Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 243.3

Total Profit: +143.2

Houston Open

29/03/2018 - 01/04/2018

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Justin Rose 12 7.69% 5.91% 4.98% -0.93% T52
2 USA Rickie Fowler 12 7.69% 5.91% 1.91% -4% T43
3 USA Jordan Spieth 13 7.14% 5.49% 2.22% -3.27% T3
4 USA Phil Mickelson 14 6.67% 5.12% 4.64% -0.48% T24
5 SWE Henrik Stenson 14 6.67% 5.12% 2.6% -2.52% T6
6 USA Daniel Berger 25 3.85% 2.95% 1.01% -1.95% T18
7 USA Russell Henley 28 3.45% 2.65% 1.04% -1.61% T8
8 USA Luke List 29 3.33% 2.56% 1.37% -1.19% T24
9 USA Tony Finau 30 3.23% 2.48% 1.95% -0.53% T24
10 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 35 2.78% 2.13% 2.24% 0.11% MC 9.52
11 USA Matt Kuchar 36 2.7% 2.08% 1.37% -0.7% T8
12 KOR Byeong Hun An 47 2.08% 1.6% 1.34% -0.26% T52
13 USA Charles Howell III 50 1.96% 1.51% 1.26% -0.24% T18
14 USA Steve Stricker 50 1.96% 1.51% 0.98% -0.53% MC
15 BEL Thomas Pieters 59 1.67% 1.28% 1.08% -0.2% T52
16 USA Jason Dufner 59 1.67% 1.28% 0.98% -0.3% T64
17 USA Chez Reavie 61 1.61% 1.24% 1.43% 0.19% MC 5.53
18 USA Keegan Bradley 61 1.61% 1.24% 1.28% 0.04% T43 5.53
19 USA Jamie Lovemark 62 1.59% 1.22% 0.6% -0.61% T24
20 ARG Emiliano Grillo 64 1.54% 1.18% 1.04% -0.14% T3 (tied w/2) 5.27 +36.4
21 USA Chris Kirk 66 1.49% 1.15% 1% -0.15% MC
22 USA J.B. Holmes 71 1.39% 1.07% 0.86% -0.21% T32
23 USA Brandt Snedeker 73 1.35% 1.04% 0.75% -0.29% T87
24 RSA Dylan Frittelli 81 1.22% 0.94% 1.28% 0.34% MC 4.18
25 IND Shubhankar Sharma 81 1.22% 0.94% 1.07% 0.14% MC 4.18
26 USA Jason Kokrak 83 1.19% 0.91% 0.92% 0.01% T80 4.08
27 USA Bud Cauley 90 1.1% 0.84% 0.68% -0.17% T18
28 USA James Hahn 91 1.09% 0.83% 1.5% 0.67% T32 3.73
29 USA Ryan Palmer 92 1.08% 0.83% 0.58% -0.24% MC
30 USA Patrick Rodgers 93 1.06% 0.82% 0.72% -0.09% MC 3.65
31 USA Harris English 97 1.02% 0.78% 0.57% -0.21% MC
32 USA Julian Suri 99 1% 0.77% 0.76% 0% T8 3.43
33 USA Bill Haas 99 1% 0.77% 0.48% -0.29% T76
34 ENG Ian Poulter 101 0.98% 0.75% 1.44% 0.68% 1 3.36 +207
35 USA Scott Piercy 101 0.98% 0.75% 0.84% 0.09% T24 3.36
36 SCO Russell Knox 103 0.96% 0.74% 0.94% 0.2% MC 3.3
37 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 104 0.95% 0.73% 1.04% 0.31% T87 3.27
38 USA Kelly Kraft 105 0.94% 0.72% 0.7% -0.03% T80 3.24
39 USA Peter Uihlein 109 0.91% 0.7% 1.02% 0.32% MC 3.12
40 IRL Paul Dunne 110 0.9% 0.69% 0.77% 0.08% T8 3.09
41 USA Brice Garnett 112 0.88% 0.68% 0.57% -0.11% MC 3.04
42 USA Kevin Streelman 113 0.88% 0.67% 0.9% 0.23% T43 3.01
43 GER Martin Kaymer 115 0.86% 0.66% 1.04% 0.38% MC 2.96
44 USA Grayson Murray 116 0.85% 0.66% 0.52% -0.13% T14 2.93
45 USA Chesson Hadley 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.76% 0.13% T18 2.84
46 USA Lucas Glover 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.73% 0.1% T32 2.84
47 USA Seungsu Han 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.6% -0.03% T52 2.84
48 CAN Corey Conners 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.36% -0.28% MC
49 IRL Shane Lowry 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.85% 0.26% T14 2.62
50 ENG Lee Westwood 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.83% 0.25% T80 2.62
51 USA William McGirt 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.57% -0.02% MC 2.62
52 USA Scott Stallings 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.96% 0.45% T80
53 SVK Rory Sabbatini 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.83% 0.32% T70
54 USA Aaron Wise 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.38% -0.12% T32
55 USA Brandon Harkins 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.63% 0.15% T60
56 USA John Huh 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.59% 0.11% T32
57 KOR Sunghoon Kang 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.51% 0.03% WD
58 USA Beau Hossler 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.39% -0.09% 2
59 USA Nick Watney 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.56% 0.14% T32
60 AUS Aaron Baddeley 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.55% 0.12% 74
61 USA Keith Mitchell 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.49% 0.07% T6
62 TPE C.T. Pan 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.67% 0.29% MC
63 AUS Matt Jones 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.31% -0.07% T52
64 USA Dominic Bozzelli 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.53% 0.17% 90
65 USA Sam Saunders 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.47% 0.11% T72
66 IRL Seamus Power 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.35% -0.01% T60
67 USA Tom Lovelady 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.5% 0.15% T68
68 USA Johnson Wagner 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.45% 0.11% T52
69 USA Hunter Mahan 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.62% 0.29% T43
70 USA Kevin Tway 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.3% -0.04% T32
71 USA Chris Stroud 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.51% 0.21% MC
72 USA Michael Kim 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.31% 0% MC
73 USA Michael Thompson 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.5% 0.21% T14
74 USA Talor Gooch 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.45% 0.16% MC
75 USA Troy Merritt 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.43% 0.14% T43
