Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 20.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 7.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

SDC Championship

16/03/2023 - 19/03/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Jordan L Smith 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.83% 2.5% -1.33% T23
2 FRA Antoine Rozner 25 (BoyleSports: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.09% 2.1% -0.99% T3
3 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 25 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.09% 1.52% -1.57% MC
4 NED Joost Luiten 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.59% 1.66% -0.94% T9
5 ESP Adria Arnaus 30 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.59% 1.01% -1.58% 2
6 RSA George Coetzee 30 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.59% 0.89% -1.7% T63
7 ESP Adrian Otaegui 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.36% 2.84% 0.48% MC 10.46
8 FRA Julien Brun 33 (BoyleSports: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.36% 1.06% -1.3% T23
9 FIN Sami Valimaki 35 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.23% 2.2% -0.03% T63 9.87
10 ENG Dale Whitnell 40 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.96% 1.91% -0.05% T32 8.67
11 RSA Zander Lombard 40 (BoyleSports: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.96% 1.28% -0.68% T41
12 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 45 (BoyleSports: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.75% 1.69% -0.06% MC 7.73
13 MAS Gavin Green 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.58% 1.28% -0.3% T41
14 FRA Romain Langasque 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.58% 1.06% -0.51% MC
15 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.58% 0.99% -0.59% T23
16 RSA Oliver Bekker 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.58% 0.46% -1.11% T32
17 FRA Matthieu Pavon 55 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.44% 1.09% -0.34% 8
18 NIR Tom McKibbin 55 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.44% 0.85% -0.59% T18
19 USA Johannes Veerman 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.44% 0.74% -0.69% MC
20 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.44% 0.74% -0.69%
21 ENG Matthew Jordan 57 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.7/1) 1.72% 1.39% 0.89% -0.49% MC
22 IND Shubhankar Sharma 60 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.32% 0.94% -0.37% MC
23 RSA Casey Jarvis 60 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.32% 0.76% -0.56% T23
24 ENG Dan Bradbury 66 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% 1.38% 0.18% MC 5.31
25 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% 0.87% -0.33% T41
26 RSA Thriston Lawrence 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% 0.87% -0.33% T14
27 RSA Louis de Jager 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% 0.86% -0.34% T30
28 AUT Lukas Nemecz 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% 0.85% -0.35% MC
29 SCO Ewen Ferguson 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% 0.75% -0.45% T3
30 ENG Andrew Johnston 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% 0.73% -0.47%
31 SCO Connor Syme 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% 0.72% -0.48% T14
32 RSA Wilco Nienaber 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% 0.67% -0.53% MC
33 FIN Kalle Samooja 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% 0.54% -0.66% MC
34 SCO Calum Hill 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.18% 0.82% -0.36% MC
35 FIN Mikko Korhonen 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.18% 0.58% -0.6% MC
36 GER Maximilian Kieffer 70 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.13% 1% -0.13% MC 5.01
37 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.1% 1.01% -0.09% T59 4.87
38 ENG Matthew Southgate 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.06% 0.84% -0.21% T18
39 RSA Ockie Strydom 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 1.4% 0.41% MC 4.39
40 ENG Ross Fisher 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% 0.99% -0.01% T23 4.39
41 RSA JC Ritchie 80 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.77% -0.22% MC
42 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.73% -0.26% T14
43 RSA JJ Senekal 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.7% -0.29% MC
44 SCO David Law 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.88% 1.04% 0.15% MC 3.91
45 USA John Catlin 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.84% 0.84% 0% T14 3.71
46 ENG Daniel Gavins 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 1.18% 0.39% MC 3.52
47 GER Hurly Long 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.96% 0.16% WD 3.52
48 DEN Jeff Winther 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.95% 0.15% MC 3.52
49 FRA Clement Sordet 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.95% 0.15% MC 3.52
50 ENG Andy Sullivan 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.81% 0.02% T61 3.52
51 FRA Julien Guerrier 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.64% -0.16% MC
52 RSA Pieter Moolman 100 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.43% -0.36% MC
53 ARG Daniel Vancsik 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.28% -0.52%
54 RSA Justin Harding 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.69% 0.52% -0.17% T57
55 RSA Brandon Stone 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.69% 0.5% -0.19% T32
56 RSA Shaun Norris 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.65% 1.09% 0.44% T32 2.87
57 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 125 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.62% -0.02% T32 2.82
58 RSA Dylan Mostert 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.61% -0.02% T47 2.82
59 RSA Bryce Easton 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.56% -0.08% T41 2.82
60 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% 0.55% -0.09% MC 2.82
61 NED Daan Huizing 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% 0.47% -0.17% MC
62 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% 0.46% -0.17% T3
63 NED Wil Besseling 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% 0.44% -0.19% MC
64 RSA Justin Walters 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.57% 0.8% 0.23% MC
65 ENG Daniel A Brown 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.57% 0.78% 0.21% T9
66 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.76% 0.23% MC
67 WAL Jamie Donaldson 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.71% 0.18% MC
68 ENG Matthew Baldwin 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.48% -0.05% 1
69 KOR Yeongsu Kim 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.28% -0.25% T41
70 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.5% 0.87% 0.37% MC
71 NED Darius Van Driel 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.46% 0.99% 0.54% MC
72 FRA David Ravetto 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.85% 0.45% T18
73 ESP Nacho Elvira 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.81% 0.41% T23
74 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.64% 0.24% MC
75 CAN Aaron Cockerill 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.59% 0.19% T53
76 SWE Jens Dantorp 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.53% 0.13% T3
77 RSA Darren Fichardt 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.42% 0.02% MC
78 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.8% 0.48% MC
79 FRA Alexander Levy 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.51% 0.19% 56
80 GER Nick Bachem 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.49% 0.17% T18
