Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 0.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 0.0

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit:

Porsche European Open

05/09/2019 - 08/09/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Xander Schauffele 6 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 14.29% 10.75% 0% 0% T46
2 ENG Paul Casey 7 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.41% 0% 0% 1
3 USA Patrick Reed 8 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 11.11% 8.36% 0% 0% T36
4 USA Matt Kuchar 16 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.43% 0% 0% MC
5 BEL Thomas Pieters 16 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.43% 0% 0% T20
6 AUT Matthias Schwab 25 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.9% 0% 0% T2
7 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 28 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.6% 0% 0% 5
8 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.6% 0% 0% MC
9 SVK Rory Sabbatini 29 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.33% 2.51% 0% 0% T46
10 ESP Adria Arnaus 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 0% 0% MC
11 FRA Alexander Levy 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 0% 0% MC
12 SWE Alexander Bjork 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 0% 0% T22
13 USA Troy Merritt 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.64% 0% 0% T46
14 ENG Andy Sullivan 50 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% 0% 0% T36
15 ITA Renato Paratore 50 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% 0% 0% MC
16 ENG Sam Horsfield 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.34% 0% 0% T14
17 ENG Jordan L Smith 60 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 0% 0% MC
18 ENG Ross Fisher 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0% 0% T46
19 SCO Robert MacIntyre 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0% 0% T2
20 AUS Lucas Herbert 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.12% 0% 0% T22
21 ESP Jorge Campillo 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 0% 0% T33
22 FRA Victor Dubuisson 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0% 0% WD
23 NZL Ryan Fox 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0% 0% T60
24 ENG Paul Waring 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0% 0% T28
25 NIR Cormac Sharvin 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0% 0% MC
26 USA Julian Suri 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 0% 0% MC
27 RSA Richard Sterne 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0% 0% T22
28 ITA Guido Migliozzi 100 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0% 0% T7
29 USA Sean Crocker 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0% 0% MC
30 SCO Richie Ramsay 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0% 0% MC
31 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0% 0% MC
32 SWE Rikard Karlberg 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0% 0% T46
33 ESP Adrian Otaegui 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0% 0% MC
34 ESP Nacho Elvira 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0% 0% T36
35 RSA Dean Burmester 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0% 0% MC
36 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0% 0% T46
37 FIN Kalle Samooja 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0% 0% MC
38 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0% 0% T7
39 JPN Hideto Tanihara 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0% 0% T56
40 CHN Wu Ashun 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0% 0% T36
41 GER Maximilian Kieffer 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0% 0% MC
42 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0% 0% MC
43 RSA Zander Lombard 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0% 0% T36
44 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0% 0% MC
45 ENG Jack Singh Brar 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0% 0% T64
46 RSA Darren Fichardt 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0% 0% T56
47 ENG Oliver Wilson 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0% 0% MC
48 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0% 0% MC
49 USA Sihwan Kim 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0% 0% T17
50 DEN Jeff Winther 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0% 0% 11
51 USA John Catlin 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0% 0% MC
52 USA Kurt Kitayama 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0% 0% T36
53 FRA Romain Wattel 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% 6
54 ENG James Morrison 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
55 IRL Padraig Harrington 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T12
56 SCO David Drysdale 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
57 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T17
58 ENG Callum Shinkwin 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% WD
59 SWE Joakim Lagergren 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T20
60 ENG Ashley Chesters 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T9
61 ENG Ben Stow 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T66
62 AUS Minwoo Lee 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T36
63 AUS Scott Hend 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% T36
64 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
65 ENG Oliver Fisher 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% T22
66 ESP Alvaro Quiros 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% T46
67 USA Berry Henson 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
68 NOR Espen Kofstad 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
69 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
70 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
71 SCO Grant Forrest 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
72 GER Max Schmitt 250 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
73 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
74 ENG Matthew Nixon 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% MC
75 SWE Niklas Lemke 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% T9
76 CHI Hugo Leon 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% T17
77 FRA Clement Sordet 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% T46
78 USA Johannes Veerman 300 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% T36
