Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 5.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 81.1

Total Profit: -19

Butterfield Bermuda Championship

09/11/2023 - 12/11/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Akshay Bhatia 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.53% 1.61% -2.93% T20
2 AUS Adam Scott 18.2 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.4/1) 5.21% 4.49% 2.91% -1.57% T5
3 USA Lucas Glover 22 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.75% 3.5% -0.25% T45 16.82
4 USA Benjamin Griffin 22 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.75% 1.02% -2.73% T37
5 USA Brendon Todd 23 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.2/1) 4.17% 3.59% 2.25% -1.34% T20
6 BEL Thomas Detry 24 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.3/1) 4% 3.45% 2.31% -1.13% MC
7 CAN Taylor Pendrith 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.31% 2.23% -1.08% T8
8 USA Luke List 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.31% 1.75% -1.56% T20
9 USA Alex Smalley 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.31% 1.4% -1.91% T30
10 AUS Lucas Herbert 26 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.6/1) 3.7% 3.19% 1.1% -2.09% T30
11 SWE Alexander Noren 28 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.9/1) 3.45% 2.97% 1.95% -1.02% 2
12 USA Mark Hubbard 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.78% 1.88% -0.9% T20
13 USA Doug Ghim 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.53% 2.18% -0.35% MC
14 USA Davis Riley 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.39% 1.27% -1.12% T45
15 USA Nick Hardy 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.1% 1.09% -1.01% T45
16 USA Dylan Wu 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.87% 1.49% -0.38% T30
17 USA Brandon Wu 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.69% 0.68% -1.01% T30
18 USA Vincent Whaley 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.54% 0.8% -0.73% T8
19 USA Adam Long 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.41% 1.21% -0.2% T13 6.35
20 USA Justin Lower 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.41% 0.71% -0.71% T20
21 USA Lanto Griffin 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.41% 0.67% -0.74% T53
22 RSA MJ Daffue 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.29% 1.15% -0.14% MC 5.78
23 USA Ryan Palmer 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.25% 0.9% -0.35% T8
24 ENG Harry Hall 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.21% 1.44% 0.22% MC 5.45
25 USA Austin Smotherman 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.21% 1.16% -0.05% T59 5.45
26 SCO Martin Laird 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.21% 1.1% -0.11% T59 5.45
27 USA Andrew Novak 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.21% 0.68% -0.53% T45
28 USA Ben Martin 70 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.21% 0.57% -0.64% T27
29 USA Troy Merritt 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.13% 1.3% 0.16% T72 5.09
30 USA Sam Bennett 75 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.13% 0.98% -0.15% MC 5.09
31 USA Ryan Moore 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 0.94% -0.12% T5 (tied w/2) 4.78 +40.6
32 USA Patton Kizzire 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 0.78% -0.29% T37 4.78
33 USA David Lipsky 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 0.72% -0.34% T13
34 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.95% 0.7% -0.24% 4 4.26 +40.5
35 USA Kramer Hickok 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.93% 1.16% 0.23% T13 4.16
36 USA Peter Kuest 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.93% 0.91% -0.01% T53 4.16
37 TPE C.T. Pan 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.88% 0.63% -0.25% MC 3.95
38 AUS Kevin Yuan 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.88% 0.26% -0.62%
39 USA Nick Dunlap 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.85% 0.33% -0.53% MC
40 COL Nicolas Echavarria 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.69% 0.89% 0.2% T76 3.12
41 SWE Henrik Norlander 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.69% 0.87% 0.18% MC 3.12
42 USA Kelly Kraft 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.9% 0.21% T53 3.08
43 USA Robert Streb 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.74% 0.05% T65 3.08
44 SCO Russell Knox 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.68% 0.87% 0.19% T76 3.05
45 USA Stewart Cink 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.68% 0.82% 0.14% 7 3.05
46 COL Camilo Villegas 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 1.63% 1.06% 1
47 USA Brent Grant 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 1.47% 0.9% MC
48 USA Ryan Gerard 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 1% 0.43% T69
49 USA Kevin Tway 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.58% 0.01% MC
50 USA Peter Malnati 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.56% 1.27% 0.71% T37
51 USA Scott Piercy 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.55% 0.77% 0.22% T27
52 KOR Seungyul Noh 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.49% 0.8% 0.31% T72
53 USA Jason Dufner 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.49% 0.65% 0.16% MC
54 USA Austin Cook 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.81% 0.35% T13
55 USA Doc Redman 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.45% 0.89% 0.44% T13
56 USA Jimmy Walker 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.44% 0.5% 0.06% MC
57 USA Kevin Roy 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.83% 0.4% T8
58 ARG Augusto Nunez 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.58% 0.15% T63
59 USA Sean O'Hair 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.33% -0.1% T37
60 USA Brice Garnett 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.42% 0.59% 0.17% T30
61 SWE David Lingmerth 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.36% 0.72% 0.37% T76
62 USA Charley Hoffman 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.36% 0.72% 0.36% T45
63 USA Harrison Endycott 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.36% 0.69% 0.34% MC
64 ARG Fabian Gomez 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.36% 0.61% 0.25% MC
65 USA Hank Lebioda 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.35% 0.41% 0.06% MC
66 USA Kevin Chappell 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.35% 0.32% -0.03% T45
67 USA Richy Werenski 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 1.35% 1.01% T69
68 USA Harry Higgs 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.56% 0.22% MC
69 USA Chris Stroud 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.37% 0.03% MC
70 USA Ryan Armour 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.36% 0.06% T53
