Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 12.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 6.8

Total Profit: -93.3

Honda Classic

23/02/2023 - 26/02/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 KOR Sungjae Im 9.6 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 2.8/1) 9.43% 7.05% 2.76% -4.29% T42
2 IRL Shane Lowry 16.4 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.1/1) 5.75% 4.29% 2.32% -1.98% T5
3 USA Chris Kirk 20 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.56% 1.71% -1.85% 1
4 SWE Alexander Noren 22 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.25% 4.34% 1.09% 14.52
5 AUS Minwoo Lee 22 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.25% 2.33% -0.92% T26
6 USA Denny McCarthy 22 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.25% 1.62% -1.63% MC
7 USA Matt Kuchar 22 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.25% 1.43% -1.82% MC
8 USA Aaron Wise 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.87% 1.65% -1.22% T29
9 USA JT Poston 28 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.58% 0.75% -1.82% T63
10 BEL Thomas Detry 30 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.41% 1.55% -0.86%
11 CAN Taylor Pendrith 30 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.41% 0.61% -1.81% T42
12 CAN Adam Svensson 33 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.2% 2.05% -0.15% T49 9.82
13 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.2% 1.13% -1.06% T21
14 USA Harris English 33 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.2% 0.91% -1.28% MC
15 USA Billy Horschel 40 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.6/1) 2.44% 1.82% 2.42% 0.59% T42 8.15
16 AUS Cameron Davis 40 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 0.38% -1.45% MC
17 USA Patrick Rodgers 45 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.62% 1.36% -0.27%
18 POL Adrian Meronk 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.62% 0.92% -0.7% T14
19 GER Stephan Jaeger 50 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.88% 0.41% T14 6.55
20 RSA Garrick Higgo 50 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.15% -0.32% T29
21 USA William Gordon 50 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0.65% -0.82% T42
22 USA Lee Hodges 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0.62% -0.84% T14
23 USA Joseph Bramlett 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.33% 1.64% 0.3% T55 5.97
24 KOR Byeong Hun An 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.33% 0.83% -0.51% T21
25 USA Benjamin Griffin 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 1.39% 0.17% T21 5.48
26 USA Nick Hardy 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 1.02% -0.2% MC 5.48
27 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 60 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.22% 0.99% -0.24% T42
28 USA Hayden Buckley 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.12% 2.65% 1.54% MC 4.99
29 ENG Aaron Rai 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.12% 1.48% 0.37% MC 4.99
30 IRL Padraig Harrington 66 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.06% -0.06% T60 4.99
31 USA Robby Shelton 66 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.12% 0.96% -0.16% T21 4.99
32 ENG Danny Willett 66 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.9% -0.21% T29
33 USA Richard H. Lee 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.15% -0.96%
34 USA Davis Riley 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% 0.66% -0.39% T29
35 AUT Sepp Straka 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.02% 1% -0.02% T5 (tied w/5) 4.58 +6.8
36 USA Ryan Palmer 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.87% 0.6% -0.27% MC
37 USA Brandon Wu 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 0.72% -0.1% T14 3.67
38 USA Lanto Griffin 90 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 0.5% -0.33%
39 USA Webb Simpson 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.6% 0.26% -0.34% T74
40 USA Greyson Sigg 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 1.05% 0.45% MC 2.65
41 SCO Russell Knox 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.85% 0.26% MC 2.65
42 USA Adam Schenk 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.74% 0.15% T42 2.65
43 ENG Matt Wallace 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.65% 0.06% T29 2.65
44 RSA Dylan Frittelli 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.61% 0.02% T29 2.65
45 USA Samuel Stevens 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.53% -0.07% MC 2.65
46 USA Charley Hoffman 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.33% -0.26% MC
47 RSA Erik van Rooyen 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.52% 0.87% 0.35% MC
48 ENG Benjamin Taylor 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.51% 2.24% 1.73% T5
49 ENG Harry Hall 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.97% 0.47% T74
50 USA Mark Hubbard 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.9% 0.4% T42
51 USA Akshay Bhatia 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.72% 0.22% T49
52 USA Kevin Tway 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.7% 0.21% T63
53 USA Eric Cole 150 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.66% 0.16% 2
54 USA Harry Higgs 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.44% -0.05% MC
55 USA Kramer Hickok 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.4% -0.1% T14
56 ENG Callum Tarren 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.48% 0.8% 0.32% MC
57 USA Peter Malnati 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.43% 0.86% 0.42% MC
58 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.63% 0.2% MC
59 AUS Aaron Baddeley 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.38% 0.81% 0.42% MC
60 USA Adam Long 200 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.92% 0.55% MC
61 USA Ben Martin 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.55% 0.18% T5
62 AUT Matthias Schwab 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.51% 0.13% T60
63 RSA MJ Daffue 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.49% 0.12% T21
64 USA Tyler Duncan 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.31% -0.06% 3
65 USA Zach Johnson 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 1.04% 0.74% T12
66 USA Dylan Wu 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.65% 0.35% T10
67 USA Erik Barnes 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.62% 0.32% T49
68 NZL Danny Lee 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.57% 0.27%
69 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.56% 0.26% MC
70 ENG Luke Donald 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% MC
71 SWE Henrik Norlander 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% MC
72 USA Chesson Hadley 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% T29
73 USA Michael Kim 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.25% 0.59% 0.34% MC
74 USA Brent Grant 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 1.23% 0.98%
75 USA Austin Cook 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.5% 0.25% MC
76 ARG Augusto Nunez 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.46% 0.21% T71
77 USA Sean O'Hair 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.42% 0.17% MC
