Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 16.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 218.0

Total Profit: +117.9

Dutch Open

25/05/2023 - 28/05/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 POL Adrian Meronk 12 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.04% 4.13% -1.91% T5
2 FRA Victor Perez 14 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 6.67% 5.24% 5.46% 0.22% MC
3 ENG Jordan L Smith 20 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.74% 1.05% -2.7% MC
4 SWE Alexander Bjork 22 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.42% 2.78% -0.64% T29
5 FRA Antoine Rozner 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.71% 1.35% -1.36% T29
6 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 29 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.1/1) 3.33% 2.62% 0.84% -1.78% T3
7 ESP Jorge Campillo 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.31% 1.58% -0.73% T29
8 ESP Adrian Otaegui 33 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.31% 1.11% -1.21% 2
9 FRA Romain Langasque 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.31% 0.87% -1.44% T16
10 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 35 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.18% 1.15% -1.04% T60
11 NED Joost Luiten 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% 0.99% -0.92% T21
12 ENG Richard Mansell 40 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% 0.76% -1.15% MC
13 GER Maximilian Kieffer 50 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 0.84% -0.7% T21
14 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 50 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 0.83% -0.71% T21
15 ITA Guido Migliozzi 50 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 0.8% -0.74% MC
16 FIN Sami Valimaki 50 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 0.75% -0.79% MC
17 ENG Eddie Pepperell 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.54% 0.74% -0.8% MC
18 SCO Ewen Ferguson 50 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 0.65% -0.89% T8
19 ENG Callum Shinkwin 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.29% 1.28% -0.01% MC 5.67
20 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 60 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.29% 1.16% -0.12% T55 5.67
21 ESP Adria Arnaus 60 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.29% 0.65% -0.64%
22 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% 1.55% 0.38% 1 5.16 +218
23 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 66 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 1.25% 0.07% T48 5.16
24 RSA Wilco Nienaber 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.85% -0.33% MC 5.16
25 GER Marcel Schneider 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.8% -0.38% T48
26 SCO Scott Jamieson 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.62% -0.56% MC
27 FRA Matthieu Pavon 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% 0.57% -0.6% T39
28 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.03% 0.64% -0.39% T55
29 SCO Grant Forrest 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 0.97% 1.33% 0.36% T8 4.27
30 FRA Julien Brun 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 1.05% 0.08% T29 4.27
31 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 80 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 1.01% 0.04% T12 4.27
32 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 1.01% 0.04% T67 4.27
33 SCO Calum Hill 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.93% -0.04% MC 4.27
34 ENG Dan Bradbury 80 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.75% -0.22% T29 4.27
35 GER Marcel Siem 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.62% -0.35% T60
36 ENG Daniel A Brown 90 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.86% 1.26% 0.39% 80 3.8
37 SCO Connor Syme 100 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.9% 0.12% T48 3.43
38 FIN Kalle Samooja 100 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.8% 0.02% T29 3.43
39 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.76% -0.01% MC 3.43
40 THA Jazz Janewattananond 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.74% 0.73% -0.01% T21 3.26
41 ITA Edoardo Molinari 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.74% 0.58% -0.17% T48 3.26
42 SCO Richie Ramsay 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.74% 0.5% -0.24% T39 3.26
43 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 110 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% 0.99% 0.28% MC 3.12
44 SWE Jens Dantorp 110 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% 0.89% 0.18% MC 3.12
45 FRA Julien Guerrier 110 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% 0.52% -0.18% T39 3.12
46 SCO David Law 110 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% 0.52% -0.19% T67 3.12
47 ENG Ross Fisher 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.68% 0.68% 0.01% T70 2.98
48 FRA Clement Sordet 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.63% 1.08% 0.44% T48 2.79
49 SWE Marcus Kinhult 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.63% 0.78% 0.14% T29 2.79
50 MAS Gavin Green 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.63% 0.57% -0.06% T8 2.79
51 SWE Simon Forsstrom 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.59% 1.01% 0.43% T70
52 CHN Wu Ashun 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.59% 0.72% 0.14% MC
53 USA John Catlin 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.59% 0.46% -0.13% MC
54 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.59% 0.3% -0.29% MC
55 ENG Matthew Baldwin 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 1.02% 0.5% T21
56 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.84% 0.32% T67
57 NIR Tom McKibbin 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.76% 0.24% T21
58 KOR Jeunghun Wang 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.67% 0.15% MC
59 RSA Brandon Stone 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.65% 0.13% MC
60 ENG Dale Whitnell 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.61% 0.09% 81
61 AUT Lukas Nemecz 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.5% -0.02% MC
62 GER Hurly Long 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.47% -0.05% T39
63 USA Johannes Veerman 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.43% -0.09% 76
64 IND Shubhankar Sharma 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.43% -0.09% T16
65 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.21% -0.31% MC
66 ARG Daniel Vancsik 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.21% -0.31%
67 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.51% 0.35% -0.16% T5
68 ENG Andy Sullivan 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.48% 1.05% 0.57% T39
69 FRA Adrien Saddier 175 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.41% -0.03% MC
70 RSA Oliver Bekker 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.41% 0.52% 0.11% MC
71 ENG Andrew Wilson 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.93% 0.54% MC
72 RSA JC Ritchie 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.6% 0.21% MC
73 RSA Louis de Jager 200 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.44% 0.05% T29
74 ENG Paul Waring 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.39% 0% MC
75 GER Nick Bachem 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.37% 1.06% 0.69% MC
76 ENG Matthew Jordan 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.37% 0.57% 0.2% T16
77 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.37% 0.5% 0.13% T60
78 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 225 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.35% 0.49% 0.14% MC
79 ENG Marcus Armitage 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.33% 0.6% 0.27% T29
80 ENG David Horsey 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 1.35% 1.04% MC
