Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 18.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 72.8

Total Profit: -27.4

Barbasol Championship

13/07/2023 - 16/07/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 CAN Taylor Pendrith 18 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.07% 1.28% -2.79% 6
2 USA Lucas Glover 22 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.36% 1.57% -1.79% 5
3 SWE Vincent Norrman 25 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.97% 1.77% -1.2% 1
4 USA Peter Kuest 28 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.66% 1.71% -0.95% MC
5 USA Akshay Bhatia 28 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.66% 1.37% -1.3% T9
6 USA Kevin Streelman 30 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.49% 0.94% -1.56% MC
7 RSA MJ Daffue 40 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 1.06% -0.82% T16
8 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 40 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 0.99% -0.89% T33
9 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 40 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 0.75% -1.13% MC
10 USA Cameron Champ 40 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 0.53% -1.36%
11 USA Chad Ramey 45 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.68% 1.68% 0% T44 7.57
12 USA Andrew Novak 45 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.68% 1.16% -0.52% T33
13 USA Patton Kizzire 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.68% 1.09% -0.58% T62
14 USA Justin Lower 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.51% 1.39% -0.13% T44
15 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 1.09% -0.43% T58
16 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 50 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 0.89% -0.62% MC
17 USA Troy Merritt 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.51% 0.78% -0.74%
18 USA Grayson Murray 50 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 0.7% -0.81% T7
19 USA Vincent Whaley 50 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 0.69% -0.82% MC
20 USA Josh Teater 55 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.38% 0.95% -0.43% MC
21 ESP Nacho Elvira 60 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.27% 0.73% -0.54%
22 USA Peter Malnati 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.23% 1.63% 0.41% T52 5.53
23 FRA Julien Guerrier 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.58% 0.43% MC 5.2
24 USA Tyler Duncan 66 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.12% -0.04% MC
25 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 66 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.82% -0.33%
26 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.71% -0.44% MC
27 USA James Hahn 66 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.71% -0.44% MC
28 USA Austin Smotherman 70 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.09% 1.56% 0.47% MC 4.91
29 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 70 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.09% 1.13% 0.04% T16 4.91
30 ENG Nathan Kimsey 80 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.79% 0.83% 2 4.3 +36.6
31 USA Scott Piercy 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.51% 0.56% MC 4.3
32 USA Ryan Gerard 80 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.23% 0.28% MC 4.3
33 USA Kevin Tway 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.95% 1.11% 0.15% T44 4.3
34 USA Adam Long 80 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.75% -0.21% T16
35 USA Kevin Chappell 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.68% -0.28% MC
36 ENG David Gilford 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.24% -0.72%
37 USA Harry Higgs 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.9% 0.82% -0.08% MC
38 CAN Aaron Cockerill 90 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.85% 1.01% 0.16% T58 3.83
39 KOR Seungyul Noh 90 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.85% 0.96% 0.12% 3.83
40 ENG Andy Sullivan 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.8% 1.15% 0.34% MC 3.63
41 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.2% 0.43% MC 3.45
42 ARG Augusto Nunez 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.96% 0.19% MC 3.45
43 USA Ryan Moore 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.96% 0.19% T14 3.45
44 DEN John Axelsen 100 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.92% 0.16% T33 3.45
45 USA Kramer Hickok 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.87% 0.11% T28 3.45
46 FRA Adrien Saddier 100 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.84% 0.07% T3 (tied w/2) 3.45 +36.2
47 USA Doc Redman 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.75% -0.02% T9 3.45
48 SWE Marcus Kinhult 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.7% -0.07% T14
49 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.69% -0.07% T44
50 THA Jazz Janewattananond 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.67% -0.09% MC
51 SWE Henrik Norlander 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.6% -0.16% T28
52 USA Jonathan Byrd 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.59% -0.18% MC
53 SWE Jonas Blixt 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.58% -0.19% MC
54 SCO Russell Knox 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.57% -0.2% T33
55 USA Sean O'Hair 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.42% -0.34% MC
56 FRA Clement Sordet 110 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.7% 0.56% -0.13% T52
57 USA Richy Werenski 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.95% 0.33% T58 2.77
58 AUS Cameron Percy 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.77% 0.15% T16 2.77
59 USA Ryan Armour 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.71% 0.1% T16 2.77
60 USA Cody Gribble 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.66% 0.04% T52 2.77
61 USA Jim Herman 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.63% 0.01% MC 2.77
62 USA Brice Garnett 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.62% 0% T33 2.77
63 USA Kevin Roy 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.59% -0.02% MC 2.77
64 USA Chris Stroud 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.47% -0.14% MC
65 RSA Louis de Jager 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.47% -0.14% T16
66 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.47% -0.14% T9
67 USA Johannes Veerman 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.78% 0.27% T62
68 AUS Jason Scrivener 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.78% 0.27% T40
69 ENG Daniel A Brown 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.76% 0.24% T7
70 RSA Deon Germishuys 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.73% 0.21% MC
71 USA Andrew Landry 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.71% 0.2% MC
72 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.63% 0.12% MC
73 USA Trevor Cone 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.63% 0.11% T3
74 USA Hank Lebioda 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.56% 0.05% MC
75 USA John Catlin 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.55% 0.04% MC
76 AUT Matthias Schwab 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.5% -0.01% MC
77 USA Robert Streb 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.5% -0.01% MC
78 ENG Andrew Wilson 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.45% -0.06% MC
79 NED Daan Huizing 175 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 1.06% 0.62% MC
80 KOR Sunghoon Kang 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 1.05% 0.61% 67
81 NED Darius Van Driel 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.42% 1.08% 0.66% MC
82 USA Kelly Kraft 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.42% 0.6% 0.18% T40
