Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 60.7

Total Profit: -39.4

RBC Heritage

12/04/2018 - 15/04/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 8 11.11% 8.69% 3.82% -4.87% T16
2 ENG Paul Casey 15 6.25% 4.89% 2.77% -2.12% MC
3 USA Matt Kuchar 21 4.55% 3.56% 1.9% -1.65% T23
4 AUS Cameron Smith 25 3.85% 3.01% 1.78% -1.23% T32
5 AUS Marc Leishman 27 3.57% 2.79% 2.7% -0.09% MC
6 USA Webb Simpson 29 3.33% 2.61% 1.82% -0.79% T5
7 USA Brian Harman 30 3.23% 2.52% 1.91% -0.62% T23
8 USA Patrick Cantlay 30 3.23% 2.52% 0.84% -1.69% T7
9 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 35 2.78% 2.17% 1.51% -0.66% MC
10 USA Kevin Kisner 37 2.63% 2.06% 1.57% -0.49% T7
11 USA Charley Hoffman 45 2.17% 1.7% 1.72% 0.02% T23 7.34
12 ARG Emiliano Grillo 47 2.08% 1.63% 1.19% -0.44% T16
13 USA Ollie Schniederjans 47 2.08% 1.63% 0.5% -1.13% T42
14 ENG Ian Poulter 48 2.04% 1.6% 1.95% 0.35% T7 (tied w/7) 6.89 +5.2
15 USA Bryson DeChambeau 49 2% 1.56% 1.37% -0.2% T3
16 USA Luke List 49 2% 1.56% 1.24% -0.32% T3
17 USA Zach Johnson 51 1.92% 1.5% 1.38% -0.12% T42
18 USA Ryan Moore 51 1.92% 1.5% 0.95% -0.56% T16
19 ITA Francesco Molinari 54 1.82% 1.42% 1.39% -0.03% 49 6.14
20 USA Kevin Chappell 55 1.79% 1.4% 1.25% -0.15% MC
21 ENG Luke Donald 58 1.69% 1.33% 0.44% -0.89% MC
22 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 59 1.67% 1.3% 1.59% 0.29% T14 5.63
23 USA Kevin Na 59 1.67% 1.3% 0.78% -0.52% MC
24 USA Xander Schauffele 60 1.64% 1.28% 1.38% 0.09% T32 5.54
25 SCO Russell Knox 62 1.59% 1.24% 1.11% -0.13% T40
26 USA Charles Howell III 65 1.52% 1.19% 1.52% 0.33% T55 5.12
27 USA Bud Cauley 67 1.47% 1.15% 0.65% -0.5% T23
28 KOR Byeong Hun An 69 1.43% 1.12% 1.26% 0.14% T7 (tied w/7) 4.83 +5.1
29 USA Brandt Snedeker 69 1.43% 1.12% 0.69% -0.43% T23
30 USA Jim Furyk 79 1.25% 0.98% 1.09% 0.11% T70 4.22
31 USA William McGirt 81 1.22% 0.95% 0.79% -0.16% T70
32 USA Beau Hossler 82 1.2% 0.94% 0.84% -0.1% T16
33 USA Jason Dufner 83 1.19% 0.93% 0.66% -0.28% MC
34 USA Jason Kokrak 84 1.18% 0.92% 0.67% -0.25% MC
35 KOR Siwoo Kim 85 1.16% 0.91% 1.01% 0.1% 2 3.93 +35.4
36 USA Patton Kizzire 91 1.09% 0.85% 1.85% 1% MC 3.67
37 USA Austin Cook 92 1.08% 0.84% 0.58% -0.26% T50
38 NIR Graeme McDowell 93 1.06% 0.83% 0.41% -0.42% T55
39 RSA Charl Schwartzel 98 1.01% 0.79% 1.12% 0.33% MC 3.41
40 USA James Hahn 104 0.95% 0.75% 1.23% 0.49% MC 3.22
41 USA Kevin Streelman 107 0.93% 0.72% 0.98% 0.25% T7 (tied w/7) 3.13 +5
42 USA Scott Piercy 107 0.93% 0.72% 0.82% 0.1% T16 3.13
43 USA Chris Kirk 109 0.91% 0.71% 1.15% 0.44% T55 3.07
44 USA Grayson Murray 109 0.91% 0.71% 0.7% -0.02% MC 3.07
45 USA Brian Gay 110 0.9% 0.7% 0.78% 0.07% T70 3.05
46 GER Martin Kaymer 120 0.83% 0.65% 1.68% 1.03% 73 2.79
47 ENG Ross Fisher 120 0.83% 0.65% 1.1% 0.46% MC 2.79
48 USA Lucas Glover 120 0.83% 0.65% 1.06% 0.41% T32 2.79
49 USA Harris English 120 0.83% 0.65% 1.06% 0.41% T32 2.79
50 SCO Martin Laird 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.93% 0.28% T32 2.79
51 SVK Rory Sabbatini 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.84% 0.19% T23 2.79
52 USA Chesson Hadley 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.63% -0.02% T7 (tied w/7) 2.79 +5
53 USA Ryan Palmer 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.56% -0.09% 76
54 RSA Dylan Frittelli 130 0.76% 0.6% 1.42% 0.82% T32 2.58
55 USA Bill Haas 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.58% -0.01% T7 (tied w/7) 2.58 +5
56 USA John Huh 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.88% 0.36% T23
57 USA Wesley Bryan 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.36% -0.16% T42
58 CAN Corey Conners 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.66% 0.17% MC
59 USA Kelly Kraft 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.52% 0.04% MC
60 USA Brice Garnett 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.41% -0.07% T42
61 USA Brandon Harkins 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.69% 0.28% MC
62 USA Nick Watney 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.68% 0.27% T32
63 USA Stewart Cink 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.59% 0.18% T42
64 IND Anirban Lahiri 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.58% 0.17% MC
65 USA Ben Martin 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.77% 0.38% T55
66 USA Vaughn Taylor 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.61% 0.22% MC
67 USA J.J Spaun 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.47% 0.08% MC
68 USA Michael Thompson 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.75% 0.38% T42
69 USA Ryan Armour 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.7% 0.32% T55
70 AUS Aaron Baddeley 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.69% 0.31% T55
