Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 53.4

Total Profit: -46.7

Trophee Hassan II

19/04/2018 - 22/04/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 IRL Paul Dunne 13 7.14% 5.49% 1.66% -3.83% MC
2 RSA George Coetzee 17 5.56% 4.27% 1.62% -2.65% MC
3 NED Joost Luiten 18 5.26% 4.05% 3.03% -1.02% T9
4 BEL Thomas Pieters 21 4.55% 3.49% 1.17% -2.32% T66
5 FRA Alexander Levy 23 4.17% 3.2% 1.22% -1.98% 1
6 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 26 3.7% 2.85% 1.3% -1.54% MC
7 ENG Andy Sullivan 27 3.57% 2.75% 1% -1.75% T7
8 ESP Jorge Campillo 32 3.03% 2.33% 1.84% -0.49% T46
9 ENG Chris Wood 41 2.38% 1.83% 1.65% -0.18% MC
10 USA Seungsu Han 42 2.33% 1.79% 0.73% -1.06% T9
11 ENG Aaron Rai 42 2.33% 1.79% 0.51% -1.28% T52
12 ENG Eddie Pepperell 51 1.92% 1.48% 1.57% 0.09% MC 6.54
13 ITA Renato Paratore 51 1.92% 1.48% 0.7% -0.78% 61
14 ESP Nacho Elvira 57 1.72% 1.33% 0.65% -0.67% T22
15 ENG Sam Horsfield 59 1.67% 1.28% 0.5% -0.78% MC
16 ENG Matt Wallace 60 1.64% 1.26% 1.42% 0.16% MC 5.58
17 ESP Adrian Otaegui 60 1.64% 1.26% 1.29% 0.03% T19 5.58
18 KOR Jeunghun Wang 68 1.45% 1.11% 1.1% -0.01% T13 4.93
19 RSA Dean Burmester 69 1.43% 1.1% 1.05% -0.05% DQ 4.86
20 ENG Robert Rock 71 1.39% 1.07% 0.76% -0.31% T36
21 BEL Thomas Detry 79 1.25% 0.96% 0.66% -0.3% T19
22 ENG Jordan L Smith 79 1.25% 0.96% 0.43% -0.53% T52
23 SCO Stephen Gallacher 80 1.23% 0.95% 0.91% -0.04% MC 4.2
24 FRA Matthieu Pavon 80 1.23% 0.95% 0.57% -0.38% MC
25 SWE Alexander Bjork 82 1.2% 0.93% 1.17% 0.25% T3 (tied w/4) 4.1 +35.7
26 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 84 1.18% 0.9% 1.23% 0.33% MC 4
27 FRA Sebastien Gros 84 1.18% 0.9% 0.55% -0.35% MC
28 FRA Julien Guerrier 85 1.16% 0.89% 0.83% -0.07% MC 3.96
29 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 85 1.16% 0.89% 0.73% -0.16% MC
30 FRA Benjamin Hebert 86 1.15% 0.88% 0.81% -0.07% T13 3.91
31 RSA Erik van Rooyen 90 1.1% 0.84% 0.77% -0.08% T7 (tied w/2) 3.74 +17.8
32 ENG David Horsey 91 1.09% 0.84% 0.98% 0.14% T36 3.7
33 GER Maximilian Kieffer 91 1.09% 0.84% 0.72% -0.12% T41
34 ESP Alejandro Canizares 92 1.08% 0.83% 0.98% 0.15% MC 3.66
35 ENG Callum Shinkwin 93 1.06% 0.82% 0.69% -0.13% T13
36 RSA Richard Sterne 98 1.01% 0.78% 1.03% 0.26% T22 3.44
37 SCO Richie Ramsay 99 1% 0.77% 1.23% 0.46% T32 3.4
38 AUS Wade Ormsby 105 0.94% 0.73% 0.97% 0.24% T52 3.21
39 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 106 0.93% 0.72% 0.54% -0.18% MC
40 ENG Paul Waring 108 0.92% 0.71% 0.82% 0.12% T9 3.12
41 FRA Romain Wattel 108 0.92% 0.71% 0.72% 0.01% T52 3.12
42 USA Sean Crocker 109 0.91% 0.7% 0.52% -0.18% T22
43 NZL Ryan Fox 110 0.9% 0.69% 0.65% -0.05% 12 3.07
44 AUT Matthias Schwab 111 0.89% 0.69% 0.6% -0.09% MC
45 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 112 0.88% 0.68% 0.54% -0.14% MC
46 ENG Chris Hanson 112 0.88% 0.68% 0.39% -0.29% T41
47 DEN Jeff Winther 113 0.88% 0.67% 0.41% -0.26% MC
48 SCO Marc Warren 114 0.87% 0.67% 0.75% 0.08% T46 2.96
49 SCO Scott Jamieson 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.99% 0.36% MC 2.81
50 AUS Brett Rumford 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.97% 0.34% MC 2.81
51 USA David Lipsky 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.9% 0.26% MC 2.81
52 ENG Danny Willett 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.61% -0.03% MC 2.81
53 AUS Jason Scrivener 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.52% -0.11% MC
54 FIN Mikko Ilonen 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.5% -0.13% T3
55 SWE Peter Hanson 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.43% -0.21% MC
56 WAL Jamie Donaldson 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.94% 0.35% T32 2.6
57 RSA Haydn Porteous 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.86% 0.28% MC 2.6
58 POR Ricardo Gouveia 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.52% -0.06% T59 2.6
59 ENG Oliver Fisher 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.51% -0.08% T52
60 ENG James Morrison 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.51% -0.08% MC
61 RSA Thomas Aiken 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.41% -0.17% MC
62 ITA Edoardo Molinari 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.57% 0.06% MC
63 SWE Marcus Kinhult 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.5% -0.01% MC
64 ITA Andrea Pavan 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.82% 0.35% T3
65 ITA Nino Bertasio 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.66% 0.19% T59
66 MAS Gavin Green 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.64% 0.17% MC
67 ITA Matteo Manassero 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.54% 0.06% T46
68 ESP Pedro Oriol 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.33% -0.15% T29
69 FRA Gregory Havret 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.93% 0.5% MC
70 FIN Mikko Korhonen 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.89% 0.47% T41
71 FRA Romain Langasque 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.64% 0.21% T22
72 FRA Gregory Bourdy 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.58% 0.16% T62
73 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.49% 0.07% MC
74 RSA Brandon Stone 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.36% -0.07% T22
75 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 190 0.52% 0.4% 1.19% 0.79% T22
76 AUS Sam Brazel 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.94% 0.53% MC
77 RSA Darren Fichardt 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.68% 0.28% T52
78 CHI Felipe Aguilar 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.66% 0.26% MC
79 ENG Anthony Wall 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.61% 0.21% WD
80 GER Sebastian Heisele 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.56% 0.16% MC
81 SCO David Drysdale 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.54% 0.18% MC
