Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 11.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 39.4

Total Profit: -60.6

The American Express

19/01/2023 - 22/01/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 5 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 16.67% 13.1% 4.67% -8.43% 1
2 USA Scottie Scheffler 9 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 10% 7.86% 3.75% -4.11% T11
3 USA Patrick Cantlay 9 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 10% 7.86% 2.09% -5.77% T26
4 USA Tony Finau 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.24% 6.01% 0.77% T16
5 USA Will Zalatoris 16 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.62% 1.78% -2.84% T36
6 USA Cameron Young 18 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.14% 2.59% -1.55% T26
7 KOR Sungjae Im 18 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.14% 2.56% -1.58% T18
8 USA Xander Schauffele 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.74% 1.55% -2.19% T3
9 JPN Tomoharu Kimura 20 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.74% 0.11% -3.64%
10 USA Sam Burns 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.31% 1.09% -1.22% T11 10.44
11 USA Taylor Montgomery 35 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.18% 1.25% -0.94% 5 9.86 +39.4
12 USA Tom Hoge 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% 1.98% 0.06% T32 8.66
13 AUS Cameron Davis 40 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% 0.64% -1.28% MC 8.66
14 USA Brian Harman 45 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.3/1) 2.17% 1.71% 2.47% 0.76% MC 7.72
15 USA Sahith Theegala 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.71% 1.36% -0.35% T54 7.72
16 KOR Siwoo Kim 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.5/1) 2.08% 1.64% 0.95% -0.69% T22 7.4
17 USA Aaron Wise 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% 1.88% 0.34% MC 6.96
18 CAN Adam Hadwin 60 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.29% 1.2% -0.09% T18 5.82
19 AUS Jason Day 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.29% 0.87% -0.42% T18 5.82
20 USA Andrew Putnam 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.08% 1.56% 0.49% T36 4.87
21 USA JT Poston 90 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.2/1) 1.1% 0.86% 0.79% -0.08% T6 3.91
22 USA Keith Mitchell 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.87% 0.1% T22 3.52
23 USA Rickie Fowler 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.68% 0.3% -0.38% T54 3.06
24 USA Alex Smalley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 1.46% 0.84% T22 2.82
25 RSA Dean Burmester 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.45% -0.17% T54 2.82
26 CAN Taylor Pendrith 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.59% 0.98% 0.39% MC
27 USA Wyndham Clark 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.59% 0.96% 0.37% T50
28 USA Joel Dahmen 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.59% 0.92% 0.34%
29 USA Davis Riley 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.55% 0.93% 0.38% T65
30 USA Denny McCarthy 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.55% 0.58% 0.04% T50
31 USA Patrick Rodgers 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.48% 0.99% 0.51% MC
32 USA Chris Kirk 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.48% 0.65% 0.17% T3
33 USA David Lipsky 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.45% 0.9% 0.45% MC
34 ENG Benjamin Taylor 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 2.01% 1.57% MC
35 ENG Justin Rose 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.43% 0.95% 0.52% T26
36 USA William Gordon 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.39% 0.72% 0.33% MC
37 ARG Emiliano Grillo 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.37% 1.1% 0.73% MC
38 USA Harris English 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.37% 0.55% 0.17% MC
39 KOR K.T. Kim 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.37% 0.11% -0.26%
40 BEL Thomas Detry 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.36% 1.11% 0.76% T26
41 USA Lee Hodges 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.34% 0.69% 0.35% MC
42 USA Luke List 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.33% 0.44% 0.11% MC
43 COL Sebastian Munoz 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.33% 0.38% 0.05% T41
44 USA Benjamin Griffin 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.31% 1% 0.69% T32
45 USA Matthew NeSmith 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.7% 0.39% MC
46 SWE David Lingmerth 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.46% 0.14% MC
47 USA Brendan Steele 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.3% 0.32% 0.01% T32
48 KOR Byeong Hun An 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.29% 0.57% 0.28% T41
49 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.28% 0.6% 0.31% T11
50 USA Brendon Todd 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.28% 0.52% 0.24% MC
51 ENG Callum Tarren 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.27% 0.83% 0.56% MC
52 AUS Kevin Yuan 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.27% 0.11% -0.17%
53 GER Stephan Jaeger 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.26% 1.01% 0.74% T36
54 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.26% 0.99% 0.73% MC
55 USA Greyson Sigg 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.26% 0.74% 0.48% MC
56 USA Beau Hossler 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.26% 0.51% 0.25% T50
57 USA Nate Lashley 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.26% 0.24% -0.03% MC
58 CAN Nick Taylor 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.52% 0.26% MC
59 USA Robby Shelton 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.52% 0.26% T6
60 USA Ben Martin 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.47% 0.21% MC
61 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 325 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47/1) 0.31% 0.24% 0.11% -0.14% MC
62 SCO Martin Laird 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.23% 0.45% 0.23% T62
63 ENG Harry Hall 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.53% 0.3% T41
64 AUS Aaron Baddeley 355 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.1/1) 0.28% 0.22% 0.56% 0.34% T50
65 ENG Aaron Rai 383 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.9/1) 0.26% 0.2% 0.74% 0.54% MC
66 USA Austin Eckroat 383 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.9/1) 0.26% 0.2% 0.28% 0.07% MC
67 USA Michael Thompson 403 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.9/1) 0.25% 0.19% 0.51% 0.32% MC
68 USA Patton Kizzire 412 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.8/1) 0.24% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% T11
69 USA Stewart Cink 412 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.8/1) 0.24% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% T41
70 USA Taylor Moore 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% MC
71 USA Adam Long 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% MC
72 USA Adam Schenk 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.27% 0.1%
73 USA Davis Thompson 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.66% 0.5% 2
74 USA Sam Ryder 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.55% 0.39% MC
75 ENG Danny Willett 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.53% 0.37% MC
76 USA Justin Lower 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.48% 0.32% T41
77 USA Troy Merritt 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.44% 0.28% MC
78 USA Brandon Wu 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% MC
79 USA Chez Reavie 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% MC
80 USA Tyson Alexander 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 2.07% 1.91% MC
81 USA Andrew Novak 500 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.23% 0.07% MC
82 USA Robert Streb 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.21% 0.05% MC
83 SCO Russell Knox 508 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.1/1) 0.2% 0.15% 0.59% 0.43% T54
84 USA Scott Piercy 508 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.1/1) 0.2% 0.15% 0.57% 0.42% T41
85 RSA Erik van Rooyen 517 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.9/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T6
