Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 40.5

Total Profit: -59.7

South African Open hosted by the City of Johannesburg

07/12/2018 - 10/12/2018

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 7 12.5% 9.39% 2.92% -6.47% 1
2 RSA Dylan Frittelli 11 8.33% 6.26% 1.5% -4.76% MC
3 ENG Matt Wallace 12 7.69% 5.78% 2.42% -3.36% T15
4 RSA Branden Grace 12 7.69% 5.78% 1.72% -4.06% T7
5 RSA Charl Schwartzel 16 5.88% 4.42% 1.63% -2.79% T3
6 RSA Dean Burmester 22 4.35% 3.27% 0.85% -2.42% MC
7 FRA Romain Langasque 35 2.78% 2.09% 0.89% -1.2% 2
8 RSA Justin Harding 40 2.44% 1.83% 1.56% -0.27% MC 8.15
9 USA Sean Crocker 40 2.44% 1.83% 1.18% -0.65% MC
10 RSA Shaun Norris 45 2.17% 1.63% 1.14% -0.49% T54 7.26
11 RSA Thomas Aiken 50 1.96% 1.47% 1.17% -0.3% T3 (tied w/4) 6.55 +36
12 FRA Matthieu Pavon 50 1.96% 1.47% 1.11% -0.36% MC 6.55
13 USA Kurt Kitayama 50 1.96% 1.47% 0.89% -0.58% T15
14 ENG Chris Paisley 50 1.96% 1.47% 0.85% -0.62% T24
15 RSA Haydn Porteous 60 1.64% 1.23% 0.46% -0.77% T7
16 RSA Richard Sterne 66 1.49% 1.12% 1.28% 0.16% MC 4.99
17 RSA Brandon Stone 66 1.49% 1.12% 1.17% 0.05% T7 (tied w/8) 4.99 +4.4
18 ZIM Scott Vincent 66 1.49% 1.12% 0.94% -0.18% MC 4.99
19 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 66 1.49% 1.12% 0.75% -0.37% MC 4.99
20 RSA Darren Fichardt 66 1.49% 1.12% 0.65% -0.48% MC 4.99
21 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 66 1.49% 1.12% 0.59% -0.53% MC
22 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 66 1.49% 1.12% 0.57% -0.55% T15
23 KOR Jeunghun Wang 66 1.49% 1.12% 0.56% -0.56% MC
24 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 66 1.49% 1.12% 0.49% -0.63% MC
25 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 70 1.41% 1.06% 1.38% 0.33% MC 4.71
26 FRA Clement Sordet 80 1.23% 0.93% 0.99% 0.06% MC 4.13
27 RSA Trevor Immelman 90 1.1% 0.83% 0.92% 0.09% MC 3.67
28 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 90 1.1% 0.83% 0.45% -0.38% T37 3.67
29 SCO Scott Jamieson 100 0.99% 0.74% 0.89% 0.15% MC 3.31
30 ESP Alejandro Canizares 100 0.99% 0.74% 0.43% -0.31% T54 3.31
31 SCO Grant Forrest 125 0.79% 0.6% 0.91% 0.32% MC 2.65
32 FIN Kim Koivu 125 0.79% 0.6% 0.89% 0.29% MC 2.65
33 SCO David Drysdale 125 0.79% 0.6% 0.83% 0.23% WD 2.65
34 RSA Ernie Els 125 0.79% 0.6% 0.74% 0.14% T15 2.65
35 BRA Adilson da Silva 125 0.79% 0.6% 0.72% 0.12% T29 2.65
36 SCO Marc Warren 125 0.79% 0.6% 0.61% 0.01% T24 2.65
37 USA David Lipsky 125 0.79% 0.6% 0.59% 0% MC 2.65
38 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 125 0.79% 0.6% 0.33% -0.27% MC 2.65
39 USA Paul Peterson 125 0.79% 0.6% 0.33% -0.27% MC 2.65
40 AUS Dimi Papadatos 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.94% 0.45% MC
41 ENG Ross McGowan 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.85% 0.35% MC
42 ENG Callum Shinkwin 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.53% 0.03% T33
43 DEN Jeff Winther 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.49% 0% T7
44 IRL Gavin Moynihan 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.4% -0.09% MC
45 RSA Louis de Jager 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.34% -0.16% MC
46 RSA Jacques Blaauw 150 0.66% 0.5% 0.29% -0.21% T65
47 RSA Keith Horne 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.57% 0.1% T48
48 RSA Zander Lombard 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.36% -0.1% T15
49 RSA Alex Haindl 175 0.57% 0.43% 0.57% 0.14% T37
50 ITA Edoardo Molinari 200 0.5% 0.37% 1.13% 0.76% MC
51 USA John Catlin 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.81% 0.43% T48
52 ENG Jack Singh Brar 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.79% 0.41% MC
53 ENG Steven Brown 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.7% 0.33% T54
54 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.57% 0.2% MC
55 ENG Max Orrin 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.56% 0.19% MC
56 RSA Hennie Otto 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.52% 0.15% T33
57 IND Chikkarangappa S 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.51% 0.14% MC
58 RSA Jaco Ahlers 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.48% 0.11% MC
59 RSA Garth Mulroy 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.41% 0.04% MC
60 RSA Jean Hugo 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.37% 0% MC
61 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.32% -0.05% MC
62 KOR Hyowon Park 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.26% -0.12% MC
63 RSA Jbe Kruger 225 0.44% 0.33% 0.57% 0.24% T7
64 FRA Gregory Havret 225 0.44% 0.33% 0.52% 0.19% MC
65 ENG Oliver Wilson 250 0.4% 0.3% 1.1% 0.8% T3
66 KOR Yikeun Chang 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.67% 0.37% T7
67 ENG Tom Murray 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.65% 0.35% T54
68 ENG Matthew Nixon 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.61% 0.31% T37
69 SWE Niklas Lemke 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.61% 0.31% MC
70 SWE Robert Karlsson 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.57% 0.27% MC
71 USA Berry Henson 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.56% 0.26% MC
72 RSA Justin Walters 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.49% 0.2% MC
73 POR Pedro Figueiredo 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.49% 0.19% T48
