Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 12.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 84.0

Total Profit: -16.1

Joburg Open

24/11/2022 - 27/11/2022

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 6.5 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 13.33% 11.34% 6.11% -5.23% T3
2 RSA George Coetzee 13 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 7.14% 6.08% 2.15% -3.92% MC
3 RSA Thriston Lawrence 14 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.67% 3.03% -2.64% T33
4 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 22 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.7% 1.5% -2.2% T33
5 RSA Oliver Bekker 22 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.7% 1.43% -2.27% T13
6 FRA Romain Langasque 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.93% 1.07% -1.86% T9
7 RSA Louis de Jager 30 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.74% 2.54% -0.2% 5 12.31 +43.1
8 RSA Zander Lombard 33 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.5% 1.43% -1.08% T54
9 RSA Wilco Nienaber 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.07% 0.81% -1.26% T24
10 ARG Daniel Vancsik 45 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.85% 0.41% -1.44%
11 ENG Dale Whitnell 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.67% 1.85% 0.18% T6 7.49
12 RSA JC Ritchie 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.67% 0.88% -0.79% MC
13 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.6% 0.41% -1.19% T18
14 FIN Sami Valimaki 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.52% 1.68% 0.16% 2 6.82 +40.9
15 ENG Matthew Baldwin 55 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.52% 1.67% 0.15% MC 6.82
16 NED Darius Van Driel 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.52% 1.21% -0.31% T60
17 ENG Matthew Southgate 60 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.39% 1.51% 0.12% T24 6.26
18 RSA Jaco Ahlers 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% 1.65% 0.38% T66 5.7
19 ITA Renato Paratore 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% 1.54% 0.27% T33 5.7
20 SWE Jens Dantorp 70 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.2% 2.27% 1.07% T64 5.38
21 GER Marcel Siem 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.05% 1.11% 0.06% T16 4.72
22 RSA Brandon Stone 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 0.89% -0.16% T44 4.72
23 RSA Shaun Norris 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 0.71% -0.34% T18
24 ENG Nathan Kimsey 80 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 0.41% -0.64% T13
25 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.05% 0.41% -0.64% MC
26 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 0.41% -0.64% T66
27 NIR Tom McKibbin 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.99% 1.57% 0.58% T18 4.44
28 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.93% 0.91% -0.03% T24 4.2
29 ESP Santiago Tarrio 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.93% 0.41% -0.52%
30 FRA Clement Sordet 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.89% 0.41% -0.47% MC
31 FRA Julien Guerrier 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 1.77% 0.92% T48 3.78
32 RSA Deon Germishuys 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% 1.63% 0.79% T66 3.78
33 POR Ricardo Gouveia 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 1.21% 0.37% T18 3.78
34 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 1.14% 0.29% MC 3.78
35 RSA Richard Sterne 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 1.06% 0.21% MC 3.78
36 CAN Aaron Cockerill 100 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% 0.49% -0.35% MC
37 RSA Bryce Easton 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% 0.48% -0.36% MC
38 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% 0.42% -0.42% T39
39 SWE Mikael Lindberg 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% 0.41% -0.43% MC
40 ENG Daniel A Brown 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% 0.41% -0.43% T48
41 ENG James Morrison 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.8% 1.28% 0.48% MC 3.6
42 RSA Pieter Moolman 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.69% 0.41% -0.27% T72
43 USA Chase Hanna 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.66% -0.02% T44 3.03
44 RSA Hennie Otto 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.41% -0.26%
45 SWE Simon Forsstrom 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.41% -0.26% T9
46 FRA David Ravetto 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.41% -0.26% MC
47 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.63% 0.41% -0.22% MC
48 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.59% 1.51% 0.92% MC
49 ENG Todd Clements 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.59% 1.08% 0.49% T33
50 ENG Daniel Gavins 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.59% 0.98% 0.39% T30
51 SCO Craig Howie 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.95% 0.39% T44
52 RSA Darren Fichardt 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.7% 0.14% MC
53 RSA Ockie Strydom 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.41% -0.15% MC
54 ITA Francesco Laporta 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.55% 0.75% 0.2% T13
55 SCO Marc Warren 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.49% 1.01% 0.52% MC
56 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.44% 0.41% -0.03% T54
57 GER Nick Bachem 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.4% 0.41% 0.01% T39
58 ENG Dan Bradbury 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.38% 1.14% 0.76% 1
59 RSA Albert Venter 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% MC
60 RSA Martin Vorster 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% MC
61 RSA Ruan Korb 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.37% 0.41% 0.04% MC
62 RSA Tristen Strydom 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.44% 0.08% MC
63 RSA Jbe Kruger 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.41% 0.06% T24
64 RSA Neil Schietekat 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.34% 0.44% 0.1% T18
65 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.34% 0.41% 0.07% T30
66 ENG Ross McGowan 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.84% 0.5% T24
67 USA Aman Gupta 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.62% 0.28% T39
68 RSA James Du Preez Jnr 250 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.41% 0.07% MC
69 RSA Dylan Naidoo 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.41% 0.07% MC
70 ENG Sam Hutsby 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.39% 0.09% MC
71 SCO David Drysdale 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.29% 1.61% 1.33% MC
72 SWE Anton Karlsson 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 1.23% 0.94% T60
73 RSA Casey Jarvis 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.94% 0.66% T9
74 SWE Jens Fahrbring 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.49% 0.2% MC
75 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.41% 0.13% T6
76 RSA MJ Viljoen 300 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.41% 0.13% T60
77 RSA Thomas Aiken 307 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.49% 0.22% T30
78 BEL Christopher Mivis 316 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46/1) 0.32% 0.27% 1.63% 1.36% MC
79 IRL John Murphy 325 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.91% 0.65% MC
