Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 105.1

Total Profit: +5

HNA OPEN DE FRANCE

28/06/2018 - 01/07/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Justin Thomas 13 7.14% 5.42% 2.95% -2.47% T8
2 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 14 6.67% 5.06% 3.54% -1.52% MC
3 ESP Jon Rahm 14 6.67% 5.06% 1.94% -3.11% T5
4 SWE Alexander Noren 15 6.25% 4.74% 2.5% -2.24% 1
5 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 21 4.55% 3.45% 1.58% -1.87% MC
6 ESP Sergio Garcia 23 4.17% 3.16% 2.05% -1.11% T8
7 ENG Ian Poulter 23 4.17% 3.16% 1.85% -1.31% T21
8 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 27 3.57% 2.71% 0.81% -1.9% MC
9 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 28 3.45% 2.62% 1.71% -0.9% T27
10 ENG Andy Sullivan 28 3.45% 2.62% 1.29% -1.33% T21
11 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 30 3.23% 2.45% 1.75% -0.69% T16
12 GER Martin Kaymer 35 2.78% 2.11% 2.07% -0.04% MC 9.27
13 ENG Lee Westwood 43 2.27% 1.72% 1.62% -0.1% WD 7.58
14 ENG Ross Fisher 47 2.08% 1.58% 1.1% -0.48% MC
15 BEL Thomas Pieters 49 2% 1.52% 0.61% -0.91% T31
16 ENG Matt Wallace 55 1.79% 1.35% 1.17% -0.18% MC 5.96
17 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 55 1.79% 1.35% 0.82% -0.53% T61
18 IRL Paul Dunne 57 1.72% 1.31% 0.78% -0.53% T21
19 SCO Russell Knox 59 1.67% 1.26% 1.43% 0.17% T2 (tied w/3) 5.56 +35.6
20 IRL Shane Lowry 60 1.64% 1.24% 1.5% 0.26% T16 5.47
21 FIN Mikko Korhonen 63 1.56% 1.19% 0.8% -0.39% MC
22 NIR Graeme McDowell 67 1.47% 1.12% 0.9% -0.22% T37 4.91
23 SWE Alexander Bjork 70 1.41% 1.07% 0.88% -0.19% T8 4.7
24 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 71 1.39% 1.05% 0.55% -0.5% T49
25 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 72 1.37% 1.04% 1.02% -0.02% T16 4.57
26 FRA Alexander Levy 78 1.27% 0.96% 1.21% 0.25% 65 4.23
27 ENG Andrew Johnston 85 1.16% 0.88% 0.93% 0.05% WD 3.88
28 ESP Jorge Campillo 87 1.14% 0.86% 1.19% 0.33% T8 3.79
29 ENG Aaron Rai 88 1.12% 0.85% 0.5% -0.35% MC 3.75
30 BEL Thomas Detry 89 1.11% 0.84% 0.45% -0.39% T16
31 ENG Jordan L Smith 93 1.06% 0.81% 0.65% -0.16% T21 3.55
32 USA Julian Suri 97 1.02% 0.77% 0.6% -0.17% T2 (tied w/3) 3.41 +34.8
33 ENG Chris Wood 99 1% 0.76% 0.78% 0.02% T2 (tied w/3) 3.34 +34.7
34 ESP Adrian Otaegui 105 0.94% 0.72% 1.1% 0.39% T12 3.15
35 NZL Ryan Fox 107 0.93% 0.7% 0.91% 0.21% T44 3.09
36 RSA Dylan Frittelli 109 0.91% 0.69% 0.93% 0.24% T12 3.04
37 ESP Nacho Elvira 109 0.91% 0.69% 0.77% 0.08% T53 3.04
38 AUS Scott Hend 115 0.86% 0.65% 0.54% -0.12% T44 2.88
39 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 115 0.86% 0.65% 0.53% -0.12% MC 2.88
40 ENG Chris Paisley 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.8% 0.18% MC 2.76
41 RSA Dean Burmester 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.45% -0.18% T56 2.76
42 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 130 0.76% 0.58% 0.8% 0.22% MC 2.55
43 IND Shubhankar Sharma 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.75% 0.25% T27
44 FRA Benjamin Hebert 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.69% 0.19% MC
45 AUT Matthias Schwab 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.66% 0.15% T37
46 RSA Erik van Rooyen 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.54% 0.04% MC
47 RSA George Coetzee 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.53% 0.03% T44
48 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.51% 0% T37
49 KOR Jeunghun Wang 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.77% 0.3% MC
50 USA David Lipsky 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.69% 0.22% MC
51 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.65% 0.18% MC
52 THA Thongchai Jaidee 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.51% 0.04% MC
53 GER Maximilian Kieffer 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.41% -0.06% MC
54 ENG Sam Horsfield 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.39% -0.09% MC
55 ENG Robert Rock 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.58% 0.16% MC
56 JPN Hideto Tanihara 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.69% 0.29% T56
57 RSA Justin Walters 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.66% 0.26% MC
58 SWE Joakim Lagergren 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.49% 0.1% MC
59 ENG Lee Slattery 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.47% 0.08% MC
60 FRA Julien Guerrier 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.31% -0.09% MC
61 FRA Sebastien Gros 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.3% -0.1% MC
62 ITA Matteo Manassero 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.88% 0.5% MC
63 ITA Andrea Pavan 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.65% 0.27% T56
64 WAL Bradley Dredge 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.65% 0.27% T44
65 ENG Danny Willett 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.53% 0.15% MC
66 ENG Callum Shinkwin 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.48% 0.1% WD
67 ENG David Horsey 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.69% 0.33% T27
68 RSA Richard Sterne 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.53% 0.17% T31
69 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 220 0.45% 0.34% 0.58% 0.24% T61
70 SCO Richie Ramsay 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.61% 0.29% MC
71 ENG Matthew Southgate 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.52% 0.19% T5
72 FRA Matthieu Pavon 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.33% 0% MC
73 FIN Mikko Ilonen 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.69% 0.39% T35
74 SCO Stephen Gallacher 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 59
75 RSA Thomas Aiken 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.49% 0.19% MC
76 RSA Darren Fichardt 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.48% 0.18% MC
77 SWE Marcus Kinhult 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.39% 0.09% T5
78 RSA Haydn Porteous 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.37% 0.07% MC
79 AUS Jason Scrivener 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.39% 0.1% MC
80 FRA Gregory Bourdy 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.39% 0.1% MC
