Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 4.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 14.3

Total Profit: -85.8

AT&T Byron Nelson

11/05/2023 - 14/05/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 3.5 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 1.4/1) 22.22% 18.74% 5.31% -13.43% T5
2 AUS Jason Day 14 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.62% 2.2% -3.43% 1
3 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 15.4 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 3.9/1) 6.1% 5.14% 3.85% -1.3% T5
4 KOR Tom Kim 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.44% 1.8% -2.64% T34
5 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 22 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.67% 2.91% -0.76% T23
6 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.67% 1.6% -2.07% T50
7 USA Matt Kuchar 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.91% 2.88% -0.03% T43 13.22
8 AUS Adam Scott 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.48% 2.35% -0.13% T8 (tied w/3) 11.28 +14.3
9 KOR Siwoo Kim 33 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.48% 2.04% -0.44% T2
10 USA J.J Spaun 40 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.06% 1.9% -0.16% 9.35
11 IRL Seamus Power 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.06% 1.78% -0.28% T19
12 USA Davis Riley 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.83% 0.95% -0.88% MC
13 USA Brandon Wu 50 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.65% 0.97% -0.68% T23
14 USA Taylor Montgomery 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.59% 2.34% 0.75% T50 7.24
15 USA Tom Hoge 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.51% 1.46% -0.05% T43 6.85
16 AUS Minwoo Lee 57 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.7/1) 1.72% 1.45% 2.63% 1.18% MC 6.61
17 USA Michael Kim 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.38% 0.98% -0.4% MC
18 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.38% 0.78% -0.6% T23
19 USA Joseph Bramlett 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.38% 0.55% -0.83% T19
20 KOR Byeong Hun An 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.26% 1.06% -0.2% T14
21 USA Adam Schenk 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.26% 0.95% -0.31% MC
22 USA Eric Cole 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.26% 0.82% -0.43% T23
23 CAN Adam Hadwin 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.24% 1.26% 0.02% T34 5.64
24 USA Benjamin Griffin 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.19% 2.04% 0.85% MC 5.4
25 USA Scott Stallings 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.19% 1.34% 0.15% MC 5.4
26 USA Mark Hubbard 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.19% 0.86% -0.32%
27 USA Samuel Stevens 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.19% 0.85% -0.33% T34
28 USA Maverick McNealy 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.04% 2.51% 1.47% MC 4.74
29 ENG Aaron Rai 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.04% 0.5% -0.54% MC
30 USA Aaron Wise 90 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.2/1) 1.1% 0.93% 1.12% 0.19% T50 4.22
31 USA Dylan Wu 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 0.85% 0.01% MC 3.8
32 USA Nate Lashley 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 0.75% -0.08% T23 3.8
33 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.73% 0.63% -0.09% T50 3.31
34 USA Alex Smalley 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.68% 1.34% 0.66% 3.1
35 USA William Gordon 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.68% 0.65% -0.03% T70 3.1
36 USA Jimmy Walker 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.79% 0.12% T74 3.05
37 USA Mackenzie Hughes 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.55% 0.98% 0.43% T14
38 RSA Garrick Higgo 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.46% 0.74% 0.27% T30
39 USA Davis Thompson 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.44% 1.6% 1.16% T70
40 USA Matthew NeSmith 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.44% 0.47% 0.03% T30
41 USA Ryan Palmer 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.4% 0.45% 0.06% T8
42 SWE Vincent Norrman 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.4% 0.43% 0.03% T8
43 USA Robby Shelton 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.38% 0.65% 0.26% T43
44 USA Luke List 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.38% 0.49% 0.11% T34
45 ENG Harry Hall 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.71% 0.36% T83
46 USA Cameron Champ 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.47% 0.12% T50
47 USA Trey Mullinax 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.34% 0.48% 0.14% MC
48 USA Austin Smotherman 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.31% 0.59% 0.28% MC
49 USA Tyler Duncan 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.29% 0.66% 0.37% MC
50 USA Patton Kizzire 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.29% 0.62% 0.33% T30
51 USA David Lipsky 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.29% 0.54% 0.24% MC
52 RSA MJ Daffue 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.28% 0.89% 0.6% MC
53 USA Charley Hoffman 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.49% 0.24% MC
54 USA Doug Ghim 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.24% 0.35% 0.11% T19
55 USA Chad Ramey 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.45% 0.21% T50
56 RSA Erik van Rooyen 355 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.1/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.63% 0.39% MC
57 USA Austin Eckroat 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.23% 0.42% 0.19% T2
58 USA Greyson Sigg 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.23% 0.34% 0.11% MC
59 USA Kramer Hickok 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.23% 0.25% 0.02% MC
60 USA Kevin Tway 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% T11
61 USA Pierceson Coody 412 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.8/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% MC
62 USA Troy Merritt 431 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.7/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.16% -0.03% MC
63 USA Andrew Novak 441 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.7/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% T67
64 USA Scott Piercy 451 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T19
65 USA Carson Young 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.69% 0.51% T14
66 USA Vincent Whaley 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.13% -0.04% T79
67 USA Trevor Werbylo 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.58% 0.41% MC
68 USA Jim Herman 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.38% 0.21% T70
69 USA Paul Haley-II 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.35% 0.19% MC
70 USA Kyle Westmoreland 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.32% 0.15% MC
71 USA Bill Haas 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.29% 0.12% T74
72 USA Jason Dufner 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.28% 0.11% MC
73 USA Jonathan Byrd 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.27% 0.1% T43
74 USA Adam Long 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.59% 0.43% T50
75 USA James Hahn 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.41% 0.25% T50
76 USA Harry Higgs 537 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.51% 0.35% MC
77 USA Chesson Hadley 537 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.41% 0.25% MC
78 USA Ryan Gerard 565 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.3/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.71% 0.56% MC
79 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 565 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.3/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
80 USA Robert Streb 565 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.3/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% T67
81 USA Kevin Chappell 585 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.1/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.93% 0.79% MC
82 USA Doc Redman 585 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.1/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% T30
83 USA Scott Harrington 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% T50
