Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 72.6

Total Profit: -27.6

Nordea Masters

16/08/2018 - 19/08/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 8 11.11% 8.75% 3.54% -5.21% 4
2 SWE Alexander Bjork 21 4.55% 3.58% 2.24% -1.34% MC
3 GER Martin Kaymer 26 3.7% 2.92% 2.22% -0.69% T61
4 SWE Joakim Lagergren 27 3.57% 2.81% 1.81% -1.01% T34
5 BEL Thomas Detry 28 3.45% 2.72% 0.78% -1.94% T13
6 SWE Marcus Kinhult 31 3.13% 2.46% 1.06% -1.4% T45
7 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 32 3.03% 2.39% 1.25% -1.14% T45
8 ENG Matthew Southgate 35 2.78% 2.19% 1.44% -0.75% T10
9 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 35 2.78% 2.19% 1% -1.19% WD
10 JPN Hideto Tanihara 41 2.38% 1.87% 1.51% -0.36% MC
11 ENG Robert Rock 41 2.38% 1.87% 1.41% -0.46% T6
12 AUT Matthias Schwab 42 2.33% 1.83% 0.99% -0.84% MC
13 ENG Aaron Rai 43 2.27% 1.79% 1.11% -0.68% T24
14 ZIM Scott Vincent 43 2.27% 1.79% 0.95% -0.84% MC
15 KOR Jeunghun Wang 48 2.04% 1.61% 0.86% -0.75% MC
16 FRA Benjamin Hebert 49 2% 1.57% 0.96% -0.62% T24
17 ESP Nacho Elvira 50 1.96% 1.54% 0.78% -0.76% T24
18 ENG Andrew Johnston 54 1.82% 1.43% 0.86% -0.58% T10
19 FRA Matthieu Pavon 56 1.75% 1.38% 0.66% -0.73% T29
20 ENG Richard McEvoy 58 1.69% 1.33% 1.53% 0.19% T34 5.92
21 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 58 1.69% 1.33% 1.42% 0.09% MC 5.92
22 ITA Renato Paratore 59 1.67% 1.31% 1.03% -0.28% MC
23 SCO Richie Ramsay 61 1.61% 1.27% 0.86% -0.41% MC
24 AUS Lucas Herbert 65 1.52% 1.19% 0.68% -0.51% 5
25 SWE Jens Dantorp 72 1.37% 1.08% 0.88% -0.2% MC
26 ENG Tom Lewis 79 1.25% 0.98% 1.31% 0.33% T29 4.37
27 ITA Andrea Pavan 80 1.23% 0.97% 1.52% 0.55% T6 (tied w/4) 4.31 +18.3
28 SCO Marc Warren 80 1.23% 0.97% 1.04% 0.07% T17 4.31
29 WAL Bradley Dredge 81 1.22% 0.96% 0.69% -0.27% T34
30 SCO Stephen Gallacher 86 1.15% 0.91% 1.28% 0.37% MC 4.02
31 GER Maximilian Kieffer 87 1.14% 0.89% 0.62% -0.28% 3
32 FRA Julien Guerrier 88 1.12% 0.88% 0.48% -0.4% MC
33 ENG Ashley Chesters 90 1.1% 0.87% 0.89% 0.03% T29 3.84
34 DEN Jeff Winther 91 1.09% 0.86% 0.72% -0.13% T68
35 SCO Scott Jamieson 92 1.08% 0.85% 0.85% 0.01% T42 3.76
36 SCO Connor Syme 98 1.01% 0.8% 1.18% 0.38% T21 3.53
37 SCO David Drysdale 99 1% 0.79% 0.68% -0.1% MC 3.5
38 ENG Lee Slattery 100 0.99% 0.78% 0.51% -0.27% T10
39 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 105 0.94% 0.74% 0.75% 0.01% T42 3.3
40 CAN Austin Connelly 107 0.93% 0.73% 0.53% -0.2% MC
41 THA Jazz Janewattananond 108 0.92% 0.72% 0.58% -0.15% T6
42 ENG James Morrison 109 0.91% 0.72% 1.09% 0.37% T61 3.18
43 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 109 0.91% 0.72% 1.04% 0.32% MC 3.18
44 ITA Matteo Manassero 110 0.9% 0.71% 1.56% 0.85% MC 3.15
45 ENG Matthew Nixon 110 0.9% 0.71% 0.76% 0.05% T34 3.15
46 RSA Justin Walters 111 0.89% 0.7% 1.31% 0.6% T45 3.12
47 RSA Thomas Aiken 111 0.89% 0.7% 0.76% 0.06% 2 3.12 +36.2
48 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 111 0.89% 0.7% 0.67% -0.03% T45 3.12
49 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 112 0.88% 0.7% 0.86% 0.17% T45 3.09
50 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 115 0.86% 0.68% 0.79% 0.11% MC 3.01
51 CHI Felipe Aguilar 116 0.85% 0.67% 0.64% -0.03% MC 2.99
52 GER Marcel Siem 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.98% 0.32% MC 2.89
53 USA Paul Peterson 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.8% 0.15% T45 2.89
54 RSA Haydn Porteous 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.79% 0.14% T6 (tied w/4) 2.89 +18.1
55 SWE Peter Hanson 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.71% 0.06% WD 2.89
56 ENG Paul Waring 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.48% -0.17% 1
57 FRA Sebastien Gros 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.7% 0.1% T13 2.67
58 POR Ricardo Gouveia 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.66% 0.06% T45 2.67
59 AUS Jason Scrivener 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.6% 0% T61 2.67
60 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.53% -0.07% MC 2.67
61 ITA Nino Bertasio 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.46% -0.14% T17
62 KOR Jinho Choi 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.82% 0.3% T42
63 ENG Steven Brown 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.7% 0.17% MC
64 AUS Matthew Millar 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.59% 0.07% MC
65 DEN Lasse Jensen 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.37% -0.15% MC
66 FIN Kim Koivu 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.91% 0.42% T68
67 DEN Anders Hansen 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.71% 0.22% MC
68 FRA Adrien Saddier 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.52% 0.03% MC
69 GER Sebastian Heisele 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.43% 0% T61
70 ESP Alejandro Canizares 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.59% 0.18% T45
71 ESP Scott Fernandez 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.5% 0.08% MC
