Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 12.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 79.4

Total Profit: -20.7

Barracuda Championship

20/07/2023 - 23/07/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 GER Stephan Jaeger 16 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.95% 2.38% -2.57% T34
2 USA Keith Mitchell 18 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.43% 3.31% -1.12% MC
3 CAN Taylor Pendrith 20 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 4.01% 1.05% -2.96% MC
4 USA Mark Hubbard 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.24% 2.08% -1.16% T10
5 SWE Vincent Norrman 25 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.24% 0.89% -2.34% T25
6 USA Beau Hossler 28 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.9% 1.38% -1.53% T6
7 USA Patrick Rodgers 33 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.47% 2.45% -0.03% 2 10.86 +41.3
8 USA J.J Spaun 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.47% 1.69% -0.79% T10
9 USA Akshay Bhatia 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.05% 1.46% -0.59% 1
10 USA Joseph Bramlett 40 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.05% 1.26% -0.79%
11 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 40 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.05% 0.19% -1.86%
12 USA Chez Reavie 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.65% 1.92% 0.27% T55 7.24
13 USA Peter Kuest 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.65% 1.3% -0.35% 59
14 USA Samuel Stevens 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.65% 1.3% -0.35% T39
15 USA Ryan Palmer 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.65% 1.11% -0.54% MC
16 ENG Harry Hall 50 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.65% 1.09% -0.55% MC
17 USA Nick Hardy 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.65% 1.09% -0.56% 63
18 USA Luke List 50 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.65% 0.91% -0.74%
19 USA Greyson Sigg 55 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.5% 0.72% -0.78% MC
20 USA Sam Bennett 58 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.8/1) 1.69% 1.43% 0.92% -0.5% MC
21 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 66 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.26% 1.05% -0.21% MC 5.51
22 USA Matthew NeSmith 66 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.26% 0.89% -0.37% T28
23 RSA MJ Daffue 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.26% 0.8% -0.46% T34
24 USA Grayson Murray 66 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.26% 0.69% -0.56% MC
25 GER Maximilian Kieffer 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.11% 1.28% 0.17% T60 4.86
26 ENG Nathan Kimsey 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.04% 1.62% 0.58% T25 4.56
27 USA Chad Ramey 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.04% 1.37% 0.33% T17 4.56
28 USA Andrew Novak 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.04% 1.09% 0.05% MC 4.56
29 USA David Lipsky 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.04% 0.74% -0.3% T34 4.56
30 GER Marcel Schneider 80 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.04% 0.73% -0.3% MC
31 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.04% 0.7% -0.33% MC
32 USA Cameron Champ 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.04% 0.62% -0.42% T17
33 USA Trevor Cone 90 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.92% 0.79% -0.14% 66 4.06
34 USA Justin Lower 90 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.92% 0.66% -0.27% MC 4.06
35 USA Charley Hoffman 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.92% 0.55% -0.38% T31
36 FRA Matthieu Pavon 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.86% 1.15% 0.3% MC 3.77
37 USA Carson Young 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.83% 0.93% 0.1% 43 3.66
38 USA Sean Crocker 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.83% 0.68% -0.15% T10 3.66
39 USA Troy Merritt 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.83% 0.61% -0.23% T50 3.66
40 AUS Aaron Baddeley 110 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.76% 0.94% 0.18% MC 3.33
41 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 110 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.76% 0.77% 0.01% MC 3.33
42 USA Chesson Hadley 110 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.76% 0.71% -0.05% T6 3.33
43 USA Kevin Tway 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 1.18% 0.52% MC 2.93
44 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% 0.86% 0.2% T34 2.93
45 RSA Erik van Rooyen 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% 0.79% 0.12% T6 2.93
46 FRA Julien Guerrier 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.78% 0.11% T3 (tied w/2) 2.93 +38.1
47 USA Austin Smotherman 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% 0.76% 0.09% MC 2.93
48 USA Scott Piercy 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.67% 0% MC 2.93
49 SCO Scott Jamieson 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.65% -0.02% MC 2.93
50 USA Jimmy Walker 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 1.46% 0.9%
51 USA Harry Higgs 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 1.24% 0.68% MC
52 USA Peter Malnati 150 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 1.22% 0.67% MC
53 USA Ryan Gerard 150 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 1.04% 0.48% 5
54 USA Adam Long 150 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.7% 0.15% MC
55 KOR Seungyul Noh 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.66% 0.1% T28
56 USA Kevin Chappell 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 0.65% 0.09% T44
57 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 150 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.61% 0.05% T10
58 USA Ryan Moore 150 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.41% -0.14% MC
59 USA Joel Dahmen 150 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.3% -0.26% T10
60 ARG Augusto Nunez 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.48% 0.6% 0.12% T50
61 SCO Russell Knox 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.44% 0.85% 0.41% T47
62 CAN Aaron Cockerill 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.43% 0.87% 0.44% T64
63 SWE Marcus Kinhult 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.43% 0.6% 0.17% T20
64 USA Doc Redman 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.43% 0.59% 0.16% MC
65 SWE Henrik Norlander 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.43% 0.5% 0.07% MC
66 RSA Louis de Jager 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.43% 0.5% 0.07% MC
67 SWE Simon Forsstrom 200 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.72% 0.3% MC
68 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 200 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.7% 0.28% MC
69 USA Kramer Hickok 200 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.67% 0.25% MC
70 USA Cody Gribble 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.65% 0.23% MC
71 USA Kevin Roy 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.59% 0.17% T20
72 ITA Edoardo Molinari 200 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.59% 0.17% T39
73 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 200 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.54% 0.13% MC
74 USA Brice Garnett 200 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.53% 0.11% MC
75 USA James Hahn 200 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.52% 0.1% T6
76 SWE Joakim Lagergren 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.48% 0.06% T60
77 ENG Andy Sullivan 200 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.45% 0.03% T47
