Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 10.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 235.7

Total Profit: +135.6

Wyndham Championship

03/08/2023 - 06/08/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 18 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.04% 1.1% -2.94% MC
2 KOR Sungjae Im 20 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.66% 0.85% -2.81% T14
3 USA Russell Henley 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.66% 0.56% -3.1% T2
4 KOR Siwoo Kim 20 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.66% 0.55% -3.11% T33
5 IRL Shane Lowry 25 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.95% 1.18% -1.78% T51
6 USA JT Poston 25 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.95% 0.73% -2.23% T7
7 USA Sam Burns 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.95% 0.54% -2.41% T14
8 USA Denny McCarthy 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.65% 1.06% -1.59% MC
9 USA Justin Thomas 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.26% 0.34% -1.92% T12
10 USA Keith Mitchell 35 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.13% 1.01% -1.12%
11 SWE Ludvig Aberg 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.13% 0.23% -1.9% T14
12 AUS Cameron Davis 40 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% 1.13% -0.75% T7 (tied w/5) 8.32 +15
13 CAN Adam Hadwin 40 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% 0.64% -1.23% MC
14 KOR Byeong Hun An 40 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% 0.63% -1.25% T2
15 ENG Aaron Rai 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% 0.43% -1.44% MC
16 USA Alex Smalley 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.87% 0.4% -1.47% MC
17 USA J.J Spaun 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.67% 1.15% -0.52% T38 7.42
18 USA Harris English 50 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 0.78% -0.73% T33 6.69
19 USA Chris Kirk 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 0.54% -0.96% MC
20 USA Taylor Moore 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 0.49% -1.02% T22
21 USA Billy Horschel 50 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 0.32% -1.19% 4
22 GER Stephan Jaeger 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.45% 0.77% -0.67% T14 6.44
23 AUS Adam Scott 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.42% 0.85% -0.57% T7 6.32
24 USA Beau Hossler 55 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.37% 0.5% -0.87% MC
25 USA Eric Cole 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.37% 0.45% -0.92% T14
26 CAN Adam Svensson 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 0.5% -0.76% T7
27 BEL Thomas Detry 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 0.42% -0.84% 21
28 SWE Alexander Noren 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.47% -0.68% T38 5.09
29 USA Kevin Streelman 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.08% 0.33% -0.75% MC
30 USA Brendon Todd 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.08% 0.31% -0.77% T7
31 USA Doug Ghim 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.08% 0.24% -0.84% T51
32 USA Adam Schenk 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.74% -0.21% T64 4.22
33 USA Andrew Putnam 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.57% -0.37% T27 4.22
34 USA Austin Eckroat 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.35% -0.59% MC 4.22
35 RSA Garrick Higgo 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.3% -0.65% MC 4.22
36 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.04% -0.91% T27
37 USA Benjamin Griffin 85 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.16% 0.89% 0.43% -0.46% MC 3.97
38 USA Lucas Glover 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.31% -0.53% 1 3.75 +206.2
39 USA Gary Woodland 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.83% 0.91% 0.09% T27 3.67
40 USA Akshay Bhatia 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.78% 0.69% -0.09% MC 3.48
41 USA Patrick Rodgers 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.71% 0.77% 0.06% MC 3.16
42 USA Mark Hubbard 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.65% 0.69% 0.04% MC 2.89
43 SWE Vincent Norrman 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.65% 0.52% -0.13% T58 2.89
44 USA Brandon Wu 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.65% 0.2% -0.45% T58 2.89
45 USA Doc Redman 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 1.63% 1.02% MC 2.71
46 USA Chez Reavie 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.73% 0.12% T27 2.71
47 USA David Lipsky 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.72% 0.11% T45 2.71
48 USA Matthew NeSmith 125 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.44% -0.17% T62 2.71
49 USA Davis Riley 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.35% -0.26% MC 2.71
50 USA Webb Simpson 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.6% 0.15% -0.46% T5 (tied w/2) 2.69 +14.5
51 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.56% 0.48% -0.08% T14
52 AUS Kevin Yuan 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.56% 0.04% -0.52%
53 USA Chesson Hadley 140 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% 1.09% 0.54% T33
54 USA Tyler Duncan 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.28% -0.23% T38
55 USA Samuel Stevens 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.49% 0.92% 0.43% MC
56 USA Matt Kuchar 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.49% 0.56% 0.07% T38
57 USA Dylan Wu 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.47% 0.31% -0.16% T51
58 USA Nick Hardy 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.46% 1.08% 0.62% T27
59 CAN Taylor Pendrith 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.46% 0.37% -0.09% MC
60 USA Joel Dahmen 175 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.49% 0.06% T64
61 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.44% 0.31% -0.13% MC
62 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.44% 0.27% -0.17% T51
63 USA Ben Martin 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.21% -0.23% MC
64 USA Sam Ryder 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.39% 0.34% -0.05% T38
65 USA Ryan Gerard 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.88% 0.49% MC
66 USA Scott Stallings 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.28% -0.1% T62
67 SWE David Lingmerth 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.23% -0.15% MC
68 TPE C.T. Pan 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.13% -0.25% T64
69 ENG Callum Tarren 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.38% 0.16% -0.22% MC
70 USA Mackenzie Hughes 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.37% 0.34% -0.04% MC
71 SCO Martin Laird 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.36% 0.92% 0.56% T58
72 USA Ryan Palmer 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.34% 0.57% 0.23% MC
73 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.33% 0.74% 0.41% MC
74 USA Nate Lashley 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.33% 0.29% -0.03% T51
75 USA Carson Young 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.86% 0.56% T67
76 USA Zac Blair 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.33% 0.02% MC
77 USA Davis Thompson 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.28% 0.35% 0.07% T22
78 USA Stewart Cink 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.28% 0.2% -0.08% MC
79 AUS Aaron Baddeley 275 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.28% 0.8% 0.52% MC
80 USA Troy Merritt 275 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.28% 0.55% 0.27% T58
81 USA Zach Johnson 275 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.28% 0.27% -0.01% MC
82 USA Patton Kizzire 275 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.28% 0.15% -0.13% MC
83 USA Chad Ramey 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.27% 0.67% 0.4% MC