86 USA James Hahn 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% MC
87 USA Charley Hoffman 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
88 RSA Garrick Higgo 556 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.5/1) 0.18% 0.14% 0.33% 0.19% T11
89 USA Joseph Bramlett 565 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.3/1) 0.18% 0.14% 0.66% 0.52% T54
90 CHN Dou Ze-cheng 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.11% -0.03%
91 USA Mark Hubbard 585 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.1/1) 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.13% MC
92 USA Doug Ghim 585 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.1/1) 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.08% MC
93 USA Lucas Glover 604 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.8/1) 0.17% 0.13% 0.45% 0.32% MC
94 RSA Dylan Frittelli 604 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.8/1) 0.17% 0.13% 0.44% 0.31% MC
95 USA Zac Blair 604 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.8/1) 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% MC
96 RSA MJ Daffue 613 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.6/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.38% 0.25% MC
97 NZL Danny Lee 652 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.1/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% T16
98 USA Andrew Landry 681 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.6/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.34% 0.22% 68
99 USA Peter Malnati 691 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.4/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.22% 0.11% MC
100 USA Chesson Hadley 729 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.7/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.32% 0.21% MC
101 USA Brian Gay 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.28% 0.17%
102 USA Kevin Roy 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.13% MC
103 CAN Michael Gligic 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.05% MC
104 USA Kyle Stanley 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.12% 0.02%
105 USA John Huh 777 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.7/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.48% 0.38%
106 USA Ryan Moore 787 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.6/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.17% MC
107 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 806 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.1/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.38% 0.28% MC
108 SVK Rory Sabbatini 911 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 99.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06% MC
109 SWE Vincent Norrman 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.5% 0.42% T54
110 USA Harry Higgs 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.44% 0.35% T18
111 USA Eric Cole 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.43% 0.35% T36
112 USA Zach Johnson 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.39% 0.3% T41
113 USA Austin Cook 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.29% T36
114 USA Tyler Duncan 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T41
115 USA Kevin Tway 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% T54
116 USA Ryan Armour 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% T65
117 USA Brice Garnett 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
118 USA Harrison Endycott 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% T22
119 USA Erik Barnes 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
120 USA Samuel Stevens 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% 67
121 ARG Augusto Nunez 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.17% MC
122 GER Matthias Schmid 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% T6
123 COL Nicolas Echavarria 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% MC
124 AUT Matthias Schwab 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% T26
125 USA Michael Kim 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
126 KOR Sunghoon Kang 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% MC
127 USA Kramer Hickok 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% MC
128 USA Paul Haley-II 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.09% 69
129 JPN Taiga Semikawa 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% MC
130 USA Brian Stuard 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
131 USA Kevin Chappell 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.1% 0.02% MC
132 USA Max McGreevy 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.52% 0.44% MC
133 USA Ryan Brehm 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.27% MC
134 USA Nick Watney 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.26% MC
135 USA Gunner Wiebe 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
136 USA Scott Harrington 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
137 USA Trevor Cone 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
138 USA Philip Knowles 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.2% MC
139 ARG Estanislao Goya 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% T26
140 USA Jimmy Walker 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% MC
141 USA Brent Grant 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12%
142 USA Brandon Matthews 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
143 USA Jason Dufner 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.1% MC
144 Caleb Surratt 1000 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% MC
145 USA Wesley Bryan 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
146 USA Bill Haas 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.12% 0.04% MC
147 USA Kyle Westmoreland 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.21% 0.15% MC
148 USA Richy Werenski 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.34% 0.28% MC
149 USA Trevor Werbylo 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.2% 0.15% T41
150 USA Carson Young 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.19% 0.13% MC
151 USA Anders Albertson 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.16% 0.1% T62
152 USA John Pak 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.11% 0.05% MC
153 USA Michael Block 2500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.11% 0.08% MC
154 KOR Seungyul Noh 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Jonathan Byrd 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 USA Hank Lebioda 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 USA Martin Trainer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T54
160 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% T62
161 USA Dylan Wu 0% 0% 0% 0% T32
162 KOR Tom Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T6
163 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
164 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 11.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 12.1% 12.1%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 53.9% 17.9%
3 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 56.8% 20.1%
4 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 57.9% 20.9%
5 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 81.9% 21.3%
6 Coral 10 @ 1/5 81.9% 21.3%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 59.8% 22.4%
8 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 59.8% 22.4%
9 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 38.8% 22.8%
10 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 27.8%
11 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 44.9% 28.1%
12 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 44.9% 28.1%
13 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45.8% 28.9%
14 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 69.6% 29.8%
15 Betway 7 @ 1/5 58.6% 31.3%
16 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 36.6%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 52.9% 37.8%
18 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 52.9% 37.8%
19 VBet 5 @ 1/4 62.6% 43.8%
20 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 61.2% 45.2%
21 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 61.4% 45.5%