82 SWE Joakim Lagergren 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.56% 0.21% T3
83 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.56% 0.21% T36
84 RSA Justin Walters 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.55% 0.2% MC
85 WAL Bradley Dredge 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.51% 0.17% T13
86 ENG Ashley Chesters 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.39% 0.05% MC
87 ENG Richard Bland 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.28% -0.06% MC
88 KOR Jinho Choi 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.77% 0.44% MC
89 THA Thongchai Jaidee 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.63% 0.3% MC
90 SWE Jens Dantorp 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.53% 0.2% MC
91 AUS Marcus Fraser 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.53% 0.2% T22
92 ESP Alvaro Quiros 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.74% 0.44% 2
93 FRA Clement Sordet 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.55% 0.26% MC
94 FRA Joel Stalter 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.25% -0.05% WD
95 DEN Thomas Bjorn 270 0.37% 0.28% 1.04% 0.76% MC
96 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.68% 0.4% T36
97 DEN Lasse Jensen 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.44% 0.15% MC
98 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% T66
99 SWE Henric Sturehed 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.36% 0.08% T52
100 ENG Graeme Storm 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.59% 0.32% WD
101 ENG Lee Slattery 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.58% 0.31% T32
102 KOR Rakhyun Cho 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.3% 0.02% MC
103 AUS Adam Bland 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% MC
104 ENG Steven Brown 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.36% 0.09% 65
105 ESP Scott Fernandez 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.28% 0.02% MC
106 FRA Adrien Saddier 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.27% 0% MC
107 KOR Soomin Lee 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.75% 0.5% DQ
108 SCO Paul Lawrie 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.73% 0.47% MC
109 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.6% 0.35% T41
110 AUS Andrew Dodt 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.58% 0.33% T32
111 ESP Pep Angles Ros 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.56% 0.31% MC
112 ENG Laurie Canter 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.55% 0.29% T29
113 ENG David Howell 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.54% 0.29% T36
114 ENG Ryan Evans 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.53% 0.27% T46
115 ENG Mark Foster 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.46% 0.21% MC
116 GER Marcel Siem 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.45% 0.19% T19
117 ENG Matthew Baldwin 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.19% MC
118 ENG Daniel Brooks 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.43% 0.17% T66
119 ENG Charlie Ford 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.43% 0.17% MC
120 CAN Austin Connelly 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.16% T13
121 SCO Connor Syme 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.08% 74
122 USA Chase Koepka 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.27% 0.02% MC
123 RSA Zander Lombard 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.27% 0.02% MC
124 ESP Carlos Pigem 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.24% -0.02% MC
125 SWE Robert Karlsson 400 0.25% 0.19% 1.1% 0.91% MC
126 NIR Michael Hoey 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.62% 0.43% MC
127 CHI Nicolas Geyger 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.49% 0.3% MC
128 WAL Rhys Davies 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% MC
129 ENG Matthew Nixon 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.1% T46
130 IRL Gavin Moynihan 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.09% MC
131 USA Daniel Im 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.26% 0.06% MC
132 WAL Oliver Farr 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.2% 0.01% MC
133 ENG Ross McGowan 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.57% 0.42% MC
134 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% MC
135 SCO Grant Forrest 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
136 SCO Bradley Neil 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.05% MC
137 AUS Jack Munro 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.17% 0.02% MC
138 ENG Ben Evans 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.53% 0.4% MC
139 GER Marcel Schneider 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.44% 0.31% T66
140 AUS Jason Norris 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.13% WD
141 ENG Jonathan Thomson 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% T66
142 ENG James Heath 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% T72
143 SWE Pontus Widegren 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% T41
144 SUI Benjamin Rusch 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% MC
145 NZL Josh Geary 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.43% 0.36% T46
146 ENG Jamie Elson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.12% T62
147 ENG Luke Joy 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% MC
148 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% 0.95% 0% T13
149 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 0.77% 0% T29
150 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 0.72% 0% T62
151 MAR Ahmed Marjane 0% 0% 0.15% 0% T72
152 MAR Yassine Touhami 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC
153 MAR Karim El Hali 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...