Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 13.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

Charles Schwab Challenge

25/05/2023 - 28/05/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 4.6 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 1.7/1) 17.86% 14.45% 4.68% -9.78% T3
2 NOR Viktor Hovland 14 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.4% 2.62% -2.78% T16
3 USA Tony Finau 14 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.4% 2.45% -2.95% MC
4 USA Jordan Spieth 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.4% 1.95% -3.44% MC
5 USA Max Homa 20 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.85% 2.49% -1.37% T9
6 USA Collin Morikawa 20 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.7/1) 4.76% 3.85% 2.19% -1.66% T29
7 KOR Sungjae Im 22 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.52% 2.81% -0.71% MC
8 USA Rickie Fowler 25 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.11% 1.96% -1.16% T6
9 ENG Justin Rose 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.79% 2.46% -0.33% T12
10 USA Sam Burns 28 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.79% 2.03% -0.76% T6
11 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 33 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.38% 1.6% -0.78% MC
12 AUS Cameron Davis 35 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.25% 2.61% 0.36% MC 9.83
13 USA Chris Kirk 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.97% 1.78% -0.19% MC 8.64
14 USA Russell Henley 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.97% 1.63% -0.34% T16
15 KOR Siwoo Kim 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.53% 1.91% 0.38% T29 6.68
16 USA Kurt Kitayama 60 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.33% 1.73% 0.41% T29 5.81
17 USA Denny McCarthy 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.33% 1.69% 0.36% MC 5.81
18 USA Brian Harman 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.97% -0.24% T29 5.29
19 GER Stephan Jaeger 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.88% -0.32% T68
20 USA Taylor Moore 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 1.42% 0.42% MC 4.37
21 CAN Adam Svensson 80 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 1.4% 0.4% 4.37
22 USA JT Poston 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.81% -0.19% MC 4.37
23 USA Brendon Todd 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.65% -0.35% T57
24 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 80 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.63% -0.37% T21
25 AUS Minwoo Lee 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.84% 1.97% 1.13% T40 3.69
26 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.84% 0.99% 0.15% T57 3.69
27 CAN Nick Taylor 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 1.64% 0.83% MC 3.51
28 USA Harris English 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 1.42% 0.62% T12 3.51
29 USA Hayden Buckley 100 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.91% 0.11% MC 3.51
30 USA Eric Cole 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.87% 0.07% MC 3.51
31 USA Beau Hossler 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.6% -0.2% T70 3.51
32 USA Alex Smalley 100 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.41% -0.39% T40
33 AUS Lucas Herbert 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.7% 1.7% 1% MC 3.06
34 NZL Ryan Fox 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.65% 1.44% 0.79% T21 2.86
35 USA Tom Hoge 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.65% 1.02% 0.37% T52 2.86
36 AUT Sepp Straka 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.27% 0.63% T29 2.81
37 USA Andrew Putnam 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.06% 0.41% T29 2.81
38 ENG Aaron Rai 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.52% -0.12% T12 2.81
39 USA Ryan Palmer 125 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.42% -0.22% MC 2.81
40 ARG Emiliano Grillo 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.6% 0.66% 0.06% 1
41 USA Matthew NeSmith 140 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.71% 0.57% 0.47% -0.11% T48
42 USA J.J Spaun 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.49% 1.71% 1.22% T63
43 USA Patrick Rodgers 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.49% 0.82% 0.33% T57
44 KOR Byeong Hun An 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.47% 0.94% 0.47% T21
45 USA Benjamin Griffin 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 1.37% 0.91% T52
46 USA Davis Riley 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.42% 0.89% 0.47% MC
47 USA Ben Martin 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.73% 0.33% T57
48 USA Scott Stallings 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.63% 0.23% MC
49 USA Mark Hubbard 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.49% 0.08% T9
50 USA Austin Eckroat 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.38% -0.03% T16
51 USA Samuel Stevens 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.38% 0.87% 0.49% T29
52 BEL Thomas Detry 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.37% 0.6% 0.23% T21
53 USA Maverick McNealy 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.35% 0.77% 0.41% T52
54 USA Joseph Bramlett 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.35% 0.64% 0.29% MC
55 USA Patton Kizzire 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.57% 0.25% T48
56 USA Lee Hodges 250 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.48% 0.16% T29
57 USA Joel Dahmen 250 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.35% 0.03% T68
58 USA Billy Horschel 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.8% 0.49% T40
59 USA Akshay Bhatia 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.3% 0.49% 0.19% 56
60 SWE Alexander Noren 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.27% 0.74% 0.47% T29
61 SWE Vincent Norrman 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.27% 0.37% 0.1% T48
62 USA Chez Reavie 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.62% 0.35% T40
63 USA Zach Johnson 300 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.54% 0.27% MC
64 USA Carson Young 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.53% 0.26% T21
65 USA Kevin Tway 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.44% 0.17% MC
66 USA Tyler Duncan 300 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.41% 0.14% MC
67 USA Greyson Sigg 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.38% 0.11% MC
68 USA Scott Piercy 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.32% 0.05% T40
69 USA William Gordon 307 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.26% -0.01% T52