79 SCO Liam Johnston 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% MC
80 GER Marcel Siem 350 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% MC
81 KOR Jeunghun Wang 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% MC
82 RSA Justin Walters 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% WD
83 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% T66
84 SWE Anton Karlsson 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% MC
85 GER Allen John 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% MC
86 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0% 0% MC
87 RSA Louis de Jager 400 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0% 0% T12
88 ENG Ben Evans 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0% 0% T14
89 SWE Jens Dantorp 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0% 0% MC
90 GER Dominic Foos 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0% 0% T14
91 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
92 SCO Marc Warren 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
93 ITA Matteo Manassero 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
94 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
95 NIR Michael Hoey 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T66
96 POR Ricardo Gouveia 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T36
97 FRA Adrien Saddier 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T28
98 ENG Chris Hanson 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
99 CAN Austin Connelly 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
100 IRL Gavin Moynihan 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T56
101 GER Max Rottluff 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T28
102 USA Harrison Endycott 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T64
103 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 500 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T66
104 GER Hurly Long 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
105 RSA Wilco Nienaber 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
106 AUS Adam Bland 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0% 0% T66
107 WAL Stuart Manley 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0% 0% T22
108 DEN Lasse Jensen 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0% 0% T33
109 RSA Trevor Immelman 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0% 0% MC
110 AUS Sam Brazel 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0% 0% MC
111 ESP Pedro Oriol 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0% 0% MC
112 ENG Tom Murray 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0% 0% MC
113 GER Bernd Ritthammer 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% T2
114 KOR Hyowon Park 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% MC
115 KOR Jinho Choi 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% MC
116 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% MC
117 SWE Simon Forsstrom 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% MC
118 SWE Per Langfors 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% T28
119 AUS Deyen Lawson 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% MC
120 ENG Nick McCarthy 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% MC
121 ENG Daniel Gavins 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% T22
122 AUS Brett Rumford 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0% 0% MC
123 ENG Max Orrin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0% 0% 59
124 SWE Pelle Edberg 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0% 0% MC
125 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0% 0% MC
126 SCO Duncan Stewart 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0% 0% MC
127 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0% 0% T46
128 DEN Nicolai Tinning 1000 (Marathon Bet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0% 0% MC
129 AUS Jake McLeod 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0% 0% 63
130 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0% 0% T33
131 GER Hinrich Arkenau 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0% 0% MC
132 GER Maximilian Walz 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0% 0% MC
133 NZL Michael Campbell 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0% 0% MC
134 SUI Joel Girrbach 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0% 0% MC
135 NED Maarten Lafeber 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0% 0% MC
136 ESP David Borda Antonana 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0% 0% MC
137 ENG Scott Gregory 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0% 0% T28
138 GER Benedict Staben 2000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0% 0% MC
139 GER Georg Schultes 2000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0% 0% MC
140 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% T60
142 USA John Ellis 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 GER Finn Fleer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 GER David Heinzinger 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% T60
147 GER Marc Hammer 0% 0% 0% 0% T46
148 USA David Cooke 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 GER Marcus Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 57.3% 22.5%
2 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 59.3% 24%
3 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 48.2% 24.7%
4 Betway 7 @ 1/5 52.1% 27.8%
5 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 52.1% 27.9%
6 Coral 7 @ 1/5 52.9% 28.5%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.9% 29.5%
8 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 54.2% 29.6%
9 Marathon Bet 6 @ 1/4 61.1% 30.3%
10 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 47.5% 31.8%
11 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 32.7%
12 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 50.6% 34.6%
13 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 51.2% 38.1%
14 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 54.8% 38.4%
15 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 54.8% 38.4%
16 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 54.8% 38.4%
17 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 54.8% 38.4%
18 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 54.8% 38.4%
19 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 53% 39.7%
20 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 53.5% 40.2%
21 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 53.7% 40.4%