Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 9.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 110.0

Total Profit: +9.9

Rocket Mortgage Classic

29/06/2023 - 02/07/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Rickie Fowler 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.15% 3.69% -1.47% 1
2 USA Tony Finau 14 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.15% 2.23% -2.92% CUT
3 USA Max Homa 16 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.55% 2.7% -1.84% T21
4 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 16 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.55% 1.94% -2.61% CUT
5 USA Collin Morikawa 18 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.07% 2.7% -1.37% T2
6 KOR Sungjae Im 18 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.07% 1.49% -2.58% T24
7 KOR Tom Kim 18 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.07% 1.46% -2.6% CUT
8 USA Justin Thomas 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.07% 1.32% -2.74% CUT
9 USA Keegan Bradley 25 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.97% 3.75% 0.78% T21 13.33
10 AUS Cameron Davis 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.27% 2.03% -0.24% T17
11 USA Brian Harman 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.68% 1.93% 0.25% T9 7.54
12 GER Stephan Jaeger 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.68% 1.02% -0.66% T9
13 USA Harris English 50 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.52% 2.41% 0.9% 6.8
14 SWE Ludvig Aberg 55 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.38% 0.59% -0.8% T40
15 CAN Adam Hadwin 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.27% 1.6% 0.33% T2 (tied w/2) 5.68 +36.9
16 USA Taylor Moore 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.27% 1.5% 0.23% T4 (tied w/3) 5.68 +36.9
17 AUT Sepp Straka 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.27% 1.36% 0.09% T64 5.68
18 USA Austin Eckroat 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.27% 1.25% -0.02% CUT
19 KOR Byeong Hun An 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.27% 1.04% -0.22% CUT
20 ENG Aaron Rai 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.27% 0.85% -0.41% T9
21 USA Alex Smalley 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.27% 0.8% -0.47% T47
22 USA Beau Hossler 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.27% 0.62% -0.65% CUT
23 USA Chris Kirk 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.57% 0.42% T14 5.18
24 USA Patrick Rodgers 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.98% -0.17%
25 USA J.J Spaun 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.3% 0.35% T33 4.28
26 USA Brandon Wu 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 1.14% 0.19% CUT 4.28
27 USA Lee Hodges 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.96% 0% CUT
28 USA Doug Ghim 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.69% -0.26% T33
29 Gordon Sargent 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.69% -0.27% CUT
30 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.85% 0.91% 0.06% T56 3.81
31 USA Mark Hubbard 95 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.04% 0.81% 1.09% 0.29% CUT 3.61
32 CAN Adam Svensson 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 1.39% 0.63% T40 3.44
33 USA Adam Schenk 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 1.25% 0.48% 7 3.44 +36.1
34 USA Joseph Bramlett 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.82% 0.06% CUT 3.44
35 BEL Thomas Detry 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.82% 0.06% CUT 3.44
36 USA Samuel Stevens 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.81% 0.04% T74 3.44
37 USA Brendon Todd 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.74% -0.03% T56
38 USA Ryan Palmer 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.5% -0.27% T33
39 CAN Taylor Pendrith 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.45% -0.32% T14
40 USA Tom Hoge 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.67% 1.1% 0.43% CUT 2.99
41 USA Davis Riley 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.67% 1.02% 0.35% T33 2.99
42 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.62% 0.68% 0.05% T21 2.8
43 USA Hayden Buckley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 1.05% 0.43% 2.75
44 ENG Harry Hall 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.75% 0.13% CUT 2.75
45 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.71% 0.09% T74 2.75
46 USA Luke List 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.55% -0.06%
47 USA Akshay Bhatia 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.44% -0.18% CUT
48 USA William Gordon 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.39% -0.22% T74
49 AUS Kevin Yuan 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.1% -0.51%
50 USA Chez Reavie 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.54% 1.1% 0.56% T29
51 USA Nick Hardy 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.54% 0.44% -0.09% CUT
52 USA Benjamin Griffin 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 1% 0.49% T33
53 USA Scott Stallings 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.94% 0.43% T56
54 USA Dylan Wu 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.87% 0.35% T24
55 USA Carson Young 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.81% 0.29% T52
56 USA Sam Bennett 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.8% 0.28% T29
57 USA Ben Martin 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.54% 0.03% CUT
58 USA Matthew NeSmith 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.54% 0.03% CUT
59 ENG Matt Wallace 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.47% -0.05% T78
60 USA Cameron Champ 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.19% -0.32% CUT
61 SWE Alexander Noren 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.5% 0.93% 0.43% T9
62 TPE C.T. Pan 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.47% 0.97% 0.49%
63 SWE Vincent Norrman 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.4% -0.04% T24
64 USA Nate Lashley 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.42% 0.86% 0.43% T56
65 USA Zac Blair 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.78% 0.39% CUT
66 USA David Lipsky 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.73% 0.34% CUT
67 RSA Garrick Higgo 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.51% 0.12% T33
68 ENG Danny Willett 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.42% 0.04% T74
69 ENG Callum Tarren 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.42% 0.03% T29
70 USA Greyson Sigg 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.34% -0.05% T56
71 USA Webb Simpson 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.31% 0.37% 0.06% CUT
72 USA Davis Thompson 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 1.33% 1.02% T24
73 USA Patton Kizzire 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.47% 0.16% CUT
74 USA Andrew Novak 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.41% 0.11% CUT
75 USA Robby Shelton 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.41% 0.1% T70
76 USA Joel Dahmen 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.27% -0.04% CUT
77 USA Troy Merritt 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.1% -0.2% T17
78 USA Chad Ramey 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.67% 0.41% T17
79 RSA MJ Daffue 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.51% 0.26% T24
80 USA Charley Hoffman 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.16% T64
81 USA Tyler Duncan 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.37% 0.11% T47
82 USA Chesson Hadley 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.32% 0.06% T33
83 USA Justin Lower 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.3% 0.05% 8
84 USA Trey Mullinax 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.29% 0.03% CUT
