Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 8.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 276.6

Total Profit: +176.5

Porsche European Open

01/06/2023 - 04/06/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 FRA Victor Perez 18 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.61% 5.96% 1.35%
2 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 22 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5/1) 4.35% 3.81% 1.17% -2.64% T59
3 ENG Jordan L Smith 24 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.3/1) 4% 3.5% 1.13% -2.37% T6
4 FRA Antoine Rozner 25 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.37% 1.61% -1.76% T52
5 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.02% 2.82% -0.2% T44 13.47
6 GER Yannik Paul 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.02% 1.87% -1.15% T66
7 SCO Robert MacIntyre 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.02% 1.14% -1.88% T14
8 SWE Alexander Bjork 31 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.4/1) 3.13% 2.74% 1.97% -0.77% T6
9 FRA Romain Langasque 33 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.58% 0.99% -1.58% T10
10 ESP Jorge Campillo 43 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8/1) 2.27% 1.99% 1.59% -0.4% T52
11 NED Joost Luiten 45 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.3/1) 2.17% 1.9% 1.66% -0.25% T22
12 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.9% 1.07% -0.84% T44
13 SCO Ewen Ferguson 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.72% 0.69% -1.02% T14
14 GER Marcel Schneider 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.39% 0.57% -0.82% T33
15 SCO Scott Jamieson 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% 0.82% -0.49% T29
16 FIN Kalle Samooja 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% 0.61% -0.7% T22
17 SCO Grant Forrest 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.29% 1.62% 0.34% MC 5.75
18 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.2% 1.18% -0.02% T52 5.35
19 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.2% 1.05% -0.15% T52 5.35
20 ENG Matthew Southgate 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.2% 0.81% -0.39% T59
21 GER Maximilian Kieffer 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.2% 0.62% -0.58% T2
22 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 75 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.15% 0.71% -0.44% MC
23 ENG Richard Mansell 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.08% 1.07% -0.01% T29 4.83
24 MAS Gavin Green 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% 0.77% -0.31% MC
25 GER Marcel Siem 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% 0.67% -0.41% T2
26 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% 0.44% -0.65% MC
27 FRA Matthieu Pavon 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 1.02% 0.98% -0.04% T20 4.55
28 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 1.02% 0.91% -0.11% T33 4.55
29 FIN Sami Valimaki 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.96% 1.22% 0.26% MC 4.3
30 ENG Marcus Armitage 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.96% 0.79% -0.17% T22 4.3
31 ITA Edoardo Molinari 90 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.2/1) 1.1% 0.96% 0.47% -0.49% T39
32 THA Jazz Janewattananond 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.91% 1.08% 0.17% MC 4.07
33 FRA Julien Brun 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.91% 0.92% 0.01% T29 4.07
34 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 1.14% 0.28% T44 3.87
35 RSA Zander Lombard 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 0.96% 0.09% 71 3.87
36 FRA Clement Sordet 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 0.65% -0.22% T39 3.87
37 NIR Tom McKibbin 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 0.64% -0.23% 1 3.87 +236.1
38 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 100 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 0.53% -0.34% T44
39 SCO David Law 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 0.48% -0.39% T6
40 GER Hurly Long 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 0.44% -0.43% T33
41 ESP Adria Arnaus 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.83% 0.98% 0.16% 70 3.69
42 ENG Dan Bradbury 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.83% 0.66% -0.16% 3.69
43 ENG Matthew Baldwin 110 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.79% 1.09% 0.3% T52 3.52
44 FRA Julien Guerrier 110 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.79% 0.69% -0.1% T2 (tied w/3) 3.52 +40.5
45 ENG Eddie Pepperell 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.76% 0.7% -0.05% WD 3.37
46 SCO Connor Syme 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.71% 0.75% 0.04% T10 3.15
47 ITA Guido Migliozzi 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.71% 0.47% -0.24% MC
48 SWE Simon Forsstrom 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 1.12% 0.43% T33 3.1
49 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.7% 0.34% -0.36% T59
50 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.65% 0.72% 0.07% MC
51 RSA Wilco Nienaber 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.65% 0.71% 0.06% T44
52 RSA Deon Germishuys 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.65% 0.65% 0% T66
53 SCO Calum Hill 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.65% 0.65% -0.01% WD
54 ENG Ross Fisher 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.61% 0.67% 0.06% MC
55 USA John Catlin 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.61% 0.56% -0.05% MC
56 ENG Daniel A Brown 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 1.07% 0.49% MC
57 SWE Jens Dantorp 150 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.73% 0.15% MC
58 AUT Lukas Nemecz 150 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.53% -0.06% WD
59 AUS Jason Scrivener 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.5% -0.08%
60 USA Johannes Veerman 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.49% -0.09% T52
61 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.46% -0.12% T22
62 NED Daan Huizing 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.45% -0.13% T59
63 USA Sean Crocker 150 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.38% -0.2% DQ
64 ITA Renato Paratore 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.23% -0.35% T44
65 ENG Andy Sullivan 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.57% 0.96% 0.39% T39
66 RSA Louis de Jager 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.53% 0.36% -0.17% MC
67 NZL Daniel Hillier 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.51% 0.87% 0.36% MC
68 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.51% 0.55% 0.04% T33
69 KOR Jeunghun Wang 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.5% 0.98% 0.48% MC
70 ENG Dale Whitnell 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.5% 0.84% 0.34% MC
71 RSA Oliver Bekker 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.5% 0.38% -0.12% MC
72 WAL Jamie Donaldson 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.46% 0.71% 0.26% MC
73 GER Nick Bachem 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.74% 0.31% MC
74 RSA Justin Walters 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.48% 0.04% T39
75 FRA David Ravetto 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.45% 0.01% MC
76 RSA JC Ritchie 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.41% -0.03% MC
77 SWE Joakim Lagergren 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.37% -0.06% WD
78 ENG Paul Waring 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.34% -0.1% T10
79 GER Max Rottluff 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.22% -0.21% MC
80 ENG Matthew Jordan 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.43% 0.87% 0.44% T22
81 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.43% 0.43% -0.01% T39
