Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 16.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.2

Betfred British Masters

29/06/2023 - 02/07/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Justin Rose 9 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 10% 7.03% 5.14% -1.89% T4
2 AUS Minwoo Lee 11 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 8.33% 5.86% 5.45% -0.41% T15
3 POL Adrian Meronk 14 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.69% 2.99% -1.7% T15
4 ENG Jordan L Smith 16 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.14% 1.06% -3.07% T39
5 FRA Victor Perez 28 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.43% 4.57% 2.14% MC 10.66
6 SWE Alexander Bjork 28 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.43% 1.55% -0.87% T8
7 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 28 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.43% 0.79% -1.64%
8 SCO Robert MacIntyre 28 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.43% 0.78% -1.64% T39
9 NED Joost Luiten 33 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.07% 1.44% -0.63% T8
10 GER Yannik Paul 35 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.95% 0.88% -1.08% T8
11 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 39 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.5/1) 2.5% 1.76% 2.1% 0.34% T15 7.73
12 ESP Jorge Campillo 40 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.72% 1.46% -0.26% MC
13 ENG Richard Mansell 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.53% 1.18% -0.35% T28
14 FRA Romain Langasque 45 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.53% 1.01% -0.52% T8
15 SCO Richie Ramsay 45 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.53% 0.43% -1.1% T49
16 RSA Thriston Lawrence 50 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% 0.95% -0.43% T39
17 GER Maximilian Kieffer 50 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% 0.95% -0.43% T57
18 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 50 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% 0.71% -0.67% T49
19 ITA Guido Migliozzi 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.26% 1.65% 0.4% T28 5.52
20 FRA Antoine Rozner 58 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.8/1) 1.69% 1.19% 0.78% -0.41% T39
21 SCO Calum Hill 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.15% 0.86% -0.29% T4
22 SCO Ewen Ferguson 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.15% 0.67% -0.48% T4
23 NIR Tom McKibbin 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% 0.81% -0.24% MC
24 ITA Edoardo Molinari 70 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% 0.5% -0.49% T49
25 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 70 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% 0.43% -0.56% MC
26 ENG Matthew Jordan 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.67% -0.2% T34 3.82
27 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.66% -0.21% T39 3.82
28 ENG Matthew Southgate 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.56% -0.31% MC
29 USA Sean Crocker 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.34% -0.52% MC
30 ENG Eddie Pepperell 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.25% -0.62% T34
31 FRA Julien Guerrier 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 0.8% 0.02% MC 3.4
32 CAN Aaron Cockerill 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 0.74% -0.03% MC 3.4
33 ENG Paul Waring 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 0.63% -0.14% T49 3.4
34 SCO Connor Syme 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 0.62% -0.15% T68 3.4
35 SCO David Law 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 0.6% -0.18% T15 3.4
36 GER Marcel Schneider 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.72% 0.66% -0.05% MC 3.16
37 SWE Simon Forsstrom 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.68% -0.02% MC 3.07
38 RSA Justin Walters 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.65% -0.04% T23 3.07
39 FRA Julien Brun 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.62% -0.08% MC 3.07
40 FIN Kalle Samooja 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.57% -0.12% MC 3.07
41 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.7% 0.56% -0.14% MC 3.07
42 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.54% -0.16% T15 3.07
43 AUS David Micheluzzi 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.45% -0.24% MC
44 ENG Dan Bradbury 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.44% -0.26% T8
45 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.37% -0.33% T15
46 ENG Marcus Armitage 110 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.63% 0.74% 0.11% MC 2.79
47 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.6% 0.56% -0.04% 7 2.62
48 FIN Sami Valimaki 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.57% 0.79% 0.22% T34 2.5
49 ENG Nathan Kimsey 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.78% 0.22% MC 2.46
50 THA Jazz Janewattananond 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.67% 0.11% T68 2.46
51 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.64% 0.08% MC 2.46
52 ENG Dale Whitnell 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.57% 0.01% MC 2.46
53 GER Hurly Long 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.57% 0.01% MC 2.46
54 SWE Marcus Kinhult 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.49% -0.07% T68 2.46
55 ENG Ross Fisher 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.44% -0.12% T68 2.46
56 DEN John Axelsen 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.39% -0.17% MC 2.46
57 GER Marcel Siem 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.55% 1.27% 0.71% T23 2.44
58 NZL Daniel Hillier 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.51% 0.73% 0.22% 1
59 MAS Gavin Green 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.51% 0.62% 0.11% T8
60 RSA Wilco Nienaber 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.51% 0.39% -0.12% T28
61 USA John Catlin 140 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.5% 0.45% -0.05% MC
62 ENG Callum Shinkwin 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.48% 0.58% 0.1% MC
63 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.4% 0.94% T57
64 NED Daan Huizing 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.85% 0.38% MC
65 WAL Jamie Donaldson 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.65% 0.19% T39
66 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.57% 0.11% T77
67 AUS Jason Scrivener 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.54% 0.07% MC
68 ESP Adria Arnaus 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.5% 0.04% T72
69 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.5% 0.03% MC
70 ENG Matthew Baldwin 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.48% 0.02% T65
71 ITA Renato Paratore 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.43% -0.03% T39
72 RSA Louis de Jager 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.38% -0.08% MC
73 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.34% -0.13% MC
74 RSA Oliver Bekker 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.32% -0.15% MC
75 ENG Tom Lewis 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.3% -0.16% MC
76 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.46% 0.83% 0.38% T72
77 ENG Andy Sullivan 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.46% 0.63% 0.18% T15
78 FRA Clement Sordet 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.45% 0.81% 0.36% MC
79 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.45% 0.41% -0.04% T49
80 SCO Grant Forrest 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.41% 1.16% 0.75% T57
81 RSA JC Ritchie 175 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.52% 0.12% MC
82 IND Shubhankar Sharma 175 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.36% -0.04% MC
