Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 32.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 86.1

Total Profit: -14

ZOZO Championship

24/10/2024 - 27/10/2024

Up to date as of: 5 months ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Xander Schauffele 4.5 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 18.18% 13.34% 8.7% -4.65% 41
2 USA Collin Morikawa 6.5 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 13.33% 9.79% 5.24% -4.54% 54
3 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 7.5 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 11.76% 8.63% 4.51% -4.13% 46
4 KOR Sungjae Im 14 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.89% 3.07% -1.82% 13
5 USA Sahith Theegala 16 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.32% 3.88% -0.43% 56
6 USA Justin Thomas 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.5% 2.13% -1.37% 2
7 AUS Minwoo Lee 28 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.53% 2.13% -0.4% 27
8 USA Kurt Kitayama 28 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.53% 1.42% -1.11% 5
9 KOR Siwoo Kim 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.16% 1.91% -0.25% 6
10 USA Beau Hossler 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% 1.53% -0.51% 56
11 USA Will Zalatoris 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% 1.44% -0.6% 41
12 USA Maverick McNealy 40 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.79% 1.3% -0.49%
13 USA Doug Ghim 40 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.79% 1.26% -0.53% 27
14 USA Tom Hoge 45 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% 1.85% 0.25% 56 7.16
15 USA Max Homa 50 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 2.42% 0.98% 27 6.46
16 USA J.J Spaun 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 1.1% -0.34% 6
17 IRL Seamus Power 50 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 1.04% -0.39% 13
18 USA Eric Cole 55 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.31% 1.93% 0.62% 6 5.88
19 USA Patrick Rodgers 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.31% 1.29% -0.02% 67
20 ENG Harry Hall 60 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.2% 1.17% -0.04% 13
21 USA Max Greyserman 66 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 1.81% 0.71% 2 (tied w/2) 4.92 +43.1
22 USA Rickie Fowler 66 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 1.62% 0.52% 4 4.92 +43.1
23 FRA Victor Perez 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 1.58% 0.48% 33 4.92
24 USA Taylor Moore 66 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 1.55% 0.45% 11 4.92
25 NZL Ryan Fox 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 1.55% 0.45% 65 4.92
26 USA Andrew Putnam 66 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 1.1% 0.01% 27
27 USA Patrick Fishburn 66 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.97% -0.13% 37
28 USA Gary Woodland 66 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 0.67% -0.43% 33
29 USA Benjamin Griffin 70 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.03% 1.63% 0.6% 22 4.64
30 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 70 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.03% 1.12% 0.08% 11 4.64
31 USA Chan Kim 70 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.03% 0.99% -0.04% 54
32 USA Andrew Novak 70 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.03% 0.84% -0.2% 16
33 USA Matt Kuchar 80 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 1.17% 0.26% 37 4.07
34 CAN Adam Svensson 80 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 1.13% 0.23% 46 4.07
35 USA Samuel Stevens 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1% 0.09% 22 4.07
36 JPN Takumi Kanaya 90 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 1.01% 0.21% 37 3.62
37 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 90 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.99% 0.18% 63 3.62
38 USA Mark Hubbard 100 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 1.18% 0.45% 41 3.26
39 AUS Kevin Yuan 100 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.12% -0.6%
40 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 110 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 1.29% 0.63% 46 2.97
41 JPN Kensei Hirata(AM) 120 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.83% 0.61% 1.14% 0.54% 46 2.73
42 CAN Nick Taylor 125 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.85% 1.27% 33 2.62
43 USA Brendon Todd 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.39% 0.81% 75 2.62
44 USA Lee Hodges 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.25% 0.66% 16 2.62
45 USA Charley Hoffman 125 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.03% 0.45% 65 2.62
46 TPE C.T. Pan 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.87% 0.29% 6 2.62
47 USA Justin Lower 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.87% 0.29% 56 2.62
48 CAN Benjamin Silverman 125 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.85% 0.27% 46 2.62
49 JPN Shugo Imahira 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.61% 0.02% 56
50 USA Chandler Phillips 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.85% 0.36% 33
51 USA Ben Kohles 175 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 1.17% 0.75% 56
52 USA Carson Young 175 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.75% 0.33% 37
53 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 1.4% 1.04% 67
54 USA Davis Riley 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 1.25% 0.89% 73
55 USA Luke List 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 1.19% 0.82% 16
56 USA Nate Lashley 200 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.78% 0.41% 16
57 USA Chad Ramey 200 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.55% 0.18% 46
58 COL Nicolas Echavarria 225 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.47% 0.15% 1
59 USA Joel Dahmen 250 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.59% 0.3% 41
60 JPN Ryosuke Kinoshita 250 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.52% 0.23% 27
61 FIN Sami Valimaki 300 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.99% 0.75% 67
62 ENG David Skinns 300 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.66% 0.42% 76
63 JPN Taisei Shimizu 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.35% 0.1% 16
64 USA Zac Blair 350 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.87% 0.66% 46
65 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 400 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.81% 0.63% 46
66 JPN Yuto Katsuragawa 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.57% 0.43% 22
67 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.47% 0.32% 56
68 JPN Kaito Onishi 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% 77
69 JPN Takashi Ogiso 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23% 74
70 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.06% 64
71 JPN Yuta Sugiura 600 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.53% 0.41% 6
72 JPN Takahiro Hataji 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.64% 0.57% 71
73 JPN Ren Yonezawa 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.46% 0.39% 22
74 JPN Naoyuki Kataoka(AM) 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.3% 0.22% 41
75 JPN Hiroshi Iwata 1500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.34% 0.29% 70
76 USA Richard Hoey 0% 0% 0% 0% 22
77 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% 16
78 USA McClure Meissner 0% 0% 0% 0% 27
79 USA Chris Gotterup 0% 0% 0% 0% 71

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 32.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 36.8% 21.9%
2 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 36.8% 21.9%
3 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 66.7% 26.4%
4 Coral 8 @ 1/5 66.7% 26.4%
5 Spreadex 5 @ 1/4 44.6% 26.9%
6 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 44.6% 26.9%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45.6% 27.8%
8 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 45.9% 28.1%
9 Unibet 5 @ 1/4 46% 28.1%
10 BetUK 5 @ 1/4 46% 28.1%
11 BetMGM UK 5 @ 1/4 46% 28.1%
12 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 44.4% 28.6%
13 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 57% 28.6%
14 Betway 7 @ 1/5 57.1% 28.7%
15 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 57.1% 28.8%
16 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 71.9% 30.4%
17 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 49.3% 31.1%
18 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 60% 31.3%
19 William Hill 7 @ 1/5 62.2% 33%
20 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 50.8% 34.4%
21 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 55.9% 39%