Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 254.4

Total Profit: +154.3

Sony Open in Hawaii

10/01/2019 - 13/01/2019

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Justin Thomas 6 14.29% 9.76% 2.8% -6.95% T16
2 USA Bryson DeChambeau 11 8.33% 5.69% 4.46% -1.23% T10
3 USA Gary Woodland 14 6.67% 4.55% 4.04% -0.52% 80
4 USA Jordan Spieth 16 5.88% 4.02% 1.79% -2.23% MC
5 AUS Marc Leishman 18 5.26% 3.59% 2.32% -1.28% T3
6 USA Charles Howell III 25 3.85% 2.63% 1.56% -1.06% T8
7 AUS Cameron Smith 28 3.45% 2.35% 1.62% -0.74% T22
8 USA Cameron Champ 28 3.45% 2.35% 1.07% -1.28% T73
9 USA Patrick Reed 30 3.23% 2.2% 2.15% -0.05% T13 9.99
10 ENG Paul Casey 35 2.78% 1.9% 1.73% -0.17% MC
11 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 35 2.78% 1.9% 1.05% -0.85% T51
12 USA Patton Kizzire 35 2.78% 1.9% 0.67% -1.23% T13
13 USA Matt Kuchar 40 2.44% 1.67% 1.78% 0.12% 1 7.56 +189
14 USA Kevin Kisner 40 2.44% 1.67% 1.45% -0.22% T69
15 USA Zach Johnson 40 2.44% 1.67% 1.37% -0.29% MC
16 USA Kyle Stanley 45 2.17% 1.48% 1.87% 0.39% T22 6.74
17 ARG Emiliano Grillo 45 2.17% 1.48% 1.28% -0.2% T22
18 MEX Abraham Ancer 45 2.17% 1.48% 1.23% -0.26% T29
19 AUS Adam Scott 50 1.96% 1.34% 2.98% 1.64% MC 6.08
20 USA Brandt Snedeker 50 1.96% 1.34% 1.84% 0.5% T16 6.08
21 KOR Siwoo Kim 50 1.96% 1.34% 0.89% -0.45% MC
22 USA Brian Harman 50 1.96% 1.34% 0.66% -0.68% MC
23 USA Keegan Bradley 55 1.79% 1.22% 2.66% 1.44% T29 5.53
24 USA Bubba Watson 55 1.79% 1.22% 1.81% 0.59% MC 5.53
25 USA Scott Piercy 55 1.79% 1.22% 0.92% -0.3% T33
26 USA Andrew Putnam 66 1.49% 1.02% 1.74% 0.72% 2 4.63 +32.9
27 ENG Ian Poulter 66 1.49% 1.02% 1.38% 0.36% T33 4.63
28 USA Pat Perez 66 1.49% 1.02% 1.13% 0.11% MC 4.63
29 SCO Russell Knox 66 1.49% 1.02% 0.47% -0.55% T43
30 CAN Adam Hadwin 70 1.41% 0.96% 1.2% 0.24% T57 4.37
31 USA Kevin Tway 75 1.32% 0.9% 1.34% 0.44% MC 4.08
32 NZL Danny Lee 80 1.23% 0.84% 1.66% 0.82% 71 3.83
33 USA Chez Reavie 80 1.23% 0.84% 1.05% 0.21% T3 (tied w/4) 3.83 +32.6
34 USA Chris Kirk 80 1.23% 0.84% 0.79% -0.05% MC 3.83
35 RSA Dylan Frittelli 80 1.23% 0.84% 0.75% -0.09% T51
36 USA Russell Henley 80 1.23% 0.84% 0.72% -0.12% 66
37 KOR Sungjae Im 80 1.23% 0.84% 0.46% -0.39% T16
38 USA Jimmy Walker 90 1.1% 0.75% 0.76% 0.01% T51 3.41
39 USA Patrick Rodgers 90 1.1% 0.75% 0.62% -0.13% MC
40 USA Ryan Armour 100 0.99% 0.68% 0.7% 0.02% T22 3.07
41 USA Brice Garnett 125 0.79% 0.54% 1.05% 0.51% T33 2.46
42 USA Steve Stricker 125 0.79% 0.54% 1% 0.46% T73 2.46
43 USA Stewart Cink 125 0.79% 0.54% 0.8% 0.26% T20 2.46
44 USA Brian Gay 125 0.79% 0.54% 0.73% 0.19% T22 2.46
45 USA Ryan Blaum 125 0.79% 0.54% 0.57% 0.03% T64 2.46
46 USA James Hahn 125 0.79% 0.54% 0.46% -0.08% MC
47 USA Sam Ryder 125 0.79% 0.54% 0.45% -0.09% MC
48 USA Jamie Lovemark 125 0.79% 0.54% 0.4% -0.14% MC
49 USA Ollie Schniederjans 125 0.79% 0.54% 0.26% -0.28% MC
50 USA Jason Dufner 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.59% 0.14% T73
51 USA Keith Mitchell 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.56% 0.1% T16
52 IND Anirban Lahiri 150 0.66% 0.45% 0.5% 0.05% T43
53 USA Troy Merritt 160 0.62% 0.42% 0.84% 0.41% MC
54 USA Andrew Landry 175 0.57% 0.39% 0.63% 0.24% MC
55 USA Ted Potter-jr 175 0.57% 0.39% 0.58% 0.2% T13
56 USA Adam Schenk 175 0.57% 0.39% 0.51% 0.12% MC
57 USA Joel Dahmen 175 0.57% 0.39% 0.4% 0.01% T22
58 USA Sam Burns 175 0.57% 0.39% 0.29% -0.1% MC
59 JPN Shugo Imahira 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.73% 0.39% T33
60 KOR Meenwhee Kim 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.59% 0.25% MC
61 USA Hudson Swafford 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.58% 0.24% T3
62 USA Robert Streb 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.53% 0.19% MC
63 CAN Corey Conners 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.5% 0.16% T3
64 USA Harris English 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.49% 0.15% T22
65 USA Dominic Bozzelli 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.44% 0.1% T33
66 USA Shawn Stefani 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.44% 0.1% MC
67 USA Brian Stuard 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.42% 0.08% T8
68 USA Kramer Hickok 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.38% 0.04% MC
69 USA Scott Langley 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.3% -0.04% T43
70 AUS Cameron Davis 200 0.5% 0.34% 0.27% -0.07% MC
71 CAN Nick Taylor 225 0.44% 0.3% 0.43% 0.12% MC
72 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.88% 0.61% MC
73 SVK Rory Sabbatini 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.65% 0.38% T33
74 USA Brandon Harkins 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.42% 0.15% T51
75 USA Vaughn Taylor 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.41% 0.14% MC
76 USA Michael Kim 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.4% 0.13% MC
