Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 20.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 116.6

Total Profit: +16.4

Mexico Open

27/04/2023 - 30/04/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 2.6 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 1.1/1) 27.78% 21.41% 12.16% -9.25% 2
2 USA Tony Finau 8 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 11.11% 8.57% 5.39% -3.17% 1
3 USA Wyndham Clark 16 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.53% 3.12% -1.42% T24
4 USA Gary Woodland 22 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.35% 2.72% -0.63% T39
5 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 25 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.97% 1.1% -1.87% T33
6 USA Patrick Rodgers 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.49% 0.99% -1.49% T10
7 KOR Byeong Hun An 33 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.27% 1.15% -1.12% T33
8 USA Maverick McNealy 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 2.87% 0.99% T60 8.36
9 USA Beau Hossler 40 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.88% 0.83% -1.05% T10
10 SWE Alexander Noren 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.68% 1.65% -0.02% MC 7.45
11 USA Alex Smalley 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.68% 0.97% -0.71% MC
12 ENG Aaron Rai 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 1.01% -0.51% MC
13 ARG Emiliano Grillo 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 0.7% -0.81% T5
14 CAN Taylor Pendrith 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.51% 0.66% -0.85% T30
15 GER Stephan Jaeger 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.38% 1.02% -0.36% T18 6.12
16 USA Lee Hodges 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 1.08% -0.18% 73 5.62
17 USA William Gordon 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 0.89% -0.37% T24 5.62
18 RSA Garrick Higgo 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.26% 0.85% -0.41% MC
19 USA Ben Martin 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.54% 0.39% T46 5.12
20 USA Brandon Wu 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.15% 1.4% 0.25% 3 5.12 +44.8
21 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.17% 0.02% T24 5.12
22 ENG Matt Wallace 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 1.11% -0.04% MC 5.12
23 ENG Harry Hall 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.15% 0.57% -0.58% T10
24 USA Andrew Putnam 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.09% 2.3% 1.21% T24 4.83
25 USA Robby Shelton 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.09% 0.94% -0.15% MC 4.83
26 USA Luke List 70 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.09% 0.9% -0.18% MC 4.83
27 USA Joseph Bramlett 70 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.09% 0.59% -0.5% T10
28 USA Eric Cole 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.97% 0.02% T5 (tied w/3) 4.23 +36
29 RSA MJ Daffue 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.95% 0.69% -0.26% MC 4.23
30 USA Nate Lashley 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.85% 1.18% 0.33% T39 3.77
31 USA Akshay Bhatia 90 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.85% 0.95% 0.1% 4 3.77 +35.8
32 USA David Lipsky 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.85% 0.6% -0.24% T60 3.77
33 SWE Vincent Norrman 90 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.85% 0.33% -0.52% T18
34 USA Patton Kizzire 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 1.13% 0.37% MC 3.4
35 USA Chez Reavie 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.12% 0.35% T49 3.4
36 USA Andrew Novak 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.88% 0.27% T49 2.72
37 USA Kevin Streelman 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.46% -0.15% MC 2.72
38 ITA Francesco Molinari 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.78% 0.27% T24
39 USA Harry Higgs 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.71% 0.2% MC
40 RSA Erik van Rooyen 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.7% 0.18% T33
41 USA Scott Piercy 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.66% 0.15% T39
42 ENG Callum Tarren 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.64% 0.13% MC
43 USA Greyson Sigg 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.58% 0.07% T18
44 USA Cameron Champ 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.25% -0.26% T8
45 USA Kevin Tway 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.67% 0.23% MC
46 USA Mark Hubbard 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.42% 0.77% 0.35% T18
47 ENG Benjamin Taylor 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 1.15% 0.76% T8
48 USA Ryan Gerard 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.79% 0.4% T33
49 USA Adam Long 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.7% 0.32% T18
50 RSA Dylan Frittelli 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.68% 0.3% MC
51 KOR Seungyul Noh 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.54% 0.16% T46
52 USA Austin Smotherman 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.49% 0.1% T5
53 USA Brent Grant 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.46% 0.07% MC
54 SWE Henrik Norlander 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.36% -0.02% MC
55 USA Martin Trainer 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.31% -0.07% MC
56 ARG Alejandro Tosti 200 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.16% -0.22% T10
57 USA Dylan Wu 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.38% 0.98% 0.6% T15
58 USA Lanto Griffin 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.38% 0.85% 0.47% T66
59 USA Peter Malnati 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.35% 0.92% 0.57% MC
60 USA Michael Kim 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.34% 0.6% 0.27% T30
61 USA Charley Hoffman 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.34% 0.56% 0.22% T55
62 USA Austin Eckroat 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.31% 0.45% 0.14% T49
63 USA Doc Redman 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.73% 0.42% MC
64 USA Brandon Matthews 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.34% 0.03% MC
65 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.3% 0.41% 0.11% T55
66 USA Jimmy Walker 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.29% 0.58% 0.3% T15
67 USA James Hahn 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.48% 0.23% T49
68 ARG Augusto Nunez 307 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45/1) 0.32% 0.25% 0.49% 0.24% 69
69 USA Doug Ghim 307 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45/1) 0.32% 0.25% 0.47% 0.21% MC
70 USA Kevin Chappell 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.22% 0.62% 0.4% T24
71 USA Sean O'Hair 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.22% 0.33% 0.11% MC
72 USA Austin Cook 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.43% 0.21% T39
73 AUT Matthias Schwab 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.21% 0.7% 0.49% MC
74 USA Lucas Glover 383 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.9/1) 0.26% 0.2% 0.69% 0.49% MC
75 AUS Aaron Baddeley 393 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.9/1) 0.25% 0.2% 0.53% 0.34% T39