74 FRA Adrien Saddier 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.16% MC
75 AUS Nick Cullen 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.16% MC
76 WAL Stuart Manley 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% T21
77 GER Max Schmitt 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% T33
78 AUS Deyen Lawson 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.43% 0.14% MC
79 CAN Austin Connelly 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.42% 0.12% T43
80 RSA Neil Schietekat 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.34% 0.04% T29
81 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 275 0.36% 0.27% 0.58% 0.31% MC
82 ITA Matteo Manassero 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.42% 0.17% MC
83 FRA Gregory Bourdy 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.42% 0.17% T43
84 WAL Oliver Farr 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.26% 0.01% MC
85 RSA Jake Roos 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% T37
86 SWE Jonathan Agren 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.14% -0.11% MC
87 SCO Robert MacIntyre 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.9% 0.69% T15
88 FIN Kalle Samooja 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.55% 0.34% MC
89 SCO Connor Syme 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.52% 0.31% MC
90 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.29% MC
91 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.28% MC
92 ENG Ben Evans 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.49% 0.28% MC
93 RSA Dawie van der Walt 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.49% 0.28% MC
94 AUS Jake Higginbottom 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.36% 0.14% MC
95 USA Chase Koepka 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.33% 0.11% MC
96 RSA Merrick Bremner 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.26% 0.04% MC
97 RSA Daniel Greene 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.15% -0.07% T37
98 ENG Luke Joy 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.14% -0.07% MC
99 NOR Eirik Tage Johansen 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.58% 0.39% MC
100 GER Marcel Siem 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.57% 0.38% MC
101 IND Khalin Joshi 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.54% 0.35% MC
102 GER Bernd Ritthammer 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.53% 0.34% T24
103 ENG Laurie Canter 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.45% 0.26% T24
104 KOR Minkyu Kim 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.44% 0.25% MC
105 ENG Jack Senior 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.22% MC
106 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.19% MC
107 ENG Ryan Evans 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% MC
108 ENG Jack Harrison 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% T59
109 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% MC
110 RSA Thriston Lawrence 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.14% -0.05% MC
111 SUI Joel Girrbach 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.78% 0.63% T48
112 SUI Marco Iten 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.76% 0.61% MC
113 SCO Ewen Ferguson 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.64% 0.49% T29
114 NIR Michael Hoey 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.63% 0.48% MC
115 SCO Liam Johnston 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.54% 0.39% MC
116 CHN Liu Yanwei 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.52% 0.37% MC
117 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.5% 0.35% MC
118 WAL Rhys Enoch 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% MC
119 GER Marcel Schneider 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
120 THA Pavit Tangkamolprasert 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23% MC
121 ESP Carlos Pigem 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% MC
122 ARG Miguel Angel Carballo 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
123 FRA Lionel Weber 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
124 SWE Henric Sturehed 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T43
125 RSA Bryce Easton 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% T3
126 SWE Malcolm Kokocinski 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
127 RSA Ulrich Van Den Berg 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
128 RSA Anthony Michael 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% T7
129 RSA Ockie Strydom 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% MC
130 ENG Steve Surry 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% MC
131 SCO Doug McGuigan 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% MC
132 IND Viraj Madappa 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% MC
133 RSA Vaughn Groenewald 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% MC
134 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.17% 0.02% MC
135 RSA Wallie Coetsee 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% MC
136 ENG Daniel Gavins 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% MC
137 RSA Titch Moore 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% MC
138 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% MC
