Market Analysis
Bookie Overround: 24.9 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.8 %
Total Probability Staked: 22.2 %
Results
Total Staked: 100.1
Total Won: 84.1
Total Profit: -16.1
| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | Pos. Pos. | Stake | Returns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 10 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 9.09% | 7.28% | 0.83% | -6.44% | 1 | |||
| 2 |
| Thomas Detry | 14 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 6.67% | 5.34% | 1.91% | -3.43% | T13 | |||
| 3 |
| Jordan L Smith | 14 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 6.67% | 5.34% | 1.68% | -3.66% | T13 | |||
| 4 |
| Robert MacIntyre | 20 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 4.76% | 3.81% | 2.02% | -1.79% | T32 | |||
| 5 |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 20 (QuinnBet: 5 @ 1/4) | 4.76% | 3.81% | 1.01% | -2.8% | T5 | |||
| 6 |
| Ryan Fox | 20 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 4.76% | 3.81% | 0.92% | -2.89% | 2 | |||
| 7 |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | 22 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) | 4.35% | 3.48% | 1.86% | -1.62% | T8 | |||
| 8 |
| Minwoo Lee | 22 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) | 4.35% | 3.48% | 1.08% | -2.4% | T8 | |||
| 9 |
| Lucas Herbert | 25 (QuinnBet: 5 @ 1/4) | 3.85% | 3.08% | 1.04% | -2.04% | T25 | |||
| 10 |
| Branden Grace | 25 (QuinnBet: 5 @ 1/4) | 3.85% | 3.08% | 0.68% | -2.4% | T8 | |||
| 11 |
| Antoine Rozner | 30 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) | 3.23% | 2.58% | 1.78% | -0.8% | T32 | |||
| 12 |
| Eddie Pepperell | 33 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.94% | 2.35% | 1.69% | -0.67% | T49 | |||
| 13 |
| Adrian Otaegui | 35 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.78% | 2.22% | 1.56% | -0.66% | T19 | |||
| 14 |
| Victor Perez | 40 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.95% | 1.79% | -0.17% | T44 | |||
| 15 |
| Thriston Lawrence | 40 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.95% | 1.69% | -0.26% | T13 | |||
| 16 |
| George Coetzee | 40 (QuinnBet: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.95% | 1.5% | -0.45% | T44 | |||
| 17 |
| Adrian Meronk | 40 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.95% | 1.22% | -0.73% | T36 | |||
| 18 |
| Yannik Paul | 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.74% | 1.54% | -0.2% | T25 | |||
| 19 |
| Fabrizio Zanotti | 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.57% | 1.89% | 0.32% | T29 | |||
| 20 |
| Richard Mansell | 50 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.57% | 1.79% | 0.22% | T56 | |||
| 21 |
| Callum Shinkwin | 50 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.57% | 1.43% | -0.14% | T64 | |||
| 22 |
| Sam Horsfield | 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.57% | 0.37% | -1.2% | T19 | |||
| 23 |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.43% | 1.84% | 0.41% | 55 | 6.43 | ||
| 24 |
| Marcel Schneider | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.43% | 1.73% | 0.3% | T25 | |||
| 25 |
| Gavin Green | 55 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.43% | 1.63% | 0.2% | 7 | |||
| 26 |
| Adria Arnaus | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.43% | 1.34% | -0.09% | T61 | |||
| 27 |
| Hurly Long | 55 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.43% | 1.27% | -0.15% | T52 | |||
| 28 |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | 66 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.19% | 1.76% | 0.57% | T44 | 5.38 | ||
| 29 |
| Richie Ramsay | 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.13% | 1.9% | 0.77% | 4 | 5.07 | +46.9 | |
| 30 |
| Tapio Pulkkanen | 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.13% | 1.87% | 0.75% | T56 | 5.07 | ||
| 31 |
| Ross Fisher | 70 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.13% | 1.71% | 0.59% | T19 | 5.07 | ||
| 32 |
| Oliver Bekker | 70 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.13% | 1.67% | 0.54% | T36 | 5.07 | ||
| 33 |
| Edoardo Molinari | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.99% | 2.13% | 1.14% | T32 | 4.45 | ||
| 34 |
| Guido Migliozzi | 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.99% | 1.91% | 0.92% | T44 | 4.45 | ||
| 35 |
| Zander Lombard | 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.99% | 1.88% | 0.89% | 4.45 | |||
| 36 |
| Marcus Armitage | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.99% | 1.82% | 0.83% | T41 | 4.45 | ||
| 37 |
| Ewen Ferguson | 80 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.99% | 1.7% | 0.71% | T13 | 4.45 | ||
| 38 |