82 NED Wil Besseling 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.35% 0.69% 0.34%
83 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 250 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.77% 0.42% T44
84 ENG Andrew Wilson 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.77% 0.42% T52
85 POR Ricardo Gouveia 250 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.46% 0.11% T10
86 DEN John Axelsen 250 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.46% 0.11% T6
87 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 250 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.27% -0.08% T59
88 FRA Adrien Saddier 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.32% 0.61% 0.29% T22
89 USA Chase Hanna 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.26% -0.06% MC
90 NED Darius Van Driel 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.4% 0.09% MC
91 ESP Santiago Tarrio 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.22% -0.08%
92 GER Max Schmitt 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.7% 0.41% T59
93 FRA Frederic LaCroix 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.68% 0.39% 5
94 RSA Bryce Easton 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.77% 0.53% T14
95 ENG Todd Clements 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.68% 0.43% MC
96 FRA Alexander Levy 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.41% 0.16% MC
97 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.32% 0.07% T33
98 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 400 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 0.53% 0.31% T74
99 RSA Thomas Aiken 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 0.48% 0.26% MC
100 SWE Mikael Lindberg 400 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 0.36% 0.14% MC
101 CHN Shao Yong-liang 400 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 0.22% 0%
102 RSA Ockie Strydom 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 1.8% 1.62% MC
103 GER Jannik De Bruyn 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 1.07% 0.9% T72
104 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.69% 0.52% MC
105 USA Joshua Lee 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.67% 0.5% T72
106 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 500 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.48% 0.31% MC
107 ITA Francesco Laporta 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.45% 0.28% T14
108 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.45% 0.28% MC
109 KOR Yeongsu Kim 500 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.3% 0.13% MC
110 NED Rowin Caron 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.22% 0.05%
111 USA Jordan Gumberg 500 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.21% 0.04% MC
112 ENG Oliver Wilson 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.21% 0.03% MC
113 ENG David Horsey 508 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.1/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.56% 0.38% MC
114 ENG Jack Senior 595 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
115 SWE Oscar Lengden 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.15% 0.22% 0.08% T66
116 JPN Aguri Iwasaki 613 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.6/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.25% 0.1% MC
117 ESP Nacho Elvira 623 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.5/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
118 ENG Sam Hutsby 750 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.45% 0.33% MC
119 ENG John Parry 750 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.35% 0.23% T29
120 ENG Garrick Porteous 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.27% 0.15% MC
121 FRA Pierre Pineau 767 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.9/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.5% 0.38% MC
122 SWE Niklas Lemke 863 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 95.8/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.37% 0.27% MC
123 SCO Marc Warren 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.48% 0.39% MC
124 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
125 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.61% 0.52% T14
126 DEN Christoffer Bring 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.57% 0.48% MC
127 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.35% MC
128 FRA Joel Stalter 1000 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.43% 0.35% MC
129 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% MC
130 IRL John Murphy 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.35% 0.26% MC
131 FRA Gary Stal 1000 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.34% 0.26% MC
132 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% T74
133 WAL Rhys Enoch 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.15% MC
134 USA Gunner Wiebe 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.36% 0.3% MC
135 IND Manu Gandas 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.32% 0.26% MC
136 ENG Richard McEvoy 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.22% 0.16% T74
137 POL Mateusz Gradecki 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.29% 0.25% T44
138 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
139 RSA Tristen Strydom 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.27% 0.23% MC
140 AUS Blake Windred 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.25% 0.2% MC
141 GER Anton Albers 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.22% 0.18% MC
142 Mutahi Kibugu 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.04% 0.44% 0.41% MC
143 CHN Ma Chengyao 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% 0.42% 0.39% MC
144 SWE Tobias Eden 2500 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.04% 0.4% 0.37% MC
145 GER Marc Hammer 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% 0.22% 0.19% 69
146 GER Yannick Schutz 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% 0.22% 0.19% MC
147 ENG David Howell 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.04% 0.22% 0.18% MC
148 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T20
150 BEL Christopher Mivis 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 FRA Ugo Coussaud 0% 0% 0% 0% 65
152 GER Dennis Meyerrose 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 NED Rowin Caron 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 0% 0% 0% 0% T22
157 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% T14
159 Tiger Christensen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 Tim Tillmanns 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 10.9% 15.6%
2 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 42.6% 17.5%
3 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 43.5% 26.5%
4 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 43.8% 26.8%
5 Betway 7 @ 1/5 53.9% 26.8%
6 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 44.3% 27.3%
7 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 44.3% 27.3%
8 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 27.4%
9 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45.9% 28.7%
10 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 46% 31.2%
11 VBet 6 @ 1/5 46% 31.2%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 46.2% 31.3%
13 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 49% 31.4%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 46.7% 31.8%
15 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 46.7% 31.8%
16 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 60% 32%
17 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 60% 32%
18 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 61.4% 33.1%
19 Coral 7 @ 1/5 61.4% 33.1%
20 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 54.9% 36.6%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 55.1% 39.4%