81 RSA Hennie O'Kennedy 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.48% 0.16% MC
82 ENG Todd Clements 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.47% 0.15% T59
83 RSA Jaco Ahlers 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.3% 0.76% 0.46% T3
84 RSA Thomas Aiken 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.7% 0.43% T9
85 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.7% 0.43% MC
86 RSA Neil Schietekat 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.59% 0.32% T53
87 RSA Dylan Naidoo 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.37% 0.1% T47
88 RSA Stefan Wears Taylor 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.29% 0.02% MC
89 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.28% 0.02% T41
90 RSA Hennie Otto 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.26% -0.01% T32
91 ENG Oliver Wilson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.5% 0.27% MC
92 ENG James Morrison 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.63% 0.43% MC
93 IND Manu Gandas 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.59% 0.39% MC
94 RSA Jbe Kruger 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.52% 0.32% T18
95 RSA Yurav Premlall 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% MC
96 RSA Deon Germishuys 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% MC
97 ENG John Parry 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% MC
98 RSA Louis Albertse 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.43% 0.23% T47
99 RSA Ruan Korb 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% T47
100 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 450 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.22% 0.18% 0.42% 0.24% T57
101 DEN John Axelsen 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.51% 0.35% MC
102 RSA James Du Preez Jnr 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.51% 0.35% MC
103 RSA Jake Redman 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.46% 0.3% MC
104 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.41% 0.25% MC
105 SWE Anton Karlsson 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.2% T23
106 RSA Tristen Strydom 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% MC
107 RSA Jean Hugo 600 (Betway: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.42% 0.28% T30
108 ZIM Benjamin Follett-Smith 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.17% MC
109 RSA Luke Jerling 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.27% 0.13% T47
110 SWE Mikael Lindberg 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.12% MC
111 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.84% 0.74% MC
112 POL Mateusz Gradecki 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.48% 0.38% MC
113 RSA Jacques Blaauw 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.43% 0.33% MC
114 RSA Anthony Michael 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.27% 0.16% MC
115 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.58% 0.5% MC
116 RSA Kyle Barker 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.53% 0.45% MC
117 RSA Wynand Dingle 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.53% 0.45% MC
118 RSA Albert Venter 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.52% 0.44% T9
119 RSA Keenan Davidse 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.49% 0.41% T9
120 RSA Luke Brown 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.47% 0.39% 68
121 RSA Martin Rohwer 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% MC
122 RSA Lyle Rowe 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.29% MC
123 RSA Combrinck Smit 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
124 RSA Ryan Van Velzen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
125 RSA Michael Palmer 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
126 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% T32
127 RSA Merrick Bremner 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T66
128 BRA Adilson da Silva 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
129 POR Stephen Ferreira 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
130 RSA Keagan Thomas 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.47% 0.4% T63
131 RSA Alex Haindl 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.36% 0.3% MC
132 RSA Rupert Kaminski 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.28% 0.22% MC
133 ENG Robin Williams 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.26% 0.2% MC
134 RSA Estiaan Conradie 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.33% 0.28% MC
135 POR Pedro Figueiredo 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.45% 0.41% MC
136 CHN Ma Chengyao 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.33% 0.29% MC
137 Wade Jacobs 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.3% 0.26%
138 RSA Rhys West 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.29% 0.25% MC
139 RSA Herman Loubser 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
140 SWE Philip Eriksson 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
141 RSA Allister de Kock 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
142 RSA Reinhardt Blaauw 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
143 RSA Ruan Conradie 2500 (Betway: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.39% 0.36% MC
144 RSA Musiwalo Nethunzwi 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.36% 0.33%
145 RSA Keelan Van Wyk 2500 (Betway: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.35% 0.32% MC
146 RSA James Kamte 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.28% 0.25% T32
147 RSA Franklin Manchest 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.26% 0.23% MC
148 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T32
149 GER Marcel Schneider 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
150 RSA Rourke Van der Spuy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 RSA CJ du Plessis 0% 0% 0% 0% T66
152 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 SWE Tobias Eden 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 RSA Luca Filippi 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
155 Gerard Du Plooy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 Sean Cronje 0% 0% 0% 0% T61
157 Aneurin Gounden 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 James Mack 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 20.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 7.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 37.1% 20.9%
2 Betway 5 @ 1/4 37.2% 21%
3 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 38.2% 21.9%
4 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 39.4% 22.9%
5 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 39.4% 22.9%
6 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 39.9% 23.4%
7 BoyleSports 6 @ 1/5 39.7% 25.5%
8 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 42.2% 27.7%
9 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 45.6% 30.8%
10 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 58.7% 30.9%
11 Coral 7 @ 1/5 58.7% 30.9%
12 VBet 5 @ 1/4 50.4% 32.6%
13 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 50.7% 35.4%
14 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 65% 36.1%
15 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 65.3% 36.3%
16 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 56% 37.5%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.1% 39.4%
18 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 55.1% 39.4%
19 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 60.8% 41.8%
20 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60.4% 44.2%