| Paul Waring | 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.99% | 1.55% | 0.56% | T19 | 4.45 | ||
| 39 |
| Connor Syme | 80 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.99% | 1.5% | 0.51% | T49 | 4.45 | ||
| 40 |
| Richard Bland | 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.99% | 0.58% | -0.41% | T8 | |||
| 41 |
| Matthieu Pavon | 90 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.88% | 1.88% | 1% | T41 | 3.96 | ||
| 42 |
| Matthew Southgate | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.79% | 1.92% | 1.13% | T58 | 3.57 | ||
| 43 |
| Romain Langasque | 100 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.79% | 1.88% | 1.09% | T29 | 3.57 | ||
| 44 |
| Jorge Campillo | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.79% | 1.88% | 1.08% | T32 | 3.57 | ||
| 45 |
| Matthew Jordan | 100 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.79% | 1.71% | 0.92% | T44 | 3.57 | ||
| 46 |
| Scott Jamieson | 100 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.79% | 1.63% | 0.84% | T13 | 3.57 | ||
| 47 |
| Wu Ashun | 110 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.72% | 2.03% | 1.31% | T25 | 3.25 | ||
| 48 |
| Dale Whitnell | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.72% | 1.66% | 0.94% | T36 | 3.25 | ||
| 49 |
| Joakim Lagergren | 125 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.64% | 2.01% | 1.37% | T29 | 2.86 | ||
| 50 |
| Sebastian Soderberg | 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.64% | 1.84% | 1.21% | T5 (tied w/2) | 2.86 | +37.2 | |
| 51 |
| Justin Walters | 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.64% | 1.45% | 0.82% | T52 | 2.86 | ||
| 52 |
| Nicolai Von Dellingshausen | 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.53% | 1.89% | 1.36% | ||||
| 53 |
| Oliver Wilson | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.53% | 1.83% | 1.3% | T36 | |||
| 54 |
| Rafael Cabrera Bello | 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.53% | 1.73% | 1.2% | T41 | |||
| 55 |
| Maximilian Kieffer | 150 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.53% | 1.57% | 1.04% | T8 | |||
| 56 |
| Pablo Larrazabal | 150 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.53% | 1.27% | 0.74% | 63 | |||
| 57 |
| Shao Yong-liang | 150 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.53% | 0.02% | -0.51% | ||||
| 58 |
| Kalle Samooja | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.85% | 1.45% | T58 | |||
| 59 |
| David Law | 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.67% | 1.27% | T19 | |||
| 60 |
| Luke Donald | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.47% | 1.07% | T13 | |||
| 61 |
| Sean Crocker | 250 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.32% | 1.87% | 1.55% | T36 | |||
| 62 |
| Richard Sterne | 250 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.32% | 1.57% | 1.25% | T19 | |||
| 63 |
| Shaun Norris | 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.32% | 0.47% | 0.15% | T49 | |||
| 64 |
| Shubhankar Sharma | 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.23% | 1.83% | 1.61% | 3 | |||
| 65 |
| Hao Tong Li | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | T61 | ||||
| 66 |
| Wil Besseling | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | T58 | ||||
| 67 |
| JC Ritchie | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | T52 | ||||
Market Analysis
Overround of best available: 24.9 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.8 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 37.6% | 19.9% |
| 2 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 39.4% | 21.5% |
| 3 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 39.4% | 21.5% |
| 4 | Bet Victor | 5 @ 1/4 | 40.2% | 22.1% |
| 5 | Parimatch | 5 @ 1/4 | 40.2% | 22.1% |
| 6 | LiveScore Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 40.2% | 22.2% |
| 7 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 40.3% | 22.2% |
| 8 | Skybet | 6 @ 1/5 | 39.1% | 23% |
| 9 | VBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 40.2% | 23.9% |
| 10 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 41.9% | 25.4% |
| 11 | Unibet | 5 @ 1/4 | 44.7% | 26.2% |
| 12 | BetUK | 5 @ 1/4 | 44.7% | 26.2% |
| 13 | Spreadex | 5 @ 1/4 | 45.5% | 26.8% |
| 14 | Boyle Sports | 7 @ 1/5 | 56.7% | 27.1% |
| 15 | QuinnBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 46.2% | 27.4% |
| 16 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 45.9% | 29% |
| 17 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 46.4% | 29.4% |
| 18 | Ladbrokes | 6 @ 1/5 | 47% | 29.9% |
| 19 | Coral | 6 @ 1/5 | 47% | 29.9% |
| 20 | Betfair Sportsbook | 6 @ 1/5 | 47.7% | 30.6% |
| 21 | Paddy Power | 6 @ 1/5 | 47.7% | 30.6% |
| 22 | Sporting Index | 5 @ 1/4 | 50.1% | 30.8% |