Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 11.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 218.1

Total Profit: +118

Soudal Open

11/05/2023 - 14/05/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SWE Alexander Bjork 17.6 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.3/1) 5.38% 4.36% 2.13% -2.23% T4
2 ESP Adrian Otaegui 18 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.27% 1.09% -3.17% T15
3 ESP Jorge Campillo 20 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.86% 2.48% -1.38% MC
4 BEL Thomas Detry 20 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.7/1) 4.76% 3.86% 1.16% -2.71% T7
5 GER Yannik Paul 21 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.8/1) 4.55% 3.69% 2.49% -1.2%
6 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 25 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.12% 1.72% -1.4% 3
7 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.38% 1.7% -0.69% MC
8 ENG Callum Shinkwin 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.38% 1.23% -1.16% MC
9 GER Maximilian Kieffer 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.98% 1.12% -0.86% T41
10 ENG Eddie Pepperell 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.98% 0.74% -1.23% T22
11 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 41 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.7/1) 2.38% 1.93% 0.68% -1.25% T67
12 ITA Edoardo Molinari 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.76% 1.13% -0.64% T59
13 FIN Sami Valimaki 45 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.76% 1.09% -0.67% MC
14 FIN Mikko Korhonen 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.76% 0.46% -1.3%
15 CAN Aaron Cockerill 55 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.45% 1.54% 0.1% T10 6.45
16 GER Marcel Siem 55 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.45% 1.15% -0.3% T59 6.45
17 SCO Ewen Ferguson 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.45% 0.71% -0.74% T33
18 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.33% 0.92% -0.41% T10
19 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.33% 0.57% -0.76% T22
20 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 1.27% 0.06% MC 5.39
21 SWE Marcus Kinhult 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 1.06% -0.15% T22 5.39
22 ENG Matthew Southgate 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.62% -0.59% T4
23 USA John Catlin 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.21% 0.57% -0.64% T38
24 FRA Ugo Coussaud 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.47% -0.74% T59
25 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.47% -0.74% T7
26 ARG Daniel Vancsik 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.25% -0.96%
27 ENG Daniel A Brown 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.14% 1.29% 0.15% T28 5.09
28 KOR Jeunghun Wang 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.14% 0.8% -0.34% MC
29 ESP Santiago Tarrio 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.14% 0.25% -0.89%
30 THA Jazz Janewattananond 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.1% 1.59% 0.49% MC 4.88
31 AUS Jason Scrivener 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 1.06% 0.06% MC 4.46
32 ENG Dale Whitnell 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.93% -0.07% MC 4.46
33 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.82% -0.18% MC 4.46
34 FRA Julien Brun 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 0.98% 1.41% 0.43% T15 4.36
35 ENG Andy Sullivan 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 0.98% 0.72% -0.25% MC 4.36
36 CHN Wu Ashun 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 0.92% 1.06% 0.14% T41 4.11
37 RSA Wilco Nienaber 90 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.2/1) 1.1% 0.89% 0.7% -0.19% T41 3.97
38 AUT Lukas Nemecz 90 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% 0.55% -0.34% T33
39 FRA Clement Sordet 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.87% 0.87% -0.01% MC 3.89
40 SCO Connor Syme 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.83% 0.95% 0.12% T59 3.69
41 ENG Dan Bradbury 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.59% -0.21% T10 3.58
42 GER Nick Bachem 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.57% -0.24% T59 3.58
43 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.38% -0.42% MC
44 RSA Oliver Bekker 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.75% 0.69% -0.06% MC 3.35
45 SCO David Law 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.75% 0.66% -0.09% T50 3.35
46 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.75% 0.57% -0.18% T38 3.35
47 ESP Alejandro Canizares 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.35% 0.7% 2.87
48 RSA JC Ritchie 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.81% 0.16% MC 2.87
49 SWE Simon Forsstrom 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.75% 0.11% 1 2.87 +218.1
50 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.35% -0.29% T15 2.87
51 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.59% 0.93% 0.34% T4
52 SCO Craig Howie 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.59% 0.69% 0.09% T28
53 ENG Ross Fisher 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.55% 0.67% 0.12% T50
54 ENG Daniel Gavins 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.98% 0.45% T65
55 SWE Jens Dantorp 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.83% 0.29% 2
56 NED Daan Huizing 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.57% 0.03%
57 DEN Jeff Winther 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 0.5% -0.04%
58 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.53% 1.28% 0.76% T15
59 GER Hurly Long 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.52% 0.31% -0.2% MC
60 RSA Bryce Easton 160 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.5% 0.72% 0.22% MC
61 NZL Daniel Hillier 160 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.5% 0.59% 0.08% MC
62 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.49% 0.64% 0.15% T67
63 IND Shubhankar Sharma 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.49% 0.93% 0.45% MC
64 RSA Zander Lombard 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.46% 1.39% 0.93% T41
65 POR Ricardo Gouveia 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.46% 0.82% 0.36% MC
66 ITA Renato Paratore 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.44% 1% 0.57% MC
67 USA Chase Hanna 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.44% 0.58% 0.15% WD
68 RSA Louis de Jager 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.44% 0.51% 0.08% MC
69 FRA Adrien Saddier 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.41% 0.52% 0.11% T50
70 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 1.93% 1.53% MC
71 FRA David Ravetto 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.96% 0.55% T67
72 NED Darius Van Driel 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.72% 0.32% T22
73 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.67% 0.27% MC
74 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.62% 0.22% T56
75 FRA Alexander Levy 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.61% 0.21% MC
76 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.56% 0.15% T15
77 NED Wil Besseling 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.53% 0.13% MC
78 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.49% 0.09% T22
79 ENG Tom Lewis 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.39% 0.85% 0.46% T56
80 RSA Brandon Stone 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.38% 0.43% 0.06% MC
81 USA Sean Crocker 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.36% 0.43% 0.07% MC
82 ENG Marcus Armitage 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.33% 0.6% 0.27% T28
83 RSA Thomas Aiken 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.6% 0.28% T41
84 POR Ricardo Santos 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.59% 0.26% MC
85 GER Max Schmitt 250 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.41% 0.08% T59
86 ENG David Horsey 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.36% 0.04% T28
