Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 8.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

Joburg Open

23/11/2023 - 26/11/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Dean Burmester 13.6 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 3.6/1) 6.85% 6.05% 0.38% -5.66% 1
2 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 14.4 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 3.7/1) 6.49% 5.73% 1.29% -4.45% T9
3 RSA Branden Grace 18.6 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.4/1) 5.1% 4.5% 0.61% -3.89%
4 RSA Thriston Lawrence 20 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.2% 3.33% -0.88% T7
5 ENG Dan Bradbury 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.2% 1.98% -2.23% 3
6 FRA Romain Langasque 22 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.84% 2.65% -1.19% MC
7 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 22 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.84% 1.97% -1.86% T21
8 RSA Zander Lombard 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.6% 1.99% -0.6% T4
9 ESP Adrian Otaegui 34 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.8/1) 2.86% 2.52% 3.09% 0.57% MC 11.37
10 RSA Wilco Nienaber 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.15% 1.16% -0.99% MC
11 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.15% 0.98% -1.17% T9
12 RSA Charl Schwartzel 40 (888sport: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.15% 0.42% -1.73% MC
13 RSA Louis de Jager 48 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.7/1) 2.04% 1.8% 1.59% -0.21% T17 8.13
14 GER Nick Bachem 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.73% 1.47% -0.26% MC
15 SCO David Law 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.73% 1.27% -0.46% MC
16 SCO Scott Jamieson 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.67% 1.61% -0.05% T37 7.51
17 ENG Matthew Southgate 57 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.7/1) 1.72% 1.52% 1.36% -0.16% MC 6.87
18 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 57 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.7/1) 1.72% 1.52% 1.2% -0.32% T37
19 RSA Casey Jarvis 57 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.7/1) 1.72% 1.52% 0.62% -0.9% T37
20 ITA Renato Paratore 60 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.45% 1.11% -0.34% MC
21 IND Shubhankar Sharma 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.32% 1.78% 0.46% T54 5.94
22 ESP Adria Arnaus 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 0.8% -0.52% T32
23 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.3% 1.28% -0.01% MC 5.86
24 FRA Frederic LaCroix 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.28% 1.32% 0.04% T17 5.77
25 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 70 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.24% 0.46% -0.78% T4
26 MAS Gavin Green 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.19% 1.91% 0.72% T7 5.38
27 ENG Daniel A Brown 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.13% 1.92% 0.79% T17 5.11
28 FRA Adrien Saddier 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.13% 1.79% 0.66% T37 5.11
29 RSA Brandon Stone 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.13% 0.38% -0.75% MC
30 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.09% 1.09% 0% MC 4.92
31 ENG Ross Fisher 80 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.09% 0.84% -0.25% T12 4.92
32 RSA Shaun Norris 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.09% 0.38% -0.71% MC
33 RSA Oliver Bekker 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.06% 0.65% -0.41% T54
34 ITA Francesco Laporta 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.92% 1.45% 0.53% T47 4.15
35 FIN Kalle Samooja 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.9% 1.05% 0.15% MC 4.07
36 ENG Andy Sullivan 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.87% 1.23% 0.36% T12 3.94
37 CAN Aaron Cockerill 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 0.79% -0.08% T32 3.94
38 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.87% 0.72% -0.15% 3.94
39 ARG Daniel Vancsik 100 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.87% 0.38% -0.49%
40 ESP Manuel Elvira 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 1.26% 0.56% T12 3.16
41 RSA Jaco Ahlers 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.38% -0.32% T37
42 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.38% -0.32% MC
43 SWE Jesper Svensson 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.69% 0.38% -0.31% T70
44 ENG Sam Bairstow 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.6% 1.3% 0.7% T54
45 ENG Marco Penge 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.6% 0.59% -0.01% MC
46 NED Darius Van Driel 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 1.17% 0.59% T9
47 FRA David Ravetto 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.84% 0.26% T47
48 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.62% 0.03% MC
49 SUI Joel Girrbach 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.43% -0.15% MC
50 RSA Thomas Aiken 175 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.5% 0.93% 0.43% T17
51 RSA Pieter Moolman 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.5% 0.38% -0.12% MC
52 RSA JC Ritchie 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 1.1% 0.67% T32
53 FIN Lauri Ruuska 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.38% -0.06% MC
54 RSA Louis Albertse 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.38% -0.06% MC
55 ENG James Morrison 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.41% 1.77% 1.36% MC
56 ESP Santiago Tarrio 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.41% 0.38% -0.02%
57 USA Chase Hanna 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.4% 1.05% 0.65% T26
58 RSA Darren Fichardt 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.39% 1.29% 0.9% 2
59 RSA Deon Germishuys 250 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.79% 0.44% T21
60 ENG Dale Whitnell 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.66% 0.31% T54
61 ITA Matteo Manassero 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.62% 0.27% 66
62 ITA Andrea Pavan 250 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.38% 0.03% MC
63 ENG Robin Williams 250 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.38% 0.03% MC
64 FRA Ugo Coussaud 250 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.35% 0% MC
65 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.35% 1.2% 0.85% MC
66 RSA Dylan Frittelli 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.47% 0.15% T12
67 FRA Clement Sordet 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.67% 0.35% MC
68 ENG Will Enefer 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.38% 0.08% MC
69 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.38% 0.09% T26
70 RSA James Du Preez Jnr 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.38% 0.09% MC
71 RSA Neil Schietekat 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.29% 0.38% 0.09% T12
72 SCO Marc Warren 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 1.36% 1.09% MC
73 ENG Oliver Wilson 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.27% 1.03% 0.76% 64
74 SWE Joakim Lagergren 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.82% 0.56% T54
75 WAL Rhys Enoch 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.88% 0.63% MC
76 RSA Ockie Strydom 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.46% 0.21%
77 RSA Rupert Kaminski 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.38% 0.13% T37
