Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 8.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 26.3

Total Profit: -73.8

Czech Masters

24/08/2023 - 27/08/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 IRL Shane Lowry 12 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.68% 1.82% -4.86% MC
2 POL Adrian Meronk 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.79% 1.07% -4.72% T62
3 SWE Ludvig Aberg 14.6 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 3.7/1) 6.41% 5.57% 0.58% -4.99% T4
4 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.11% 0.99% -4.12% 3
5 SCO Robert MacIntyre 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.34% 1.36% -1.98% T4
6 BEL Adrien Dumont de Chassart 25 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.5/1) 3.85% 3.34% 0.08% -3.26% MC
7 GER Yannik Paul 35 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.41% 0.35% -2.06% 10
8 SWE Alexander Bjork 36 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.1/1) 2.7% 2.35% 0.88% -1.47% T14
9 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 36 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.1/1) 2.7% 2.35% 0.35% -2% T39
10 FRA Victor Perez 46 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.4/1) 2.13% 1.85% 0.86% -0.99% T11
11 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 46 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.4/1) 2.13% 1.85% 0.24% -1.6% T11
12 MAS Gavin Green 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.7% 0.49% -1.21% T52
13 RSA Wilco Nienaber 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.7% 0.23% -1.48% MC
14 IRL Padraig Harrington 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.64% 0.6% -1.04% T62
15 FRA Antoine Rozner 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.61% 0.44% -1.17% T22
16 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 60 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.42% 1.55% 0.13% T14 6.24
17 FRA Julien Guerrier 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.42% 1.16% -0.26% T25 6.24
18 ENG Matt Wallace 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.38% 0.32% -1.06% 2
19 USA Sean Crocker 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.3% 2.08% 0.78% 5.68
20 RSA Thriston Lawrence 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.3% 0.41% -0.89% MC 5.68
21 GER Marcel Siem 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.3% 0.4% -0.9% MC
22 ENG Eddie Pepperell 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.17% 0.28% -0.9% T39
23 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.14% 0.71% -0.43% T14 5.01
24 ESP Adrian Otaegui 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.11% 0.56% -0.56% 68 4.88
25 ENG Nathan Kimsey 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.07% 2.2% 1.13% T31 4.7
26 ENG Daniel A Brown 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.05% 0.35% -0.69% T14 4.58
27 GER Maximilian Kieffer 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 0.99% 1.42% 0.44% MC 4.32
28 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 90 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.95% 0.22% -0.73% T56 4.18
29 SCO Grant Forrest 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.89% 0.35% -0.54% MC 3.88
30 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.86% 1.36% 0.5% T62 3.77
31 FRA Julien Brun 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.86% 0.25% -0.61% T25 3.77
32 ENG Paul Waring 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.86% 0.11% -0.75% MC 3.77
33 ENG Matthew Jordan 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.82% 0.36% -0.46% MC 3.59
34 SCO David Law 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.8% 0.17% -0.64% T62 3.52
35 SCO Scott Jamieson 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.78% 1.65% 0.87% MC 3.43
36 FIN Sami Valimaki 110 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.78% 0.3% -0.48% T4 (tied w/6) 3.43 +26.3
37 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 110 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.78% 0.24% -0.55% T25 3.43
38 ITA Francesco Molinari 110 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.78% 0.22% -0.56% T31 3.43
39 ESP Jorge Campillo 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.75% 0.51% -0.24% T31 3.28
40 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.75% 0.28% -0.47% T60 3.28
41 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 1.59% 0.9% MC 3.02
42 FIN Kalle Samooja 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.12% -0.57% MC 3.02
43 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.65% 1.61% 0.96% T14
44 GER Marcel Schneider 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.63% 1.42% 0.79% MC
45 FRA Adrien Saddier 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 3.24% 2.66% MC
46 FRA Alexander Levy 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 2.42% 1.84% T56
47 RSA JC Ritchie 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 1.6% 1.02% T39
48 ENG Luke Donald 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.41% -0.17% MC
49 ITA Renato Paratore 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.21% -0.37% T22
50 ENG Dan Bradbury 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.2% -0.38% T52
51 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.17% -0.41% T25
52 ENG Andy Sullivan 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.56% 1.73% 1.17% MC
53 ENG Matthew Baldwin 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.55% 0.23% -0.32% MC
54 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.53% 0.22% -0.31% MC
55 SWE Jens Dantorp 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.49% 1.36% 0.86% T31
56 ENG Ross Fisher 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.48% 0.2% -0.28% MC
57 ESP Adria Arnaus 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.44% 0.29% -0.15% MC
58 NED Daan Huizing 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 2.63% 2.2% MC
59 CHN Wu Ashun 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 1.6% 1.17% MC
60 ENG Oliver Wilson 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.38% -0.06% MC
61 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.19% -0.24% T39
62 GER Nick Bachem 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.15% -0.29% T4
63 ENG Lee Slattery 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.08% -0.35% MC
64 RSA Louis de Jager 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.43% 1.81% 1.38%
65 ENG Callum Shinkwin 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.43% 0.08% -0.35% MC
66 RSA Zander Lombard 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.18% -0.22% MC
67 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.39% 0.28% -0.11% MC
68 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.39% 1.32% 0.94% T4
69 SWE Joakim Lagergren 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.37% 1.45% 1.08% MC
70 AUS Jason Scrivener 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.35% 1.62% 1.26%
71 FRA David Ravetto 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.35% 0.22% -0.13% T39
72 ITA Edoardo Molinari 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.35% 1.25% 0.9% T11
73 ENG Dale Whitnell 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.35% 1.11% 0.76% MC
74 RSA Justin Walters 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.35% 0.22% -0.13% T39
75 FRA Clement Sordet 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 1.71% 1.37% MC
76 USA Jordan Gumberg 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.07% -0.27% MC
77 DEN Jeff Winther 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.19% -0.15% T50
78 DEN John Axelsen 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.18% -0.13% T39
79 GER Hurly Long 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.27% -0.03% T62
80 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.19% -0.1% MC
81 SWE Mikael Lindberg 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 2.56% 2.27% MC
