Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 29.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 34.6

Total Profit: -65.5

Qatar Masters

26/10/2023 - 29/10/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Jordan L Smith 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.55% 0.76% -2.79% 5
2 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.55% 0.46% -3.09% T9
3 ENG Aaron Rai 22 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.24% 0.74% -2.5% T9
4 SWE Alexander Bjork 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.24% 0.55% -2.69% MC
5 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.24% 0.45% -2.79% T16
6 ESP Adrian Otaegui 28 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.57% 0.45% -2.12% MC
7 SCO Robert MacIntyre 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.57% 0.41% -2.16% T6
8 ENG Matt Wallace 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.57% 0.36% -2.21% T9
9 FRA Romain Langasque 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.41% 0.67% -1.74% MC
10 GER Yannik Paul 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.41% 0.32% -2.08% T27
11 FRA Matthieu Pavon 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.19% 1.55% -0.64% T47 9.81
12 GER Marcel Siem 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.19% 0.56% -1.63% MC
13 SCO Ewen Ferguson 33 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.19% 0.51% -1.68% T16
14 ENG Richard Mansell 35 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.07% 0.33% -1.74% MC
15 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 40 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 1.54% -0.27% T21 8.14
16 FRA Antoine Rozner 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 0.26% -1.56% T27
17 ESP Jorge Campillo 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.62% 0.18% -1.44% 2
18 NZL Daniel Hillier 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0.63% -0.83% T16
19 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0.34% -1.12% MC
20 ENG Matthew Southgate 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.46% 0.3% -1.16% MC
21 RSA Wilco Nienaber 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0.19% -1.27% MC
22 NIR Tom McKibbin 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.33% 0.29% -1.04% T9
23 MAS Gavin Green 55 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.33% 0.26% -1.07% MC
24 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 1.55% 0.33% MC 5.47
25 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 1.23% 0.01% T47 5.47
26 ITA Guido Migliozzi 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 0.24% -0.98% 59
27 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 0.19% -1.03% T54
28 RSA Thriston Lawrence 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.11% 0.39% -0.73% T36
29 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.36% -0.76% T36
30 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.32% -0.8% T36
31 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.28% -0.84% T16
32 ENG Matthew Jordan 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.23% -0.88% MC
33 RSA Louis de Jager 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% 1.97% 0.92% MC 4.7
34 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% 1.72% 0.67% T44 4.7
35 SCO David Law 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% 0.15% -0.9% T47
36 ENG Marcus Armitage 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 1.81% 0.89% MC 4.12
37 DEN Jeff Winther 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.37% -0.55% T44 4.12
38 ENG Eddie Pepperell 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.92% 0.3% -0.62% T27 4.12
39 RSA Zander Lombard 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.29% -0.63% T27 4.12
40 FIN Sami Valimaki 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.25% -0.67% 1
41 ENG Callum Shinkwin 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.2% -0.72% MC
42 GER Nick Bachem 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.2% -0.72% MC
43 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.92% 0.19% -0.73% MC
44 ENG Paul Waring 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 0.13% -0.69%
45 USA Chase Hanna 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 2.84% 2.1% MC 3.31
46 FRA Adrien Saddier 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 2.15% 1.41% T27 3.31
47 SWE Marcus Kinhult 100 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 1.34% 0.6% T56 3.31
48 USA Sean Crocker 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 1.24% 0.5% T9 3.31
49 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.6% -0.14% T63 3.31
50 FIN Kalle Samooja 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 0.25% -0.49% T21 3.31
51 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.22% -0.52% T27 3.31
52 ESP Adria Arnaus 100 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 0.13% -0.61% MC 3.31
53 SCO Scott Jamieson 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% 1.52% 0.84% T3 (tied w/2) 3.01 +34.6
54 AUS Jason Scrivener 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 1.77% 1.18% T9 2.65
55 ENG Andy Sullivan 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 1.51% 0.92% T36 2.65
56 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 1.26% 0.67% MC 2.65
57 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.18% -0.41% MC 2.65
58 ENG Matthew Baldwin 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.16% -0.43% T56 2.65
59 ENG Ross Fisher 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.13% -0.46% T36 2.65
60 NED Daan Huizing 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 2.81% 2.32% T16
61 NED Wil Besseling 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 2.79% 2.29% T21
62 USA Johannes Veerman 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 1.65% 1.16% MC
63 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 1.63% 1.13% T21
64 GER Marcel Schneider 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 1.32% 0.83% T47
65 ESP Nacho Elvira 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.19% -0.3% T3
66 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.17% -0.33% T36
67 RSA Oliver Bekker 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.11% -0.38%
68 ENG James Morrison 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 2.75% 2.38% T61
69 ITA Edoardo Molinari 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 1.47% 1.1% T21
70 CAN Aaron Cockerill 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.42% 1.05% T47
71 SWE Jens Dantorp 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.37% 1% MC
72 SCO Marc Warren 200 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.19% -0.18% MC
73 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.14% -0.23% T34