76 USA Kyle Westmoreland 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.49% 0.3% MC
77 USA Trevor Werbylo 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.44% 0.24% T30
78 USA Trevor Cone 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T70
79 KOR Sunghoon Kang 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.19% 0% MC
80 USA Ryan Brehm 450 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.22% 0.17% 0.47% 0.3%
81 COL Nicolas Echavarria 460 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60.5/1) 0.22% 0.17% 0.62% 0.45% T66
82 USA Hank Lebioda 460 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60.5/1) 0.22% 0.17% 0.23% 0.06% MC
83 USA Grayson Murray 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.21% MC
84 USA Scott Harrington 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.09% MC
85 USA Nick Watney 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.08% MC
86 ARG Fabian Gomez 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
87 CAN Michael Gligic 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.05% T39
88 USA Chris Stroud 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.71% 0.56% MC
89 AUS Cameron Percy 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% T60
90 SCO Martin Laird 537 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.14% 0.59% 0.45% MC
91 USA Carson Young 556 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.5/1) 0.18% 0.14% 0.4% 0.26% T15
92 USA Kevin Roy 556 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.5/1) 0.18% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% T18
93 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 585 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.1/1) 0.17% 0.13% 0.43% 0.3% T49
94 USA Richy Werenski 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% T46
95 USA Brice Garnett 613 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.6/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.53% 0.4% T33
96 USA Harrison Endycott 633 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.4/1) 0.16% 0.12% 0.43% 0.31% MC
97 USA Cody Gribble 643 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.3/1) 0.16% 0.12% 0.68% 0.56% T55
98 USA Tyson Alexander 652 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.1/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.75% 0.64% MC
99 USA Ryan Armour 710 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.1/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.58% 0.47% MC
100 USA Ryan Moore 729 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.7/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.41% 0.3% T33
101 USA Paul Haley-II 748 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.3/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.43% 0.33% MC
102 SWE Jonas Blixt 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 72
103 USA Wesley Bryan 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.22% MC
104 USA J.B. Holmes 750 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.18% MC
105 AUS Greg Chalmers 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
106 COL Camilo Villegas 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.16% 0.06% MC
107 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.16% 0.06% MC
108 USA Jonathan Byrd 815 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.9/1) 0.12% 0.09% 0.25% 0.15% T55
109 USA Ricky Barnes 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.5% 0.42% MC
110 USA Bill Haas 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T70
111 USA William McGirt 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
112 USA Kelly Kraft 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
113 USA Brian Stuard 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
114 USA Scott Brown 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
115 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.47% 0.4% T39
116 USA Derek Ernst 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% T60
117 USA Kyle Stanley 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
118 USA Max McGreevy 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
119 USA D.J. Trahan 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
120 USA Kyle Reifers 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.08% MC
121 USA Derek Lamely 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.71% 0.65% T66
122 USA George McNeill 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.25% 0.21% MC
123 Mateo Fernandez de Oliveira 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.14% MC
124 MEX Alvaro Ortiz Becerra 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.16% 0.12% MC
125 USA D.A. Points 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.35% 0.32% MC
126 IND Arjun Atwal 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.19% 0.16% MC
127 USA Boo Weekley 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.17% 0.14% MC
128 MEX Sebastian Vazquez 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.16% 0.13% T55
129 USA Zachary Bauchou 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.16% 0.13% MC
130 USA Ben Crane 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.14% 0.11% MC
131 ENG Brian Davis 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.16% 0.15% MC
132 MEX Jose Cristobal Islas 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.16% 0.15% MC
133 USA Kevin Stadler 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.14% 0.13%
134 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 USA Tommy Gainey 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% T60
137 SWE Richard S. Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 GUA Jose Toledo 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% T49
140 CHI Cristobal Del Solar 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 MEX Raul Pereda De La Huerta 0% 0% 0% 0% T60
143 Omar Morales 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 Roberto Lebrija 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 20.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 45.3% 11.9%
2 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 82.6% 22.9%
3 Coral 10 @ 1/5 82.6% 22.9%
4 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 40.9% 24.9%
5 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 42.9% 26.6%
6 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 42.9% 26.6%
7 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 43.5% 27.2%
8 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 44.1% 27.8%
9 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 45.1% 30.9%
10 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 70.8% 31.4%
11 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 70.9% 31.5%
12 Betway 7 @ 1/5 58.6% 31.7%
13 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 50.4% 33.3%
14 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 73.8% 33.8%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 35.4%
16 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 35.4%
17 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 58.3% 42.9%
18 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 61.9% 43.6%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 59.7% 44.1%
20 VBet 5 @ 1/4 62.7% 44.3%
21 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 60.2% 44.5%
22 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 63.8% 47.7%