82 AUT Lukas Nemecz 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 2.17% 1.88% MC
83 ENG James Morrison 300 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 2.11% 1.82% T39
84 ESP Nacho Elvira 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.22% -0.06% MC
85 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.12% -0.15% MC
86 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.26% 1.37% 1.11% T52
87 USA John Catlin 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.25% 2.21% 1.96% T31
88 RSA Oliver Bekker 393 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.9/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.13% -0.09% MC
89 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 2.46% 2.24% T25
90 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 2.17% 1.96% MC
91 SWE Niklas Lemke 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 0.24% 0.03% MC
92 RSA Deon Germishuys 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.16% -0.06% MC
93 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 400 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 0.12% -0.1% MC
94 ENG Todd Clements 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.12% -0.1% 1
95 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 403 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.9/1) 0.25% 0.22% 2.35% 2.13% T52
96 ARG Daniel Vancsik 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.08% -0.13%
97 SVK Rory Sabbatini 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.22% 0.02% MC
98 ENG Andrew Wilson 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.13% -0.05% DQ
99 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 2.26% 2.09% MC
100 ENG John Parry 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.18% 0.01% MC
101 KOR Jeunghun Wang 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.14% -0.04% MC
102 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 2.68% 2.5% MC
103 SCO Marc Warren 500 (888sport: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.18% 0.01% T31
104 RSA Ockie Strydom 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.16% -0.02% MC
105 GER Max Schmitt 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.29% 0.12% T4
106 USA Chase Hanna 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.15% 3.35% 3.2% MC
107 RSA Bryce Easton 577 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.4/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% MC
108 FRA Victor Dubuisson 585 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.1/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.07% -0.07% 69
109 CZE Jiri Zuska(AM) 600 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.15% 0.01% T14
110 JPN Aguri Iwasaki 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.12% -0.02% MC
111 POR Ricardo Santos 633 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.4/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% T31
112 JPN Kazuki Higa 646 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.12% -0.02% MC
113 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 652 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.17% 0.03% T50
114 THA Jazz Janewattananond 652 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.16% 0.03% MC
115 NED Wil Besseling 662 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.9/1) 0.15% 0.13% 2.55% 2.42% T14
116 RSA Thomas Aiken 719 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.8/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.3% 0.18% MC
117 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 2.45% 2.33% T56
118 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.12% 0.09% -0.02% MC
119 ENG Garrick Porteous 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.12% 0.08% -0.03% T31
120 ESP Santiago Tarrio 803 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.9/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.08% -0.03%
121 CHN Shao Yong-liang 891 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.08% -0.02%
122 IND Manu Gandas 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% T60
123 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% T22
124 ENG David Horsey 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% MC
125 USA Joshua Lee 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% MC
126 DEN Christoffer Bring 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.12% 0.03% MC
127 SCO Stephen Gallacher 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.11% 0.02% MC
128 FRA Gary Stal 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.1% 0.01% MC
129 CZE Filip Mruzek 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.08% -0.01% MC
130 Louis Klein 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.08% -0.01% MC
131 KOR Yeongsu Kim 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.12% 0.08% MC
132 POL Mateusz Gradecki 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.1% 0.06% T62
133 GER Yannick Schutz 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.08% 0.04% T25
134 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.29% 0.25% MC
135 USA Gunner Wiebe 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.2% 0.17% MC
136 IRL John Murphy 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.12% 0.08% T39
137 AUS Blake Windred 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.11% 0.08% MC
138 RSA Tristen Strydom 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.09% 0.06% T56
139 FRA Joel Stalter 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.09% 0.05% MC
140 CZE Ales Korinek 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.08% 0.04% MC
141 CZE Jan Cafourek 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.08% 0.04% MC
142 CZE Simon Zach 2500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.08% 0.04% MC
143 ENG Liam Robinson 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.08% 0.04% MC
144 David Tomi 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.08% 0.04% MC
145 ENG David Howell 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.11% 0.1% MC
146 CHN Ma Chengyao 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.11% 0.1% MC
147 SWE Tobias Eden 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.1% 0.08% MC
148 USA Michael Feuerstein 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.09% 0.07% MC
149 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T39
152 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% T39
154 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% T14
156 Sebastian Vida 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 René Bergendi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 Joshua Berry 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 Jakub Hejlek 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 Matej Babic 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 11% 13.3%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 58.4% 20.8%
3 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 66.9% 27.3%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 58.2% 30.6%
5 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 58.2% 30.6%
6 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 58.5% 30.8%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 52.1% 34.3%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 63.8% 35.2%
9 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 53.9% 35.8%
10 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 56.3% 38%
11 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 56.3% 38%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 53.8% 38.3%
13 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 57.2% 38.8%
14 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 70.6% 40.8%
15 Coral 7 @ 1/5 70.6% 40.8%
16 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 59.5% 40.8%
17 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 58.2% 42.2%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 59.7% 43.6%
19 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 59.7% 43.6%
20 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60.7% 44.5%