Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 60.2

Total Profit: -39.9

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

07/02/2019 - 10/02/2019

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 6 14.29% 11.54% 3.41% -8.13% T45
2 AUS Jason Day 10 9.09% 7.35% 2.84% -4.5% T4
3 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 25 3.85% 3.11% 2.46% -0.65% T45
4 USA Tony Finau 25 3.85% 3.11% 2.39% -0.71% T38
5 USA Phil Mickelson 25 3.85% 3.11% 2.15% -0.96% 1
6 USA Matt Kuchar 25 3.85% 3.11% 1.53% -1.58% T22
7 USA Jordan Spieth 25 3.85% 3.11% 1.27% -1.84% T45
8 USA Patrick Reed 33 2.94% 2.38% 2.28% -0.1% T22 10.27
9 AUS Adam Scott 33 2.94% 2.38% 1.91% -0.47% T61
10 USA Chez Reavie 33 2.94% 2.38% 1.16% -1.22% T38
11 ENG Paul Casey 33 2.94% 2.38% 1.02% -1.36% 2
12 RSA Branden Grace 35 2.78% 2.24% 1.67% -0.58% T28
13 IRL Shane Lowry 40 2.44% 1.97% 1.68% -0.29% MC
14 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 50 1.96% 1.58% 1.58% 0% MC 6.85
15 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 50 1.96% 1.58% 1.54% -0.05% T22 6.85
16 USA Brandt Snedeker 50 1.96% 1.58% 1.46% -0.13% MC 6.85
17 CAN Adam Hadwin 50 1.96% 1.58% 1.14% -0.45% T18
18 SCO Russell Knox 66 1.49% 1.21% 1.04% -0.17% T14 5.21
19 KOR Sungjae Im 66 1.49% 1.21% 0.86% -0.34% MC
20 USA Cameron Champ 66 1.49% 1.21% 0.81% -0.4% T28
21 USA Scott Piercy 80 1.23% 1% 1.62% 0.63% T10 4.31
22 USA J.B. Holmes 80 1.23% 1% 1.26% 0.26% MC 4.31
23 USA Andrew Putnam 80 1.23% 1% 1.13% 0.14% T38 4.31
24 USA Kevin Kisner 80 1.23% 1% 1.07% 0.07% T28 4.31
25 USA Russell Henley 90 1.1% 0.89% 0.6% -0.29% MC
26 USA Charley Hoffman 100 0.99% 0.8% 0.86% 0.06% T61 3.46
27 USA Chesson Hadley 100 0.99% 0.8% 0.8% 0% MC 3.46
28 USA Jimmy Walker 100 0.99% 0.8% 0.7% -0.1% MC 3.46
29 USA Doug Ghim 100 0.99% 0.8% 0.4% -0.4% MC
30 USA Nick Watney 110 0.9% 0.73% 0.78% 0.05% MC 3.15
31 KOR Siwoo Kim 125 0.79% 0.64% 1.34% 0.7% T4 (tied w/2) 2.78 +36.1
32 USA Ryan Palmer 125 0.79% 0.64% 1.31% 0.67% MC 2.78
33 USA Michael Thompson 125 0.79% 0.64% 1.06% 0.42% T10 2.78
34 RSA Dylan Frittelli 125 0.79% 0.64% 0.9% 0.26% MC 2.78
35 USA Talor Gooch 125 0.79% 0.64% 0.82% 0.17% MC 2.78
36 USA Lucas Glover 125 0.79% 0.64% 0.81% 0.16% T7 (tied w/3) 2.78 +12.1
37 SCO Martin Laird 125 0.79% 0.64% 0.75% 0.11% T61 2.78
38 USA Kevin Streelman 125 0.79% 0.64% 0.64% 0% T7 (tied w/3) 2.78 +12.1
39 USA J.J Spaun 125 0.79% 0.64% 0.63% -0.01% MC 2.78
40 USA Pat Perez 125 0.79% 0.64% 0.63% -0.01% MC 2.78
41 USA Beau Hossler 125 0.79% 0.64% 0.58% -0.06% MC 2.78
42 USA Trey Mullinax 125 0.79% 0.64% 0.53% -0.11% T22 2.78
43 CAN Corey Conners 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.87% 0.33% MC
44 NIR Graeme McDowell 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.82% 0.28% T18
45 USA Austin Cook 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.46% -0.07% T61
46 USA Ryan Armour 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.88% 0.37% MC
47 USA Keith Mitchell 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.79% 0.29% MC
48 KOR Sunghoon Kang 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.77% 0.27% T14
49 AUS Aaron Baddeley 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.6% 0.09% MC
50 USA Patrick Rodgers 175 0.57% 0.46% 0.63% 0.18% MC
51 USA Dominic Bozzelli 175 0.57% 0.46% 0.43% -0.03% T61
52 USA Jim Furyk 200 0.5% 0.4% 1.09% 0.69% T14
53 USA Steve Stricker 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.98% 0.58% T61
54 USA Brian Gay 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.49% T7
55 USA Roberto Castro 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.62% 0.22% T53
56 USA James Hahn 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% MC
57 AUS Matt Jones 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.49% 0.09% T53
58 USA Nate Lashley 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.45% 0.04% T45
59 USA Anders Albertson 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.44% 0.04% MC
60 USA Brandon Harkins 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.41% 0% T28
61 USA Scott Stallings 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.38% -0.02% 3
62 USA Chris Stroud 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.38% -0.03% T10
63 USA Hunter Mahan 250 0.4% 0.32% 1.11% 0.78% MC
64 USA Brice Garnett 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.78% 0.46% MC
65 RSA Ernie Els 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.77% 0.45% T28
66 USA Adam Long 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.69% 0.37% MC
67 USA Vaughn Taylor 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.66% 0.34% MC
68 USA Scott Brown 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.66% 0.34% MC
69 CAN Nick Taylor 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.64% 0.31% T28
70 USA Brian Stuard 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.53% 0.21% T45
71 USA Matt Every 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.5% 0.18% T14
72 USA Richy Werenski 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.44% 0.12% MC
73 USA Scott Langley 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.42% 0.1% 6
74 KOR Sangmoon Bae 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.4% 0.08% T61
75 USA Sean O'Hair 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.39% 0.06% WD
76 SVK Rory Sabbatini 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.34% 0.02% MC
77 USA Davis Love III 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.33% 0.01% MC
78 CAN Adam Svensson 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.28% -0.04% MC
79 AUS Cameron Davis 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.24% -0.08% T59