78 SWE Vincent Norrman 300 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% T63
79 USA Doc Redman 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.11% MC
80 USA Jason Dufner 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.27% 0.02% T74
81 USA Austin Eckroat 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.25% 0.61% 0.36% MC
82 USA Andrew Novak 307 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45/1) 0.32% 0.24% 0.57% 0.33% T29
83 USA Pierceson Coody 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.23% 0.15% -0.08% T63
84 USA Tyson Alexander 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 1.98% 1.76% 78
85 SWE Jonas Blixt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.69% 0.48% MC
86 COL Nicolas Echavarria 350 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.42% 0.21% MC
87 ARG Fabian Gomez 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.6% 0.42% MC
88 USA Harrison Endycott 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.39% 0.2% T26
89 USA Paul Haley-II 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.2% MC
90 USA Jimmy Walker 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.19% T49
91 USA Austin Smotherman 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.11%
92 USA Chris Stroud 400 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.1% MC
93 USA Zac Blair 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T49
94 USA Scott Brown 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% MC
95 USA Brian Stuard 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.25% 0.06% MC
96 USA Robert Streb 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.19% 0.01% MC
97 SVK Rory Sabbatini 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.18% -0.01% MC
98 CAN Benjamin Silverman 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.16% -0.03% MC
99 SWE David Lingmerth 403 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.9/1) 0.25% 0.18% 0.51% 0.32% T10
100 USA Ryan Armour 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.16% 0.64% 0.48% T63
101 USA Ryan Moore 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.16% 0.52% 0.36% MC
102 USA Kyle Westmoreland 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.54% 0.39% MC
103 USA Jonathan Byrd 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% MC
104 USA Richy Werenski 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% MC
105 USA Andrew Landry 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
106 USA Jim Herman 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% T14
107 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
108 USA Martin Trainer 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
109 USA Hank Lebioda 518 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66/1) 0.19% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
110 KOR Seungyul Noh 537 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.14% 0.57% 0.44% MC
111 USA Cody Gribble 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.6% 0.47% 79
112 USA Brice Garnett 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.49% 0.37% T55
113 USA William McGirt 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.48% 0.36% T29
114 USA Kevin Roy 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.25% 0.13% T29
115 USA Ryan Brehm 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.21% T14
116 USA Trevor Cone 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% T74
117 USA Bill Haas 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% T71
118 USA Kyle Stanley 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% T60
119 USA Trevor Werbylo 940 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.43% 0.35% T49
120 USA Kelly Kraft 940 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.34% 0.26% T55
121 USA Scott Harrington 940 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% T26
122 USA Brian Gay 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.44% 0.36% MC
123 AUS Cameron Percy 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.27% T12
124 USA J.B. Holmes 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% T71
125 COL Camilo Villegas 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.15% MC
126 USA Chad Ramey 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
127 IND Arjun Atwal 1000 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.46% 0.39% MC
128 AUS Greg Chalmers 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.46% 0.39% MC
129 USA Ben Crane 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.33% 0.26% MC
130 CAN Michael Gligic 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.31% 0.24% MC
131 USA Anders Albertson 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.3% 0.23% T63
132 USA Max McGreevy 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.19% MC
133 USA Brandon Matthews 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.16% T55
134 USA Carson Young 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.21% 0.14% T29
135 USA Andrew Kozan 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.08% MC
136 Marcus Byrd 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.17% 0.13% MC
137 USA Tyler Collet 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.15% 0.11% MC
138 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 0% 0% 0% 0% 80
139 USA Kevin Chappell 0% 0% 0% 0% T29
140 AUS Brett Drewitt 0% 0% 0% 0% T29
141 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% T55
142 USA Curtis Thompson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 USA Grayson Murray 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T5
145 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T63
147 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 USA Parker Coody 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA Ryan Gerard 0% 0% 0% 0% 4
150 Trace Crowe(Oct1996) 0% 0% 0% 0% T63

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 12.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 13.6% 13.8%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 50.3% 14.5%
3 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 51.9% 15.7%
4 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 76.2% 16.6%
5 Coral 10 @ 1/5 76.2% 16.6%
6 Betway 8 @ 1/5 57.1% 19.7%
7 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 39.7% 23.1%
8 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 40% 23.4%
9 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 63.1% 24.3%
10 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 63.1% 24.3%
11 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 42.6% 25.7%
12 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 67.7% 27.8%
13 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 46.1% 28.8%
14 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 46.1% 28.8%
15 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 46.5% 29.2%
16 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 53.8% 35.6%
17 VBet 5 @ 1/4 57.2% 38.6%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 39.6%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 56.5% 40.6%
20 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 56.5% 40.6%
21 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 41.1%
22 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 61.8% 45.4%