83 USA Kyle Westmoreland 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.77% 0.38% MC
84 USA Jason Dufner 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.64% 0.25% T24
85 KOR Sangmoon Bae 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.62% 0.24% MC
86 SWE Mikael Lindberg 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.62% 0.23% T52
87 USA Scott Harrington 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.56% 0.18% T44
88 RSA Bryce Easton 200 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.56% 0.17% MC
89 USA Austin Cook 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.51% 0.12% MC
90 USA Martin Trainer 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.38% -0.01% T62
91 CAN Michael Gligic 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.24% -0.14% T62
92 ESP Santiago Tarrio 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.24% -0.15%
93 RSA JC Ritchie 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.36% 0.85% 0.49% T24
94 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.36% 0.54% 0.18% T30
95 SWE Jens Dantorp 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.83% 0.52% MC
96 USA Paul Haley-II 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.69% 0.38% MC
97 ENG Todd Clements 250 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.58% 0.27% MC
98 USA Ryan Brehm 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.49% 0.18% T24
99 ENG James Morrison 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.47% 0.16% MC
100 USA Nick Watney 250 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.33% 0.02% MC
101 USA Stephen Stallings Jr 250 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.21% -0.1% MC
102 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 300 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.6% 0.34% MC
103 AUS Greg Chalmers 300 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.53% 0.28% 66
104 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 300 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.48% 0.22% MC
105 USA Tyson Alexander 400 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% T33
106 USA D.J. Trahan 400 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% MC
107 USA Ted Potter-jr 400 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.17% T52
108 USA Wesley Bryan 400 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% T24
109 FRA Alexander Levy 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.18% 0.69% 0.51% T9
110 USA Trevor Werbylo 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.18% 0.62% 0.44% MC
111 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.18% 0.61% 0.43% MC
112 FRA David Ravetto 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.18% 0.58% 0.4% T9
113 USA Brandon Matthews 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.18% 0.53% 0.35% MC
114 USA William McGirt 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.18% 0.45% 0.27% T30
115 USA Scott Brown 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.18% 0.44% 0.26% MC
116 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.18% 0.39% 0.21% MC
117 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.48% 0.32% MC
118 USA Brian Stuard 500 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.29% T33
119 USA Max McGreevy 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% T52
120 USA Bo Hoag 565 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.3/1) 0.18% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% T40
121 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 613 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.6/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.57% 0.44% MC
122 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 750 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.38% 0.28% MC
123 USA Derek Ernst 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% MC
124 AUS Troy Cox 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.13%
125 USA Robert Garrigus 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
126 USA Ricky Barnes 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.3% 0.21% MC
127 USA Ben Crane 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.26% 0.17% MC
128 ENG John Parry 806 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.1/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.39% 0.29% MC
129 POR Pedro Figueiredo 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.72% 0.64% MC
130 USA Tommy Gainey 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% T16
131 IND Manu Gandas 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.6% 0.53% MC
132 USA Kyle Stanley 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.5% 0.42% MC
133 USA Derek Lamely 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.47% 0.39% MC
134 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% T44
135 USA Wes Homan 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
136 CAN David Hearn 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
137 USA Jesse Mueller 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.24% 0.18% MC
138 USA J.J. Henry 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.24% 0.18% MC
139 USA D.A. Points 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.23% 0.17% MC
140 USA Kevin Stadler 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.26% 0.23% MC
141 JPN Ryuji Imada 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.24% 0.21%
142 USA Omar Uresti 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.23% 0.2% MC
143 USA Matt Every 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 RSA Thomas Aiken 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 ENG Brian Davis 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 USA Jeff Overton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% T40
148 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 SWE Richard S. Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 SWE Daniel Chopra 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% T44
152 USA Chip McDaniel 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 JPN Ryuji Imada 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T44
156 USA Chris Nido 0% 0% 0% 0% T30
157 USA Joshua Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 DEN Christoffer Bring 0% 0% 0% 0% T16
160 USA Maxwell Moldovan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 David Ford 0% 0% 0% 0% T58
162 Jesse Massie 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
163 Trey Cox 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 18.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 14.5% 19.2%
2 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 45.4% 19.8%
3 Coral 7 @ 1/5 45.4% 19.8%
4 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 50% 23.5%
5 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.4% 25.4%
6 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.4% 25.5%
7 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 65.4% 25.8%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 53.1% 26.1%
9 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 44.4% 27.2%
10 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 43.1% 28.5%
11 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 46.2% 28.8%
12 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 46.6% 29.2%
13 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 46.6% 29.2%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 44.4% 29.7%
15 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 46.6% 31.6%
16 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 46.6% 31.6%
17 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 32%
18 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 63% 34.2%
19 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 63% 34.2%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 35.2%
21 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 35.2%
22 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 60.1% 41.1%