Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 35.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 19.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 33.3

Total Profit: -66.9

Oman Open

28/02/2019 - 03/03/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NED Joost Luiten 10 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.69% 1.88% -4.81% T12
2 BEL Thomas Pieters 12 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.66% 1.47% -4.19% T6
3 FRA Alexander Levy 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.2% 1.32% -1.88% WD
4 ENG Ross Fisher 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.83% 1.28% -1.55% MC
5 ENG Jordan L Smith 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.83% 1.25% -1.58% T12
6 RSA Justin Harding 33 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.16% 1.68% -0.48% MC
7 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.16% 0.89% -1.28% T40
8 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 1.11% -0.69% T27
9 USA David Lipsky 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 1.01% -0.79% MC
10 IRL Paul Dunne 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.79% 0.92% -0.88% T58
11 SWE Marcus Kinhult 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 0.91% -0.88% MC
12 AUS Minwoo Lee 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 0.77% -1.02% MC
13 AUT Matthias Schwab 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% 0.98% -0.62% MC
14 AUS Lucas Herbert 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 1.09% -0.35% MC
15 ENG Chris Wood 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 1.05% -0.39% MC
16 FRA Victor Dubuisson 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 0.99% -0.46% T12
17 ENG Paul Waring 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 0.95% -0.49% MC
18 FRA Clement Sordet 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 0.93% -0.51% T2
19 ENG Andy Sullivan 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 0.92% -0.52% 70
20 ESP Jorge Campillo 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 0.9% -0.54% T2
21 FRA Romain Langasque 55 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.31% 1.49% 0.18% T45 5.75
22 FRA Victor Perez 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.31% 1.03% -0.29% T61
23 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.31% 0.88% -0.44% T2
24 ENG Chris Paisley 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.31% 0.85% -0.46% T9
25 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.21% 1.46% 0.25% MC 5.28
26 RSA Dean Burmester 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.21% 0.63% -0.57% MC
27 ITA Andrea Pavan 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 1.38% 0.28% T31 4.81
28 ENG Matthew Southgate 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.56% -0.54% T63
29 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.13% 0.22% T40 3.98
30 AUS Scott Hend 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.1% 0.19% T31 3.98
31 ENG Robert Rock 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 1.05% 0.14% MC 3.98
32 ZIM Scott Vincent 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.91% 0% T63 3.98
33 RSA Zander Lombard 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.85% -0.06% T45 3.98
34 ENG Callum Shinkwin 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.8% -0.11% WD 3.98
35 FRA Matthieu Pavon 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.68% -0.23% MC 3.98
36 WAL Bradley Dredge 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.62% -0.28% T45 3.98
37 FIN Mikko Korhonen 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 1.02% 0.21% T31 3.54
38 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 1% 0.19% T27 3.54
39 ESP Adria Arnaus 90 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.87% 0.06% T45 3.54
40 MAS Gavin Green 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 0.65% -0.16% MC 3.54
41 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 90 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.45% -0.36% MC
42 SCO Scott Jamieson 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.1% 0.37% T9 3.19
43 RSA Brandon Stone 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.9% 0.17% T31 3.19
44 IND Shubhankar Sharma 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.84% 0.11% T67 3.19
45 DEN Jeff Winther 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.54% -0.19% T12 3.19
46 USA Sihwan Kim 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.37% -0.36% MC
47 ESP Alvaro Quiros 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1% 0.42% MC 2.56
48 SCO David Drysdale 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.94% 0.35% T23 2.56
49 RSA George Coetzee 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.82% 0.23% MC 2.56
50 ITA Renato Paratore 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.73% 0.15% MC 2.56
51 SCO Stephen Gallacher 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.71% 0.12% MC 2.56
52 ENG Max Orrin 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.67% 0.09% MC 2.56
53 CHN Wu Ashun 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.65% 0.07% T67 2.56
54 RSA Haydn Porteous 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.64% 0.05% WD 2.56
55 RSA Thomas Aiken 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.62% 0.04% T31 2.56
56 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.48% -0.11% T2 (tied w/4) 2.56 +33.3
57 FRA Benjamin Hebert 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.56% 0.04% T18
58 SCO Robert MacIntyre 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 1.17% 0.68% T45
59 RSA Darren Fichardt 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 1.1% 0.62% T40
60 ENG David Horsey 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.94% 0.45% T12
61 USA Sean Crocker 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.65% 0.16% T18
62 RSA Justin Walters 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.62% 0.13% T31
63 FRA Romain Wattel 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.48% -0.01% MC
64 POR Ricardo Gouveia 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.44% -0.05% MC
65 ESP Nacho Elvira 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.43% -0.05% MC