80 USA Alex Prugh 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.57% 0.3% T53
81 COL Sebastian Munoz 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.32% 0.05% MC
82 USA Adam Schenk 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.26% -0.01% T45
83 USA Kramer Hickok 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.25% -0.02% MC
84 CAN David Hearn 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.72% 0.49% MC
85 USA Tom Hoge 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.69% 0.46% MC
86 USA Kelly Kraft 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.52% 0.29% MC
87 USA Wyndham Clark 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.42% 0.19% T61
88 USA Peter Malnati 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.42% 0.19% MC
89 AUT Sepp Straka 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% MC
90 USA Sam Saunders 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.32% 0.09% T38
91 USA Hank Lebioda 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.26% 0.03% T38
92 USA Robert Garrigus 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.24% 0.01% MC
93 USA Max Homa 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.23% 0% T10
94 USA Grayson Murray 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.23% 0% MC
95 AUS Curtis Luck 350 0.28% 0.23% 0.21% -0.02% T28
96 USA John Huh 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.52% 0.32% MC
97 USA Johnson Wagner 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% 57
98 USA Jonathan Byrd 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% T22
99 SWE David Lingmerth 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.37% 0.17% MC
100 USA Chase Wright 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% MC
101 USA Ben Crane 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% MC
102 ARG Fabian Gomez 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% T61
103 GER Stephan Jaeger 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.28% 0.08% MC
104 CAN Roger Sloan 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.25% 0.05% MC
105 USA Michael Kim 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.25% 0.05% MC
106 USA Jerry Kelly 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.25% 0.05% MC
107 CAN Benjamin Silverman 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.22% 0.02% T45
108 KOR Hosung Choi 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.73% 0.56% MC
109 SWE Jonas Blixt 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.54% 0.38% T38
110 USA Jim Knous 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.23% MC
111 ARG Julian Etulain 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% T38
112 USA Derek Fathauer 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.35% 0.19% MC
113 GER Alex Cejka 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.34% 0.18% MC
114 USA Mackenzie Hughes 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% MC
115 USA Cameron Tringale 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% T53
116 USA Martin Piller 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.13% MC
117 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% MC
118 USA Tom Lovelady 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.08% T28
119 USA Chad Campbell 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.08% MC
120 USA Seth Reeves 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.08% MC
121 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.22% 0.06% MC
122 AUS Ryan Ruffels 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.19% 0.03% MC
123 USA Josh Teater 600 0.17% 0.13% 1.15% 1.02% T45
124 AUS John Senden 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.62% 0.49% T61
125 USA Cody Gribble 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.37% 0.23% T59
126 USA Tyler Duncan 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% T22
127 USA Wes Roach 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.24% 0.11% MC
128 KOR Meenwhee Kim 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.21% 0.08% MC
129 USA D.A. Points 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.58% 0.47% MC
130 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.43% 0.32% MC
131 USA D.J. Trahan 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% T18
132 USA John Chin 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% MC
133 MEX Roberto Diaz 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% T18
134 USA Joey Garber 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% MC
135 USA Kenny Perry 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
136 USA Chad Collins 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
137 USA Martin Trainer 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T28
138 AUS Rod Pampling 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
139 USA J.J. Henry 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% MC
140 USA Ricky Barnes 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
141 USA Jason Gore 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.13% MC
142 USA Kyle Jones 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
143 USA Brady Schnell 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.08% T28
144 USA Chris Thompson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.05% MC
145 USA David Duval 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.16% 0.13% MC
146 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0.68% 0% MC
147 USA John Catlin 0% 0% 0.49% 0% MC
148 USA Brendon Todd 0% 0% 0.29% 0% MC
149 ENG Brian Davis 0% 0% 0.27% 0% MC
150 USA Parker McLachlin 0% 0% 0.21% 0% MC
151 USA John Rollins 0% 0% 0.21% 0% 58

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...