74 JPN Kazuki Higa 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.12% -0.25% T44
75 ENG Andrew Wilson 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.09% -0.28% MC
76 SWE Mikael Lindberg 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 2.77% 2.47% MC
77 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 250 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 2.74% 2.44% MC
78 NED Darius Van Driel 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 2.58% 2.28% MC
79 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 250 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 2.57% 2.27% MC
80 FRA Alexander Levy 250 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 2.52% 2.22% MC
81 AUT Lukas Nemecz 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 2.31% 2.02% T54
82 SWE Simon Forsstrom 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 1.51% 1.21% 66
83 FRA Clement Sordet 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 1.49% 1.19% MC
84 RSA Justin Walters 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.26% -0.04% MC
85 ENG Todd Clements 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.23% -0.07% T63
86 ENG Brandon Robinson-Thompson 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% -0.09% MC
87 FRA David Ravetto 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% -0.1% MC
88 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.19% -0.1% MC
89 SWE Niklas Lemke 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.13% -0.17% T21
90 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 2.46% 2.21% MC
91 USA John Catlin 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 2.42% 2.18% 60
92 SWE Joakim Lagergren 300 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 1.49% 1.24% 53
93 RSA JC Ritchie 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 1.35% 1.1%
94 DEN John Axelsen 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% MC
95 RSA Bryce Easton 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.12% -0.13% MC
96 ESP Santiago Tarrio 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.06% -0.18%
97 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.15% -0.06% MC
98 RSA Darren Fichardt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.14% -0.07% MC
99 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 2.38% 2.19% MC
100 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 1.47% 1.28% T63
101 RSA Deon Germishuys 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.17% -0.01% T56
102 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.08% -0.1% T27
103 FRA Benjamin Hebert 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.06% -0.12% MC
104 ARG Daniel Vancsik 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.06% -0.12%
105 ENG John Parry 500 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08%
106 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.14% -0.01% MC
107 KOR Jeunghun Wang 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.1% -0.05% T36
108 ENG Daniel Gavins 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.08% -0.07%
109 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 2.44% 2.31% MC
110 RSA Thomas Aiken 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.12% 0% 15
111 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 2.62% 2.52% MC
112 SCO Stephen Gallacher 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.11% 0.01% T34
113 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 2.16% 2.09% MC
114 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.07% MC
115 ENG Garrick Porteous 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.03% MC
116 DEN Christoffer Bring 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.03% MC
117 RSA Ockie Strydom 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.09% 0.02% MC
118 ENG David Horsey 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.09% 0.02%
119 FRA Gary Stal 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.07% 0%
120 ESP Alvaro Quiros 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.07% 0% T61
121 USA Gunner Wiebe 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.13% 0.1% MC
122 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.12% 0.08% MC
123 IRL John Murphy 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.11% 0.07% MC
124 THA Jazz Janewattananond 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.11% 0.07% MC
125 IND Manu Gandas 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.09% 0.06% MC
126 FRA Joel Stalter 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.09% 0.06% MC
127 ENG Joshua Grenville-Wood 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03% T6
128 JOR Shergo Kurdi 3000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.02% 0.06% 0.04%
129 MAR Othmane Raouzi 5000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.01% 0.06% 0.05% MC
130 KSA Saud Al Sharif 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.01% 0.06% 0.05% MC
131 KSA Faisal Mohammed Al Salhab 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.01% 0.06% 0.05% MC
132 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
133 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T6
134 RSA Tristen Strydom 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% T36
136 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 Joe Jones 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 29.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 52.1% 15.5%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 54.9% 17.7%
3 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 38.7% 22.1%
4 Betway 7 @ 1/5 49.1% 22.6%
5 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 63.6% 24.3%
6 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 41.4% 24.4%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 42.1% 25.1%
8 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 54.1% 26.8%
9 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 46.3% 28.8%
10 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 46.3% 28.8%
11 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 58.7% 30.5%
12 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 79% 36.1%
13 Coral 8 @ 1/5 79% 36.1%
14 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 65.7% 36.3%
15 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 65.7% 36.3%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 52.4% 36.7%
17 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 56.3% 37.7%
18 VBet 5 @ 1/4 60.1% 41%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.8% 41.5%
20 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 57.8% 41.5%
21 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 57.8% 41.5%
22 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 59.3% 42.8%
23 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 59.5% 43%