66 ENG Ashley Chesters 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.58% 0.12% T9
67 SCO Grant Forrest 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.82% 0.4% MC
68 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.58% 0.16% MC
69 SCO Richie Ramsay 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.55% 0.13% MC
70 KOR Jeunghun Wang 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.53% 0.11% T45
71 SCO Marc Warren 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.5% 0.08% MC
72 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.48% 0.06% T61
73 AUS Nick Cullen 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.42% 0% T31
74 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.41% -0.01% MC
75 SWE Jens Dantorp 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.37% -0.04% MC
76 ENG Oliver Wilson 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.66% 1.29% T56
77 USA Kurt Kitayama 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.74% 0.38% 1
78 ENG Jack Singh Brar 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.71% 0.34% MC
79 ESP Alejandro Canizares 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.61% 0.25% MC
80 ENG Lee Slattery 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.57% 0.21% MC
81 ITA Nino Bertasio 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.52% 0.16% T45
82 ENG Oliver Fisher 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.41% 0.05% MC
83 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.49% 0.16% MC
84 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.9% 0.61% T45
85 THA Thongchai Jaidee 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.85% 0.56% T18
86 SWE Anton Karlsson 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.85% 0.56% MC
87 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.8% 0.51% T56
88 JPN Hideto Tanihara 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.76% 0.46% T23
89 FIN Kim Koivu 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.75% 0.45% MC
90 SWE Niklas Lemke 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.72% 0.42% MC
91 FIN Kalle Samooja 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.71% 0.42% MC
92 ENG Ben Evans 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.68% 0.39% MC
93 ITA Edoardo Molinari 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.68% 0.39% MC
94 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.63% 0.34% T67
95 SCO David Law 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.58% 0.28% MC
96 AUS Deyen Lawson 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.57% 0.28% T27
97 ENG Matthew Baldwin 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.21% T45
98 SWE Peter Hanson 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.47% 0.18% T6
99 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.36% 0.07% T63
100 RSA Louis de Jager 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.26% -0.03% T23
101 ITA Matteo Manassero 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 1.35% 1.1% T45
102 SWE Robert Karlsson 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 1.04% 0.8% MC
103 AUS Sam Brazel 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.76% 0.51% MC
104 DEN Thomas Bjorn 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.74% 0.5% MC
105 USA John Catlin 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.73% 0.49% T58
106 ENG Richard McEvoy 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.61% 0.37% T31
107 SCO Paul Lawrie 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.61% 0.36% MC
108 ENG James Morrison 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.54% 0.29% 71
109 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.48% 0.24% T21
110 ENG Steven Brown 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.47% 0.23% MC
111 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.47% 0.22% MC
112 SWE Joakim Lagergren 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.45% 0.21% MC
113 FRA Adrien Saddier 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.42% 0.17% T31
114 IRL Gavin Moynihan 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.35% 0.1% T12
115 GER Bernd Ritthammer 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.31% 0.06% MC
116 ENG Tom Murray 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.55% 0.34% MC
117 GER Marcel Siem 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.46% 0.25% WD
118 SWE Per Langfors 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.67% 0.49% MC
119 WAL Stuart Manley 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.6% 0.41% DQ
120 SCO Liam Johnston 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.57% 0.39% MC
121 ENG David Howell 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.43% 0.25% MC
122 KOR Hyowon Park 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.26% MC
123 POR Pedro Figueiredo 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% T58
124 CHN Jin Cheng 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.24% MC
125 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.24% MC
126 GER Max Schmitt 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T27
127 CHI Hugo Leon 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T21
128 ENG Daniel Gavins 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.09% MC
129 ENG Scott Gregory 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% MC
130 ITA Guido Migliozzi 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% T63
131 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.22% 0.09% MC
132 ESP David Borda Antonana 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.18% 0.05% T23
133 NOR Espen Kofstad 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% T45
134 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.27% T40
135 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.33% 0.26% MC
136 USA Jordan Mullaney 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.24% 0.21% MC
137 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.65% 0% MC
138 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.6% 0% WD
139 SCO Connor Syme 0% 0% 0.45% 0% MC
140 KOR Jinho Choi (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0% 0% 0.26% 0% T40

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 19.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...