
15 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 48.3% 32.3%
16 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 32.4%
17 Coral 7 @ 1/5 58.1% 32.5%
18 Betway 6 @ 1/5 46.9% 33.9%
19 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 36.7%
20 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 51% 37.6%