Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 12.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 50.6

Total Profit: -49.5

Made in HimmerLand

06/07/2023 - 09/07/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 20 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.7/1) 4.76% 3.87% 2.48% -1.39% MC
2 SWE Alexander Bjork 20 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.7/1) 4.76% 3.87% 2.38% -1.49% T4
3 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 20 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.87% 2.32% -1.55% MC
4 GER Yannik Paul 22 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.54% 2.63% -0.9% T49
5 ENG Jordan L Smith 24 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.3/1) 4% 3.25% 1.06% -2.2% T35
6 ESP Adrian Otaegui 25 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.13% 1.28% -1.85% T60
7 SCO Robert MacIntyre 25 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.13% 0.95% -2.17% T4
8 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 29 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.1/1) 3.33% 2.71% 1.22% -1.49% 1
9 SCO Ewen Ferguson 35 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.26% 1.4% -0.86%
10 NZL Daniel Hillier 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.98% 1.96% -0.03% 9
11 SCO Calum Hill 41 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.7/1) 2.38% 1.94% 1.6% -0.33% MC
12 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 42 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.9/1) 2.33% 1.89% 0.82% -1.07% T35
13 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 45 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.77% 1.76% -0.01% MC 8.02
14 FRA Matthieu Pavon 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.59% 1.26% -0.33% T17
15 SCO David Law 55 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.45% 0.61% -0.84% MC
16 ENG Matthew Jordan 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.29% 1.12% -0.17% T17
17 ITA Guido Migliozzi 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.21% 1.64% 0.43% T58 5.51
18 GER Marcel Siem 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.21% 1.53% 0.32% T10 5.51
19 ENG Matthew Southgate 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.89% -0.32% T10
20 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 66 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.21% 0.88% -0.33% T35
21 SCO Scott Jamieson 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.66% -0.56% MC
22 ENG Eddie Pepperell 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.62% -0.59% MC
23 ENG Oliver Wilson 66 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.21% 0.56% -0.65% MC
24 FRA Julien Guerrier 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.2% 0.85% -0.35% T30
25 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.15% 1.19% 0.05% MC 5.2
26 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.11% 1.21% 0.09% MC 5.06
27 GER Marcel Schneider 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.07% 0.78% -0.29% T58
28 ENG Andy Sullivan 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1% 0.98% -0.02% T17 4.56
29 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.7% -0.3% MC
30 ITA Edoardo Molinari 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1% 0.58% -0.43% MC
31 ENG Paul Waring 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1% 0.5% -0.51% WD
32 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.95% 0.93% -0.01% T8 4.29
33 CAN Aaron Cockerill 90 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.89% 1.26% 0.36% MC 4.06
34 ENG Richard Mansell 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.87% 1.08% 0.2% MC 3.97
35 MAS Gavin Green 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.83% 1.13% 0.3% T49 3.77
36 SCO Richie Ramsay 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.83% 0.7% -0.13% 3 3.77 +34.1
37 SWE Simon Forsstrom 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.81% 1.09% 0.28% T30 3.66
38 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 100 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.81% 0.7% -0.1% T35 3.66
39 ENG Dale Whitnell 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.57% -0.23% WD
40 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.49% -0.32% MC
41 FIN Kalle Samooja 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.77% 0.91% 0.14% T4 (tied w/4) 3.48 +16.6
42 USA Sean Crocker 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.77% 0.63% -0.14%
43 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.75% 0.61% -0.14% T24
44 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.7% 0.8% 0.09% T49 3.18
45 DEN John Axelsen 125 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 1.1% 0.45% T17 2.93
46 ENG Nathan Kimsey 125 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.92% 0.28% T10 2.93
47 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.86% 0.21% MC 2.93
48 DEN Jeff Winther 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.79% 0.14% T24 2.93
49 ENG Matthew Baldwin 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.78% 0.13% MC 2.93
50 CHN Wu Ashun 125 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.66% 0.02% MC 2.93
51 NED Daan Huizing 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.59% -0.05% T10 2.93
52 FRA Adrien Saddier 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.55% -0.1% T35 2.93
53 USA John Catlin 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.49% -0.16% MC
54 RSA Justin Walters 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.38% -0.27% T45
55 AUS Jason Scrivener 125 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.36% -0.29% MC
56 SCO Grant Forrest 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.61% 1.56% 0.95% T30
57 SWE Joakim Lagergren 140 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.58% 0.42% -0.16%
58 ITA Renato Paratore 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.56% 0.69% 0.13% MC
59 ENG Marcus Armitage 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.56% 0.6% 0.03% MC
60 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 150 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 1.1% 0.56% MC
61 ENG Daniel A Brown 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.66% 0.12% T17
62 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.51% -0.03% MC
63 AUS David Micheluzzi 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 0.4% -0.14% T17
64 ENG Ross Fisher 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.4% -0.14% T8
65 GER Hurly Long 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.53% 0.48% -0.05% MC
66 FRA Frederic LaCroix 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.49% 0.62% 0.13% T35
67 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.41% 0.8% 0.39%
68 GER Max Schmitt 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.74% 0.33% MC
69 AUT Lukas Nemecz 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.69% 0.29% MC
70 ITA Francesco Laporta 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.66% 0.26% MC
71 RSA Deon Germishuys 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.63% 0.23% MC
72 SWE Mikael Lindberg 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.54% 0.14% MC
73 ENG James Morrison 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.54% 0.13% MC
74 ENG Andrew Wilson 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% T49
75 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 200 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.45% 0.04% T24
76 RSA Bryce Easton 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.32% -0.09% T35
77 RSA Darren Fichardt 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.25% -0.15% T10
78 ARG Daniel Vancsik 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.22% -0.18%
79 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.39% 1.44% 1.04% T65
80 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.39% 0.57% 0.18% 68
81 FRA Clement Sordet 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.36% 0.66% 0.3% MC