85 USA Harrison Endycott 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.27% 0.01% CUT
86 USA Sam Ryder 316 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46/1) 0.32% 0.24% 0.42% 0.17% T40
87 USA Ryan Gerard 393 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.9/1) 0.25% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% T56
88 ENG Luke Donald 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.54% 0.35% T52
89 ENG Benjamin Taylor 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.51% 0.32% CUT
90 SWE Henrik Norlander 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.15% T81
91 USA Adam Long 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% CUT
92 USA Brice Garnett 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.24% 0.05% T47
93 USA James Hahn 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.24% 0.05% CUT
94 USA Vincent Whaley 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.24% 0.05% T40
95 USA Kevin Tway 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.16% 0.53% 0.37% T47
96 AUS Aaron Baddeley 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.16% 0.43% 0.27% CUT
97 USA Austin Smotherman 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.43% 0.28% CUT
98 USA Lanto Griffin 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.08% CUT
99 USA Harry Higgs 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.15% 0.53% 0.37% T52
100 USA Lucas Glover 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% T4
101 SWE David Lingmerth 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.33% CUT
102 COL Nicolas Echavarria 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% CUT
103 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% T40
104 USA Brandon Matthews 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.07%
105 USA Robert Streb 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.13% -0.02% T56
106 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.24% 0.1% T14
107 USA Zach Johnson 537 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% T70
108 USA Scott Piercy 537 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.14% 0.33% 0.19%
109 USA Jimmy Walker 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.13% 0.68% 0.54% CUT
110 USA Doc Redman 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.13% 0.23% 0.1% CUT
111 USA Peter Malnati 595 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73/1) 0.17% 0.13% 0.7% 0.57% T9
112 RSA Erik van Rooyen 595 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73/1) 0.17% 0.13% 0.5% 0.37% CUT
113 USA Trevor Cone 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.21% 0.08% T40
114 USA Martin Trainer 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.21% 0.08% CUT
115 USA Kyle Westmoreland 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.18% 0.05% T78
116 USA Kevin Roy 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.17% 0.04% CUT
117 USA Kramer Hickok 623 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.5/1) 0.16% 0.12% 0.43% 0.31% CUT
118 ARG Augusto Nunez 671 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.7/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.38% 0.26% CUT
119 USA Jonathan Byrd 691 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.4/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.42% 0.31% CUT
120 USA Paul Haley-II 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% T83
121 USA Ryan Brehm 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.19% T81
122 USA Kelly Kraft 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.14% T40
123 CAN Michael Gligic 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% CUT
124 USA Scott Harrington 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.09% CUT
125 USA Jason Dufner 750 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.09% CUT
126 USA Tyson Alexander 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.08% CUT
127 AUS Aldrich Potgieter 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.03% CUT
128 RSA Dylan Frittelli 815 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.9/1) 0.12% 0.09% 0.27% 0.17% CUT
129 AUT Matthias Schwab 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T83
130 SCO Russell Knox 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% T47
131 USA Brandt Snedeker 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.2% CUT
132 USA Brent Grant 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% CUT
133 AUS Cameron Percy 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% CUT
134 USA Ryan Armour 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% CUT
135 SCO Martin Laird 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% T70
136 USA Austin Cook 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% CUT
137 USA Ryan Moore 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% T64
138 USA Richy Werenski 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% CUT
139 USA Hank Lebioda 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% T64
140 USA Trevor Werbylo 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.21% CUT
141 USA Andrew Landry 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% T64
142 USA Chase Johnson 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.1% 0.02% T64
143 USA Brian Stuard 1500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.2% 0.15% CUT
144 USA Nick Watney 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.23% 0.19% T56
145 USA Max McGreevy 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.17% 0.13% CUT
146 USA Chad Collins 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.1% 0.07% CUT
147 KOR Seungyul Noh 0% 0% 0% 0% T70
148 USA Chris Stroud 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
149 USA Kyle Stanley 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
150 USA Kyle Reifers 0% 0% 0% 0% T52
151 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
152 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
153 USA Brett Stegmaier 0% 0% 0% 0% T29
154 USA Cody Gribble 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
155 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T78
156 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% T17
157 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
158 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
159 USA Peter Kuest 0% 0% 0% 0% T4
160 USA Andy Spencer 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
161 Ross Steelman 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
162 Kyle Martin(July1984) 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 9.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 47.5% 12.4%
2 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 70.9% 13.2%
3 Coral 10 @ 1/5 70.9% 13.2%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 51.1% 15.2%
5 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 13.6% 15.3%
6 VBet 8 @ 1/5 57.6% 20.2%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 62.3% 23.7%
8 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 62.3% 23.7%
9 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45.6% 28.5%
10 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56.6% 29.2%
11 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 49.3% 31.7%
12 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 50.4% 32.7%
13 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 50.4% 32.7%
14 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 61.7% 33.4%
15 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 52.3% 34.4%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 50% 34.8%
17 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 53.1% 35.1%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54.9% 39.2%
19 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 54.9% 39.2%
20 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 55.6% 39.9%
21 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 55.6% 39.9%