78 SCO Martin Laird 200 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.28% -0.14% T20
79 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.68% 0.34% MC
80 ENG Dale Whitnell 250 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.6% 0.27% MC
81 COL Nicolas Echavarria 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.44% 0.11% MC
82 USA Hank Lebioda 250 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.43% 0.1%
83 USA Brandt Snedeker 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.4% 0.06% MC
84 FRA Alexander Levy 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.3% 0.62% 0.32% T50
85 ENG Marcus Armitage 300 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.67% 0.39% T17
86 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 300 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.62% 0.34% MC
87 USA Sean O'Hair 300 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.56% 0.28% MC
88 USA Richy Werenski 300 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.54% 0.26% MC
89 USA Harrison Endycott 300 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.53% 0.25% MC
90 USA Johannes Veerman 300 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.51% 0.23% T20
91 RSA JC Ritchie 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.4% 0.13% T10
92 CHN Wu Ashun 300 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% MC
93 KOR Sunghoon Kang 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.42% 0.18% MC
94 USA Kelly Kraft 400 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.69% 0.48% MC
95 USA Brent Grant 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.65% 0.44% T44
96 NED Daan Huizing 400 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.58% 0.37% MC
97 RSA Dylan Frittelli 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.57% 0.36% MC
98 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 400 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.54% 0.33% MC
99 USA John Catlin 400 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.52% 0.31% MC
100 USA Austin Cook 400 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.46% 0.25% T60
101 SWE Jonas Blixt 400 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% MC
102 USA Scott Harrington 400 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.43% 0.22% MC
103 AUT Lukas Nemecz 400 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.43% 0.22% MC
104 USA Ryan Brehm 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.39% 0.18% MC
105 USA Robert Streb 400 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.39% 0.18% T39
106 USA Chris Stroud 400 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% MC
107 USA Wesley Bryan 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.26% 0.05% T31
108 AUS Jason Scrivener 400 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.24% 0.03% T28
109 Ben Carr 500 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.47% 0.3%
110 USA Trevor Werbylo 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.86% 0.72% T55
111 USA Paul Haley-II 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.73% 0.59% MC
112 NED Darius Van Driel 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.71% 0.57% MC
113 AUT Matthias Schwab 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.59% 0.45% MC
114 SWE Jens Dantorp 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.57% 0.43% T3
115 AUS Greg Chalmers 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.49% 0.35% MC
116 SWE Mikael Lindberg 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.48% 0.34% MC
117 USA Brian Stuard 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.47% 0.33% MC
118 USA William McGirt 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.46% 0.32% T44
119 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.46% 0.32% MC
120 USA Martin Trainer 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.45% 0.31% T31
121 ENG James Morrison 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.42% 0.28% T25
122 NED Wil Besseling 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.35% 0.21% MC
123 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
124 USA Tyson Alexander 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
125 USA Chase Hanna 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.33% 0.19% T55
126 USA Max McGreevy 600 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% MC
127 USA Kyle Westmoreland 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% T47
128 USA Nick Watney 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
129 CAN Michael Gligic 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% T50
130 USA Brandon Matthews 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% MC
131 ESP Santiago Tarrio 600 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05%
132 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.25% 0.15% T50
133 Bastien Amat 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% T64
134 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.42% 0.34% MC
135 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.19% MC
136 USA Kyle Stanley 1000 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.17%
137 USA Robert Garrigus 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12%
138 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.1%
139 USA Michael Duncan 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.19% 0.15% MC
140 USA Jesse Mueller 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.2% 0.17% MC
141 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 USA Ricky Barnes 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA Kyle Reifers 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 USA Derek Ernst 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% T55
148 FRA Adrien Saddier 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 FRA Clement Sordet 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T34
152 USA Matt Ryan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% T39
154 USA Richard Hoey 0% 0% 0% 0% T20
155 USA Corey Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 0% 0% 0% 0% T10
158 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
162 Ethan Cairns 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
163 Charles Porter 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
164 Grant Booth 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 12.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 37.4% 21.1%
2 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 38.4% 21.9%
3 Betway 7 @ 1/5 49.4% 23%
4 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 39.8% 23.2%
5 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 39.8% 23.2%
6 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 62.2% 23.5%
7 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 43.3% 26.3%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 6 @ 1/5 40.7% 26.4%
9 Paddy Power 6 @ 1/5 40.7% 26.4%
10 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 47.7% 30.2%
11 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 46.3% 31.4%
12 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 49.4% 31.7%
13 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 48.2% 33.1%
14 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 48.2% 33.1%
15 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 61.7% 33.2%
16 Coral 7 @ 1/5 61.7% 33.2%
17 VBet 5 @ 1/4 51.6% 33.6%
18 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 34.7%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 53.3% 37.6%
20 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 53.9% 38.2%
21 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 59.6% 43.3%
22 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 59.6% 43.3%
23 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 69.1% 49%