77 ARG Fabian Gomez 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.4% 0.12% T57
78 USA JT Poston 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.38% 0.11% T20
79 USA Tom Hoge 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% MC
80 USA Sean O'Hair 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.31% 0.04% T77
81 USA Talor Gooch 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.26% -0.01% MC
82 USA Kelly Kraft 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.24% -0.03% MC
83 USA Ben Martin 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.23% -0.04% MC
84 USA Sam Saunders 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.23% -0.04% T33
85 CAN Benjamin Silverman 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.23% -0.04% MC
86 USA Jerry Kelly 250 0.4% 0.27% 0.22% -0.06% MC
87 USA Johnson Wagner 300 0.33% 0.23% 1.04% 0.81% T67
88 KOR Sangmoon Bae 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.5% 0.27% MC
89 KOR Sunghoon Kang 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.42% 0.2% T10
90 CAN David Hearn 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.35% 0.12% MC
91 USA Trey Mullinax 300 0.33% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% T57
92 USA Peter Malnati 350 0.28% 0.19% 0.5% 0.31% MC
93 JPN Yuki Inamori 350 0.28% 0.19% 0.5% 0.31% T64
94 USA Michael Thompson 350 0.28% 0.19% 0.47% 0.28% T69
95 ENG Luke Donald 350 0.28% 0.19% 0.42% 0.22% MC
96 USA Chase Wright 350 0.28% 0.19% 0.41% 0.22% T57
97 FIJ Vijay Singh 350 0.28% 0.19% 0.39% 0.19% MC
98 USA Scott Brown 350 0.28% 0.19% 0.36% 0.16% T33
99 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 350 0.28% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% MC
100 USA Steve Marino 350 0.28% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% MC
101 IRL Seamus Power 350 0.28% 0.19% 0.31% 0.11% MC
102 AUS Matt Jones 350 0.28% 0.19% 0.29% 0.1% T29
103 USA John Huh 350 0.28% 0.19% 0.27% 0.07% MC
104 USA Seth Reeves 350 0.28% 0.19% 0.25% 0.06% MC
105 JPN Yuta Ikeda 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.88% 0.71% MC
106 USA Tyler Duncan 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.33% 0.16% T57
107 COL Sebastian Munoz 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.29% 0.12% T10
108 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.29% 0.12% MC
109 USA Wes Roach 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.24% 0.07% T57
110 USA Mackenzie Hughes 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.18% 0.01% T77
111 USA Alex Prugh 400 0.25% 0.17% 0.13% -0.04% T51
112 KOR Y.E. Yang 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.66% 0.53% T33
113 USA Davis Love III 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.42% 0.28% 7
114 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.4% 0.26% T67
115 SWE Jonas Blixt 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.35% 0.21% MC
116 MEX Carlos Ortiz 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% T29
117 GER Stephan Jaeger 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.15% T43
118 MEX Roberto Diaz 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.13% MC
119 ARG Julian Etulain 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% T43
120 USA Jim Knous 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% T51
121 USA Colt Knost 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% MC
122 USA Max Homa 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% MC
123 USA Jim Herman 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.07% T43
124 USA Adam Long 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.07% MC
125 USA Josh Teater 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% MC
126 AUT Sepp Straka 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% MC
127 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% T57
128 USA Joey Garber 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.18% 0.04% 81
129 USA Kyle Jones 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.16% 0.02% MC
130 USA Wyndham Clark 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.15% 0.01% MC
131 CAN Adam Svensson 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.11% -0.03% T43
132 CAN Roger Sloan 600 0.17% 0.11% 0.17% 0.06% T33
133 USA John Chin 600 0.17% 0.11% 0.1% -0.02% MC
134 USA J.J. Henry 750 0.13% 0.09% 0.42% 0.33% MC
135 USA Kenny Perry 750 0.13% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
136 USA Martin Trainer 750 0.13% 0.09% 0.17% 0.07% T73
137 USA Brady Schnell 750 0.13% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% 79
138 USA Chris Thompson 750 0.13% 0.09% 0.1% 0.01% MC
139 JPN Takumi Kanaya 800 0.12% 0.09% 0.31% 0.23% MC
140 USA Hank Lebioda 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% T43
141 USA Eric Dugas 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.09% 0.04% 72

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...