76 USA Cameron Tringale 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.32% 0.03% MC
77 USA Tom Hoge 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.7% 0.42% T60
78 USA Andrew Putnam 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.53% 0.25% T32
79 USA Shawn Stefani 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.48% 0.19% T24
80 KOR K.J. Choi 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.48% 0.19% MC
81 USA Blayne Barber 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.3% 0.02% MC
82 USA Ryan Armour 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.74% 0.47% T43
83 USA Harold Varner III 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.36% 0.09% MC
84 USA Ryan Blaum 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.62% 0.35% MC
85 USA Chad Campbell 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.55% 0.28% T64
86 USA Martin Flores 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.46% 0.19% MC
87 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% T32
88 IRL Padraig Harrington 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.69% 0.43% 89
89 USA Derek Fathauer 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.67% 0.42% MC
90 CAN Nick Taylor 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.58% 0.33% MC
91 USA Robert Garrigus 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.57% 0.32% T18
92 SWE Jonas Blixt 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.53% 0.28% MC
93 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.51% 0.26% MC
94 GER Alex Cejka 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.46% 0.2% MC
95 JPN Yuta Ikeda 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.45% 0.2% MC
96 RSA Retief Goosen 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.19% MC
97 USA Jonathan Byrd 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.17% T76
98 USA Denny McCarthy 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.37% 0.12% T43
99 USA Scott Brown 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.36% 0.11% T76
100 USA Joel Dahmen 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.08% T76
101 NZL Danny Lee 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.32% 0.07% T64
102 USA Adam Schenk 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.29% 0.03% T60
103 USA Nate Lashley 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.28% 0.03% T18
104 ARG Fabian Gomez 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.74% 0.55% T85
105 USA Brian Stuard 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.68% 0.49% MC
106 USA Ben Crane 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.61% 0.41% T43
107 RSA Ernie Els 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.55% 0.36% T72
108 COL Camilo Villegas 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% MC
109 KOR Meenwhee Kim 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% MC
110 USA Rob Oppenheim 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.39% 0.2% T32
111 USA Mackenzie Hughes 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.14% MC
112 AUS Rod Pampling 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% MC
113 USA Bronson Burgoon 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T24
114 USA Matt Every 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.2% 0.01% T8
115 USA Lanto Griffin 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.2% 0.01% MC
116 USA Sam Ryder 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.17% -0.02% 5
117 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% T14
118 USA Robert Streb 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% MC
119 USA Martin Piller 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.19% T24
120 USA Richy Werenski 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.17% T85
121 GER Stephan Jaeger 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.14% MC
122 USA Tyler Duncan 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% T52
123 MEX Roberto Diaz 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.1% T32
124 USA Bob Estes 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.07% MC
125 USA Jonathan Randolph 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.05% MC
126 USA Peter Malnati 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.35% 0.23% MC
127 USA Brett Stegmaier 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.33% 0.21% T43
128 USA Smylie Kaufman 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% MC
129 USA Cody Gribble 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% MC
130 USA D.A. Points 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.39% 0.29% MC
131 AUS Greg Chalmers 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.37% 0.27% T70
132 USA Andrew Loupe 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.35% 0.25% MC
133 RSA Dawie van der Walt 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% T68
134 USA Ethan Tracy 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 75
135 USA Jon Curran 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.09% MC
136 MEX Abraham Ancer 0% 0% 0.81% 0% T8
137 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.67% 0% T64
138 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% 0.4% 0% MC
139 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.28% 0% MC
140 CAN Benjamin Silverman 0% 0% 0.28% 0% T80

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...