87 FRA Frederic LaCroix 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.26% -0.07% T33
88 RSA Justin Walters 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.32% 0.57% 0.25% T50
89 ENG Todd Clements 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.57% 0.3% T33
90 CHN Shao Yong-liang 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.25% -0.02%
91 ITA Francesco Laporta 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.25% 0.81% 0.56% MC
92 RSA Darren Fichardt 325 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47/1) 0.31% 0.25% 0.35% 0.1% MC
93 ESP Nacho Elvira 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.24% 0.96% 0.71% MC
94 ENG Andrew Wilson 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.24% 0.39% 0.15% T10
95 ENG Jack Senior 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.24% 0.38% 0.14% MC
96 JPN Aguri Iwasaki 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.24% 0.31% 0.07% T72
97 FRA Pierre Pineau 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.94% 0.71% MC
98 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.5% 0.27% MC
99 SCO Stephen Gallacher 350 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.28% 0.05% MC
100 RSA Deon Germishuys 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.36% 0.13% T15
101 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.26% 0.06% T33
102 SWE Niklas Lemke 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.2% 0.59% 0.38% MC
103 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 431 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.7/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.57% 0.38% MC
104 FRA Victor Dubuisson 460 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60.5/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.28% 0.1%
105 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 460 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60.5/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.28% 0.1% MC
106 USA Joshua Lee 500 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.61% 0.45% T65
107 ENG Toby Tree 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.49% 0.32%
108 ENG James Morrison 500 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.43% 0.27% T7
109 ESP Javier Sainz 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.12% MC
110 BEL Christopher Mivis 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.1% MC
111 ENG Garrick Porteous 597 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.49% 0.36% MC
112 ENG John Parry 600 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.41% 0.28% MC
113 DEN John Axelsen 600 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.38% 0.24% T38
114 KOR Yeongsu Kim 600 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.12% T10
115 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 613 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.6/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.43% 0.3% MC
116 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 724 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.3/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% MC
117 SCO Marc Warren 729 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.7/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.57% 0.46% T41
118 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.45% 0.34% T22
119 FRA Gary Stal 750 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.38% 0.27% MC
120 AUS Blake Windred 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
121 IRL Gary Hurley 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.58% 0.5% MC
122 WAL Rhys Enoch 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.55% 0.46% MC
123 ENG Sam Hutsby 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.43% 0.34% MC
124 DEN Christoffer Bring 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.29% MC
125 RSA Tristen Strydom 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.17% MC
126 FRA Joel Stalter 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.49% 0.41% MC
127 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.42% 0.34% MC
128 SWE Mikael Lindberg 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.39% 0.31% MC
129 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.39% 0.3% MC
130 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.29% MC
131 POL Mateusz Gradecki 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
132 FRA Gregory Havret 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% T15
133 UKR Lev Grinberg 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% MC
134 IRL John Murphy 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.35% 0.3% T28
135 BEL Alan De Bondt 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.25% 0.2% T41
136 NED Koen Kouwenaar 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.25% 0.2% MC
137 BEL Kristof Ulenaers 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.25% 0.2% T56
138 CHN Ma Chengyao 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.5% 0.46% MC
139 USA Gunner Wiebe 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.47% 0.43% T70
140 SWE Tobias Eden 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.46% 0.42% MC
141 IND Manu Gandas 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.45% 0.41% T41
142 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.35% 0.31% MC
143 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% T50
144 BEL Kevin Hesbois 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.25% 0.21% T72
145 BEL Yente Van Doren 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.25% 0.21% MC
146 BEL Charles Roeland 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.25% 0.21% MC
147 BEL James Meyer de Beco 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.25% 0.21% MC
148 BEL James Skeet 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.25% 0.21% MC
149 ENG David Howell 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.24% 0.2% MC
150 BEL Jean De Wouters 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.25% 0.22% MC
151 BEL Jarno Tollenaire 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.25% 0.22% T70
152 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T50
154 ENG Richard McEvoy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 AUS Maverick Antcliff 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 GER Dennis Meyerrose 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 FRA Felix Mory 0% 0% 0% 0% T41
158 ENG Marco Penge 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 ENG OJ Farrell 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
162 ENG Pavan Sagoo 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
163 Nathan Cossement 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
164 Hugo Duquaine 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 11.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 15.1% 18.6%
2 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 44.1% 27.1%
3 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 45.6% 28.4%
4 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 47.4% 30%
5 Betway 7 @ 1/5 58.1% 30.4%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 48.7% 31.2%
7 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 73% 31.9%
8 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 73.6% 32.3%
9 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 48% 33%
10 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 62.7% 34.2%
11 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 62.7% 34.2%
12 VBet 5 @ 1/4 52.6% 34.6%
13 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 52.7% 34.8%
14 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 52.7% 34.8%
15 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 63.7% 35.1%
16 Coral 7 @ 1/5 63.7% 35.1%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.8% 41.9%
18 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 57.8% 41.9%
19 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 57.8% 41.9%
20 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60% 43.9%
21 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 65.4% 46%
22 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 66.1% 49.4%