Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 3.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 41.3

Total Profit: -58.8

Ras Al Khaimah Championship

02/02/2023 - 05/02/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NZL Ryan Fox 18 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.98% 1.67% -3.3% T11
2 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 20 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.5% 1.66% -2.84% T6
3 FRA Victor Perez 22 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5/1) 4.35% 4.11% 3.86% -0.25% T13
4 POL Adrian Meronk 22 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5/1) 4.35% 4.11% 1.45% -2.66% T4
5 ENG Callum Shinkwin 33 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.78% 3.89% 1.11% WD 11.97
6 ESP Adria Arnaus 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.78% 0.65% -2.13% T6
7 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 40 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.31% 1.53% -0.77% T4
8 ENG Richard Mansell 40 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.31% 1.06% -1.25% T25
9 ESP Adrian Otaegui 43 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8/1) 2.27% 2.15% 3.31% 1.16% T36 9.25
10 IRL Padraig Harrington 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.5/1) 2.08% 1.97% 3.48% 1.51% T25 8.48
11 RSA Thriston Lawrence 50 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.85% 1.29% -0.57% T42
12 FRA Romain Langasque 50 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.85% 0.91% -0.94% MC
13 ITA Guido Migliozzi 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.78% 2.38% 0.6% MC 7.68
14 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 55 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.69% 0.82% -0.87% T13
15 RSA Oliver Bekker 55 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.69% 0.67% -1.01% T56
16 FRA Julien Brun 57 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.7/1) 1.72% 1.63% 0.79% -0.84% MC
17 FIN Sami Valimaki 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.55% 1.17% -0.38% MC
18 SCO Connor Syme 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.41% 1.32% -0.09% T48 6.08
19 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.41% 0.56% -0.85% T13
20 USA Johannes Veerman 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.41% 0.42% -0.99% T19
21 RSA George Coetzee 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.39% 1.27% -0.12% T36
22 SWE Alexander Bjork 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.3% 1.64% 0.35% T2 (tied w/2) 5.58 +41.3
23 SCO Scott Jamieson 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.3% 1.03% -0.27% MC
24 SCO Ewen Ferguson 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.17% 1.21% 0.04% T51 5.03
25 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.17% 0.92% -0.24% T56
26 ENG Matthew Jordan 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.17% 0.63% -0.54% T19
27 SCO Calum Hill 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.17% 0.31% -0.86% MC
28 ENG Andrew Johnston 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.17% 0.24% -0.93%
29 SCO Richie Ramsay 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 1.1% 1.15% 0.05% MC 4.73
30 GER Yannik Paul 90 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.2/1) 1.1% 1.04% 1.82% 0.78% MC 4.48
31 ENG Dan Bradbury 90 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.2/1) 1.1% 1.04% 1.1% 0.06% T42 4.48
32 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 90 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.2/1) 1.1% 1.04% 0.91% -0.13% MC
33 NED Joost Luiten 90 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.2/1) 1.1% 1.04% 0.83% -0.21% MC
34 CHN Wu Ashun 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.98% 1.33% 0.35% T56 4.24
35 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.94% 0.97% 0.04% MC 4.03
36 RSA Louis de Jager 100 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.94% 0.71% -0.23% T28
37 SCO Grant Forrest 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.94% 0.68% -0.26% T56
38 GER Hurly Long 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.94% 0.65% -0.29% MC
39 ENG Andy Sullivan 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.89% 1.17% 0.28% MC 3.84
40 ITA Edoardo Molinari 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.89% 0.75% -0.14% T42
41 GER Marcel Schneider 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.82% 1.84% 1.03% T19 3.51
42 GER Maximilian Kieffer 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.82% 0.98% 0.16% MC 3.51
43 ESP Jorge Campillo 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.82% 0.74% -0.07% T61 3.51
44 ARG Daniel Vancsik 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.76% 0.24% -0.53%
45 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.75% 1.38% 0.63% MC 3.23
46 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.75% 0.84% 0.09% MC 3.23
47 SCO David Law 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.75% 0.74% -0.01% T11 3.23
48 FRA Julien Guerrier 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.75% 0.64% -0.11% T13
49 FRA Matthieu Pavon 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.71% 0.98% 0.27% T9
50 JPN Kazuki Higa 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.71% 0.66% -0.05% T36
51 NIR Tom McKibbin 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.66% 0.99% 0.33% T36
52 FRA Clement Sordet 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.63% 1.15% 0.53% MC
53 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.63% 0.99% 0.37% T28
54 ENG Jack Senior 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.63% 0.77% 0.14% T51
55 USA Chase Hanna 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.63% 0.59% -0.04% MC
56 KOR Jeunghun Wang 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.63% 0.21% -0.41% MC
57 ENG Eddie Pepperell 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.61% 1.62% 1.01% MC
58 ENG Dale Whitnell 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.61% 1.01% 0.4% T28
59 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.61% 0.96% 0.35% T13
60 ENG Ross Fisher 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.61% 0.79% 0.18% T9
61 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.58% 0.67% 0.09% MC
62 ENG Matthew Southgate 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.58% 0.59% 0.01% T65
63 RSA Shaun Norris 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.55% 0.3% -0.25% T42
64 RSA Zander Lombard 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.54% 0.63% 0.09% T2
65 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.54% 0.54% 0% T28
66 USA John Catlin 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.49% 0.52% 0.03% MC
67 ENG Nathan Kimsey 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.47% 0.84% 0.37% T19
68 AUT Lukas Nemecz 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.47% 0.67% 0.2% T28