71 AUS Cameron Percy 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.81% 0.51% T72
72 USA Martin Trainer 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 1.08% 0.8% 81
73 AUT Matthias Schwab 300 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.81% 0.52% T53
74 USA Max McGreevy 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 1.28% 1% T53
75 USA Brian Gay 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.61% 0.35% T37
76 USA Cody Gribble 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.25% 0.54% 0.29% T45
77 USA Trevor Werbylo 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.71% 0.47% MC
78 USA Wesley Bryan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.41% 0.16% T37
79 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 383 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.9/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.7% 0.47% T13
80 SWE Jonas Blixt 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.71% 0.5% MC
81 KOR Sunghoon Kang 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.62% 0.41% MC
82 USA Jonathan Byrd 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.51% 0.29% MC
83 USA Trevor Cone 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.5% 0.29% MC
84 USA Scott Harrington 431 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.7/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.46% 0.27% MC
85 USA William McGirt 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.51% 0.33% T59
86 CAN Michael Gligic 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.62% 0.45% MC
87 USA D.J. Trahan 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.59% 0.42% T59
88 USA Paul Haley-II 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.44% 0.27% MC
89 USA Kyle Westmoreland 646 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.65% 0.52% T37
90 RSA Dylan Frittelli 681 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.6/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.37% 0.24% MC
91 USA Ben Crane 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.48% 0.37% MC
92 USA Andrew Landry 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.45% 0.33% T45
93 USA Jim Herman 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.43% 0.32% T72
94 CAN David Hearn 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.37% 0.26% MC
95 USA Derek Ernst 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.28% 0.16% MC
96 AUS Greg Chalmers 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.27% 0.16% MC
97 USA Tyson Alexander 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.75% 0.64% T8
98 USA Chase Johnson 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.74% 0.65% MC
99 USA Ryan Brehm 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.68% 0.59% T20
100 USA Scott Brown 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% MC
101 USA Tommy Gainey 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% MC
102 USA Chris Baker 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
103 USA Kyle Wilshire 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
104 ARG Martin Contini 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% T65
105 USA Brian Stuard 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 1.61% 1.53% T37
106 JPN Ryuji Imada 1000 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17%
107 Danny Guise 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17%
108 USA Derek Lamely 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.3% 0.24% MC
109 USA Ted Potter-jr 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.58% 0.54% T65
110 USA Nick Watney 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.52% 0.47% 80
111 USA D.A. Points 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.33% 0.29% T20
112 USA George McNeill 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.31% 0.27% MC
113 USA Robert Garrigus 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% T27
114 USA Ricky Barnes 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
115 BRA Fred Biondi 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.27% 0.23% T13
116 CHN Andy Zhang 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.26% 0.21% MC
117 USA George Bryan IV 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.26% 0.21% T69
118 USA Kyle Stanley 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.24% 0.2% T30
119 USA Bo Van Pelt 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.41% 0.38% MC
120 IND Arjun Atwal 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.29% 0.26% MC
121 USA Greg Koch 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.26% 0.23% T63
122 USA Michael Sims 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.26% 0.22% MC
123 USA Kevin Stadler 5000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% 0.35% 0.34% T76
124 USA Jeff Overton 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.28% 0.26% MC
125 ENG Brian Davis 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
126 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
127 SWE Richard S. Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
128 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% T65
129 USA Omar Uresti 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
130 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% T30
131 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% 3
132 Oliver Betschart 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
133 Scott Roy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 5.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 9.9% 11.7%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 48.4% 12.9%
3 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 63.7% 24.5%
4 Coral 8 @ 1/5 63.7% 24.5%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 51.5% 24.7%
6 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 51.5% 24.7%
7 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 54.4% 27.1%
8 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45.7% 28.3%
9 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 43.4% 28.6%
10 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 43.4% 28.6%
11 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 43.4% 28.6%
12 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56.6% 28.9%
13 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 46.7% 29.2%
14 VBet 5 @ 1/4 47.3% 29.7%
15 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 71% 30.1%
16 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 48% 30.4%
17 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 48.1% 30.5%
18 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 47.2% 32.1%
19 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 51.1% 33.1%
20 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 50.2% 34.8%
21 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 50.2% 34.8%
22 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 37.3%
23 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 37.3%