Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 70.0

Total Profit: -30.2

Farmers Insurance Open

25/01/2018 - 28/01/2018

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 7 12.5% 9.31% 3.9% -5.42% T29
2 USA Rickie Fowler 13 7.14% 5.32% 3.22% -2.1% MC
3 ENG Justin Rose 16 5.88% 4.38% 3.16% -1.22% T8
4 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 17 5.56% 4.14% 3.35% -0.79% T12
5 AUS Marc Leishman 23 4.17% 3.1% 2.68% -0.42% T8
6 AUS Jason Day 23 4.17% 3.1% 2.29% -0.81% 1
7 USA Tiger Woods 24 4% 2.98% 0.7% -2.28% T23
8 USA Patrick Cantlay 35 2.78% 2.07% 1.93% -0.14% T51
9 USA Tony Finau 35 2.78% 2.07% 1.26% -0.81% T6
10 USA Brian Harman 37 2.63% 1.96% 1.4% -0.56% MC
11 USA Gary Woodland 45 2.17% 1.62% 1.59% -0.03% T12 7.25
12 USA Charles Howell III 46 2.13% 1.59% 0.86% -0.73% T6
13 USA Ollie Schniederjans 46 2.13% 1.59% 0.65% -0.93% MC
14 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 50 1.96% 1.46% 1.51% 0.05% MC 6.54
15 USA Brandt Snedeker 50 1.96% 1.46% 0.42% -1.04% T45
16 USA Kyle Stanley 55 1.79% 1.33% 1.13% -0.2% T51
17 USA Phil Mickelson 58 1.69% 1.26% 1.83% 0.56% T45 5.65
18 IRL Shane Lowry 58 1.69% 1.26% 1.71% 0.45% MC 5.65
19 AUS Cameron Smith 60 1.64% 1.22% 0.94% -0.28% T20
20 USA Xander Schauffele 61 1.61% 1.2% 1.31% 0.11% MC 5.38
21 USA Patrick Reed 65 1.52% 1.13% 2.01% 0.88% T23 5.05
22 USA Brendan Steele 65 1.52% 1.13% 0.91% -0.22% T29
23 USA Charley Hoffman 67 1.47% 1.1% 1.6% 0.5% T35 4.9
24 USA Bud Cauley 69 1.43% 1.06% 0.74% -0.33% T58
25 ITA Francesco Molinari 72 1.37% 1.02% 2.1% 1.08% T45 4.57
26 CAN Adam Hadwin 72 1.37% 1.02% 0.81% -0.21% T35
27 USA Keegan Bradley 79 1.25% 0.93% 1.32% 0.39% 5 4.17 +35
28 SWE Alexander Noren 83 1.19% 0.89% 0.97% 0.09% T2 (tied w/2) 3.97 +34.9
29 SCO Russell Knox 84 1.18% 0.88% 0.96% 0.08% T29 3.92
30 USA Peter Uihlein 87 1.14% 0.85% 0.84% -0.01% MC 3.79
31 USA J.B. Holmes 87 1.14% 0.85% 0.54% -0.31% 4
32 USA Lucas Glover 93 1.06% 0.79% 1.15% 0.36% T67 3.55
33 USA Grayson Murray 93 1.06% 0.79% 0.41% -0.39% T75
34 USA James Hahn 97 1.02% 0.76% 0.98% 0.21% T45 3.4
35 USA Kevin Streelman 97 1.02% 0.76% 0.71% -0.05% T29 3.4
36 USA Harris English 97 1.02% 0.76% 0.39% -0.38% T8
37 KOR Siwoo Kim 105 0.94% 0.7% 0.73% 0.03% T35 3.15
38 USA Bill Haas 109 0.91% 0.68% 0.72% 0.04% T54 3.03
39 USA J.J Spaun 111 0.89% 0.67% 0.63% -0.03% T23 2.98
40 ARG Emiliano Grillo 112 0.88% 0.66% 0.91% 0.25% T12 2.95
41 USA Andrew Landry 112 0.88% 0.66% 0.85% 0.19% MC 2.95
42 USA Billy Horschel 112 0.88% 0.66% 0.7% 0.04% T54 2.95
43 USA Julian Suri 116 0.85% 0.64% 1.12% 0.48% T63 2.85
44 USA Bryson DeChambeau 120 0.83% 0.62% 1.2% 0.59% MC 2.76
45 USA Chris Kirk 120 0.83% 0.62% 1.15% 0.53% T35 2.76
46 USA Chesson Hadley 120 0.83% 0.62% 0.51% -0.1% T23
47 USA Brandon Harkins 120 0.83% 0.62% 0.48% -0.14% T12
48 TPE C.T. Pan 120 0.83% 0.62% 0.46% -0.16% T35
49 SCO Martin Laird 120 0.83% 0.62% 0.36% -0.26% MC
50 USA Jimmy Walker 130 0.76% 0.57% 0.55% -0.02% T63 2.55
51 USA John Huh 130 0.76% 0.57% 0.46% -0.11% T45
52 USA Jamie Lovemark 130 0.76% 0.57% 0.4% -0.17% MC
53 USA Patrick Rodgers 130 0.76% 0.57% 0.39% -0.18% MC
54 USA Beau Hossler 130 0.76% 0.57% 0.36% -0.21% T35
55 USA Stewart Cink 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.94% 0.45% MC
56 IND Anirban Lahiri 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.8% 0.3% T54
57 USA Ryan Palmer 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.7% 0.21% T2
58 SWE David Lingmerth 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.53% 0.03% MC
59 USA Aaron Wise 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.44% -0.02% MC
60 USA Luke List 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.73% 0.32% T12
61 USA Tom Hoge 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.55% 0.14% T12
62 USA Robert Streb 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.4% -0.01% 66
63 USA Nick Watney 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.44% 0.05% T58
64 USA Scott Stallings 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.37% -0.02% MC
65 CAN Nick Taylor 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.57% 0.2% T75
66 IRL Seamus Power 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.37% 0% MC
67 USA Martin Piller 210 0.47% 0.35% 0.57% 0.22% MC
68 KOR Sunghoon Kang 220 0.45% 0.34% 0.5% 0.16% T69
69 AUS Cameron Davis 220 0.45% 0.34% 0.4% 0.07% T58
70 USA Hunter Mahan 230 0.43% 0.32% 0.67% 0.34% T69
71 ENG Luke Donald 230 0.43% 0.32% 0.63% 0.31% MC
72 IRL Padraig Harrington 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.51% 0.21% MC
73 USA Harold Varner III 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% MC
74 SWE Jonas Blixt 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% MC
75 KOR K.J. Choi 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.56% 0.28% MC
76 USA Michael Thompson 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.54% 0.26% MC
77 USA Kevin Tway 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.53% 0.25% T35
78 USA Kelly Kraft 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.42% 0.14% MC
79 USA Richy Werenski 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.47% 0.2% MC
80 NZL Danny Lee 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.28% 0% T58
81 SVK Rory Sabbatini 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.56% 0.29% T20
82 USA Robert Garrigus 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.37% 0.1% T8
83 AUS Aaron Baddeley 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.29% 0.03% MC