70 USA Nate Lashley 316 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.65% 0.4% MC
71 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.24% 0.55% 0.31% MC
72 ENG Matt Wallace 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.23% 0.74% 0.5% MC
73 USA Adam Schenk 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.23% 0.64% 0.41% 2
74 USA Dylan Wu 355 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.1/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.64% 0.41% MC
75 USA Robby Shelton 355 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.1/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.41% 0.18% T29
76 RSA Garrick Higgo 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.22% 0.42% 0.19% MC
77 ENG Danny Willett 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.22% 0.38% 0.16% MC
78 USA Michael Kim 373 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.9/1) 0.27% 0.22% 0.57% 0.35% T6
79 RSA Erik van Rooyen 400 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% MC
80 SWE David Lingmerth 400 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.33% 0.12% MC
81 USA Jimmy Walker 403 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.9/1) 0.25% 0.2% 0.57% 0.37% T40
82 USA Luke List 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% T57
83 USA Kevin Streelman 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% T9
84 USA Cameron Champ 431 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.7/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.18% -0.01% T63
85 USA Sam Ryder 441 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.7/1) 0.23% 0.18% 0.85% 0.67% MC
86 USA Nick Hardy 460 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60.5/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.41% 0.23% T48
87 USA Chad Ramey 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.5% 0.34% T12
88 USA Kevin Kisner 500 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.55% 0.39% MC
89 USA Cody Gribble 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.14% T63
90 USA Justin Lower 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.22% 0.06% T57
91 ENG Luke Donald 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.22% 0.06% T40
92 USA Troy Merritt 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.12% -0.05% MC
93 USA Andrew Novak 517 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.5% 0.34% T40
94 USA Pierceson Coody 547 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
95 USA Adam Long 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.55% 0.41% MC
96 AUS Aaron Baddeley 585 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.1/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.54% 0.4% T21
97 USA Austin Smotherman 595 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.22% 0.09% T21
98 USA David Lipsky 604 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.8/1) 0.17% 0.13% 0.36% 0.22% T16
99 ENG Callum Tarren 613 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.6/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% MC
100 RSA MJ Daffue 623 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.5/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.47% 0.34% MC
101 ENG Harry Hall 623 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.5/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.35% 0.22% T3
102 ENG Benjamin Taylor 662 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.9/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.5% 0.38% MC
103 SWE Henrik Norlander 719 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.8/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% MC
104 USA Kramer Hickok 739 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.5/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.35% 0.24% T21
105 USA Michael Block 748 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.3/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.67% 0.56%
106 USA Harry Higgs 806 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.1/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.31% 0.21%
107 USA Peter Malnati 863 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 95.8/1) 0.12% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% T29
108 SCO Russell Knox 902 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% 72
109 USA Richy Werenski 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.5% 0.41% MC
110 RSA Dylan Frittelli 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.44% 0.35% MC
111 USA Zac Blair 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.25% MC
112 USA Harrison Endycott 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.08% MC
113 USA Cole Hammer 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.07% MC
114 SVK Rory Sabbatini 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
115 USA Tyson Alexander 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
116 USA Erik Compton 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% T63
117 USA Paul Haley-II 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.08% 5
118 USA Kyle Westmoreland 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.19% 0.14% MC
119 AUT Matthias Schwab 0% 0% 0% 0% T70
120 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T16
121 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% T63

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 13.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 51.3% 15.6%
2 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 52.2% 16%
3 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 56.2% 19.3%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 58% 20.5%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 58% 20.5%
6 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 81.7% 20.6%
7 Coral 10 @ 1/5 81.7% 20.6%
8 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 48.8% 22.8%
9 VBet 8 @ 1/5 65.9% 26.6%
10 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 47.6% 30.3%
11 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 47.7% 30.3%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.2% 30.8%
13 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 48.6% 31.2%
14 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 48.6% 31.2%
15 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 50.8% 33.1%
16 Betway 7 @ 1/5 62.2% 33.9%
17 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 76.1% 34.5%
18 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 55.9% 37.6%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 53.8% 38.2%
20 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 53.8% 38.2%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 55.1% 39.2%
22 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 62% 45.4%