Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 12.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 54.2

Total Profit: -45.9

RBC Heritage

13/04/2023 - 16/04/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 9 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 2.7/1) 10% 7.95% 3.7% -4.25% T11
2 ESP Jon Rahm 9.6 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 2.8/1) 9.43% 7.5% 2.91% -4.59% T15
3 USA Patrick Cantlay 12 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 7.69% 6.11% 1.34% -4.77% 3
4 USA Collin Morikawa 16 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 5.88% 4.68% 1.28% -3.4% T31
5 USA Cameron Young 18 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 5.26% 4.18% 1.56% -2.62% T51
6 USA Jordan Spieth 24 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.3/1) 4% 3.18% 1.2% -1.98% 2
7 USA Xander Schauffele 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.06% 1.62% -1.44% 4
8 NOR Viktor Hovland 25 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.06% 1.31% -1.75% T59
9 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 25 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 3.85% 3.06% 1.03% -2.03% 1
10 USA Max Homa 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.74% 1.6% -1.14% MC
11 KOR Sungjae Im 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.74% 1.4% -1.34% T7
12 USA Justin Thomas 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.74% 1.08% -1.66% T25
13 IRL Shane Lowry 28 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 3.45% 2.74% 0.92% -1.82% T67
14 USA Tony Finau 35 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.9/1) 2.78% 2.21% 2.08% -0.13% T31 9.54
15 USA Sam Burns 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.94% 1.53% -0.41% T15 8.37
16 KOR Tom Kim 40 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.94% 1.08% -0.86% MC 8.37
17 USA Matt Kuchar 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.56% 1.42% -0.13% T19 6.73
18 USA Russell Henley 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.56% 1.36% -0.2% T19 6.73
19 CAN Corey Conners 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.56% 1.24% -0.32% T31 6.73
20 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.5% 1.32% -0.18% T19 6.48
21 USA Rickie Fowler 60 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.3% 1.97% 0.67% T15 5.63
22 USA Sahith Theegala 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 1.28% 0.1% T5 (tied w/2) 5.13 +36.4
23 USA Keegan Bradley 70 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 1.41% 1.12% 1.18% 0.06% T48 4.84
24 KOR Siwoo Kim 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 1.41% 0.43% MC 4.24
25 USA Chris Kirk 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 1.06% 0.08% T41 4.24
26 USA JT Poston 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.6% -0.38% MC 4.24
27 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.92% 1.01% 0.08% T15 3.99
28 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 100 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.99% 0.79% 0.57% -0.21% T19 3.4
29 ENG Justin Rose 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.75% 1.37% 0.62% T25 3.24
30 USA J.J Spaun 125 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.79% 0.63% 1.09% 0.46% MC 2.73
31 AUS Cameron Davis 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.71% 0.08% T7 (tied w/4) 2.73 +17.7
32 USA Brian Harman 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.61% -0.02% T7 2.73
33 USA Kurt Kitayama 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 1.53% 1% MC
34 CAN Nick Taylor 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 1.25% 0.72% T41
35 AUT Sepp Straka 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.74% 0.21% MC
36 USA Tom Hoge 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.52% 1.02% 0.5% MC
37 USA Taylor Montgomery 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.48% 1.21% 0.72% MC
38 USA Webb Simpson 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.48% 0.19% -0.3% MC
39 AUS Minwoo Lee 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.46% 1.47% 1.01% MC
40 USA Keith Mitchell 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.46% 1.18% 0.72% MC
41 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.76% 0.3% T41
42 USA Brendon Todd 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.67% 0.21% T51
43 USA Ben Martin 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.59% 0.14% T41
44 ENG Aaron Rai 175 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.45% 0% T48
45 USA Tyler Duncan 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.41% -0.04% MC
46 CAN Adam Hadwin 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.44% 1.3% 0.86% MC
47 USA Denny McCarthy 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.41% 1.16% 0.75% T25
48 USA Wyndham Clark 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.41% 1.13% 0.71% T29
49 USA Gary Woodland 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.41% 0.77% 0.36% T31
50 USA Harris English 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.96% 0.56% T63
51 USA Davis Thompson 200 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.5% 0.4% 0.94% 0.54% T63
52 ENG Matt Wallace 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.68% 0.29% MC
53 USA Samuel Stevens 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.62% 0.22% MC
54 GER Stephan Jaeger 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.48% 0.09% MC
55 USA Maverick McNealy 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.39% 1.37% 0.98% MC
56 USA Joel Dahmen 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.39% 0.72% 0.33% MC
57 IRL Seamus Power 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.37% 1.31% 0.93% MC
58 AUS Adam Scott 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.32% 0.8% 0.48% T31
59 USA Taylor Moore 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.32% 0.76% 0.45% T11
60 USA Davis Riley 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 1.51% 1.19% MC
61 AUS Lucas Herbert 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 1.08% 0.77% T63
62 USA Mackenzie Hughes 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.95% 0.63% MC
63 USA Beau Hossler 250 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.4% 0.32% 0.54% 0.22% T31
64 USA Hayden Buckley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.48% 0.17% T5
65 USA Michael Thompson 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.25% -0.07% T29
66 USA Andrew Putnam 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.78% 0.48% T59
67 USA Billy Horschel 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.77% 0.47% MC
68 CAN Adam Svensson 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.3% 1.14% 0.85% T41
69 USA Alex Smalley 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.65% 0.39% MC
70 USA Adam Schenk 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.57% 0.3% T31
71 USA Lee Hodges 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.15% T41
72 USA Nick Hardy 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.36% 0.09% MC
73 USA Sam Ryder 307 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.72% 0.46% MC
74 NZL Ryan Fox 316 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46/1) 0.32% 0.25% 1.41% 1.16%
75 USA Benjamin Griffin 355 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.1/1) 0.28% 0.22% 1.06% 0.84% T31
76 USA Brandon Wu 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.47% 0.28% MC
77 USA Ryan Palmer 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.24% 0.04% MC
78 RSA Erik van Rooyen 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.2% 0% MC
