Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 110.0

Total Profit: +9.8

NEDBANK GOLF CHALLENGE HOSTED BY GARY PLAYER

08/11/2018 - 11/11/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 8 11.11% 8.68% 6.36% -2.32% T21
2 ESP Sergio Garcia 9 10% 7.82% 1.56% -6.26% 2
3 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 14 6.67% 5.21% 2.96% -2.25% 3
4 CHN Hao Tong Li 16 5.88% 4.6% 3.47% -1.13% T5
5 RSA Branden Grace 16 5.88% 4.6% 2.04% -2.56% T11
6 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 20 4.76% 3.72% 2.91% -0.82% T11
7 IRL Shane Lowry 22 4.35% 3.4% 2.35% -1.04% T35
8 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 25 3.85% 3.01% 3.38% 0.37% T27 13.18
9 ENG Danny Willett 28 3.45% 2.7% 1.74% -0.96% T50
10 GER Martin Kaymer 30 3.23% 2.52% 2.96% 0.44% T21 11.05
11 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 30 3.23% 2.52% 2.04% -0.48% T46
12 NED Joost Luiten 33 2.94% 2.3% 0.56% -1.73% T27
13 ENG Tom Lewis 35 2.78% 2.17% 2.32% 0.15% T67
14 ENG Lee Westwood 35 2.78% 2.17% 2.15% -0.03% 1
15 ENG Andy Sullivan 35 2.78% 2.17% 1.37% -0.8% T41
16 ENG Matt Wallace 45 2.17% 1.7% 2.08% 0.38% T5 (tied w/2) 7.45 +37.3
17 SWE Alexander Bjork 45 2.17% 1.7% 1.54% -0.16% T57
18 RSA Charl Schwartzel 45 2.17% 1.7% 1.24% -0.46% T41
19 NZL Ryan Fox 50 1.96% 1.53% 2.09% 0.55% T50 6.72
20 FRA Alexander Levy 50 1.96% 1.53% 1.37% -0.16% WD
21 ITA Andrea Pavan 55 1.79% 1.4% 2.33% 0.94% T11 6.12
22 AUS Lucas Herbert 55 1.79% 1.4% 1.45% 0.06% T35
23 RSA Erik van Rooyen 55 1.79% 1.4% 1.22% -0.17% T60
24 RSA Dylan Frittelli 60 1.64% 1.28% 0.94% -0.34% T21
25 IRL Padraig Harrington 66 1.49% 1.17% 2.01% 0.84% T35 5.12
26 BEL Thomas Detry 66 1.49% 1.17% 1.51% 0.35% 7 5.12 +36.4
27 ENG Ross Fisher 66 1.49% 1.17% 1.47% 0.31% 4 5.12 +36.4
28 ENG Jordan L Smith 66 1.49% 1.17% 1.33% 0.17% T21
29 ENG Sam Horsfield 66 1.49% 1.17% 1.02% -0.15% T46
30 FIN Mikko Korhonen 80 1.23% 0.96% 1.23% 0.26% T16
31 ESP Jorge Campillo 90 1.1% 0.86% 1.74% 0.88% T46 3.77
32 SWE Marcus Kinhult 90 1.1% 0.86% 1.23% 0.37% 71 3.77
33 ESP Adrian Otaegui 90 1.1% 0.86% 1.17% 0.31% T16 3.77
34 IRL Paul Dunne 90 1.1% 0.86% 0.78% -0.08% 59
35 ENG Robert Rock 100 0.99% 0.77% 1.42% 0.65% T21 3.4
36 AUT Matthias Schwab 100 0.99% 0.77% 1.08% 0.31% T41 3.4
37 RSA Darren Fichardt 110 0.9% 0.7% 1.36% 0.65% T9 3.09
38 RSA Thomas Aiken 110 0.9% 0.7% 0.78% 0.08% T55
39 RSA Brandon Stone 125 0.79% 0.62% 1.39% 0.77% T60 2.72
40 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 0.79% 0.62% 1.37% 0.75% T69 2.72
41 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 125 0.79% 0.62% 1.19% 0.57% T27 2.72
42 ESP Nacho Elvira 125 0.79% 0.62% 1.17% 0.55% 54 2.72
43 RSA George Coetzee 125 0.79% 0.62% 1.08% 0.46% T41 2.72
44 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 125 0.79% 0.62% 1.04% 0.42% T35 2.72
45 RSA Richard Sterne 125 0.79% 0.62% 1.02% 0.4% T21 2.72
46 ENG Chris Paisley 125 0.79% 0.62% 0.79% 0.17% T9
47 IND Shubhankar Sharma 125 0.79% 0.62% 0.77% 0.15% T27
48 ENG Andrew Johnston 125 0.79% 0.62% 0.51% -0.11% T27
49 ENG Ashley Chesters 125 0.79% 0.62% 0.49% -0.13% T67
50 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 140 0.71% 0.55% 1.11% 0.55% T11
51 AUS Jason Scrivener 150 0.66% 0.52% 1.28% 0.76% T16
52 JPN Hideto Tanihara 150 0.66% 0.52% 1.02% 0.5% T55
53 CHN Wu Ashun 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.82% 0.3% T16
54 GER Maximilian Kieffer 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.36% -0.16% T60
55 FRA Benjamin Hebert 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.99% 0.51% T35
56 ENG Aaron Rai 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.55% 0.06% 8
57 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 175 0.57% 0.44% 0.83% 0.39% T50
58 RSA Dean Burmester 175 0.57% 0.44% 0.65% 0.21% T11
59 MAS Gavin Green 200 0.5% 0.39% 1.33% 0.94% T57
60 ENG Lee Slattery 200 0.5% 0.39% 1.18% 0.79% 66
61 SCO Stephen Gallacher 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.97% 0.58% T60
62 ENG Oliver Fisher 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.93% 0.54% T50
63 ENG Paul Waring 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.83% 0.44% T35
64 AUS Wade Ormsby 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.76% 0.38% T16
65 RSA Trevor Immelman 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.67% 0.28% T27
66 FRA Matthieu Pavon 225 0.44% 0.35% 0.56% 0.21% T60
67 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.9% 0.59% T60
68 ITA Renato Paratore 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.61% 0.29% T27
69 SWE Joakim Lagergren 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.55% 0.24% T27
70 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.57% 0.42% T69
71 SWE Jens Dantorp 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.58% 0.45% T46
72 FRA Julien Guerrier 0% 0% 0.54% 0% T41

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...