83 ENG Daniel Gavins 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.77% 0.42% MC
84 RSA Deon Germishuys 200 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.7% 0.35% T57
85 KOR Jeunghun Wang 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.64% 0.29%
86 NED Darius Van Driel 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.5% 0.15% T28
87 ENG Daniel A Brown 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.47% 0.12% MC
88 JPN Kazuki Higa 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.4% 0.05% MC
89 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.33% 0.81% 0.48% T49
90 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.29% 0.6% 0.31% T39
91 GER Nick Bachem 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.29% 0.4% 0.11% MC
92 ENG Andrew Wilson 250 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.54% 0.26% T57
93 USA Chase Hanna 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.4% 0.12% T65
94 AUT Lukas Nemecz 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% MC
95 ARG Daniel Vancsik 250 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.18% -0.1%
96 RSA Zander Lombard 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.27% 0.83% 0.56% MC
97 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% MC
98 FRA Adrien Saddier 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.25% 0.48% 0.24% T28
99 SWE Jens Dantorp 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.55% 0.31% MC
100 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.49% 0.26% MC
101 RSA Bryce Easton 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.46% 0.22% T57
102 ENG Oliver Wilson 300 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.43% 0.19% T2
103 ENG James Morrison 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.41% 0.18% T28
104 ESP Santiago Tarrio 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.18% -0.06%
105 USA Johannes Veerman 325 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47/1) 0.31% 0.22% 0.43% 0.21% T74
106 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 350 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.47% 0.27% MC
107 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.43% 0.23% T65
108 NED Wil Besseling 400 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.41% 0.23%
109 FRA Alexander Levy 400 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.37% 0.19% T34
110 ESP Nacho Elvira 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.32% 0.15% MC
111 RSA Thomas Aiken 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.31% 0.14% T49
112 SWE Niklas Lemke 500 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.44% 0.3% T49
113 SCO Marc Warren 500 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.37% 0.23% MC
114 ENG John Parry 500 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% T57
115 ENG Sam Hutsby 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% MC
116 FRA David Ravetto 528 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.9/1) 0.19% 0.13% 0.54% 0.41% MC
117 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.12% 0.48% 0.36% MC
118 DEN Jeff Winther 675 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.1/1) 0.15% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% T8
119 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 675 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.1/1) 0.15% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% MC
120 ENG Todd Clements 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.1% 0.39% 0.29% MC
121 KOR Yeongsu Kim 750 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.46% 0.37% MC
122 ENG Garrick Porteous 750 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.32% 0.22% MC
123 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T57
124 JPN Aguri Iwasaki 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.3% 0.2% MC
125 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% MC
126 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.29% 0.19% MC
127 USA Joshua Lee 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
128 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 750 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
129 SCO Stephen Gallacher 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.26% 0.16% MC
130 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% T23
131 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% MC
132 RSA Ockie Strydom 767 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.9/1) 0.13% 0.09% 0.48% 0.39% T74
133 SWE Mikael Lindberg 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.07% 0.35% 0.27% T23
134 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.48% 0.41% MC
135 POR Ricardo Santos 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.41% 0.34% T23
136 IND Manu Gandas 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.35% 0.28% MC
137 ENG David Horsey 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12%
138 SCO Craig Lee 1000 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.11% MC
139 CHN Shao Yong-liang 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.11%
140 ENG Frank Kennedy 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.11% T74
141 ENG John Gough 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.11% T39
142 FRA Gary Stal 1500 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.4% 0.36% MC
143 POL Mateusz Gradecki 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.27% 0.23% MC
144 CHN Ma Chengyao 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.18% 79
145 IRL John Murphy 2000 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.4% 0.36% MC
146 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 2000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.34% 0.3% T39
147 DEN Christoffer Bring 2000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.31% 0.28% MC
148 AUS Blake Windred 2000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.25% MC
149 FRA Joel Stalter 2000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.23% 0.2% MC
150 RSA Tristen Strydom 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.19% 0.16% MC
151 USA Gunner Wiebe 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.34% 0.31% T2
152 ENG David Howell 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.32% 0.29% MC
153 SWE Tobias Eden 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.25% 0.22% MC
154 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T77
157 WAL Rhys Enoch 0% 0% 0% 0% T15
158 FRA Frederic LaCroix 0% 0% 0% 0% T34
159 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 Daniel Whitby-Smith 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 16.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfred 10 @ 1/5 69.7% 12.4%
2 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 80.6% 19.6%
3 Coral 10 @ 1/5 80.6% 19.6%
4 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 19.4% 22.2%
5 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 60.3% 32.3%
6 BetGoodwin 7 @ 1/5 60.3% 32.3%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 50% 32.4%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 60.7% 32.7%
9 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 50.4% 35.3%
10 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 36.3%
11 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 36.3%
12 VBet 5 @ 1/4 55.5% 37.2%
13 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 67.8% 38.5%
14 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 67.8% 38.5%
15 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 67.9% 38.6%
16 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 39.8%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.8% 41.9%
18 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 57.8% 41.9%
19 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 63.8% 44.6%
20 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 62.8% 46.5%
21 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 67.1% 47.4%