Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 7.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -4.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 332.1

Total Profit: +232.1

Farmers Insurance Open

25/01/2023 - 28/01/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 4.5 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 1.6/1) 18.18% 15.64% 5.04% -10.6% T7
2 USA Xander Schauffele 10 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 9.09% 7.82% 1.68% -6.14% T13
3 USA Tony Finau 13.8 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 3.6/1) 6.76% 5.81% 5.92% 0.11% T9
4 USA Justin Thomas 14 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.73% 1.1% -4.63% T25
5 USA Collin Morikawa 18.2 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.4/1) 5.21% 4.48% 3.29% -1.19% 3
6 USA Will Zalatoris 20 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.7/1) 4.76% 4.1% 1.92% -2.17% CUT
7 USA Max Homa 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.74% 3.28% -0.46% 1 16.59 +235.6
8 AUS Jason Day 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.74% 0.7% -3.03% T7
9 KOR Sungjae Im 24 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.3/1) 4% 3.44% 3.02% -0.42% T4 (tied w/3) 15.26 +32.1
10 USA Taylor Montgomery 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.97% 1.61% -1.35% T31
11 USA Maverick McNealy 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.53% 1.09% -1.44% T31
12 USA J.J Spaun 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.69% 1.46% -0.23% CUT 7.49
13 AUS Cameron Davis 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.69% 0.64% -1.04% CUT
14 USA Sahith Theegala 57 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.7/1) 1.72% 1.48% 2.35% 0.87% T4 (tied w/3) 6.58 +27.8
15 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 57 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.7/1) 1.72% 1.48% 0.43% -1.05% T9
16 CAN Taylor Pendrith 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 1.03% -0.25% T60 5.7
17 ENG Justin Rose 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.18% 0.92% -0.26% T18 5.23
18 USA Wyndham Clark 80 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 1.13% 0.07% T37 4.71
19 USA Kurt Kitayama 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 0.58% -0.48% CUT 4.71
20 USA Keegan Bradley 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 1% 2.75% 1.75% 2 4.44 +36.7
21 RSA Dean Burmester 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.51% -0.34% T37 3.78
22 USA Rickie Fowler 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.36% -0.49% T11 3.78
23 USA Alex Smalley 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.74% 1.62% 0.88% T37 3.29
24 CAN Adam Hadwin 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.74% 1.24% 0.5% T44 3.29
25 USA Harris English 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.69% 0.67% -0.03% CUT 3.08
26 ARG Emiliano Grillo 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.81% 0.13% T44 3.03
27 USA William Gordon 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.76% 0.08% CUT 3.03
28 COL Sebastian Munoz 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.39% -0.3% CUT 3.03
29 USA Brendan Steele 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.31% -0.38% T20 3.03
30 USA Hayden Buckley 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.64% 1.04% 0.4% CUT
31 USA Luke List 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.64% 0.39% -0.25% T25
32 USA Scott Stallings 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.61% 1.95% 1.34% CUT
33 BEL Thomas Detry 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.6% 1.2% 0.61% T37
34 USA Davis Thompson 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.6% 0.49% -0.1% T69
35 GER Stephan Jaeger 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 1.23% 0.66% T53
36 USA Beau Hossler 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.48% -0.08% CUT
37 USA Patrick Rodgers 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.56% 1.32% 0.76% CUT
38 USA Davis Riley 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.47% 1.13% 0.66% CUT
39 USA Trey Mullinax 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.43% 3.4% 2.97% T31
40 KOR Byeong Hun An 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.49% 0.06% T62
41 USA Cameron Champ 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.26% -0.17% T53
42 USA Ryan Palmer 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.43% 0.28% -0.15% T62
43 USA Robby Shelton 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.41% 0.62% 0.22% T67
44 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.38% 0.11% -0.27% T25
45 USA Benjamin Griffin 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.37% 1.2% 0.82% T31
46 USA Nick Hardy 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% T44
47 ENG Callum Tarren 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.85% 0.51% T25
48 USA Joseph Bramlett 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.69% 0.35% T13
49 USA Taylor Moore 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.47% 0.13% T11
50 ENG Benjamin Taylor 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.32% 1.77% 1.45% CUT
51 USA Matthew NeSmith 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.29% 1.02% 0.73% CUT
52 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.82% 0.53% CUT
53 NZL Danny Lee 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.38% 0.1% CUT
54 USA Adam Long 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.31% 0.02% 73
55 USA Patton Kizzire 316 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.39% 0.12% CUT
56 CAN Adam Svensson 325 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47/1) 0.31% 0.26% 1.07% 0.81% CUT
57 ENG Aaron Rai 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.69% 0.43% 52
58 RSA Garrick Higgo 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.28% 0.03% T53
59 USA Austin Smotherman 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.45% 0.21% CUT
60 USA Lee Hodges 355 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.1/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.55% 0.31% CUT
61 USA Charley Hoffman 393 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.9/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.3% 0.08% CUT
62 RSA Dylan Frittelli 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.49% 0.28% T37
63 RSA MJ Daffue 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% CUT
64 AUS Aaron Baddeley 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.66% 0.45% CUT
65 AUS Kevin Yuan 431 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.7/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.12% -0.08%
66 SCO Martin Laird 441 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.7/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.62% 0.42% CUT
67 SWE Henrik Norlander 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.47% 0.3% CUT
68 ENG Harry Hall 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.53% 0.36% CUT
69 USA Tyson Alexander 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 2.37% 2.2% CUT
70 USA Kevin Tway 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.38% 0.2% T18
71 USA Adam Schenk 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.37% 0.2% T20
72 USA Tyler Duncan 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.37% 0.2% CUT
73 USA Andrew Novak 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.24% 0.07% T69
74 USA J.B. Holmes 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.12% -0.06% CUT
75 USA Doug Ghim 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.19% 0.03% CUT
76 USA Lanto Griffin 537 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.12% -0.04% T37
77 USA Harry Higgs 565 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.3/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.47% 0.32% T44
78 USA Austin Eckroat 565 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.3/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% CUT