79 TPE C.T. Pan 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.16% -0.03% MC
80 USA Scott Stallings 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.19% 0.69% 0.5% T56
81 USA Patrick Rodgers 441 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.7/1) 0.23% 0.18% 0.77% 0.59% T19
82 ENG Danny Willett 451 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.47% 0.29% T56
83 BEL Thomas Detry 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.71% 0.55% MC
84 CAN Taylor Pendrith 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.5% 0.33% MC
85 ARG Emiliano Grillo 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.19% 0.03% T7
86 RSA Garrick Higgo 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.42% 0.26% T48
87 USA Nate Lashley 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% T31
88 USA Stewart Cink 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.19% 0.03% MC
89 USA Luke List 565 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.3/1) 0.18% 0.14% 0.3% 0.16% MC
90 USA Kevin Kisner 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.54% 0.41% WD
91 USA Akshay Bhatia 643 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.3/1) 0.16% 0.12% 0.34% 0.22% MC
92 USA Patton Kizzire 671 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.7/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.31% 0.2% T31
93 USA David Lipsky 739 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.5/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.41% 0.3% MC
94 USA Peter Malnati 739 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.5/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.35% 0.25% MC
95 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.28% 0.18% MC
96 USA Kevin Tway 750 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.13% 0.11% 0.24% 0.13% MC
97 USA Doc Redman 750 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.21% 0.11% MC
98 USA Greyson Sigg 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.2% 0.09% MC
99 USA Justin Lower 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.15% 0.04% 71
100 USA Ryan Moore 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.14% 0.03% MC
101 USA Lanto Griffin 767 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.9/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.62% 0.52% MC
102 USA Kramer Hickok 767 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.9/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% 72
103 USA Kevin Streelman 767 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.9/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.15% T51
104 USA Scott Piercy 777 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.7/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% MC
105 USA Matthew NeSmith 777 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.7/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% T59
106 USA Lucas Glover 806 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.1/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.28% 0.18% MC
107 USA Doug Ghim 815 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.9/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.19% 0.1% T54
108 ENG Luke Donald 854 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 95.1/1) 0.12% 0.09% 0.24% 0.14% T67
109 ENG Benjamin Taylor 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.73% 0.65% MC
110 USA Trey Mullinax 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.58% 0.5% MC
111 COL Nicolas Echavarria 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% MC
112 ENG Callum Tarren 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.25% MC
113 SCO Martin Laird 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
114 USA Zach Johnson 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% T54
115 USA Mark Hubbard 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.2% T11
116 USA Adam Long 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% T59
117 AUT Matthias Schwab 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.17% MC
118 SCO Russell Knox 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.16% MC
119 USA Austin Smotherman 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.14% T67
120 RSA Dylan Frittelli 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13%
121 USA Chez Reavie 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% T11
122 USA Chesson Hadley 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.08% MC
123 USA Chad Ramey 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.07% MC
124 USA Troy Merritt 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
125 USA Cameron Champ 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.1% 0.01% MC
126 RSA Ernie Els 1000 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% T56
127 USA Jimmy Walker 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.13% T25
128 USA Jason Dufner 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
129 USA Robert Streb 1000 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% MC
130 USA James Hahn 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% T41
131 USA Wesley Bryan 1000 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
132 USA Andrew Landry 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.06% MC
133 USA Jim Furyk 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.07% -0.01% MC
134 USA Ryan Brehm 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.42% 0.38% MC
135 USA Brian Gay 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.24% 0.2% MC
136 USA Carson Young 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.23% 0.19% T19
137 USA Richy Werenski 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.2% 0.16% MC
138 USA Jim Herman 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.2% 0.16% T67
139 USA Kelly Kraft 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.16% 0.12% MC
140 USA Max McGreevy 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.15% 0.12% T63
141 USA Davis Love III 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.07% 0.04% MC
142 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% 73
143 USA Thomas Gibson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 12.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 12.9% 12%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 50.8% 15.2%
3 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 17.9%
4 Coral 12 @ 1/6 79.6% 18.8%
5 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 79.6% 19.3%
6 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 60.5% 22.6%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 61.5% 23.3%
8 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 61.5% 23.3%
9 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.5% 25.8%
10 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 43.1% 26.3%
11 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56% 28.9%
12 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 56.3% 29.1%
13 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 47.5% 30.2%
14 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 47.5% 30.2%
15 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 50.6% 33%
16 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 58.8% 40.2%
17 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 86.3% 42.4%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 58.6% 42.6%
19 VBet 5 @ 1/4 66.1% 46.7%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 63.3% 46.9%
21 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 63.3% 46.9%
22 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 64.3% 47.7%