72 SWE Henric Sturehed 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.47% 0.05% MC
73 SWE Robert Karlsson 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.89% 0.5% T17
74 ITA Edoardo Molinari 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.86% 0.46% T68
75 FRA Gregory Havret 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.74% 0.34% 74
76 FIN Oliver Lindell 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.59% 0.2% T21
77 FRA Gregory Bourdy 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.61% 0.24% MC
78 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.49% 0.11% T34
79 ENG Steve Webster 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.74% 0.38% MC
80 KOR Rakhyun Cho 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.68% 0.32% T56
81 ESP Pedro Oriol 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.63% 0.27% T34
82 WAL Oliver Farr 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.57% 0.21% MC
83 SWE Johan Carlsson 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.81% 0.47% T13
84 ENG Richard Bland 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.37% 0.03% T61
85 ENG David Howell 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.78% 0.46% T24
86 GER Florian Fritsch 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.58% 0.27% MC
87 ENG Ryan Evans 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.58% 0.26% T29
88 KOR Soomin Lee 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.58% 0.26% MC
89 AUS Richard Green 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.47% 0.16% T45
90 FRA Clement Sordet 260 0.38% 0.3% 1.08% 0.78% T17
91 AUS Brett Rumford 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.99% 0.69% MC
92 ENG Laurie Canter 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.45% 0.15% T56
93 AUS Adam Bland 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.65% 0.37% T13
94 SWE Niklas Lemke 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.37% 0.09% MC
95 ENG Chris Hanson 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% T45
96 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.3% 0.02% MC
97 ENG Charlie Ford 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.31% 0.04% MC
98 DEN Thomas Bjorn 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.58% 0.32% MC
99 ENG Matthew Baldwin 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.55% 0.29% MC
100 FIN Roope Kakko 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.54% 0.27% MC
101 SWE Mikael Lundberg 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.52% 0.26% WD
102 SWE Joel Sjoholm 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.48% 0.22% MC
103 SWE Pontus Widegren 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% MC
104 SWE Johan Edfors 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% T45
105 ARG Ricardo Gonzalez 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.88% 0.69% MC
106 ESP Pep Angles Ros 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.69% 0.49% MC
107 CHI Mark Tullo 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% T34
108 FRA Gary Stal 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.54% 0.34% T56
109 SWE Niclas Fasth 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.51% 0.32% MC
110 ENG Daniel Brooks 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.46% 0.27% MC
111 USA Chase Koepka 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% MC
112 SWE Malcolm Kokocinski 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.28% 0.09% MC
113 SCO Bradley Neil 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.27% 0.07% T21
114 USA Daniel Im 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.5% 0.34% MC
115 ENG Simon Khan 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.5% 0.34% MC
116 NZL Josh Geary 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.43% 0.27% MC
117 CAN Brad Fritsch 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.42% 0.26% T72
118 ESP Carlos Pigem 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.41% 0.26% T61
119 CHI Matias Calderon 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.41% 0.25% MC
120 SWE Oscar Stark 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.41% 0.25% MC
121 ISL Birgir Hafthorsson 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.36% 0.2% T68
122 ENG Jonathan Thomson 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.09% T29
123 SWE Ake Nilsson 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% MC
124 SWE Michael Jonzon 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.38% 0.27% MC
125 NOR Jarand Ekeland Arnoy 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.44% 0.36% MC
126 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 1.05% 0% MC
127 GRE Peter Karmis 0% 0% 0.51% 0% MC
128 ENG Alfie Plant 0% 0% 0.41% 0% T61
129 SWE Nils Floren 0% 0% 0.29% 0% T56
130 SWE Per Langfors 0% 0% 0.26% 0% MC
131 USA Hunter Stewart 0% 0% 0.22% 0% T24
132 SWE Alex Wennstam 0% 0% 0.21% 0% MC
133 SWE Hannes Ronneblad 0% 0% 0.18% 0% MC
134 SWE Gustav Adell 0% 0% 0.18% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...