79 USA Kevin Streelman 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% T60
80 USA Sam Ryder 595 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.59% 0.45% T4
81 USA Robert Streb 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% CUT
82 USA Brian Stuard 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% CUT
83 USA Dylan Wu 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.18% 0.04% CUT
84 USA Ben Martin 604 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.8/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% CUT
85 USA Justin Lower 623 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.5/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.51% 0.37% CUT
86 USA Scott Piercy 652 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.65% 0.52% T31
87 USA Michael Thompson 652 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.56% 0.43% T37
88 USA Doc Redman 671 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.7/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.3% 0.18% CUT
89 USA Eric Cole 691 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.4/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.4% 0.28% CUT
90 SWE David Lingmerth 748 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.3/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.46% 0.35% CUT
91 USA Samuel Stevens 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.35% 0.24% T13
92 ARG Augusto Nunez 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.28% 0.16% T31
93 USA Kelly Kraft 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.21% 0.09% CUT
94 AUS Cameron Percy 758 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.54% 0.42% CUT
95 USA Cole Hammer 767 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.9/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.54% 0.42% CUT
96 USA James Hahn 806 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.43% 0.32% CUT
97 USA Harrison Endycott 806 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.31% 0.2% CUT
98 SWE Vincent Norrman 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.54% 0.45% T44
99 USA Ryan Armour 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.48% 0.39% CUT
100 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.47% 0.38% T53
101 USA Paul Haley-II 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.41% 0.32% T62
102 USA Zac Blair 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.35% 0.26% CUT
103 KOR Seungyul Noh 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% T44
104 USA Brice Garnett 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% CUT
105 USA Sean O'Hair 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% CUT
106 USA Austin Cook 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% T53
107 USA Erik Barnes 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% T13
108 USA Peter Malnati 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% T20
109 SVK Rory Sabbatini 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% CUT
110 JPN Taiga Semikawa 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% T67
111 Patrick Welch 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.58% 0.49% CUT
112 USA Cody Gribble 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.35% CUT
113 USA Ryan Brehm 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% CUT
114 USA Nick Watney 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.39% 0.3% CUT
115 USA Scott Harrington 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.22% T69
116 COL Nicolas Echavarria 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% CUT
117 USA Trevor Cone 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% CUT
118 USA Jimmy Walker 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% T13
119 CAN Michael Gligic 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% CUT
120 USA William McGirt 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.16% CUT
121 USA Jonathan Byrd 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% CUT
122 USA Jason Dufner 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% CUT
123 USA Kevin Roy 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% CUT
124 USA Anders Albertson 1000 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.14% 0.06% CUT
125 USA Kyle Stanley 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% CUT
126 USA Hank Lebioda 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% CUT
127 USA Bill Haas 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% CUT
128 COL Camilo Villegas 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.12% 0.03% CUT
129 USA Jim Herman 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.27% 0.2% CUT
130 USA Philip Knowles 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.29% 0.24% CUT
131 USA Kyle Westmoreland 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.26% 0.2% CUT
132 USA Brent Grant 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.23% 0.17% T25
133 USA Brandon Matthews 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.2% 0.14% CUT
134 USA Richy Werenski 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.4% 0.36% CUT
135 USA Carson Young 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.17% 0.13% CUT
136 USA Trevor Werbylo 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.17% 0.12% T53
137 USA Michael Block 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.12% 0.07% CUT
138 USA Martin Trainer 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.09% 0.05% CUT
139 USA Ben Crane 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.23% 0.2% CUT
140 IND Arjun Atwal 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.23% 0.2%
141 USA Gary Woodland 0% 0% 0% 0% T62
142 USA Scott Brown 0% 0% 0% 0% 72
143 USA Robert Garrigus 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
144 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% T53
145 USA Michael Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T44
146 KOR Siwoo Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T25
147 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T20
148 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% T62
149 JPN Toru Nakajima 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
150 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T20
151 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% T44
152 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
153 Caleb Surratt 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
154 Michael Herrera 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
155 Joey Vrzich 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
156 Harrison Kingsley 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 7.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -4.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 12.4% 5%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 49.9% 15.1%
3 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 54.6% 18.7%
4 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 82.1% 21.7%
5 Coral 10 @ 1/5 82.1% 21.7%
6 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 38% 22.2%
7 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 38.7% 22.7%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 61.4% 24.1%
9 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 61.4% 24.1%
10 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 42.2% 25.9%
11 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 42.3% 25.9%
12 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 68.8% 29.7%
13 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 46.7% 29.9%
14 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 46.7% 29.9%
15 Betway 7 @ 1/5 60.9% 33.6%
16 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 52.4% 34.9%
17 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 51.1% 36.2%
18 QuinnBet 5 @ 1/5 39.4% 37.7%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.5% 39.2%
20 VBet 5 @ 1/4 62.5% 44%
21 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 60.6% 44.9%
22 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 60.6% 44.9%