81 AUS Wade Ormsby 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.33% 0.04% T12
82 SCO Scott Jamieson 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.26% -0.03% MC
83 ENG Oliver Fisher 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.61% 0.33% MC
84 CAN Austin Connelly 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.47% 0.19% T37
85 ENG Paul Waring 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.43% 0.15% MC
86 FRA Romain Wattel 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.3% 0.02% MC
87 CHI Nicolas Geyger 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.51% 0.24% MC
88 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.46% 0.2% MC
89 ENG James Morrison 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.34% 0.08% T49
90 ITA Edoardo Molinari 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.6% 0.35% MC
91 ENG David Howell 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.49% 0.24% MC
92 SCO Marc Warren 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.42% 0.17% DQ
93 DEN Lasse Jensen 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.42% 0.16% MC
94 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.14% T37
95 ENG Mark Foster 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.39% 0.14% MC
96 SCO Connor Syme 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.11% MC
97 RSA Brandon Stone 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% MC
98 CHI Felipe Aguilar 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% T37
99 SCO David Drysdale 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.32% 0.07% MC
100 DEN Jeff Winther 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.29% 0.04% T31
101 WAL Jamie Donaldson 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.29% 0.04% T53
102 MAS Gavin Green 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.27% 0.02% MC
103 FRA Julien Quesne 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.26% 0.01% MC
104 SWE Henric Sturehed 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.03% T12
105 AUS Brett Rumford 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.61% 0.42% T61
106 ESP Alvaro Quiros 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.54% 0.35% T53
107 AUS Marcus Fraser 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.52% 0.33% MC
108 GER Marcel Siem 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.51% 0.32% MC
109 ESP Scott Fernandez 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.46% 0.27% MC
110 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% T49
111 ITA Nino Bertasio 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% T16
112 ITA Renato Paratore 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.35% 0.17% MC
113 FRA Gregory Havret 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.16% T49
114 FRA Romain Langasque 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.14% MC
115 FRA Adrien Saddier 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% MC
116 ARG Andres Romero 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% MC
117 ENG Ashley Chesters 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% T21
118 SWE Jens Dantorp 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.13% T44
119 ENG Ryan Evans 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% MC
120 ENG Richard Bland 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.26% 0.07% 60
121 ENG Chris Hanson 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.25% 0.06% MC
122 SWE Robert Karlsson 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.59% 0.44% MC
123 AUS Adam Bland 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.48% 0.33% MC
124 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% MC
125 AUS Andrew Dodt 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% MC
126 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% MC
127 KOR Soomin Lee 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% MC
128 ENG Laurie Canter 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.15% MC
129 ENG Matthew Baldwin 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.14% MC
130 KOR Jinho Choi 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% MC
131 WAL Oliver Farr 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
132 ENG Steven Brown 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.07% T37
133 ESP Pedro Oriol 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% T27
134 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% MC
135 POR Ricardo Gouveia 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% T31
136 SCO Bradley Neil 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% MC
137 ENG Charlie Ford 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.29% 0.17% MC
138 FRA Clement Sordet 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.24% 0.12% MC
139 ENG Daniel Brooks 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% MC
140 RSA Trevor Immelman 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% MC
141 FRA Victor Perez 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.28% 0.18% MC
142 AUS Sam Brazel 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% T35
143 KOR Rakhyun Cho 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
144 USA Chase Koepka 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
145 USA Daniel Im 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.18% 0.08% MC
146 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.33% MC
147 RSA Zander Lombard 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
148 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% MC
149 AUS Jason Norris 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.07% MC
150 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 1.37% 0% T21
151 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 0% 0% 0.58% 0% MC
152 USA Seungsu Han 0% 0% 0.52% 0% MC
153 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% 0.51% 0% MC
154 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.48% 0% MC
155 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 0.38% 0% MC
156 SWE Peter Hanson 0% 0% 0.37% 0% MC
157 NZL Josh Geary 0% 0% 0.32% 0% T61
158 ENG Matthew Nixon 0% 0% 0.3% 0% MC
159 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.28% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...