Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 14.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 93.7

Total Profit: -6.4

AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open

15/12/2022 - 18/12/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Detry 6.5 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 13.33% 11.1% 5.1% -6% 68
2 RSA Dean Burmester 7 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 12.5% 10.4% 2.6% -7.81% MC
3 FRA Antoine Rozner 16 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.9% 2.18% -2.71% 1
4 ENG Laurie Canter 18 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.38% 0.75% -3.63% T66
5 RSA Oliver Bekker 20 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.96% 0.82% -3.14% T7
6 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 33 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.45% 2.16% -0.28% T9 10.52
7 NIR Tom McKibbin 33 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.45% 1.44% -1.01% T40
8 ITA Renato Paratore 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.45% 1.11% -1.34% MC
9 RSA Louis de Jager 35 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.31% 1.56% -0.75% T20
10 FRA Julien Brun 35 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.31% 0.85% -1.46% 3
11 FIN Sami Valimaki 40 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.03% 1.77% -0.26% T11 8.72
12 FRA Matthieu Pavon 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.03% 1.56% -0.47% T32 8.72
13 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 43 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8/1) 2.27% 1.89% 2.65% 0.76% MC 8.13
14 ENG Nathan Kimsey 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.81% 2.36% 0.56% T27 7.78
15 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.81% 0.96% -0.85% T9
16 RSA Ockie Strydom 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.81% 0.67% -1.14% WD
17 ENG Matthew Southgate 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.57% 1.27% -0.3% T14 6.75
18 GER Marcel Siem 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.49% 1.37% -0.12% 19 6.39
19 SCO Grant Forrest 55 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.49% 0.9% -0.58% MC
20 RSA JC Ritchie 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.49% 0.38% -1.11% T32
21 FRA Julien Guerrier 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 1.06% -0.18% T14 5.34
22 POR Ricardo Gouveia 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 0.77% -0.47% T7 (tied w/2) 5.34 +19
23 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 80 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.03% 1.17% 0.14% T40 4.42
24 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.03% 0.74% -0.29% 2 4.42 +37.6
25 FRA David Ravetto 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.03% 0.7% -0.33% T45 4.42
26 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 90 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.91% 0.83% -0.09% MC 3.93
27 ESP Santiago Tarrio 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.87% 0.3% -0.57%
28 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.59% -0.24% T4 (tied w/3) 3.54 +37.2
29 RSA Bryce Easton 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.72% 0.4% -0.32% T24 3.09
30 RSA Brandon Stone 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.67% 0.35% -0.32% T11 2.89
31 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.82% 0.16% MC 2.84
32 SCO Craig Howie 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.55% -0.11% T27 2.84
33 SWE Jens Dantorp 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.62% 0.98% 0.36% T24
34 ENG Todd Clements 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.62% 0.8% 0.18% 39
35 ESP Alejandro Canizares 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.58% 1.48% 0.91% T17
36 RSA Richard Sterne 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.58% 0.91% 0.34% T58
37 RSA Casey Jarvis 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 1.16% 0.61% T40
38 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 1.15% 0.6% MC
39 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.99% 0.44% T32
40 SWE Simon Forsstrom 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.97% 0.42% T4
41 ITA Filippo Celli 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.57% 0.02% MC
42 RSA Martin Vorster 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.32% -0.24% T58
43 RSA James Du Preez Jnr 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% 0.75% 0.27% MC
44 ENG Ross McGowan 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.43% 0.8% 0.37% T20
45 RSA Deon Germishuys 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.43% 0.74% 0.31% MC
46 RSA Ian Snyman 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.43% 0.32% -0.11% T32
47 SWE Jens Fahrbring 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 1.82% 1.41% T24
48 WAL Rhys Enoch 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.67% 0.25% MC
49 POR Ricardo Santos 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.53% 0.12% MC
50 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.41% 0.55% 0.14% MC
51 ENG Ashley Chesters 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.39% 0.63% 0.23% MC
52 FRA Pierre Pineau 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.38% 1.17% 0.79% T11
53 RSA Pieter Moolman 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.38% 0.44% 0.06% T64
54 SWE Mikael Lindberg 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% 0.31% -0.06% MC
55 RSA Thomas Aiken 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.36% 0.74% 0.37% T58
56 CHN Liu Yanwei 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.8% 0.45% MC
57 RSA JJ Senekal 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.33% 1.59% 1.26% MC
58 ENG OJ Farrell 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.33% 0.31% -0.02% MC
59 SWE Henric Sturehed 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 1.02% 0.68% T40
60 FRA Joel Stalter 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.93% 0.59% T49
61 DEN Thomas Bjorn 250 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.63% 0.3% T49
62 RSA Wynand Dingle 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.62% 0.29% MC
63 IRL Gary Hurley 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.55% 0.22% T14
64 RSA Hennie Otto 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.31% -0.02% MC
65 DEN John Axelsen 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.31% -0.02% MC
66 RSA Jbe Kruger 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.4% 0.08% MC
67 SWE Niklas Lemke 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.3% 0.82% 0.53% T49
68 RSA Neil Schietekat 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.29% 0.47% 0.18% T64
69 RSA Tristen Strydom 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.41% 0.14% MC
70 USA Joshua Lee 300 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.31% 0.04% MC
71 FRA Ugo Coussaud 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.3% 0.02% T40
72 ENG Marco Penge 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.32% 0.08% T20
73 DEN Christoffer Bring 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.23% 1.66% 1.43% T20
74 RSA Albert Venter 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.23% 0.4% 0.17% T56
75 ENG Sam Hutsby 383 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.9/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.52% 0.31% MC
76 SUI Benjamin Rusch 400 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 1.31% 1.1% MC
77 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.96% 0.75% MC
78 RSA Dylan Mostert 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.8% 0.59% T4
79 RSA Louis Albertse 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.66% 0.45% MC
80 RSA Kyle Barker 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.62% 0.41% MC
