Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 8.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 71.2

Total Profit: -28.9

Sentry Tournament of Champions

05/01/2023 - 08/01/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 6.5 (888sport: 6 @ 1/5) 13.33% 11.87% 5.99% -5.88% 1
2 USA Scottie Scheffler 8.5 (888sport: 6 @ 1/5) 10.53% 9.37% 4.95% -4.42% T7
3 USA Justin Thomas 10 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 9.09% 8.09% 1.75% -6.34% T25
4 USA Xander Schauffele 11 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 8.33% 7.42% 3.35% -4.07%
5 USA Patrick Cantlay 11 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 8.33% 7.42% 3.03% -4.39% T16
6 USA Tony Finau 16 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.24% 10.21% 4.97% T7
7 KOR Sungjae Im 20 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.24% 3.88% -0.36% T13
8 USA Cameron Young 20 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.24% 3.15% -1.09% T13
9 NOR Viktor Hovland 24 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.3/1) 4% 3.56% 4.53% 0.97% T18 15.12
10 USA Collin Morikawa 25 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.5/1) 3.85% 3.42% 1.95% -1.47% 2
11 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 27 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.8/1) 3.57% 3.18% 3.12% -0.06% T7 13.5
12 USA Sam Burns 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.07% 1.78% -1.29% 32
13 USA Will Zalatoris 30 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.87% 2.91% 0.04% T11 12.19
14 USA Jordan Spieth 30 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.87% 2.14% -0.74% T13
15 JPN Tomoharu Kimura 33 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.62% 0.19% -2.43%
16 USA Russell Henley 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.17% 2.06% -0.11% T30
17 USA Max Homa 45 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.3/1) 2.17% 1.94% 3.48% 1.55% T3 (tied w/2) 8.22 +38.1
18 USA Aaron Wise 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.68% 2.33% 0.65% T18 7.13
19 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.41% 0.42% -0.99% T21
20 USA Brian Harman 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.31% 4.26% 2.95% T16 5.56
21 IRL Seamus Power 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.31% 1.32% 0.02% T25 5.56
22 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 70 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.25% 1.55% 0.29% T7 5.33
23 USA Sahith Theegala 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.17% 2.35% 1.18% 33 4.98
24 AUS Adam Scott 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 1.04% 2.76% 1.72% 29 4.4
25 USA Keegan Bradley 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.93% 2.4% 1.47% 34 3.94
26 CAN Corey Conners 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.93% 2.26% 1.33% T18 3.94
27 USA Billy Horschel 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.93% 1.96% 1.04% T30 3.94
28 USA Tom Hoge 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.77% 1.25% 0.48% T3 (tied w/2) 3.26 +33
29 USA Scott Stallings 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.71% 2.59% 1.89% T25 3
30 USA JT Poston 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.49% 0.95% 0.47% T21
31 USA Mackenzie Hughes 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.46% 1.53% 1.07% T21
32 USA Trey Mullinax 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.4% 5.52% 5.11% 28
33 CAN Adam Svensson 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.37% 1.96% 1.59% 37
34 AUT Sepp Straka 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.32% 2% 1.68% T21
35 USA J.J Spaun 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.31% 1.91% 1.6% T5
36 USA Luke List 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.45% 0.15% T11
37 USA Chez Reavie 767 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.9/1) 0.13% 0.12% 1.06% 0.95% T35
38 USA Chad Ramey 835 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 93.5/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.49% 0.38%
39 USA Ryan Brehm 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% T35
40 KOR Tom Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T5

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 8.7% 8.7%
2 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 34.6% 17%
3 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 36.4% 18.5%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 6 @ 1/5 38.5% 20.4%
5 Paddy Power 6 @ 1/5 38.5% 20.4%
6 Betway 6 @ 1/5 38.9% 20.7%
7 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 39.9% 21.6%
8 Boyle Sports 6 @ 1/5 40.4% 22%
9 Bet365 5 @ 1/5 29.8% 23.9%
10 Spreadex 5 @ 1/5 31.1% 25.1%
11 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/5 34.5% 28.4%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/5 34.7% 28.6%
13 Betfred 5 @ 1/5 35.7% 29.5%
14 Coral 5 @ 1/5 38% 31.7%
15 QuinnBet 5 @ 1/5 38.4% 32.1%
16 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/5 38.5% 32.2%
17 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/5 39.1% 32.8%
18 Parimatch 5 @ 1/5 39.1% 32.8%
19 VBet 5 @ 1/5 40.2% 33.8%
20 Unibet 5 @ 1/5 41.2% 34.8%
21 BetUK 5 @ 1/5 41.2% 34.8%
22 Sporting Index 4 @ 1/4 40.1% 35.3%