84 USA Trey Mullinax 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.28% 0.02% MC
85 RSA Retief Goosen 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.47% 0.22% T12
86 USA Martin Flores 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.4% 0.14% T35
87 AUS Matt Jones 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.33% 0.08% MC
88 KOR Meenwhee Kim 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.33% 0.07% MC
89 USA Smylie Kaufman 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.32% 0.06% MC
90 USA Michael Kim 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.32% 0.06% T23
91 USA Talor Gooch 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.3% 0.04% T51
92 KOR Sangmoon Bae 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.48% 0.23% MC
93 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.47% 0.22% MC
94 USA Morgan Hoffmann 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% MC
95 USA Brice Garnett 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.11% T35
96 USA Andrew Putnam 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.35% 0.1% T54
97 USA Keith Mitchell 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.1% T63
98 CAN David Hearn 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% MC
99 GER Alex Cejka 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% MC
100 USA Nate Lashley 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.3% 0.05% MC
101 CAN Corey Conners 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.26% 0.01% T29
102 USA Zac Blair 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.26% 0.01% MC
103 USA Rob Oppenheim 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.24% -0.01% MC
104 USA Jim Herman 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.24% -0.01% MC
105 USA Chad Campbell 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.22% -0.03% MC
106 CAN Benjamin Silverman 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.21% -0.03% T67
107 USA Sam Burns 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.21% -0.04% MC
108 USA JT Poston 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.19% -0.06% T73
109 USA Johnson Wagner 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.54% 0.35% MC
110 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.47% 0.28% MC
111 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.25% MC
112 USA Tom Lovelady 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% T45
113 COL Camilo Villegas 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.39% 0.2% 77
114 USA Tyler Duncan 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% MC
115 USA Derek Fathauer 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.35% 0.17% MC
116 USA Matt Every 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.35% 0.17% MC
117 USA Jonathan Byrd 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.35% 0.16% MC
118 USA Shawn Stefani 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.15% MC
119 USA Cameron Tringale 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.14% T58
120 USA Jonathan Randolph 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% MC
121 USA Mackenzie Hughes 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% MC
122 USA Bronson Burgoon 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.19% 0.01% MC
123 USA Cody Gribble 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.25% T35
124 USA Adam Schenk 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.24% MC
125 USA Peter Malnati 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.18% MC
126 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% T73
127 USA Troy Merritt 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
128 AUS Rod Pampling 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
129 MEX Abraham Ancer 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% T20
130 GER Stephan Jaeger 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
131 USA Brett Stegmaier 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.34% 0.22% MC
132 USA Andrew Loupe 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% MC
133 USA Sam Ryder 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.21% 0.09% MC
134 USA Steve Wheatcroft 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.39% 0.29% MC
135 MEX Roberto Diaz 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 72
136 USA Joel Dahmen 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% MC
137 USA Lanto Griffin 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.04% T12
138 USA Conrad Shindler 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.1% 0% MC
139 USA Kyle Thompson 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.1% 0% MC
140 USA John Mallinger 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.21% 0.14% MC
141 USA Jack Maguire 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.11% MC
142 USA Denny McCarthy 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.09% MC
143 USA Ethan Tracy 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.09% MC
144 USA Andrew Yun 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.09% 0.01% MC
145 USA Ricky Barnes 0% 0% 0.64% 0% MC
146 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.53% 0% T69
147 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.38% 0% T23
148 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% 0.27% 0% MC
149 USA Norman Xiong 0% 0% 0.17% 0% MC
150 USA Maverick McNealy 0% 0% 0.15% 0% T29
151 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC
152 USA Matt Atkins 0% 0% 0.1% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...