81 SWE Anton Karlsson 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.57% 0.36% MC
82 RSA MJ Viljoen 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.49% 0.29% MC
83 ESP Javier Sainz 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.32% 0.12% MC
84 AUS Aldrich Potgieter 400 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.32% 0.11% MC
85 POL Mateusz Gradecki 400 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.31% 0.11% MC
86 BRA Adilson da Silva 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.43% 0.26%
87 RSA Malcolm Mitchell 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.41% 0.24% MC
88 RSA Christiaan Burke 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 1.14% 0.97% T45
89 RSA Sean Bradley 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.58% 0.41% T32
90 ENG Bradley Bawden 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.35% 0.18% T58
91 RSA Dylan Naidoo 500 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.31% 0.15% T58
92 RSA Riekus Nortje 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.3% 0.13%
93 RSA Stefan Wears Taylor 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.3% 0.13% MC
94 RSA Luke Jerling 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% MC
95 NOR Elias Bertheussen 517 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.56% 0.4% MC
96 RSA Ryan Van Velzen 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% MC
97 IRL John Murphy 547 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% MC
98 RSA Ruan Korb 565 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.3/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.31% 0.17% T66
99 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
100 RSA Luke Brown 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.69% 0.56% MC
101 GRE Peter Karmis 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.32% 0.19% MC
102 POR Pedro Figueiredo 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% T17
103 RSA Martin Rohwer 662 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.9/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.31% 0.19% 69
104 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 691 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.4/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.31% 0.19% MC
105 RSA Merrick Bremner 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.35% 0.24% MC
106 ZAM Madalitso Muthiya 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.32% 0.21%
107 RSA Anthony Michael 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.31% 0.2% T27
108 RSA Michael Palmer 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.31% 0.2% MC
109 RSA Keagan Thomas 902 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.56% 0.47% T49
110 RSA Keenan Davidse 902 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% T45
111 RSA Rupert Kaminski 902 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% MC
112 FRA Gary Stal 902 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% T45
113 ESP Manuel Elvira 902 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.3% 0.2% T49
114 RSA Keith Horne 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.53% 0.44% MC
115 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.43% 0.34% MC
116 RSA Jake Redman 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.41% 0.32% MC
117 WAL Luke Harries 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% MC
118 RSA Herman Loubser 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.23% MC
119 RSA Jean-Paul Strydom 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.23% MC
120 POR Stephen Ferreira 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.23% T32
121 RSA CJ du Plessis 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.23% MC
122 USA Jordan Gumberg 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% MC
123 USA Clancy Waugh 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22%
124 RSA Kyle McClatchie 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% MC
125 RSA Ruan Conradie 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.52% 0.43%
126 SWE Philip Eriksson 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.42% 0.33% MC
127 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.33% MC
128 RSA Estiaan Conradie 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.33% MC
129 CHI Matias Calderon 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% MC
130 Brooklin Bailey 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% MC
131 RSA Rhys West 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.21% MC
132 RSA Michael Kok 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.21% MC
133 ENG Harry Konig 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.21% MC
134 ENG Graeme Storm 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.39% 0.35% MC
135 RSA Quintin Wilsnach 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.32% 0.28% MC
136 RSA Lyle Rowe 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.31% 0.27% T58
137 RSA Keelan Van Wyk 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.31% 0.27% MC
138 RSA Jacques de Villiers 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.3% 0.26% MC
139 RSA Dean O'Riley 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.3% 0.26%
140 MRI Pierre Pellegrin 2000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.3% 0.26% MC
141 RSA Nikhil Rama 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.43% 0.4% T56
142 RSA Jordan Duminy 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.32% 0.29% MC
143 Gerard Du Plooy 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.31% 0.28% MC
144 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T49
145 ENG Steve Surry 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 RSA Divan Van Den Heever 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 RSA Andre De Decker 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 RSA Toto Thimba 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 GER Dennis Meyerrose 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% T27
151 RSA Makgetha Mazibuko 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 RSA Luca Filippi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 FRA Oihan Guillamoundeguy 0% 0% 0% 0% T27
155 USA Dan Erickson 0% 0% 0% 0% T32
156 RSA Adam Breen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 ENG Pavan Sagoo 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 Danie Van Niekerk 0% 0% 0% 0% T49
159 Vishnoo Seenevassen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 Hugo Esposito 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 Henry Sheridan-Mills 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 14.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 17.1% 17.1%
2 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 34.4% 18.9%
3 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 36.7% 20.9%
4 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 37.6% 21.7%
5 William Hill 7 @ 1/5 49.1% 23.5%
6 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 40.6% 24.3%
7 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 40.6% 24.3%
8 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 50.5% 24.7%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 55.7% 28.9%
10 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45.9% 29%
11 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 56.7% 30%
12 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 56.7% 30%
13 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 58.9% 31.8%
14 Coral 7 @ 1/5 58.9% 31.8%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 46.9% 32.3%
16 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 46.9% 32.3%
17 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 52.6% 35.1%
18 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 55.8% 37.9%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 56% 40.6%
20 VBet 5 @ 1/4 60.8% 42.4%
21 Boyle Sports 6 @ 1/5 64.1% 47.9%