Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 20.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

KLM Open

12/09/2019 - 15/09/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Patrick Reed 9 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 10% 8.17% 5.28% -2.89% T15
2 BEL Thomas Pieters 14 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 6.67% 5.45% 2.32% -3.13% T10
3 ESP Sergio Garcia 14 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.45% 2.12% -3.32% 1
4 NED Joost Luiten 16 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.81% 0.89% -3.92% T10
5 ENG Matt Wallace 18 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.3% 3.29% -1.01% 3
6 GER Martin Kaymer 18 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.3% 2.72% -1.58% MC
7 ENG Lee Westwood 18 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.3% 2.11% -2.19% MC
8 BEL Thomas Detry 22 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.55% 1.08% -2.47% T36
9 MAS Gavin Green 28 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.82% 1.69% -1.13% T40
10 ENG Sam Horsfield 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.4% 1.09% -1.32% T49
11 USA Troy Merritt 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.99% 2.66% 0.67% 48 8.63
12 FIN Mikko Korhonen 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.78% 1.57% -0.21% T65 7.69
13 ESP Jorge Campillo 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.6% 1.67% 0.07% MC 6.94
14 FRA Romain Langasque 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.6% 1.41% -0.2% T27 6.94
15 RSA Haydn Porteous 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.6% 0.7% -0.9% T55
16 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.22% 1.34% 0.12% T70 5.28
17 FRA Victor Perez 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.22% 1% -0.22% MC 5.28
18 SCO Scott Jamieson 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.22% 0.72% -0.5% T21
19 FRA Romain Wattel 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.22% 0.7% -0.52% MC
20 ITA Edoardo Molinari 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 1.02% 0.01% T21 4.37
21 RSA George Coetzee 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 0.97% -0.04% T15 4.37
22 DEN Jeff Winther 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 0.86% -0.15% T36 4.37
23 ENG Lee Slattery 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 0.85% -0.15% T40 4.37
24 USA Sihwan Kim 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.9% 1.52% 0.62% MC 3.89
25 WAL Jamie Donaldson 90 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.9% 0.88% -0.02% T27 3.89
26 ENG Ashley Chesters 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% -0.2% T15 3.89
27 USA Sean Crocker 100 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 1.46% 0.65% T36 3.51
28 ARG Andres Romero 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 1.15% 0.34% T21 3.51
29 ENG Matthew Southgate 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.65% -0.16% T10 3.51
30 ENG Chris Paisley 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.58% -0.23% T27
31 SWE Rikard Karlberg 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.56% -0.25% 6
32 CHN Wu Ashun 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.47% -0.34% T55
33 SWE Joakim Lagergren 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.94% 0.29% T7 2.81
34 RSA Zander Lombard 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.84% 0.2% MC 2.81
35 USA Kurt Kitayama 125 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.82% 0.17% T21 2.81
36 ENG David Horsey 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.69% 0.04% MC 2.81
37 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.53% -0.12% MC 2.81
38 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.48% -0.17% MC 2.81
39 IRL Padraig Harrington 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.46% -0.19% T15 2.81
40 ENG Chris Wood 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.25% -0.4% T40
41 WAL Bradley Dredge 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.25% -0.4% T10
42 ITA Nino Bertasio 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.58% 1.49% 0.91% T49
43 SWE Niklas Lemke 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.58% 0.79% 0.21% T67
44 JPN Hideto Tanihara 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.58% 0.64% 0.06% T27
45 CHI Hugo Leon 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.88% 0.34% T7
46 FRA Matthieu Pavon 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.74% 0.2% MC
47 AUS Scott Hend 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.68% 0.14% MC
48 GER Bernd Ritthammer 150 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.6% 0.06% MC
49 IRL Paul Dunne 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.59% 0.04% T27
50 SCO Richie Ramsay 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.51% 0.9% 0.4% T55
51 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.46% 0.85% 0.39% MC
52 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.46% 0.52% 0.05% T55
53 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.46% 0.47% 0.01% MC
54 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 1.3% 0.89% MC
55 FRA Antoine Rozner 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.99% 0.59% T21
56 SWE Robert Karlsson 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.86% 0.46% MC
57 ENG Oliver Fisher 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.84% 0.43% MC
58 RSA Louis de Jager 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.82% 0.42% MC
59 ENG Ben Evans 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.73% 0.33% MC
60 ENG James Morrison 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.67% 0.27% 4
61 FRA Clement Sordet 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.5% 0.09% MC
62 RSA Brandon Stone 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.48% 0.07% T21
63 GER Maximilian Kieffer 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.43% 0.02% T27
64 USA John Catlin 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.38% -0.03% MC
65 ENG Jack Singh Brar 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.36% 0.59% 0.23% MC
66 SCO Grant Forrest 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.73% 0.4% MC
67 ENG Callum Shinkwin 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.65% 0.33% 5
68 IND Shubhankar Sharma 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.54% 0.21% T40
69 USA Johannes Veerman 250 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.41% 0.08% T40
70 SCO David Drysdale 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.35% 0.03% MC
71 USA Berry Henson 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.76% 0.49% MC
72 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 300 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.76% 0.48% MC
73 FIN Kim Koivu 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.72% 0.45% MC
74 NOR Espen Kofstad 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.63% 0.36% T40
75 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.6% 0.33% T72
76 IRL Gavin Moynihan 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.58% 0.31% 64
77 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.56% 0.29% T60
78 ESP Alejandro Canizares 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% MC
79 GER Max Schmitt 300 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.5% 0.23% MC