69 FRA Alexander Levy 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.47% 0.63% 0.16% MC
70 ENG Oliver Wilson 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.47% 0.63% 0.16% MC
71 ENG Matthew Baldwin 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.47% 0.53% 0.06% T23
72 SWE Jens Dantorp 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.47% 0.24% -0.23% MC
73 RSA Justin Walters 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.41% 0.49% 0.08% 68
74 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.39% 0.72% 0.32% T28
75 RSA JC Ritchie 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.38% 0.58% 0.2% T36
76 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.38% 0.56% 0.18% T28
77 FRA Adrien Saddier 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.38% 0.38% 0% T65
78 GER Nick Bachem 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.38% 0.3% -0.08% MC
79 RSA Ockie Strydom 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.36% 1.32% 0.96% MC
80 NED Wil Besseling 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.35% 0.7% 0.35% T13
81 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.35% 0.63% 0.28% MC
82 NZL Daniel Hillier 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.33% 0.87% 0.54% T42
83 IRL Gary Hurley 300 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.31% 0.87% 0.55% MC
84 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.31% 0.82% 0.51% MC
85 RSA Bryce Easton 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.31% 0.59% 0.28% MC
86 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.31% 0.28% -0.03% T28
87 ENG John Parry 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.27% 0.94% 0.67% MC
88 ENG Daniel Gavins 355 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.1/1) 0.28% 0.27% 0.52% 0.26% 1
89 FRA Victor Dubuisson 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.26% 0.21% -0.05% T69
90 SWE Simon Forsstrom 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.24% 0.89% 0.66% MC
91 ENG Daniel A Brown 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.24% 0.59% 0.35% T36
92 NED Daan Huizing 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.24% 0.56% 0.32% T51
93 FRA David Ravetto 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.24% 0.53% 0.3% T51
94 ENG Todd Clements 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.24% 0.33% 0.09% T61
95 ESP Nacho Elvira 412 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.8/1) 0.24% 0.23% 0.5% 0.27% MC
96 ESP Santiago Tarrio 441 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.7/1) 0.23% 0.21% 0.24% 0.02%
97 USA Julian Suri 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.19% 0.54% 0.35% MC
98 SCO Marc Warren 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% T25
99 RSA Deon Germishuys 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.19% 0.26% 0.07% MC
100 SWE Mikael Lindberg 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.19% 0.21% 0.02% 67
101 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.19% 0.18% -0.01% MC
102 ENG James Morrison 537 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.18% 0.42% 0.24% MC
103 ENG David Horsey 556 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.5/1) 0.18% 0.17% 0.45% 0.28%
104 DEN John Axelsen 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.16% 0.2% 0.04% MC
105 USA Gunner Wiebe 691 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.4/1) 0.14% 0.14% 0.65% 0.52% MC
106 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 777 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.7/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.65% 0.52% T48
107 ENG Sam Hutsby 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.12% 0.25% 0.13% T51
108 SWE Tobias Eden 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.12% 0.2% 0.09% MC
109 SWE Jens Fahrbring 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.1% 0.58% 0.48% MC
110 DEN Christoffer Bring 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.1% 0.57% 0.47% MC
111 DEN Thomas Bjorn 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.1% 0.48% 0.38% T56
112 USA Joshua Lee 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.1% 0.42% 0.32% MC
113 IRL John Murphy 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% MC
114 FRA Gary Stal 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
115 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
116 FRA Joel Stalter 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.46% 0.39% T23
117 POR Pedro Figueiredo 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.05% 0.51% 0.46% MC
118 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.05% 0.24% 0.19% MC
119 ISR Asaf Cohen 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% 0.24% 0.2% MC
120 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
121 POR Ricardo Santos 0% 0% 0% 0% T42
122 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
123 SWE Niklas Lemke 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
124 ENG Garrick Porteous 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
125 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 0% 0% 0% 0% T48
126 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 0% 0% 0% 0% T6
127 IND Manu Gandas 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
128 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 ENG Andrew Wilson 0% 0% 0% 0% T61
130 CHN Ma Chengyao 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% T69
132 JPN Aguri Iwasaki 0% 0% 0% 0% T61
133 Hugo Mazen Trommetter 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
134 Elyes Barhoumi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 3.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 8.4% 7.2%
2 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 34.9% 18.7%
3 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 35.7% 19.4%
4 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 38.6% 22%
5 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 38.6% 22%
6 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 38.9% 22.2%
7 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 62.3% 23.3%
8 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 53.4% 26.1%
9 Coral 7 @ 1/5 53.4% 26.1%
10 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.8% 27.4%
11 Betway 7 @ 1/5 57.5% 29.5%
12 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 48.8% 31%
13 VBet 5 @ 1/4 49.3% 31.4%
14 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 48.7% 33.3%
15 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 64% 34.9%
16 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 64% 34.9%
17 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 50.7% 35.2%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 36.5%
19 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 36.5%
20 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 53.9% 37.9%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.8% 38.8%
22 QuinnBet 1 @ 1/1 39.5% 39.5%