82 NED Wil Besseling 225 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.36% 0.43% 0.07%
83 RSA Louis de Jager 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.35% 0.53% 0.17% T62
84 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.35% 0.6% 0.25% T65
85 RSA Zander Lombard 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.33% 0.95% 0.62% MC
86 SWE Jens Dantorp 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.94% 0.62% T45
87 ENG Daniel Gavins 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.81% 0.49% MC
88 FRA David Ravetto 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.63% 0.31% T24
89 USA Gunner Wiebe 250 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.52% 0.19% 69
90 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.43% 0.11% MC
91 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.43% 0.11% MC
92 USA Chase Hanna 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.33% 0.01% MC
93 ESP Santiago Tarrio 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.22% -0.1%
94 FRA Victor Dubuisson 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.22% -0.11%
95 JPN Kazuki Higa 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.32% 0.65% 0.34% T62
96 RSA JC Ritchie 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.32% 0.59% 0.27% MC
97 RSA Oliver Bekker 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.39% 0.09% MC
98 USA Johannes Veerman 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% T10
99 GER Nick Bachem 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.28% 0.62% 0.34% T35
100 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 300 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.57% 0.3% T35
101 RSA Thomas Aiken 300 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.51% 0.24% T49
102 FRA Alexander Levy 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.48% 0.21% T49
103 ENG Todd Clements 300 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.43% 0.16% T62
104 SWE Niklas Lemke 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.38% 0.1% T30
105 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.5% 0.27% T45
106 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.22% 0.24% 0.02% T24
107 ENG John Parry 400 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.35% 0.14% MC
108 ESP Nacho Elvira 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.3% 0.09% 2
109 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 403 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.9/1) 0.25% 0.2% 0.33% 0.13% MC
110 POR Pedro Figueiredo 500 (888sport: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.43% 0.26% T65
111 USA Julian Suri 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.07% T49
112 CHN Shao Yong-liang 500 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.22% 0.06%
113 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.45% 0.31% MC
114 POR Ricardo Santos 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.72% 0.58% MC
115 SCO Marc Warren 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.39% 0.25% T4
116 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% T60
117 RSA Ockie Strydom 626 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.8/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.89% 0.76% MC
118 KOR Yeongsu Kim 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.42% 0.32% MC
119 USA Joshua Lee 750 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.34% 0.24% MC
120 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.32% 0.21% MC
121 ESP Javier Sainz 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.23% 0.13%
122 AUT Maximilian Steinlechner 750 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.22% 0.11% MC
123 DEN Soren Broholt Lind 767 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.9/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.22% 0.12% MC
124 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.58% 0.48% MC
125 WAL Rhys Enoch 800 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.51% 0.41% MC
126 JPN Aguri Iwasaki 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.2% MC
127 ENG Garrick Porteous 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.16% 70
128 ESP Sebastain George Garcia Grout 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14%
129 DEN Sebastian Wiis 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% MC
130 SCO Stephen Gallacher 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
131 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.55% 0.47% MC
132 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.44% 0.36%
133 IND Manu Gandas 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% MC
134 POL Mateusz Gradecki 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.26% T49
135 DEN Christoffer Bring 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.26% MC
136 RSA Tristen Strydom 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
137 BEL Christopher Mivis 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% MC
138 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.22% T45
139 FRA Gary Stal 1000 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
140 SCO Sandy Scott 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% T35
141 FRA Joel Stalter 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.4% 0.36% MC
142 IRL John Murphy 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.36% 0.32% MC
143 ENG David Howell 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.25% 0.21% MC
144 CHN Ma Chengyao 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.27% 0.24% MC
145 AUS Blake Windred 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.24% 0.21% MC
146 SWE Tobias Eden 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.22% 0.19% MC
147 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T30
149 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 ENG Richard McEvoy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 RSA Keenan Davidse 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 0% 0% 0% 0% T17
154 DEN Morten Toft Hansen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 GER Dennis Meyerrose 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 SWE Charlie Lindh 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 USA Derek Ackerman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 ENG Brandon Robinson-Thompson 0% 0% 0% 0% T49
160 ENG Jake Bolton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% T10
162 DEN August Thor Host 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
163 Frederik Kjettrup 0% 0% 0% 0% T24
164 Victor H Sidal Svendsen 0% 0% 0% 0% 71
165 Alexander George Frances 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
166 Gustav Frimodt 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 12.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 12.6% 16.3%
2 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 41.5% 24.7%
3 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 43.1% 26.2%
4 Betway 7 @ 1/5 54% 27.1%
5 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 44.7% 27.4%
6 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 46.7% 29.1%
7 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 46.7% 29.1%
8 VBet 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 33.2%
9 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 51.1% 33.3%
10 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 48.4% 33.4%
11 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 63.8% 35.1%
12 Coral 7 @ 1/5 63.8% 35.1%
13 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 52.6% 37.2%
14 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 66.9% 37.7%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.9% 40.2%
16 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 55.9% 40.2%
17 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 56.2% 40.5%
18 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 72.2% 42.1%
19 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 72.2% 42.1%
20 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 59.7% 43.7%
21 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 64.9% 45.6%