78 ENG John Gough 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 1.34% 1.12% T70
79 POR Ricardo Gouveia 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 1.28% 1.06% MC
80 SCO Stephen Gallacher 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.59% 0.37% T61
81 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.38% 0.16% MC
82 WAL Stuart Manley 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.38% 0.16% T37
83 ENG Ashley Chesters 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.38% 0.16% T47
84 ZIM Benjamin Follett-Smith 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.38% 0.16% T32
85 NOR Espen Kofstad 420 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.6/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.42% 0.21% MC
86 RSA Ryan Van Velzen 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.38% 0.18% T47
87 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.82% 0.65% MC
88 RSA Keenan Davidse 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.58% 0.4% T47
89 RSA Kyle Barker 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.42% 0.24% T67
90 RSA Martin Rohwer 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.42% 0.24% MC
91 RSA Hennie Otto 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.38% 0.21% MC
92 RSA Martin Vorster 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.38% 0.21% MC
93 POL Mateusz Gradecki 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.12% 0.79% 0.67% MC
94 RSA Dylan Mostert 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.62% 0.5% T24
95 RSA Tristen Strydom 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.39% 0.28% MC
96 Joshua Berry 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.39% 0.27% MC
97 DEN Soren Broholt Lind 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.12% 0.39% 0.27% MC
98 RSA Jacques Blaauw 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.38% 0.27% T26
99 GRE Peter Karmis 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.12% 0.38% 0.27% MC
100 RSA MJ Viljoen 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.38% 0.27% T21
101 RSA Wynand Dingle 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.12% 0.38% 0.27% MC
102 RSA Malcolm Mitchell 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.38% 0.27% T26
103 RSA Stefan Wears Taylor 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.12% 0.38% 0.27% MC
104 RSA Sean Bradley 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.38% 0.27% MC
105 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.38% 0.27% T37
106 RSA Ruan Korb 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% MC
107 RSA Gerhard Pepler 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% MC
108 POR Pedro Figueiredo 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.74% 0.65% MC
109 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% MC
110 RSA Anthony Michael 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% 65
111 SWE Anton Karlsson 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% MC
112 RSA Hennie O'Kennedy 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% MC
113 RSA Dylan Naidoo 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% T61
114 RSA Merrick Bremner 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.3% T67
115 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.3% T54
116 RSA Lyle Rowe 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.3% MC
117 RSA Christiaan Basson 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.3% MC
118 RSA Rhys West 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.3% MC
119 DEN Joachim B Hansen 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.3% MC
120 RSA Albert Venter 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.3% MC
121 RSA Jacques de Villiers 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.3% T26
122 RSA Jake Redman 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.3% T37
123 RSA Jordan Duminy 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.3% MC
124 RSA Nikhil Rama 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.3% 6
125 RSA Combrinck Smit 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.38% 0.33% T67
126 ZIM Robson Chinhoi 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.38% 0.33% MC
127 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
128 RSA Jean Hugo 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
130 RSA Michael Hollick 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 RSA Bryce Easton 0% 0% 0% 0% T54
132 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 0% 0% 0% 0% 53
133 GER Max Rottluff 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
134 RSA Kyle McClatchie 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 RSA Rourke Van der Spuy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 RSA Toto Thimba 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 KOR Dongkwan Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 RSA Luke Jerling 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
139 RSA Jason Roets 0% 0% 0% 0% T26
140 RSA Yurav Premlall 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 ENG Jamie Rutherford 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% T24
143 RSA Makgetha Mazibuko 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 RSA Musiwalo Nethunzwi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 ZAM Dayne Moore 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 RSA Kyle De Beer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 DEN Jonathan Goth-Rasmussen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 SWE Adam Blomme 0% 0% 0% 0% T70
149 ESP Lucas Vacarisas 0% 0% 0% 0% T61
150 RSA Vaughn Van Deventer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 RSA Richard Joubert 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 RSA Siyanda Mwandla 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 DEN Jeppe Kristian Andersen 0% 0% 0% 0% T37
154 RSA Luca Filippi 0% 0% 0% 0% T32
155 RSA Sentanio Minnie 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 Wade Jacobs 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 Jastice Mashego 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 Danie Van Niekerk 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 Karabo Mokoena 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 9% 9.5%
2 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 37.5% 21.2%
3 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 39.7% 23.1%
4 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 63.2% 24.3%
5 Betway 7 @ 1/5 52.2% 25.4%
6 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 42.8% 25.9%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.8% 27.6%
8 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 55.6% 28.2%
9 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 55.7% 28.3%
10 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 56.3% 28.8%
11 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 43.8% 29.1%
12 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 72% 31%
13 Coral 8 @ 1/5 72% 31%
14 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 46.1% 31.1%
15 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 48.1% 33%
16 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 48.8% 33.5%
17 VBet 6 @ 1/5 51.2% 35.7%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.9% 39%
19 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 54.9% 39%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.1% 39.3%
21 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 55.1% 39.3%
22 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 55.1% 39.3%