Market Analysis
Bookie Overround: 13.4 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.3 %
Total Probability Staked: 23.8 %
Results
Total Staked: 100.1
Total Won: 38.3
Total Profit: -61.8
| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | Pos. Pos. | Stake | Returns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Scottie Scheffler | 2.5 (BoyleSports: 5 @ 1/5) | 28.57% | 23.43% | 19.16% | -4.27% | 1 | |||
| 2 |
| Justin Thomas | 9 (BoyleSports: 5 @ 1/5) | 10% | 8.2% | 3.46% | -4.74% | 3 | |||
| 3 |
| Ludvig Aberg | 10 (BoyleSports: 5 @ 1/5) | 9.09% | 7.46% | 6.32% | -1.14% | 6 | |||
| 4 |
| Patrick Cantlay | 12 (Betfair : 4 @ 1/5) | 7.69% | 6.31% | 4.32% | -1.99% | 11 | |||
| 5 |
| Sungjae Im | 14 (BoyleSports: 5 @ 1/5) | 6.67% | 5.47% | 4.31% | -1.16% | 9 | |||
| 6 |
| Tony Finau | 14 (BoyleSports: 5 @ 1/5) | 6.67% | 5.47% | 3.69% | -1.78% | ||||
| 7 |
| Russell Henley | 16 (William Hill: 4 @ 1/5) | 5.88% | 4.82% | 4.09% | -0.73% | 19 | |||
| 8 |
| Sam Burns | 16 (Spreadex: 4 @ 1/5) | 5.88% | 4.82% | 3.98% | -0.84% | 14 | |||
| 9 |
| Woohyun Kim | 20 (Betfair : 4 @ 1/5) | 4.76% | 3.91% | 0.2% | -3.7% | ||||
| 10 |
| Wyndham Clark | 25 (AK Bets: 4 @ 1/5) | 3.85% | 3.15% | 6.62% | 3.47% | 17 | 13.26 | ||
| 11 |
| Sahith Theegala | 25 (Spreadex: 4 @ 1/5) | 3.85% | 3.15% | 5.38% | 2.22% | 8 | 13.26 | ||
| 12 |
| Robert MacIntyre | 25 (bet365: 4 @ 1/5) | 3.85% | 3.15% | 5.18% | 2.02% | 7 | 13.26 | ||
| 13 |
| Akshay Bhatia | 25 (bet365: 4 @ 1/5) | 3.85% | 3.15% | 3.8% | 0.65% | 4 | |||
| 14 |
| Jason Day | 25 (Ladbrokes: 4 @ 1/5) | 3.85% | 3.15% | 2.94% | -0.21% | 19 | |||
| 15 |
| Aaron Rai | 30 (AK Bets: 4 @ 1/5) | 3.23% | 2.65% | 4.45% | 1.8% | 14 | 11.12 | ||
| 16 |
| Brian Harman | 33 (BoyleSports: 5 @ 1/5) | 2.94% | 2.41% | 4.05% | 1.64% | 12 | 10.14 | ||
| 17 |
| Cameron Young | 33 (bet365: 4 @ 1/5) | 2.94% | 2.41% | 3.18% | 0.77% | 13 | 10.14 | ||
| 18 |
| Keegan Bradley | 35 (BoyleSports: 5 @ 1/5) | 2.78% | 2.28% | 4.69% | 2.41% | 5 | 9.57 | +38.3 | |
| 19 |
| Sepp Straka | 40 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 9 | 8.41 | ||
| 20 |
| Nick Dunlap | 45 (bet365: 4 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.78% | 2.83% | 1.05% | 16 | 7.49 | ||
| 21 |
| Matthieu Pavon | 100 (AK Bets: 4 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.81% | 3.84% | 3.03% | 17 | 3.42 | ||
| 22 |
| Tom Kim | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2 | ||||
Market Analysis
Overround of best available: 13.4 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.3 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AK Bets | 4 @ 1/5 | 15.7% | 18.3% |
| 2 | BoyleSports | 5 @ 1/5 | 34.1% | 23.8% |
| 3 | Bet365 | 4 @ 1/5 | 22.3% | 25% |
| 4 | Skybet | 4 @ 1/5 | 23.1% | 25.8% |
| 5 | Paddy Power | 4 @ 1/5 | 24.8% | 27.5% |
| 6 | Betfred | 4 @ 1/5 | 24.9% | 27.6% |
| 7 | VBet | 4 @ 1/5 | 25.1% | 27.8% |
| 8 | Betfair Sportsbook | 4 @ 1/5 | 25.3% | 28% |
| 9 | Betway | 4 @ 1/5 | 25.3% | 28.1% |
| 10 | William Hill | 4 @ 1/5 | 25.7% | 28.5% |
| 11 | 888Sport | 4 @ 1/5 | 25.7% | 28.5% |
| 12 | PricedUp | 4 @ 1/5 | 26.2% | 29% |
| 13 | Star Sports | 4 @ 1/5 | 26.8% | 29.6% |
| 14 | Ladbrokes | 4 @ 1/5 | 26.8% | 29.6% |
| 15 | Coral | 4 @ 1/5 | 26.8% | 29.6% |
| 16 | 10Bet | 4 @ 1/5 | 26.9% | 29.6% |
| 17 | BetVictor | 4 @ 1/5 | 26.9% | 29.7% |
| 18 | Spreadex | 4 @ 1/5 | 27.3% | 30% |
| 19 | Sporting Index | 4 @ 1/5 | 27.3% | 30% |
| 20 | Unibet | 4 @ 1/5 | 29.9% | 32.8% |
| 21 | LiveScore Bet | 4 @ 1/5 | 29.9% | 32.8% |
| 22 | BetMGM UK | 4 @ 1/5 | 29.9% | 32.8% |