84 USA Greyson Sigg 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.26% 0.68% 0.42% T38
85 USA Kevin Tway 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.93% 0.67% MC
86 USA Trevor Cone 300 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.82% 0.56% MC
87 USA Peter Malnati 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.73% 0.48% MC
88 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.69% 0.44% 73
89 RSA Erik van Rooyen 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.5% 0.25% MC
90 USA Trey Mullinax 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.14% -0.11% T67
91 USA Ryan Armour 300 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.13% -0.13% MC
92 ENG Harry Hall 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.25% 0.76% 0.51%
93 USA Cameron Champ 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.25% 0.54% 0.29% MC
94 USA Brandt Snedeker 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.24% 1.8% 1.56% T45
95 USA William Gordon 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.24% 0.18% -0.07% MC
96 RSA MJ Daffue 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.24% 0.85% 0.61% MC
97 USA Peter Kuest 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.24% 0.8% 0.56% T45
98 USA Sam Bennett 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.23% 1.42% 1.19% T38
99 USA Andrew Novak 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.22% 0.99% 0.76% T33
100 ENG Matt Wallace 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.22% 0.21% -0.02% T45
101 USA Michael Kim 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.22% 0.22% 0% T5
102 USA Justin Lower 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.21% 0.53% 0.32% MC
103 SWE Henrik Norlander 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 1.62% 1.42%
104 USA Kramer Hickok 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.78% 0.59% MC
105 USA James Hahn 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.74% 0.55% MC
106 USA Austin Smotherman 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.64% 0.45% T27
107 ARG Augusto Nunez 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.54% 0.35% MC
108 ENG Danny Willett 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.19% 0.15% -0.04% MC
109 USA Adam Long 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.19% 0.56% 0.37% MC
110 USA Ryan Moore 420 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.6/1) 0.24% 0.18% 1.26% 1.07% MC
111 USA Charley Hoffman 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.18% 1.64% 1.47% T12
112 SCO Russell Knox 460 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60.5/1) 0.22% 0.17% 0.61% 0.45% MC
113 USA Robby Shelton 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.18% 0.02% MC
114 USA Richy Werenski 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 1.61% 1.45% T71
115 USA Max McGreevy 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 1.5% 1.35% T51
116 USA Kelly Kraft 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 1.39% 1.23% T33
117 USA Brent Grant 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 1.26% 1.11% MC
118 USA Tyson Alexander 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.47% 0.32% MC
119 USA Jonathan Byrd 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.11% -0.04% MC
120 USA Jim Herman 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.08% -0.07% T71
121 USA Austin Cook 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 1.65% 1.53% MC
122 USA Jason Dufner 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.16% 0.03% MC
123 USA Scott Piercy 695 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.8/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.47% 0.36% T45
124 USA Jimmy Walker 714 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.4/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.23% 0.12% MC
125 ENG Luke Donald 724 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.3/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% T22
126 USA Brandon Matthews 750 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 1.78% 1.68% MC
127 USA Scott Harrington 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 1.65% 1.54% MC
128 USA Ryan Brehm 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 1.63% 1.53% T22
129 USA Robert Streb 750 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 1.55% 1.45% T14
130 AUT Matthias Schwab 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 1.14% 1.03% MC
131 USA Paul Haley-II 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.78% 0.68% MC
132 RSA Dylan Frittelli 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.49% 0.39% MC
133 ENG Benjamin Taylor 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.16% 0.06% MC
134 SVK Rory Sabbatini 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.09% -0.01% MC
135 USA Brice Garnett 812 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.6/1) 0.12% 0.09% 1.19% 1.09% MC
136 USA Kevin Roy 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 1.69% 1.61% MC
137 COL Nicolas Echavarria 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.76% 0.68% MC
138 USA Harrison Endycott 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.64% 0.56% MC
139 USA Kyle Reifers 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 1.98% 1.91% MC
140 CAN Michael Gligic 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 1.67% 1.6% T67
141 USA Brian Stuard 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 1.65% 1.58% MC
142 USA Trevor Werbylo 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 1.65% 1.58% MC
143 USA Andrew Landry 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.08% 0% MC
144 USA Davis Love III 1000 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.04% -0.04%
145 USA Kyle Westmoreland 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 1.63% 1.59% T45
146 USA Nick Watney 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 1.46% 1.42% MC
147 USA Brian Gay 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.04% 0% MC
148 AUS Cameron Percy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA Tommy Gainey 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 USA Wesley Bryan 0% 0% 0% 0% 70
152 USA Hank Lebioda 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% T51
155 USA Harry Higgs 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Jordan Mullaney 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T22
159 Jon Mayer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 10.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 10.7% 14.7%
2 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 75.2% 15.8%
3 Coral 10 @ 1/5 75.2% 15.8%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 52.5% 16%
5 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 57.6% 20%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 58.2% 20.4%
7 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 58.2% 20.4%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 57.7% 30%
9 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 48% 30.5%
10 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 63.6% 34.8%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 53.6% 35.4%
12 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 36.1%
13 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 56.5% 38%
14 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 58.6% 39.8%
15 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 58.6% 39.8%
16 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 59% 42.9%
17 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 59% 42.9%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 59.6% 43.4%
19 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 59.6% 43.4%
20 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 75.1% 44.4%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 62.5% 46%
22 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 68.9% 48.9%