80 ENG Matthew Nixon 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.38% 0.11% MC
81 POR Ricardo Gouveia 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.36% 0.08% MC
82 NED Wil Besseling 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.29% 0.02% T7
83 FRA Adrien Saddier 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 1.15% 0.92% MC
84 SCO Liam Johnston 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.61% 0.37% T15
85 KOR Jeunghun Wang 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.46% 0.23% T27
86 SWE Anton Karlsson 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.62% 0.41% T67
87 WAL Stuart Manley 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% T55
88 DEN Lasse Jensen 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% MC
89 SWE Jens Dantorp 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.37% 0.16% MC
90 AUS Nick Cullen 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% MC
91 FIN Sami Valimaki 400 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.25% 0.04% MC
92 ENG Marco Penge 400 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.22% 0.02% MC
93 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 1.03% 0.86% MC
94 ENG Daniel Gavins 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.77% 0.61% T49
95 SCO David Law 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.52% 0.36% T60
96 GER Marcel Siem 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.51% 0.34% MC
97 SWE Per Langfors 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.34% 0.18% T70
98 NIR Michael Hoey 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.34% 0.18% MC
99 ENG David Howell 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% MC
100 ENG Steven Brown 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.14% T15
101 SCO Marc Warren 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.09% T65
102 USA Harrison Endycott 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.08% WD
103 ESP Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.23% 0.07% MC
104 NZL Daniel Hillier 500 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.2% 0.04% MC
105 CAN Austin Connelly 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.19% 0.03% MC
106 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% T49
107 POR Pedro Figueiredo 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% T49
108 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
109 AUS Adam Bland 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.3% 0.16% MC
110 RSA Wilco Nienaber 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.25% 0.12% MC
111 AUS Jake McLeod 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.21% 0.08% T27
112 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 750 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.59% 0.48% T40
113 ENG Tom Murray 750 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.55% 0.44% MC
114 ENG Scott Gregory 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.45% 0.34% MC
115 RSA Trevor Immelman 750 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.43% 0.32% T60
116 ITA Matteo Manassero 750 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.4% 0.29% MC
117 ENG Max Orrin 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.36% 0.25% T36
118 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 750 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% MC
119 AUS Deyen Lawson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.24% 0.14% MC
120 KOR Jinho Choi 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.2% 0.09% MC
121 AUT Julian Kunzenbacher 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.68% 0.6% MC
122 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% WD
123 KOR Hyowon Park 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% MC
124 AUS Brett Rumford 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
125 ENG Nick McCarthy 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% T49
126 NED Robbie Van West 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.16% MC
127 NZL Michael Campbell 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.16% MC
128 ESP Pedro Oriol 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
129 SCO Duncan Stewart 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
130 NED Dylan Boshart 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% MC
131 NED Maarten Lafeber 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
132 NED Reinier Saxton 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.3% 0.24% T67
133 SUI Joel Girrbach 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.23% 0.17% MC
134 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.24% 0.19% MC
135 NED Max Albertus 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.23% 0.17% MC
136 NED Jurrian Van der Vaart 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.17% MC
137 ESP David Borda Antonana 2000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
138 NED Davey Porsius 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.22% 0.18% WD
139 NED Lars Keunen 2000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.22% 0.18% MC
140 ESP Javier Ballesteros 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.22% 0.18% MC
141 ENG Mark Reynolds 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.22% 0.18% MC
142 USA David Cooke 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.25% 0.21% DQ
143 NED Sven Maurits 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.22% 0.19% T72
144 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 0% 0% T10
146 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 SCO Richard McDonald 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% 2
149 NED Rowin Caron 0% 0% 0% 0% T27
150 SCO Euan Walker 0% 0% 0% 0% T40
151 NED Koen Kouwenaar 0% 0% 0% 0% T60
152 NED Benjamin Reuter 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 NED Bob Geurts 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 NED Mike Toorop 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 NED Kiet Van Der Weele 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 NED Dario Antonisse 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 20.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 48.8% 15.4%
2 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 40.8% 18%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 53% 18.8%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 36.7% 22%
5 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 36.9% 22.2%
6 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 46.3% 22.7%
7 Coral 7 @ 1/5 48.1% 24.2%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 48.2% 24.3%
9 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 40.3% 25.1%
10 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 40.9% 25.7%
11 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 43.1% 27.7%
12 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 43.1% 27.7%
13 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 43.1% 27.7%
14 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 43.1% 27.7%
15 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 43.1% 27.7%
16 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 41% 28.6%
17 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 44.6% 29.1%
18 Marathon Bet 5 @ 1/4 46.3% 30.5%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 45.1% 32.3%
20 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 47.1% 34.1%