80 NOR Elias Bertheussen 325 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.41% 0.15% T54
81 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% MC
82 RSA Anthony Michael 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% MC
83 WAL Rhys Enoch 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% T16
84 RSA Combrinck Smit 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% MC
85 ESP Javier Sainz 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% MC
86 POL Mateusz Gradecki 383 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.9/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.41% 0.19% MC
87 RSA Jacques Blaauw 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.53% 0.32% MC
88 RSA Keenan Davidse 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% MC
89 RSA Martin Rohwer 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% MC
90 POR Stephen Ferreira 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% MC
91 RSA Luke Brown 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% MC
92 RSA Louis Albertse 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% T44
93 RSA Jake Redman 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% 71
94 RSA Jean Hugo 431 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.7/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.41% 0.22% T48
95 RSA Dylan Mostert 431 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.7/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.41% 0.22% T18
96 RSA Luke Jerling 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.41% 0.24% T48
97 RSA Wynand Dingle 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.41% 0.24% T39
98 RSA Rupert Kaminski 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.41% 0.24% MC
99 ENG Toby Tree 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.43% 0.26% T64
100 RSA Keith Horne 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.41% 0.24% T33
101 RSA Michael Palmer 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.41% 0.24% MC
102 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.41% 0.27% MC
103 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.44% 0.3% MC
104 RSA Herman Loubser 613 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.6/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.41% 0.27% MC
105 RSA CJ du Plessis 671 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.7/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.41% 0.29% MC
106 ENG Tom Murray 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.79% 0.68% T9
107 SWE Philip Eriksson 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.5% 0.4% MC
108 FRA Gregory Bourdy 806 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.46% 0.35% MC
109 RSA Jean-Paul Strydom 806 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.41% 0.31% MC
110 RSA Lyle Rowe 815 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.9/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.41% 0.31% MC
111 RSA Gerhard Pepler 835 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 93.5/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.41% 0.31% MC
112 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 902 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.39% 0.3% T54
113 RSA Haydn Porteous 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.52% 0.43% MC
114 BRA Adilson da Silva 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.35% T66
115 ENG Gary Boyd 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.35% MC
116 GRE Peter Karmis 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.41% 0.32% MC
117 ZAM Madalitso Muthiya 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.41% 0.32% MC
118 SWE Tobias Eden 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.41% 0.32% MC
119 USA Joshua Lee 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.41% 0.32% MC
120 ENG Oliver Fisher 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.8% 0.71% MC
121 RSA Merrick Bremner 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.33% MC
122 FRA Clement Berardo 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.33% T48
123 RSA Estiaan Conradie 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.33% T66
124 ENG Robin Williams 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.28% MC
125 RSA Alex Haindl 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.41% 0.36% MC
126 RSA Ruan Conradie 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.44% 0.4% T72
127 RSA Nikhil Rama 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.41% 0.37% T33
128 RSA Siyanda Mwandla 2500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.41% 0.38% MC
129 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T3
130 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 RSA JJ Senekal 0% 0% 0% 0% T6
132 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 0% 0% 0% 0% T39
133 RSA Kyle Barker 0% 0% 0% 0% T24
134 RSA Rourke Van der Spuy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 RSA Jacquin Hess 0% 0% 0% 0% T72
136 RSA Jovan Rebula 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 RSA Matthew Spacey 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 RSA Lindani Ndwandwe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 RSA Musiwalo Nethunzwi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 RSA Malcolm Mitchell 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 RSA Hennie O'Kennedy 0% 0% 0% 0% T60
143 RSA Keelan Van Wyk 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 RSA Jordan Duminy 0% 0% 0% 0% 75
145 RSA Quintin Wilsnach 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 RSA Franklin Manchest 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 RSA Adriel Poonan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 RSA Keagan Thomas 0% 0% 0% 0% T54
149 RSA Sean Bradley 0% 0% 0% 0% 59
150 ENG Jake Bolton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 RSA Therion Nel 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 RSA Ian Snyman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 RSA Luca Filippi 0% 0% 0% 0% T48
155 ENG Pavan Sagoo 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 Harvey Byers 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 12.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 30.4% 15%
2 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 30.8% 15.3%
3 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 18% 18%
4 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 34% 18.1%
5 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 34% 18.1%
6 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 37.9% 21.5%
7 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 60.8% 22.5%
8 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 39.3% 22.8%
9 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 40.4% 26%
10 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 42.5% 28%
11 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 42.5% 28%
12 Betway 7 @ 1/5 55.4% 28%
13 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 43.3% 28.7%
14 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 58.1% 30.3%
15 Coral 7 @ 1/5 58.1% 30.3%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 47.3% 32.2%
17 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 60.8% 32.5%
18 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 60.8% 32.5%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 51.3% 35.9%
20 VBet 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 35.9%
21 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 57.7% 39.1%