81 USA Sean Crocker 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.71% 0.4% T48
82 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.68% 0.37%
83 NZL Daniel Hillier 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.42% 0.1% T5
84 NED Lars Van Meijel 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.21% -0.1% T16
85 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.3% 0.55% 0.25% T39
86 ENG Daniel Gavins 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.29% 0.68% 0.39%
87 NED Darius Van Driel 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.29% 0.32% 0.03% MC
88 ITA Renato Paratore 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.27% 0.56% 0.28% T39
89 ESP Santiago Tarrio 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.27% 0.21% -0.06%
90 CHN Ding Wenyi 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.93% 0.67% T70
91 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.61% 0.35% MC
92 RSA Bryce Easton 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.55% 0.29% MC
93 FRA David Ravetto 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% T16
94 ENG Todd Clements 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.43% 0.17% T21
95 DEN John Axelsen 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% T12
96 NED Daan Huizing 307 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.43% 0.17% T29
97 NED Wil Besseling 316 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46/1) 0.32% 0.25% 0.52% 0.27% MC
98 SWE Joakim Lagergren 316 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46/1) 0.32% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% MC
99 RSA Deon Germishuys 316 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46/1) 0.32% 0.25% 0.38% 0.13% T3
100 CHN Shao Yong-liang 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.21% -0.01%
101 RSA Ockie Strydom 393 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.9/1) 0.25% 0.2% 1.27% 1.07% MC
102 FRA Alexander Levy 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.41% 0.22% MC
103 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 400 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% MC
104 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 400 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.34% 0.15% MC
105 RSA Thomas Aiken 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.16% 0.55% 0.39% MC
106 ESP Nacho Elvira 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.4% 0.25% MC
107 SCO Marc Warren 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.4% 0.24% T70
108 ENG Garrick Porteous 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.13% MC
109 JPN Aguri Iwasaki 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.09% MC
110 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 500 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.22% 0.06% MC
111 KOR Yeongsu Kim 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.34% 0.21% MC
112 ENG Oliver Wilson 600 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% T60
113 NED Mike Toorop 600 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.21% 0.08% MC
114 ENG James Morrison 623 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.5/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.49% 0.37% T39
115 POR Ricardo Santos 719 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.8/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.44% 0.33% T60
116 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.42% 0.31% MC
117 DEN Christoffer Bring 750 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.38% 0.27% MC
118 ENG John Parry 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.35% 0.25% T77
119 ENG Sam Hutsby 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% MC
120 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% T77
121 NED Rowin Caron 750 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11%
122 NED Jerry Ji 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% MC
123 SWE Niklas Lemke 767 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.9/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% MC
124 FRA Victor Dubuisson 767 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.9/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11%
125 NED Lars Van Der Vight 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% T55
126 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 950 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.8/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.44% 0.36% MC
127 USA Joshua Lee 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.56% 0.48% T55
128 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% MC
129 SCO Stephen Gallacher 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% MC
130 ITA Filippo Celli 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% T12
131 NED Davey Porsius 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
132 IRL John Murphy 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.52% 0.44% MC
133 FRA Gary Stal 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.5% 0.42% MC
134 RSA Tristen Strydom 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.49% 0.42% MC
135 FRA Joel Stalter 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.46% 0.39% T48
136 SWE Mikael Lindberg 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% T12
137 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% 79
138 NED Sven Maurits 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
139 NED Dario Antonisse 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
140 NED Jack Ingham 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
141 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.68% 0.62% MC
142 USA Gunner Wiebe 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.48% 0.44% MC
143 POL Mateusz Gradecki 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.45% 0.41% T60
144 IND Manu Gandas 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.34% 0.3% MC
145 AUS Blake Windred 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.25% 0.21% MC
146 CHN Ma Chengyao 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.42% 0.39% T70
147 SWE Tobias Eden 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.35% 0.32% MC
148 ENG David Howell 2500 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.23% 0.2% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 16.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betway 8 @ 1/5 54.9% 18%
2 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 18.5% 21.7%
3 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.2% 25.4%
4 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.8% 25.9%
5 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 43.8% 26.8%
6 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 43.8% 26.8%
7 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 67% 27.2%
8 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 44.9% 27.8%
9 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 50.1% 32.4%
10 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 61.8% 33.4%
11 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 63.7% 34.9%
12 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 63.7% 34.9%
13 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 52.4% 37%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 52.5% 37%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 52.7% 37.2%
16 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 52.7% 37.2%
17 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 53.2% 37.7%
18 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 68.7% 39.1%
19 Coral 7 @ 1/5 68.7% 39.1%
20 VBet 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 41.2%
21 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 60% 43.8%
22 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 63.5% 44.2%
23 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 67.5% 50.6%