84 USA Trevor Cone 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% T23
85 USA Scott Brown 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% MC
86 USA Lucas Glover 613 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.6/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.37% 0.24% T79
87 USA Stewart Cink 623 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.5/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.47% 0.33% T34
88 ARG Augusto Nunez 633 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.4/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.51% 0.38% T34
89 AUS David Micheluzzi 643 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.3/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.9% 0.77% T67
90 AUS Aaron Baddeley 643 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.3/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.67% 0.54% T23
91 KOR Seungyul Noh 643 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.3/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.35% 0.22% T74
92 USA Zac Blair 671 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.7/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.45% 0.33%
93 TPE C.T. Pan 671 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.7/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.14% 0.01% 4
94 SWE Henrik Norlander 700 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 82.2/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.38% 0.26% T34
95 RSA Dylan Frittelli 719 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.8/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.49% 0.37% MC
96 USA Kevin Roy 719 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.8/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.42% 0.31% MC
97 AUT Matthias Schwab 719 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.8/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.41% 0.29% MC
98 USA Justin Lower 729 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.7/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.29% 0.18% T43
99 USA Brice Garnett 739 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.5/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.38% 0.26% T77
100 KOR Sangmoon Bae 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.27% 0.16% T43
101 AUS Greg Chalmers 750 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.27% 0.16% T70
102 USA William McGirt 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.26% 0.14% T64
103 USA Grayson Murray 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.2% 0.09% MC
104 ARG Fabian Gomez 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.17% 0.06% T77
105 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 767 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.9/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19% T43
106 USA Hank Lebioda 787 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.6/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.21% 0.1%
107 USA Ryan Moore 796 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.3/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.35% 0.25% MC
108 USA Ryan Brehm 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.37% 0.26% T64
109 USA Andrew Landry 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.22% 0.11% MC
110 SCO Martin Laird 854 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 95.1/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% T34
111 USA Sean O'Hair 863 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 95.8/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% T50
112 AUS Cameron Percy 892 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.49% 0.39% MC
113 USA Cody Gribble 940 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.54% 0.46% MC
114 USA Harrison Endycott 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.62% 0.53% T50
115 USA Chris Stroud 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.51% 0.42% T50
116 USA Ryan Armour 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.5% 0.41% T50
117 CAN Michael Gligic 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.35% 0.26% MC
118 SCO Russell Knox 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.25% MC
119 USA Brandon Matthews 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% MC
120 USA Austin Cook 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% MC
121 USA Richy Werenski 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.22% T11
122 USA Brent Grant 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% T83
123 USA Martin Trainer 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.2% MC
124 USA Tyson Alexander 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% MC
125 CAN Roger Sloan 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.05% T79
126 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.44% 0.36% MC
127 SWE Jonas Blixt 1000 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.22% MC
128 USA Kelly Kraft 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T79
129 USA Brian Stuard 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
130 KOR Sunghoon Kang 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% T14
131 USA Derek Ernst 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.14% MC
132 USA Nick Watney 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
133 USA Peter Kuest 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.06% T14
134 USA Parker Coody 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% T64
135 USA Wesley Bryan 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.05% MC
136 USA Ricky Barnes 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.72% 0.67% MC
137 USA Derek Lamely 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.37% 0.31%
138 USA Max McGreevy 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.2% 0.14% MC
139 USA Ben Crane 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.13% 0.09% MC
140 USA D.A. Points 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.25% 0.21% MC
141 USA Bo Van Pelt 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.15% 0.12% MC
142 USA Kevin Stadler 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 USA Robert Garrigus 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA Kyle Stanley 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 USA Tommy Gainey 0% 0% 0% 0% T34
147 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% T50
148 USA D.J. Trahan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 GER Stephan Jaeger 0% 0% 0% 0% T11
150 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% T5
152 USA Jeffrey Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 USA George McNeill 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Bobby Massa 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA J.J. Killeen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Logan McCracken 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 USA McClure Meissner 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 Taylor Bibbs 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 William Knauth 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 4.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 9.1% 5.5%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 47.9% 13.5%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 52.5% 17.1%
4 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 75.2% 17.1%
5 Coral 10 @ 1/5 75.2% 17.1%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 60.9% 23.5%
7 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 60.9% 23.5%
8 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 47.2% 30.3%
9 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.5% 31.4%
10 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 49% 31.9%
11 Betway 7 @ 1/5 59.3% 32.1%
12 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34%
13 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 52.7% 35.2%
14 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 52.7% 35.2%
15 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 53.9% 36.3%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 37.5%
17 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 37.5%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 53.5% 38.4%
19 VBet 5 @ 1/4 58.2% 40%
20 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 56.5% 41.2%
21 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 86.8% 43.4%
22 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 63% 46.9%
23 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 66.1% 49.7%