71 USA Sam Saunders 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.62% 0.25% MC
72 USA Scott Stallings 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.51% 0.14% T55
73 USA Matt Every 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.43% 0.06% T55
74 USA Kevin Tway 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.4% 0.03% T67
75 SWE David Lingmerth 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.44% 0.09% T74
76 USA Keith Mitchell 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.74% 0.4% T55
77 USA Robert Garrigus 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.66% 0.33% MC
78 TPE C.T. Pan 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.53% 0.19% T23
79 USA Billy Horschel 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.51% 0.17% T5
80 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.54% 0.22% 1
81 USA Sam Ryder 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.46% 0.15% MC
82 KOR Sunghoon Kang 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.38% 0.07% MC
83 USA Hudson Swafford 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.37% 0.06% MC
84 USA Tom Hoge 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.54% 0.26% T55
85 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.35% 0.08% T23
86 USA Blayne Barber 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.29% 0.01% MC
87 NZL Danny Lee 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.27% -0.01% T55
88 USA Steve Marino 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.19% -0.09% MC
89 USA Chad Campbell 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.49% 0.22% MC
90 USA Dominic Bozzelli 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.48% 0.21% T40
91 USA Ted Potter-jr 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.63% 0.37% T16
92 USA Martin Flores 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.61% 0.35% MC
93 USA Andrew Landry 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.6% 0.34% T42
94 USA Brian Stuard 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.59% 0.33% T67
95 CAN Nick Taylor 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.45% 0.19% MC
96 USA Scott Brown 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.43% 0.17% MC
97 KOR K.J. Choi 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.43% 0.17% T55
98 USA Michael Kim 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.39% 0.13% 77
99 USA Chris Stroud 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.37% 0.11% MC
100 USA Harold Varner III 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.32% 0.06% MC
101 USA Derek Fathauer 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.65% 0.45% MC
102 USA Colt Knost 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% MC
103 KOR Meenwhee Kim 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.4% 0.21% T50
104 AUS Greg Chalmers 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.4% 0.21% MC
105 SWE Jonas Blixt 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% T14
106 AUS Rod Pampling 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% T32
107 USA Jonathan Byrd 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.29% 0.09% T50
108 AUS John Senden 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.23% 0.03% MC
109 USA Ryan Blaum 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.22% 0.03% MC
110 ARG Fabian Gomez 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.43% 0.27% T50
111 USA Davis Love III 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.38% 0.23% T74
112 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% MC
113 USA Mackenzie Hughes 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% MC
114 USA Cody Gribble 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.23% 0.07% MC
115 CAN David Hearn 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.19% 0.04% MC
116 USA Billy Hurley III 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.43% 0.3% MC
117 USA Robert Streb 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.36% 0.23% MC
118 USA Peter Malnati 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.35% 0.22% T67
119 USA Richy Werenski 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% MC
120 USA Bob Estes 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.29% 0.16% MC
121 USA D.A. Points 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.21% MC
122 SWE Carl Pettersson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% MC
123 USA Jon Curran 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
124 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.66% 0% MC
125 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.35% 0% T16
126 USA Doc Redman 0% 0% 0.32% 0% T50

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...