139 ESP David Borda Antonana 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.14% -0.01% MC
140 RSA Herman Loubser 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.14% -0.01% MC
141 USA Jarin Todd 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.53% 0.4% T21
142 SWE Simon Forsstrom 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.31% 0.19% MC
143 RSA Tyrone Ferreira 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.22% 0.09% T33
144 ITA Guido Migliozzi 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.56% 0.46% MC
145 RSA Colin Nel 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.36% 0.26% MC
146 RSA Callum Mowat 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% 64
147 NOR Espen Kofstad 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
148 SWE Philip Eriksson 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% MC
149 RSA Keenan Davidse 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% MC
150 ZAM Madalitso Muthiya 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.09% T7
151 RSA Tyrone Ryan 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.16% 0.06% MC
152 RSA Michael Palmer 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.16% 0.06% T48
153 RSA Breyten Meyer 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.04% MC
154 RSA Duane Keun 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.04% T65
155 USA Chris Cannon 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.04% MC
156 RSA George Coetzee 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.56% 0.49% MC
157 AUS David Gleeson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.4% 0.33% T65
158 ENG Scott Gregory 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.4% 0.32% MC
159 DEN Morten Orum Madsen 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.39% 0.31% MC
160 RSA Rhys West 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.3% MC
161 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.26% MC
162 AUT Martin Wiegele 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
163 RSA James Kamte 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
164 SWE Per Langfors 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
165 CHN Xiao Bowen 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% MC
166 ZIM Ryan Cairns 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.13% MC
167 ENG Joseph Dean 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.09% MC
168 RSA Andre De Decker 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.08% MC
169 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
170 RSA Kyle Barker 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
171 RSA Cameron Moralee 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
172 RSA Ruan Korb 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
173 RSA Ruan Conradie 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
174 CHI Matias Calderon 1250 0.08% 0.06% 0.46% 0.4% T21
175 POR Stephen Ferreira 1250 0.08% 0.06% 0.14% 0.08% MC
176 RSA Anton Haig 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.62% 0.57% T65
177 RSA Christiaan Basson 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.35% 0.3% MC
178 RSA Ruan de Smidt 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.24% 0.19% MC
179 RSA Andrew Curlewis 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.21% 0.16% MC
180 RSA Lyle Rowe 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.19% 0.14% MC
181 RSA JJ Senekal 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.13% T69
182 CAN Steven Lecuyer 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.16% 0.11% MC
183 RSA Jean-Paul Strydom 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.15% 0.1% MC
184 SWE Fredrik From 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
185 RSA Makgetha Mazibuko 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
186 RSA Pieter Moolman 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
187 USA Kyle Pilgrim 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
188 RSA Desne van den Bergh 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
189 RSA Riekus Nortje 1750 0.06% 0.04% 0.14% 0.1% MC
190 RSA Andre Nel 1750 0.06% 0.04% 0.14% 0.1% T69
191 RSA Luke Jerling 1750 0.06% 0.04% 0.14% 0.1% MC
192 ZIM Mark Williams 2000 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.14% T48
193 RSA Derick Petersen 2000 0.05% 0.04% 0.16% 0.12% MC
194 RSA MJ Viljoen 2000 0.05% 0.04% 0.16% 0.12% MC
195 RSA Toto Thimba 2000 0.05% 0.04% 0.16% 0.12% MC
196 RSA Jared Harvey 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.43% 0.4% MC
197 RSA Allister de Kock 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.14% 0.11% MC
198 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.63% 0% MC
199 USA Casey O'Toole 0% 0% 0.42% 0% MC
200 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 0% 0% 0.42% 0% MC
201 ZIM Marc Cayeux 0% 0% 0.41% 0% MC
202 RSA Michael Hollick 0% 0% 0.39% 0% MC
203 ENG Matthew Jordan 0% 0% 0.35% 0% T37
204 RSA Jovan Rebula 0% 0% 0.19% 0% T24
205 RSA PH McIntyre 0% 0% 0.17% 0% T29
206 RSA Rourke Van der Spuy 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
207 IRL Neil O'Briain 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
208 RSA CJ du Plessis 0% 0% 0.14% 0% T59
209 RSA Francois Coetzee 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC
210 RSA Louis Albertse 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...